04/08/2009 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for 4/10

Email

Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully wind up with a tidy profit.

Thursday s result:
Dean s Kitten finished third

Friday, April 10, 2009

Race 1
Maiden Special Weight
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Malawi (Bwana Charlie Malady, by Gilded Time)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 29, 2007 in Florida
- Half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Dancin Olivia (8-3-0-0, $73,968, 2-5 at two, 3-7 in main track sprints)
- First-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-4-4-5, $388,850, 0-5 at two, 3-15 in main track sprints)
- This is sire s first starter
- Dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (10-5-2-0, $133,904, 1-1 at two, 5-9 in main track sprints, cost $125,000 as a yearling)
- Dam has foaled two runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, two main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners
- Gilded Time is 2-12 (17%, $3.47 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (both older winners on synthetic)
- Trainer is 133-727 (18%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 18-78 (23%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 5-24 (20%, $2.10 ROI) with all debut runners this year (all winners with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner this meet with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard for this owner)
- March 7, April 4 workouts match barn's juvenile Heavenville (finished first in career debut on April 9 at Keeneland)
- April 4 workout matches uncoupled entrymate Elated Moon

2. Pollard s Babe (Pollard s Vision Ruthless Babe, by Grand Slam)
Trainer: Larry Demeritte
- Foaled February 11, 2007 in Kentucky
- $10,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
- First-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner (23-6-7-4, $1,430,311, 1-6 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints)
- This is sire s first starter
- Dam was a sprint winner (5-1-0-0, $32,980, unraced at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, cost $185,000 as a yearling)
- Dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one main track sprint runner
- Dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Tricky Six (17-4-0-1, $93,673, 3-7 at two, 4-15 in main track sprints)
- Grand Slam was 4-31 (13%, $4.03 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- Trainer is 2-37 (5%, $1.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 0-12 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 0-2 with all debut runners in 2009

3. Princess Andrea (D wildcat Sea Saint, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled May 8, 2007 in Florida
- $27,000 yearling (OBS Open, August 2008)
- Half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Pirate Saint (22-7-2-2, $116,940, 2-4 at two, 7-18 in main track sprints)
- Sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (18-5-2-2, $570,444, 0-1 at two, 4-14 in main track sprints)
- Sire is 3-40 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- Sire was 1-24 (4%, $0.17 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner on synthetic)
- Dam was unraced
- Dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners
- Dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Big Stone Gap (28-3-2-2, $60,067, 2-9 at two, 1-6 in main track sprints)
- Saint Ballado is 3-22 (14%, $3.06 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (all older winners, one on synthetic)
- Trainer is 43-132 (33%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 7-19 (37%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 5-11 (45%, $2.70 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (all juvenile winners with Lasix and blinkers, two at this meet, two for this owner)
- February 25 workout matches barn's juvenile Dp the Facilitator (finished fifth in career debut at Keeneland on April 9)

4. Sigh (Sir Cherokee Kissin You, by You and I)
Trainer: Thomas Bohannan
- Foaled April 23, 2007 in Kentucky
- $3,000 RNA short yearling (Keeneland, January 2008)
- Second-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner (19-6-3-2, $628,296, 1-6 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
- Sire was 2-11 (18%, $5.00) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- Dam was unraced (cost $37,000 as a yearling and $60,000 as a juvenile)
- Dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- You and I is 4-6 (67%, $18.83 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (all older winners, one on synthetic)
- Trainer is 1-4 (25%, $4.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 0-1 with all debut runners in 2009
- March 6 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Tight Jeans (finished fourth in career debut on April 4 at Keeneland)

5. Rising Barometer (Indian Ocean Miss Thunderella, by Thunder Gulch)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled April 7, 2007 in Florida
- $4,000 short yearling (OBS Winter, January 2008)
- $50,000 yearling (OBS Open, August 2008)
- First-crop sire was a Grade 3 winner (5-3-0-2, $176,460, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- This is sire's first starter
- Dam was unplaced (5-0-0-0, $683, 0-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- Dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, one main track sprint runner
- Thunder Gulch was 3-64 (5%, $0.61 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile winners)
- Trainer is 43-132 (33%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 7-19 (37%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 5-11 (45%, $2.70 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (all juvenile winners with Lasix and blinkers, two at this meet)
- February 11 workout matches barn's juvenile Dp the Facilitator (finished fifth in career debut at Keeneland on April 9)

6. Tribecky (Saint Liam Double Jeopardy, by Horse Chestnut)
Trainer: Eric Reed
- Foaled February 6, 2007 in Kentucky
- $25,000 yearling (Keeneland, September 2008)
- First-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (20-9-6-1, $4,456,995, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- This is sire's first starter
- Dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $1,422, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- Dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one main track sprint runner
- Female family of multiple Grade 1 route winner Smuggler
- Horse Chestnut does not have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008-2009
- Trainer is 15-104 (14%, $1.48 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 2-25 (8%, $1.27 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 2-14 (14%, $0.74 ROI) with all debut runners in 2009 (both older winners with Lasix, one on synthetic, one for this owner)

7. Elated Moon (Perigee Moon Just Elated, by Bold Ruckus)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 19, 2007 in Ontario
- $29,047 yearling (Canadian Thoroughbred Horse Society, September 2008)
- Half-sister to stakes-placed Gone Trajectory (16-2-4-3, $178,610, 1-4 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints)
- Sire was a Group 3 turf winner in Ireland at two (3-2-0-0, $42,449, 2-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- Sire is 3-58 (5%) with juvenile debut runners
- Sire was 1-24 (4%, $1.50 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older winner on synthetic)
- Dam was stakes-placed (40-3-4-2, $95,710, 0-1 at two, 1-19 in main track sprints)
- Dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner
- Dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Elated Guy (65-11-12-11, $960,540, 5-7 at two, won debut, 4-11 in main track sprints)
- Bold Ruckus is 1-10 (10%, $0.50 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2009 (juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- Trainer is 133-727 (18%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- Trainer is 18-78 (23%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- Trainer is 5-24 (20%, $2.10 ROI) with all debut runners this year (all winners with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner this meet)
- April 4 workout matches barn's juvenile Heavenville (finished first in career debut at Keeneland on April 9)
- April 4 workout matches uncoupled entrymate Malawi

Analysis:
MALAWI is bred both sides for speed, and will debut for one of the top first-out trainers in the world. Two of her works match up with Heavenville, a debut winner for this barn on Thursday.
ELATED MOON also goes out for Steve Asmussen, but will have to hustle from her wide berth. She may want a bit more ground to work with.
SIGH shows a steady work pattern and the broodmare sire, You and I, has had a wonderful year with his debuting grandkids.
PRINCESS ANDREA goes out for Wesley Ward, an amazing debut trainer, and the Keeneland Clocker Report noted that she "was not asked for effort" during the April 6 drill. RISING BAROMETER shows a bullet workout at Gulfstream for Ward, and it's interesting to note that Garrett Gomez takes the call. TRIBECKY wowed the Keeneland Clockers on March 31. They noted that she "looks promising, broke sharply and was two lengths better than nameless stablemate." She may offer some value in this spot. POLLARD'S BABE may need one.

Selections:
1. Malawi
2. Elated Moon
3. Sigh

The Play:
Malawi to Win at 2-1 or greater

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
3-1-2 (-1.00)