10/04/2007 12:00AM

Keeneland Babies for 10/5

EmailWelcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will add to the Keeneland Spring and Spa Baby profits.

Friday, October 5, 2007
Race 1
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Ship’s Piano (Storm Boot – Strictly Ballroom, by Fred Astaire)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled March 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a stakes-placed sprinter (14-4-3-1, $70,510, unraced at two, unraced in dirt routes)
- sire is 155-1055 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a turf winner (6-1-4-1, $40,381, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt route)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Powderjay (13-5-0-4, $139,282, unraced at two, 1-6 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 20-160 (13%, $0.94 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 4-24 (17%, $1.43 ROI) over the past five years with Keeneland Babies

2. Bonus Point (Point Given – Dontclosemiaccount, by Mi Cielo)
Trainer: Kathy Jarvis
- Foaled March 5, 2005 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (13-9-3-0, $3,968,500, 3-6 at two, 8-11 in dirt routes)
- sire is 21-135 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (20-5-2-1, $113,020, unraced at two, 4-12 in dirt routes, sold for $17,000 as a yearling, and $15,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Rebel Account (21-2-0-3, $52,677, unraced at two, 2-9 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles

3. Nistle’s Crunch (Van Nistelrooy – Sam Eye Am, by Island Whirl)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled March 15, 2005 in New Jersey
- $55,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Group 2 winner on turf in Ireland at two (6-3-1-1, $229,980, all races at two, won debut, 0-1 in dirt routes)
- sire is 5-36 (14%, $1.76 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a stakes-winner (23-4-3-3, $127,695, 1-5 at two, won debut, 2-10 in dirt routes)
- this is dam’s first runner
- Island Whirl is 3-21 (14%, $1.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed juvenile turfer Sammy Van Ammy (4-1-2-1, $70,550, all races at two, unraced in dirt routes)
- trainer is 14-151 (9%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-28 (14%, $1.95 ROI) over the past five years with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 4-34 (12%, $2.06 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007

4. Route (Dynaformer – Trip, by Lord At War)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 5, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winner Passport (10-3-0-0, $169,544, 2-4 at two, 2-7 in dirt routes)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 4-19 in dirt routes)
- sire is 124-1017 (12%) with juvenile runners
- Dynaformer – Lord At War ‘nick’ has produced multiple Grade 3 winner Purim (20-8-3-1, $551,003, 4-8 at two, 2-7 in dirt routes)
- dam was a multiple Grade 3 winner (28-11-4-2, $888,773, 0-1 at two, 5-11 in dirt routes)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Joke (11-4-0-1, $121,674, 2-4 at two, unraced in dirt routes), and multiple stakes-winning router Laity (19-3-0-0, $218,840, 2-5 at two, 3-10 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 26-155 (17%, $1.41 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time Keeneland Babies

5. Ndongo (Horse Chestnut – Remediate, by Miswaki)
Trainer: Philip Oliver
- Foaled March 15, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in South Africa (10-9-0-1, $474,036, 2-3 at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt routes)
- sire is 10-71 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-26 (12%, $1.62 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a turf winner (22-4-4-4, $125,059, 0-4 at two, 0-4 in dirt routes)
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- Miswaki is 10-67 (15%, $2.05 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- second dam is juvenile stakes-placed router Interlope (18-1-2-1, $46,640, 1-4 at two, 0-5 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 0-11 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners

6. High Approval (Ire) (High Chaparral – Osamixa, by Linamix)
Trainer: Michael Stidham
- Foaled April 20, 2005 in Ireland
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner on turf (13-10-1-2, $5,331,231, 2-3 at two, unraced on dirt)
- this is sire’s only North American starter
- sire is 1-29 with juvenile runners in England/Ireland (0-3 on all-weather surfaces)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf in France (7-2-0-3, $36,041, unraced at two, both wins on turf)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.73 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers

7. Furlong Baby (Smart Strike – Dancingthruseattle, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled March 17, 2005 in Kentucky
- $30,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, 4-5 in dirt routes)
- sire is 95-529 (18%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $105,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s only runner
- second dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Dance Account (19-5-2-4, $132,026, 1-4 at two, 5-15 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 9-185 (5%, $1.42 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 2-24 (8%, $2.42 ROI) over the past five years with Keeneland Babies

8. Mapmaker (Unbridled’s Song – Biscayne Bay, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled March 23, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, won debut, 3-8 in dirt routes)
- sire is 96-489 (20%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, lost sprinting at two)
- this is dam’s only runner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Surfside (15-8-3-2, $1,852,987, 4-6 at two, 6-10 in dirt routes), and stakes-placed router Flanders Fields (13-3-3-2, $135,631, 1-4 at two, 3-11 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 12-76 (16%, $1.84 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from a 31-60 day layoff
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $0.56 ROI) over the past five years with Keeneland Babies returning from a 31-60 day layoff

9. What a Place (Out of Place – Sunnytime Lady, by Majestic Light)
Trainer: Jesus Suarez
- Foaled April 26, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Heavenly Sunshine (7-2-0-1, $43,005, 2-4 at two, unraced in dirt routes)
- $45,000 RNA short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (25-8-6-7, $733,450, unraced at two, 6-21 in dirt routes)
- sire is 138-1011 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting (8-0-0-2, $1,808, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt routes)
- dam has nine runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Ava Romance (56-7-11-8, $283,749)
- trainer is 1-24 (4%, $0.81 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with Keeneland Babies

10. Atrevido Bandito (Yankee Gentleman – Refinement, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled April 14, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-brother to stakes-placed Western Revenge (41-3-7-8, $130,409, unraced at two, 1-22 in dirt routes)
- $30,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a stakes-winner (10-4-1-0, $202,547, unraced at two, 1-2 in dirt routes)
- sire is 6-45 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt route, cost $350,000 as a weanling)
- dam has four runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade/Group 3 turf winner Isle de France (2-3 at two, unraced on dirt), and multiple stakes-winner (in Japan) Diamond Biko (23-7-5-0, $2,742,948)
- trainer is 91-504 (18%, $1.94 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 9-92 (10%, $1.09 ROI) over the past five years with Keeneland Babies

11. Ride the Whiz (Out of Place – Sweet Emma, by Mt. Livermore)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled February 1, 2005 in Kentucky
- $14,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $7,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Texas April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (25-8-6-7, $733,450, unraced at two, 6-21 in dirt routes)
- sire is 138-1011 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Tracemark (57-4-10-7, $439,514, 0-9 at two, 3-32 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 18-176 (10%, $0.97 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-12 (8%, $0.32 ROI) over the past five years with second-time Keeneland Babies

12. Mythical Hunter (Johannesburg – Jade Cat, by Jade Hunter)
Trainer: Phillip Sims
- Foaled March 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Jade Eyed (4-2-1-0, $128,255, all races sprinting at two), and juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Touriga (4-0-2-0, $26,798, all races sprinting at two)
- out weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner at two (10-7-1-0, $1,014,585, 7-7 at two, 1-2 in dirt routes)
- sire is 26-184 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint stakes-winner at two (11-2-1-2, $61,522, 1-4 at two, 0-2 in dirt route)
- dam has seven runners, three winners, five juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Gents Big Cat (47-2-4-8, $41,584, 1-7 at two, 0-1 in dirt routes)
- trainer is 8-81 (10%, $1.63 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 2-22 (9%, $0.75 ROI) over the past five years with Keeneland Babies

Analysis: NISTLE’S CRUNCH is by a promising first-crop sire out of a mare that won her debut at age two. He shows a quick half-mile breeze at Churchill Downs on September 6, and the slow-looking 1:03 work on September 28 was actually the fastest of six gate works at the distance that day. Ken McPeek shows good numbers first-out.
MYTHICAL HUNTER earned the field’s best Beyer Speed Figure when adding Lasix and blinkers at Ellis Park, but only shows one workout since that September 3 start, will be trying a route for the first time, and took the worst of it at the post position draw. SHIP’S PIANO, on the other hand, should save valuable ground breaking from the inside post position, and Neil Howard’s horses generally improve after a few races.
ATREVIDO BANDITO seemed a bit keen with blinkers on Ellis sod, but may relax better without the hood, and the son of Yankee Gentleman ran well despite being green going a one-turn mile at Arlington. He may get the jump on his main rivals from close to the pace. HIGH APPROVAL was forced to rally into a slow pace when heavily-backed at Arlington. He gets the services of Garrett Gomez here, and the addition of blinkers may be just what the doctor ordered. ROUTE took a ton of money at Turfway, and was rallying despite a troubled journey. He has a strong pedigree, and wouldn’t be a surprise.

Selections:
1. Nistle’s Crunch
2. Mythical Hunter
3. Atrevido Bandito

The play: Nistle’s Crunch to win and place at 6-1 or more

Race 6
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Allowance (N2L)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $52,000

Analysis: YOGI’SSPLASHOFGOLD handled this surface beautifully when going gate-to-wire in her career debut, then pressed top juvenile filly Rated Fiesty all the way around the track in the sloppy Kentucky Breeders’ Cup. Four horses came out of that race to win stakes, and Yogi’ssplashofgold figures to be forwardly placed in this spot.
SYRIANA’S SONG earned a big number graduating at the Spa, and then seemed to take a couple of awkward steps in the early stages of the Grade 2 Matron. She gets some class relief here, should appreciate turning back in distance, and may obtain a nice stalking trip from her outside post. AMERICAN COUNTY showed good speed at Churchill Downs, and has been freshened since cross-country trip for the Sorrento at Del Mar. She wasn’t disgraced that day, and should be prominent when the field turns for home.
C J’S LEELEE improved on the conventional Churchill surface after a wide trip in her debut at Keeneland. She may face lots of pace heat from her inside post. BLITZING looked like a tired filly in the closing stages of the Grade 1 Spinaway, but she turns back to a comfortable distance, and should get a strong pace to attack.

Selections:
1. Yogi’ssplashofgold
2. Syriana’s Song
3. American County

The play: Yogi’ssplashofgold to win at 2-1 or more

Race 9
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Darley Alcibiades Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $500,000

Analysis: IRISH SMOKE looked silky smooth winning her debut at Saratoga, then didn’t disappoint with a strong victory in the Grade 1 Spinaway. She’ll try two turns, as well as Polytrack, for the first time, but has the tactical speed to work out a decent stalking trip under Julien Leparoux.
COUNTRY STAR earned a good Beyer in her career debut on turf, and it’s heartening that Bobby Frankel wheels her back in only 15 days for this tougher spot. Grass form often translates to polytrack, and this nicely-bred filly has valuable experience at this distance. A TO THE CROFT was no match for Irish Smoke in the Spinaway, but acts like she’ll love the added distance, and should be rallying strongly in the lane. in only 15 days GRACE ANATOMY comes out of a quick maiden special weight at Del Mar, and she is also bred to handle this distance. DREAMING OF LIZ tries two turns for the first time, but looms the main speed, and can prove dangerous if allowed to set a measured pace.

Selections:
1. Irish Smoke
2. Country Star
3. A to the Croft

The play: Irish Smoke – Country Star exacta