10/26/2007 12:00AM

Keeneland Babies for 10/26

EmailWelcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will add to the Keeneland Spring and Spa Baby profits.

Thursday’s results
Race 3: Talk of a Cat finished third
Race 5: Cosmic finished fourth

With no Keeneland Baby races scheduled for Saturday’s races, it’s now or never time to make some money for the meet. Here goes.

Friday, October 25, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Claiming ($25,000)
Purse $24,000

Analysis: It’s not a positive sign that $250,000 yearling NET PRESENT VALUE drops in for a $25,000 claiming tag after winning his maiden at Presque Isle Downs, but trainer Tom Amoss certainly knows what he’s doing, and it’s not like his charge has been burning up the track from a Beyer standpoint. He’s improved on synthetic surfaces, and may work out an outside stalking trip in this spot.
COWBOY SHOES is the lone multi-race winner of the group, and he takes a deserved class drop for a red-hot barn after chasing solid fractions at Louisiana Downs. He’s run some decent figures in his career, and should be tough on the drop. TWO CATS comes out of a very tough race at Presque Isle (the N2L for juveniles went faster than an N4L for older horses), and he is another that should appreciate facing claimers. He has tactical speed, and shouldn’t be too far away when the field swings into the stretch.
THREE MAN BAND didn’t disappoint as the chalk at Hoosier Park when visually impressive against 15K claimers. He’s stepping up in class here, however, and must avoid a wide trip from the far outside post. PATRICKS CALL needed a drop to 15K maiden claimers at Turfway to win his maiden, and he’ll face other speed horses in this race. A prolonged pace duel may doom him to a minor placing. WHY BE QUIET looked good taking his debut for a tag, then may have been placed in over his head against ‘n1x’ optional claimers. He goes second off the layoff, has decent speed, and is an interesting price option. CLASSIC R. J. may be the speed of the speed, and is another dropping in class. He set fast fractions on Kentucky Downs sod last time out, and should appreciate turning back in distance.

1. Net Present Value
2. Cowboy Shoes
3. Two Cats

The play: Net Present Value to win

Race 7
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

Analysis: According to the Keeneland Clocker, SASSIFACTION broke behind her workmate on October 18, but finished on even terms with that one while completing her five furlongs in a blistering 58.80. By the classy Smart Strike, she certainly has the breeding to succeed first-out, and may offer value in a race dominated by strong pedigrees.
MS. MARGARET H. Fell far behind in her career debut at Turfway, but ran on late to grab a small piece of the pie. That experience should have done her a world of good, and the daughter of Point Given should relish the extra furlong to work with.
BERENGARIA closed with a rush for fourth at Turfway, and is another that is better for the experience. She may need to show better speed in this spot, but another strong late run is expected.
BAYOU JAZZ and CLEVER THOUGHT look to have been working in company all along. The former is by an underrated veteran sire while Clever Thought has some class on the bottom of her pedigree. HIGH SURF boasts a world-class pedigree (Storm Cat - Surfside, by Seattle Slew), and her most recent workout was the best yet. It’s taken her some time to get to the races (started working in earnest in mid-July), and trainer Dallas Stewart hasn’t had a good year with first-time starters. INDIAN CHEERS is another with a wonderful pedigree, but those bloodlines may be geared more to route success down the road. She may need a race. LADY ON HOLIDAY is by a promising young sire, and trainer Ken McPeek has been lights-out with young horses at the meet.

1. Sassifaction
2. Ms. Margaret H.
3. Berengaria

The play: Sassifaction to win and place

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 40-8-21, (-$5.40)