10/21/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for 10/23


Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully add to the profits from "Spa Babies."

Wednesday's result:
Race 5: Hug It Out finished fourth
Race 6: It's Tiffin Time finished second

Detailed analysis will return later this week:

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Race 1
7 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($80,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $30,000

CAFFEINE FREE received a good education in her debut run here two weeks ago. The daughter of Grade 1 winner Caffe Latte raced covered up behind horses for most of the way after breaking a half-step slowly from the gate. When the inside opened up in the stretch, she finished evenly for a piece of the purse. That race was the faster division of $40,000 maiden claimers at Keeneland on October 9, and she was claimed by the capable Eddie Kenneally. She can work out a nice inside-out pace-tracking journey under Julien Leparoux.
DIXIE TEMPER, a daughter of Grade 2 winner Her Temper, ran evenly in her career debut over Arlington's polytrack, and can move forward for Ken McPeek, a trainer that absolutely excels with second-time starters.
RIVIE just missed going long over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle Downs, and may fit nicely as a late-running sprinter in this spot. She is kin to several blacktype earners including multiple stakes-winner Snack (4-9, 97K), and stakes-winner Kwik as a Wink (2-21, 94K).
LOTSOFAWE, a $28,000 RNA as a yearling, showed good speed in her debut against special weights before throwing in the towel late. She's kin to multiple stakes-placed runners Secrets Galore (3-17, 125K), and Goodies Galore (2-15, 82K), and may fit better at this reduced level. SAVVY CAT worked hard during the second quarter of her recent turf race at Turfway Park, and may benefit from more patient riding tactics here. Trainer Daniel Smithwick Jr. is extremely underrated off the claim (5-13, 38%, $3.29 ROI over the last year). CLEAR CUT, a daughter of stakes-winner Clear Destiny, drifted out badly in her most recent start at Saratoga, and now is offered for a tag. While that doesn't seem like a great sign, the class relief should work to her benefit. SLICK MISS, a half to Grade 3 winner Officer Cherrie, sold poorly at auction, didn't take much money for her debut, and ran accordingly. Perhaps the drop in class will wake her up. SLUMPBUSTER raced very greenly at Turfway Park, and she lost her rider when swerving out on the lead. The $12,000 yearling seems hard to trust. FOR LOVE OF MONEY, kin to multiple stakes-winner Innovate (5-19, 226K), did take money for her debut at Presque Isle Downs, but only passed a couple of weak ones in the stretch. This barn does well second-out so improvement isn't out of the question. GRACIOUS VICTORY exits the slower division of maiden special weights at Turfway, but can be a pace factor here. GOLDEN TREE was dull at Louisiana Downs, and must deal with the inside post. MISS NICK was a $25,000 RNA as a short yearling, and a $20,000 RNA as a yearling before selling for $15,000 in 2007. The dam is a half to Grade 3 winner Second of June.

1. Caffeine Free
2. Dixie Temper
3. Rivie

The Play:
Caffeine Free - Dixie Temper Exacta
Caffeine Free - Rivie Exacta


Race 3
About 7 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Starter Allowance ($40,000)
Purse $30,000

ATTRACTIVE RIDE sheds blinkers after running a one-paced seventh over yielding going at Woodbine. He won his maiden first-out over Arlington's polytrack surface, and has shown a willingness to sit behind horses - a rare and admirable trait for such an inexperienced youngster.
SMOKIN' LEGEND raced evenly over the testing Kentucky Downs turf course last time out, and should have gained valuable stamina from that run, his first off a short layoff. He has also won over polytrack, but failed to switch leads that day. Helen Pitts is an excellent trainer, but her charge likes to rally from off the pace, and there isn't much speed signed on.
RADAR MAN won his maiden around two turns at Turfway Park, and is saddled with a difficult post position, but it seems like the gelding is slowly figuring the game out.
PACIFICATOR finished behind Smokin' Legend on grass, and his Beyers are a bit light. Expect improvement second off the bench, but he hasn't shown a published workout in 19 days. COSACO PANDY was overmatched against open allowance runners last time out, but he fits better at this level. He has a hint of speed, but needs a Beyer boost to win this. JIMMIES needed weak $7,500 maiden claimers to register his maiden win. These are tougher. MY BOY JO pulled off the upset at Kentucky Downs, but is another without much recent activity.

1. Attractive Ride
2. Smokin' Legend
3. Radar Man

The Play:
Attractive Ride - Smokin' Legend
Attractive Ride - Radar Man Exacta

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
39-7-15 (+ $4.80)