10/17/2008 12:00AM

Keeneland Babies for 10/18

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully add to the profits from "Spa Babies."

Friday's results:
Race 1: Northeast Harbor finished eighth
Race 3: Piso Mojado finished fifth
Race 5: Fly True finished sixth
Race 8: Sweet Relish finished sixth
Race 10: El Crespo finished ninth

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Race 1
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-olds
Purse $22,000

1. Final Warning (Giant's Causeway - Simadartha, by Gone West)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 15, 2006 in Kentucky
- $240,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-9-4-0, $3,078,889, 3-3 at two, 0-1 in main track routes)
- sire is 12-122 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 7-52 (13%, $1.68 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners, four in routes, two over synthetics)
- dam was a winner on turf in France (6-1-0-1, $11,121, 0-2 at two, all races on grass)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track route runners, no main track route winners
- Gone West is 7-54 (13%, $1.24 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile winner, one at Keeneland)
- Giant's Causeway - Gone West 'nick' has produced Grade 1 route winner Frost Giant (14-4-2-2, $454,630, 1-2 at two, 2-3 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Group 1 turf winner (France) Way of Light (10-2-2-0, $254,508, 2-3 at two, won debut, all races on grass)
- trainer is 28-260 (11%, $1.04 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-69 (1%, $0.20 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix for this owner in a route over synthetics)

2. Desert Fox (Saarland - Sandshell, by Silver Hawk)
Trainer: William Bret Calhoun
- Foaled April 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $77,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $57,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed turfer Speedy Sonata (21-6-3-2, $184,372, 2-7 at two, unraced in main track routes)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed El Batallon (42-6-4-12, $192,596, 1-7 at two, 5-30 in main track routes)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner at two (21-5-5-1, $595,250, 2-5 at two, 5-19 in main track routes)
- sire is 7-48 (15%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was placed on turf at two (2-0-0-1, $1,860, 0-1 at two, both races on grass)
- dam has seven runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, three main track route runners, one main track route winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Bright Ivor (26-4-7-2, $65,975)
- dam a half-sister to Group 1 turf winner (France) Lady in Silver (17-6-3-1, $594,952, 1-3 at two, all races on turf)
- trainer is 8-19 (42%, $2.02 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- worked two furlongs in 21.60 prior to the April sale

3. Dreams d'Oro (Medaglia d'Oro - Morning Time, by Gilded Time)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 27, 2006 in Kentucky
- $70,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-winning sprinter Morner (24-5-6-1, $262,002, 0-5 at two, 0-2 in main track routes)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two, 7-14 in main track routes)
- sire is 16-81 (20%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was unraced (cost $35,000 as a weanling, and $75,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three main track route runners, no main track route winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Dearly Bred (18-7-2-5, $192,965, unraced at two, 1-3 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Le Famo (46-12-3-12, $404,702, 1-4 at two, 2-14 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Casual Lies (18-6-1-3, $795,991, 3-6 at two, 4-12 in main track routes)
-dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Chist (England) (7-1-1-1, $16,525, 0-1 at two, all races on grass)
- trainer is 34-116 (29%, $1.85 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $5.80 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers at Keeneland

4. Kentucky Stormin (Stormin Fever - Clever Caress, by Clever Trick)
Trainer: Steve Margolis
- Foaled March 6, 2006 in Kentucky
- $16,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $23,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
-sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (21-8-6-2, $484,664, 1-2 at two, 2-9 in main track routes)
- sire is 80-622 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (9-1-0-1, $18,180, unraced at two, unraced in main track routes)
-dam has seven runners, four winners, four juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, four main track route runners, no main track route winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple Group 1 winner (Brazil) Stein
- dam a half-sister to Group 1 winner (Argentina) Surera (54-9-6-14, $266,136, 2-5 at two)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner (South Africa) Sandunguera
- dam a half-sister to Group 3 winner Saturado (South Africa)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Victory Flyer (93-14-11-15, $104,079, unraced at two, 13-75 in main track routes)
- trainer is 2-19 (11%, $1.68 ROI) over the past five years with newly-acquired runners off 61-180 day layoffs

5. Cannon's Call (Mo Mon - Lucky Roberta, by Lucky Roberto)
Trainer: Michael Stidham
- Foaled February 9, 2006 in Illinois
- withdrawn weanling (OBS Fall October 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3-placed router (21-2-8-3, $197,720, 0-4 at two, 1-5 in main track routes)
- sire is 2-22 (9%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was placed (10-0-1-3, $20,531, 0-4 at two, 0-1 in main track routes)
- this is dam's only runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Unreal Rose (36-5-7-8, $76,040, 1-7 at two, 0-2 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Unruly Zeal (86-16-9-15, $84,782, unraced at two, 12-47 in main track routes)
- trainer is 2-18 (11%, $2.24 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers

6. Dorian Will (Langfuhr - Strike the Sky, by Smart Strike)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (23-9-7-1, $698,574, unraced at two, 1-6 in main track routes)
- sire is 124-877 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (4-1-0-3, $36,975, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track routes)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track route runners, one main track route winner
- second dam is multiple stakes-placed Sky Darter (19-4-3-3, $132,475, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track routes)
- trainer is 3-27 (11%, $0.73 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers at Keeneland

7. Ardanwood (Double Honor - Ivgottopass, by Sir Ivor Again)
Trainer: Hugh Robertson
- Foaled January 26, 2006 in Florida
- withdrawn weanling (OBS Fall October 2006)
- $17,000 short yearling (OBS Winter January 2007)
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner at two (8-2-2-1, $251,612, 2-8 at two, 0-3 in main track routes)
- sire is 154-1022 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints)
- dam has five runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, four main track route runners, three main track route winners
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Misty Ivor (27-5-8-4, $304,925, 1-6 at two, 4-16 in main track routes)
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Ivor's Pass (48-8-10-8, $143,122, 0-3 at two, 0-7 in main track routes)
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix

8. Kerwin's Way (Skip Away - Kernitre, by Vettori)
Trainer: John Glenney
- Foaled April 2, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (38-18-10-6, $9,616,360, 1-6 at two, 18-36 in main track routes)
- sire is 70-607 (12%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (47-6-5-8, $198,398, 2-3 at two, 0-6 in main track routes)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, two main track route runners
- female family of multiple Group 2 (France) turf winner Athyka
- trainer is 1-40 (3%, $0.20 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles
- trainer is 0-9 over the past five years with juveniles at Keeneland

9. Azul Moon (Black Minnaloushe - Irish Class Miss, by Irish Tower)
Trainer: Eric Reed
- Foaled April 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Ireland (11-4-1-1, $490,945, 2-2 at two, 0-1 in main track routes)
- sire is 28-331 (8%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (5-0-0-0, $350, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track routes, cost $13,000 as a short yearling, and $4,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has five runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three main track route runners, one main track route winner
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Reblin (86-8-14-12, $171,003, 1-7 at two, 4-31 in main track routes)
- trainer is 2-7 (29%, $2.00 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers

10. He's Long gone (Catienus - Belongs to Mony, by Belong to Me)
Trainer: Michael Maker
- Foaled May 24, 2006 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a stakes-winning router (22-5-5-2, $370,386, 2-4 at two, 1-4 in main track routes)
- sire is 11-152 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire doesn't have a debut winner in 2008
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (53-16-9-7, $311,868, 1-8 at two, 2-5 in main track routes)
- dam has two runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, two main track route runners, no main track route winners
- Belong to Me is 11-47 (23%, $3.28 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners, three over synthetics)
- trainer is 4-71 (6%, $0.35 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-18 (6%, $0.42 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix)
- August 30 workout matches barn's three-year-old Targe (82 Beyer on polytrack)
- August 30 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Yesmar (finished second in $30,000 maiden claimer at Turfway on September 26 with 32 Beyer)
- August 30, September 6 workouts match barn's juvenile Doc's Baby Boy (finished second in $7,500 maiden claimer at Turfway on September 25 with 44 Beyer)
- August 30 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Back in Artemus (finished sixth in $15,000 maiden claimer at Turfway on September 10 with 10 Beyer)
- September 27 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Majestic Feline (finished sixth in 'n1x' allowance on grass at Keeneland on October 15 with 66 Beyer)

11. Gather All (Aldebaran - Gatherindy, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Robert Holthus
- Foaled April 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- $95,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $35,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Indian Camp (25-6-5-0, $142,110, 1-5 at two, 1-4 in main track routes)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (25-8-12-3, $1,739,186, 1-1 at two, 1-4 in main track routes)
- sire is 9-82 (11%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in main track routes)
- dam has four runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four main track route runners, two main track route winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turfer Gather the Day (15-7-2-2, $245,908, unraced at two, unraced in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 2 winner Greater Good (23-6-1-2, $546,720, 3-5 at two, 4-15 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 turf winner Pure Clan (10-6-2-2, $1,052,416, 4-4 at two, 2-5 in main track routes)
- trainer is 1-15 (7%, $0.33 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers at Keeneland
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the March sale

12. Toquinho (Our Emblem - Gandhara, by Kris S.)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 16, 2006 in Florida
- half-brother to stakes-placed Bullara (19-3-7-2, $173,041, 0-6 at two, 1-4 in main track routes)
- sire was multiple Grade 1-placed (27-5-5-5, $366,013, 1-3 at two, 1-9 in main track routes)
- sire is 45-450 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner (7-1-0-2, $31,825, unraced at two, 1-1 in main track route)
- dam has five runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, four main track route runners, two main track route winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple Group 1 winner Miss Keat (Argentina) (15-5-5-3, $97,677, 2-6 at two)
- dam a half-sister to Group 2 winner Bumi Bay (5-2-1-1, $38,182)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 winner Anh Duong (12-3-1-1, $151,320, 2-8 at two, 1-5 in main track routes)
- trainer is 4-22 (18%, $1.21 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles dropping into maiden claimers at Keeneland

Analysis:
DORIAN WILL seems like a temperamental sort. He was "unruly in the gate" prior to his turf race two back, then ran stiff-tailed throughout in his return to polytrack last time. He did show speed over a closer-friendly track that day, however, and the winner of that heat, Hold Me Back, returned to win an entry-level allowance at Keeneland. That race was also the faster division of maiden special weights, and the drop in class should help him greatly.
FINAL WARNING's pedigree is stout and geared to turf, and that should help him in this polytrack route. Bill Mott has struggled mightily with debut runners this year, though.
KENTUCKY STORMIN earned blacktype two back over Colonial sod, then bombed on dirt at Monmouth. Turf form often translates nicely to synthetics so we may expect improvement from this colt as he drops in for $50,000.
GATHER ALL showed speed in a maiden special at Turfway, and can attend the pace from the outside on the drop. AZUL MOON rallied wide into a slow pace last time out, and wasn't disgraced at all. He may get a stronger pace to run at here, and wouldn't be a surprise. ARDANWOOD adds Lasix for his second start, and that's often a powerful angle in maiden races. KERWIN'S WAY tired badly in his first start of the meet, and may face pressure if he attempts similar tactics here. TOQUINHO exits the slower division of maiden specials at Arlington, and draws a tough post here. HE'S LONG GONE must deal with a difficult debut distance. DREAMS D'ORO drops for powerful barn, but couldn't handle Toquinho in that slow race at Arlington. CANNON'S CALL changed back to his wrong lead late when in the thick of things two back, then bombed at Hawthorne. He's only faced Illinois-breds in his career, and now must tackle open foes. DESERT FOX didn't do much in his debut.

Selections:
1. Dorian Will
2. Final Warning
3. Kentucky Stormin

The Play:
Dorian Will - Final Warning Exacta
Dorian Will - Kentucky Stormin Exacta

***

Race 3
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $35,000

Analysis:
KENTUCKY PEACHES raced evenly in first start over the polytrack, and now wheels back in two weeks for underrated barn. The Mancini filly may work out an inside-out trip from stalking range.
FIRST CLASS FEVER just won a statebred stakes race at Presque Isle Downs, and has the tactical speed to get first jump on the speeds from just off the pace. She's the horse to beat although the drop is a bit questionable.
ZAVABELLE was a game maiden winner at Hoosier, and brings improving Beyers to the fray.
MADAM FOO FOO showed improved speed and ability in blinkers, and this barn is having a nice meet. She may face quicker fractions than she's used to, however. OLD TIME RELIGION has blazing early speed, but the stamina hasn't been there in her last few races. Don't be surprised if she jets out to a nice lead early. TRUNER FALLS is one of only two multi-winners in the field (First Class Fever the other). She shows a recent bullet work, and was able to beat the top choice last time at Ellis Park

MISLEADER was no match for Turner Falls at Ellis. She can be part of the pace. HONEY FLOWIN' ran into a runaway last time at Turfway, and now halves in price.

Selections:
1. Kentucky Peaches
2. First Class Fever
3. Zavabelle

The Play:
Kentucky Peaches to Win at 7-2 or more

***

Race 5
About 7 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Missy Lou (Yonaguska - Hard Freeze, by It's Freezing)
Trainer: William Fires
- Foaled May 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- $40,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- $95,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-placed Miss Moonwaki (15-2-2-3, $65,950, unraced at two, 1-9 in main track sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, 6-15 in main track sprints)
- sire is 69-454 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (35-8-8-5, $255,061, 3-5 at two, 6-28 in main track sprints, cost $25,000 as a yearling)
- dam has 10 runners, eight winners, six juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, nine main track sprint runners, six main track sprint winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Baba Bang Bang (73-16-11-11, $190,894, 1-5 at two, 3-17 in main track sprints)
-trainer is 2-4 (50%, $7.30 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 61-180 day layoffs

2. Lion Queen (Lion Heart - Plenty of Stars, by Salt Lake)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled February 3, 2006 in Kentucky
- $97,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton Fall November 2006)
- $120,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 22-121 (18%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (20-2-4-1, $28,649, unraced at two, 2-19 in main track sprints)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Artistic Star (13-3-3-2, $86,398, 0-2 at two, 1-1 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Home of Stars (23-7-4-5, $348,410, 1-2 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning turfer Humorous Miss (22-4-1-2, $115,200, 0-4 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Sobresaliente (18-3-2-3, $86,512, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- trainer is 25-98 (26%, $2.20 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 5-19 (26%, $2.20 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Keeneland

3. She's From Queens (Dixie Union - Queen's Legend, by Dynaformer)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled March 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to stakes-winner C P West (10-2-4-0, $383,820, 1-3 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (12-7-3-0, $1,233,190, 4-6 at two, 5-7 in main track sprints)
- sire was 80-488 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed on turf (28-5-9-5, $247,581, 0-2 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, cost $25,000 as a weanling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner)
- trainer is 15-76 (20%, $3.14 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles adding Lasix for the first time
- trainer is 2-11 (27%, $3.25 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles adding Lasix for the first time at Keeneland

4. Dawn Chorus (Unbridled's Song - Dawn Princess, by Polish Numbers)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled February 12, 2006 in Kentucky
- $425,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- sire is 106-566 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-winner at two (11-4-2-1, $131,398, 2-5 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- dam has four runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, four main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners
- second dam is stakes-winner Fighting Countess (14-5-1-5, $120,076, 2-5 at two, 4-9 in main track sprints
- female family of multiple juvenile Grade 1 winner Countess Diana
- trainer is 30-178 (17%, $1.41 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 3-12 (25%, $1.38 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Keeneland

5. Little Nancy (Gulch - Time to Decide, by Wavering Monarch)
Trainer: John Good
- Foaled February 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (32-13-8-4, $3,095,521, 5-7 at two, 10-13 in main track sprints)
- sire is 120-912 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-winner (18-3-2-4, $171,161, 1-5 at two, 2-10 in main track sprints, cost $54,168 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, one main track sprint runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Simply Runaway (15-4-1-1, $100,610, unraced at two, 3-8 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 1-12 (8%, $0.52 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Keeneland

6. Indy Summer (A.P. Indy - Wife for Life, by Dynaformer)
Trainer: David Carroll
- Foaled February 9, 2006 in Kentucky
- $1,500,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-sister to multiple Grade 1 router Hollywood Story (27-4-6-6, $1,171,105, 1-5 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 38-309 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-46 (11%, $0.50 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, one winner at Keeneland)
- dam was stakes-placed (32-5-6-2, $90,954, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- dam has four runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners
- Dynaformer is 6-77 (8%, $1.33 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, two on synthetics)
- dam a half-sister to Group 3 turf winner (Germany) Al Mundhir
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Huddle Up (16-3-2-5, $87,017, 2-3 at two, won debut, 3-12 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 7-51 (14%, $2.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-13 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-12 (8%, $3.25 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix on, and Julien Leparoux aboard)
- September 8, October 12 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Rcuandry (finished tenth in career debut at Keeneland on October 16 with 55 Beyer)

7. Of One Heart (Perfect Soul - Hausman, by Greinton)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to Grade 3 winner Meter Maid (24-11-2-5, $557,698, unraced at two, 8-18 in main track sprints)
- half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed Haus of Dehere (26-5-4-4, $174,126, 2-3 at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- half-sister to multiple juvenile stakes-winner sprinter Barilko (4-4-0-0, $205,957, all races sprinting at two)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 winner on turf (21-7-5-1, $1,527,764, unraced at two, all races on turf)
- sire is 1-33 (3%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (6-2-2-0, $38,730, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $85,000 as a weanling, and $250,000 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, seven main track sprint runners, five main track sprint winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 2 winner Minister Wife (9-4-4-0, $318,217, 4-5 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 10-155 (6%, $1.14 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $5.31 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Keeneland

8. Rock Candy (Mineshaft - Party Chatter, by Pleasant Colony)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled March 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- $130,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- sire is 17-110 (15%) with juvenile runners
-dam was placed (7-0-3-2, $30,890, 0-4 at two, 0-5 in main track sprints, cost $320,000 as a weanling)
- dam has four runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, four main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners)
- dam a full sister to stakes-winner (Puerto Rico) Colonial U. S. (59-24-6-4, $203,495, unraced at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 2-placed router Southern Bar Girl (22-5-4-2, $77,540, 1-2 at two, won debut, 0-3 in main track sprints)
- dam a full sister to Grade 3 route winner Silver Fox (28-4-4-7, $261,790, unraced at two, 2-8 in main track sprints)
- dam a full sister to stakes-winner Pleasant Feeling (59-14-13-12, $226,587, unraced at two, 2-13 in main track sprints)
- dam a three-quarter sister to multiple stakes-winner Tappat (31-7-3-4, $240,423, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed turf runner (England) Rocket Force (29-2-3-3, $45,192, 1-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $1.15 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers at Keeneland

9. Answer (Pulpit - Chateaubaby, by Nureyev)
Trainer: H. Graham Motion
- Foaled April 20, 2006 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
-half-sister to multiple Grade 3 turf winner Fantastic Fellow (17-7-2-0, $633,369, 1-3 at two, won debut, all races on turf)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in main track sprints)
- sire is 30-213 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-43 (7%, $0.63 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was placed on turf in Europe (10-0-2-1, $3,141, 0-5 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, cost $350,000 as a yearling)
- dam has 11 runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, five main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners
- Nureyev is 2-34 (6%, $0.34 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008(both older winners)
- Pulpit - Nureyev 'nick' has produced turf stakes-winner Special Rate (12-4-4-2, $187,950, unraced at two, 1-5 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Group 1 turf winner (England) Henbit (8-4-0-0, $430,882, 1-3 at two, all races on grass)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed Henbane (18-5-4-1, $123,092, 1-6 at two)
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed turfer (France) Raneen (2-1-1-0, $21,528, unraced at two, both races on grass)
- trainer is 20-172 (12%, $1.12 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 11-65 (17%, $1.48 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, three juvenile debut winners)
- September 11 workout matches barn's juvenile Seven Kingdoms (finished sixth in 'n1x' optional claimer at Laurel on October 17)
- September 18, September 25, October 5, October 12 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Million Seller (finished second in career debut at Keeneland on October 16 with 71 Beyer)

10. Aquitaine (Empire Maker - Rahy Dolly, by Rahy)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled May 3, 2006 in Kentucky
- $210,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (8-4-3-1, $1,985,800, 1-2 at two, won debut, unraced in main track sprints)
- sire is 1-38 (3%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-51 (2%, $0.16 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older winner)
- dam was Grade 1-placed routing at two (5-1-1-0, $95,700, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-3 in main track sprints, cost $335,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Rahy is 7-57 (12%, $1.06 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, two on synthetics)
- second dam is Grade 3-placed turfer Zinfandoll (23-5-7-3, $230,926, unraced at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 5-78 (6%, $1.61 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-35 with all debut runners in 2008
- September 16 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Meander (finished fifth in career debut at Delaware on October 4 with 50 Beyer)
- October 4 workout matches barn's juvenile Rockland (finished third in career debut at Keeneland on October 9 with 57 Beyer)

11. Dare to Dance (Thunder Gulch - Waltzing Around, by Ela-Mana-Mou)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 14, 2006 in Florida
- $90,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $475,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (16-9-2-2, $2,915,086, 2-6 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 23-253 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-39 (10%, $1.64 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, one on synthetic)
- dam was unraced
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one main track sprint runner, one main track sprint winner
- Ela-Mana-Mou doesn't have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- dam a half-sister to Group 1 turf winner (France) Valentine Waltz (11-3-1-5, $285,703, 1-7 at two, all races on grass)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 winner Sense of Style (8-3-1-1, $407,250, 3-5 at two, won debut, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 97-476 (20%, $1.48 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 13-46 (28%, $1.97 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 20-137 (15%, $1.34 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, 12 juvenile debut winners, six winners at Keeneland, 15 with John Velazquez aboard, four for this owner)
- September 29, October 12 workouts match barn's juvenile Feel the Moment (finished fourth in career debut at Keeneland on October 17)

12. Ride a Wave (Medaglia d'Oro - Breakwater, by Boundary)
Trainer: Reynaldo Abreu
- Foaled March 24, 2006 in Kentucky
- $250,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $275,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 6-31 (19%, $3.55 ROI) with all juvenile debut runners in 2008 (three on synthetics)
- dam was placed on turf in England (5-0-0-1, $1,729, 0-2 at two, all races on grass)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, one main track sprint runner
- Boundary is 4-35 (11%, $2.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, two on synthetics)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 route winner Hail Atlantis (11-3-2-0, $176,325, 0-3 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 3-placed Outer Reef (19-5-3-1, $164,206, 1-6 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-4 with all debut runners in 2008

Analysis:
ANSWER's workmate, Million Seller, a $500,000 yearling RNA by A.P, Indy finished second in his career debut on Thursday. A daughter of Pulpit, Answer goes out for a strong barn, and should offer value in a puzzling maiden affair.
SHE'S FROM QUEENS exits a turf race at Saratoga that produced three next-out winners including Grade 1 Alcibiades heroine Dream Empress. She was under the whip a long way out that day, but adds Lasix for a barn that won with a baby last week.
LITTLE NANCY was nosed by next-out Keeneland turf allowance winner Banker's Choice in her career debut at Turfway. She should improve off that run.
DARE TO DANCE is an expensive daughter of Thunder Gulch going out for top connections. She wouldn't be a surprise. MISSY LOU had some trouble on grass last time out, but may revert to speed tactics breaking from the rail. DAWN CHORUS received a strong education in her debut at Arlington, and Bill Mott does much better second-out than with firsters. INDY SUMMER cost $1,500,000 as a yearling, but may do better with more distance and experience. OF ONE HEART didn't have an easy trip in her debut, and the improved workouts in the interim indicates she may move forward for Mr. Lukas. LION QUEEN had a difficult trip in her debut, but that race was the slower division of maiden special weights at Turfway Park on September 27. ROCK CANDY passed tired horses in her debut at Saratoga. The addition of blinkers may allow her to get into the game a bit earlier. AQUITAINE is by a poor debut sire, and the barn usually gives their runners a start or two before they strut their best stuff. RIDE A WAVE must avoid a wide trip from her far outside post.

Selections:
1. Answer
2. She's From Queens
3. Little Nancy

The Play:
Answer to Win at 8-1 odds or greater

***

Race 6
6 Furlongs (Polytrack
Allowance (N2L)
2-year-olds
Purse $52,000

Analysis:
Trainer John Best took the Grade 1 Breeders' Futurity with two-year-old Square Eddie, a first-time Lasix user, and he adds the anti-bleeding medication to both FLASHMANS PAPERS and ELEGANT CAD in this allowance heat. The former was in the hunt turning for home in the Breeders' Futurity before faltering in the last eighth of a mile. Perhaps the distance was too far for him, and he turns back to a sprint here. He's run well on short notice in the past - he finished fourth in the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes off one day rest earlier in the year - and should get some pace to attack late.
Elegant Cad didn't do anything in his recent allowance at Keeneland, but he gets the blinkers and Lasix makeover, and ran well in some solid races in Europe.
DANCE CALLER earned a nice Beyer winning his maiden at Arlington, but gets stuck outside other speeds.
SABER DANCER went gate-to-wire to take his maiden on turf at Ellis Park, but may face more pressure here. Speedy MALIBU MAVERICK set the pace in the

Arlington-Washington Futurity before faltering badly. He'll appreciate today's shorter distance, and should be one of the main speeds along with CITIZEN, the third-place finisher of the Ellis Juvenile two back. Citizen's only polytrack start wasn't pretty although he did have traffic trouble that day. MAKESMEHAPPY was on the lead after the first call of both starts, and can be part of a crowded pace situation up front. GENERAL QUARTERS goes second off the layoff, but his only win came for a low $20,000 tag. BIG PUSH went gate-to-wire at Arlington, but may have to stalk from the rail. SIR BUBBA was in steep going long in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile, and can come running late at a price. ALLIE'S EVENT takes a big step up after nosing maidens at 14-1 at Turfway.

Selections:
1. Flashmans Papers
2. Elegant Cad
3. Dance Caller

The Play:
Flashmans Papers to Win at 2-1 or greater

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
32-7-13 (+ $24.80)