10/10/2007 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for 10/12

EmailWelcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will add to the Keeneland Spring and Spa Baby profits.

Thursday’s results:
Race 3: Camaraderie finished sixth
Race 4: Strait of Mewsina finished first
Race 5: Bootdim finished fourth
Race 8: Excessive Heat scratched; second pick Lickety Lemon finished second

Friday, October 12, 2007
Race 4
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Cloudburst (Storm Cat – Harbor Springs, by Vice Regent)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart)
- Foaled March 29, 2005 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 1 juvenile route winner Boston Harbor (8-6-1-0, $1,934,605, 6-7 at two, won debut)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two)
- sire is 69-349 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-30 (10%, $1.41 ROI) as the sire of debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint stakes-winner (11-7-1-0, $123,038, unraced at two, cost $500,000 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, five winners, six juvenile runners, four juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Groovy (26-12-4-1, $1,346,956, 1-5 at two, won debut), stakes-placed Commander Dusty (35-7-5-3, $82,577, unraced at two), stakes-placed turfer Dancitus (18-4-2-4, $94,065, 0-1 at two, and Grade 3-placed Kentucky Jazz (11-3-2-2, $124,700, 1-4 at two)
- Vice Regent is 3-41 (7%, $0.83 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 11-114 (10%, $0.88 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-26 (8%, $0.65 ROI) with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 1-29 (3%, $0.23 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- May 18, May 28 workouts match barn’s juvenile Noble Hero (finished fourth in career debut at Saratoga on July 25 with 53 Beyer)
- June 12 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Easy Profit (finished sixth in career debut at Arlington on August 24 with 53 Beyer), and barn’s juvenile filly Syriana’s Song (finished second in career debut at Saratoga on August 2 with 88 Beyer)
- August 14, August 30, September 14 workouts match barn’s juvenile Great Shot (finished third in career debut at Turfway on September 29 with 54 Beyer)
- October 2 workout matches barn’s four-year-old Smokeyjonessutton (102 Beyer top). The Keeneland Clocker noted that the two worked in company, and that Cloudburst was “a little better at the wire.”

2. La Corredora (El Corredor – Reason to Fear, by Kris S.)
Trainer: Thomas Proctor
- Foaled January 10, 2005 in Florida
- withdrawn weanling (OBS October 2005)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (10-7-1-0, $727,920, 1-2 at two)
- sire is 39-277 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (4-0-0-0, $448, unraced at two, cost $15,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- trainer is 3-41 (7%, $0.55 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-3 with second-time Keeneland Babies

3. Elusive Girl (Elusive Quality – Evening Primrose, by Dayjur)
Trainer: David Carroll
- Foaled February 9, 2005 in Kentucky
- full sister to stakes-winner Great Notion (12-3-4-0, $194,608, 2-2 at two)
- half-sister to British Group 3-placed juvenile turfer Chester Le Street (3-1-1-0, all races at two)
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 turf winner (20-9-3-2, $413,284, unraced at two)
- sire is 64-386 (17%) with juvenile runners
- Elusive Quality – Dayjur ‘nick’ has produced French Group 1 juvenile turf winner Elusive City (8-1-0-1, $174,555, 1-4 at two), and multiple stakes-winner Princess Janie (7-3-2-0, $135,020, unraced at two)
- dam was unraced (cost $100,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 router Talinum (22-6-3-4, $737,818, 2-5 at two), and French Group 1-placed turfer Gharam (juvenile winner)
- trainer is 14-96 (15%, $3.36 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 3-18 (17%, $10.59 ROI) with Keeneland Babies

4. Katie Em (Our Emblem – Aunt Ginger, by Fred Astaire)
Trainer: William Connelly
- Foaled January 30, 2005 in Ohio
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Rhythm in Shoes (24-5-5-4, $169,507, unraced at two)
- full sister to multiple stakes-winner Anna Em (17-5-4-0, $192,792, 0-3 at two)
- sire was multiple Grade 1-placed (27-5-5-5, $366,013, 1-3 at two)
- sire is 13-150 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-27 (15%, $1.93 ROI) with all debut runners this year
- dam was a stakes-placed sprinter (6-1-1-1, $26,718, unraced at two)
- dam has four runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Sheldon Mills (38-6-4-3, $84,590, 0-4 at two)
- trainer is 4-35 (11%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $0.67 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- September 21 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Gold Essie (finished eighth in career debut at Turfway on September 28 with 23 Beyer)

5. Yayi (Halo’s Image – Bad Religion, by Exploit)
Trainer: Dale Romans
- Foaled February 26, 2005 in Florida
- $60,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $115,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- sire was multiple Grade 3 winner (26-9-6-5, $549,891, 2-4 at two, won debut)
- sire is 21-157 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-35 (6%, $0.42 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced (cost $39,000 as a yearling, and $10,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile winner Popol’s Gold (71-14-9-15, $477,465, 3-5 at two, won debut)
- Exploit is 1-2 (50%, $3.30 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 27-187 (14%, $1.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-20 (15%, $1.76 ROI) with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 7-56 (12%, $1.64 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.60, and a quarter-mile in 21.80 prior to the February sale

6. Golden Leigh (Formal Gold – Graceful Leigh, by Clever Trick)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled April 18 in Kentucky
- $20,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $32,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- half-sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Halory Leigh (24-7-4-3, $672,872, unraced at two)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (16-8-4-1, $1,533,600, unraced at two)
- sire is 64-409 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (34-6-1-6, $59,497, 0-6 at two, cost $22,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner Natural Grace (43-7-7-8, $112,604)
- trainer is 7-63 (11%, $0.67 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-9 with second-time Keeneland Babies
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.20 prior to the April sale

7. Go Cherokee Go (Cherokee Run – First Flyer, by Riverman)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled March 3, 2005 in Kentucky
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, 5-7 at two, won debut)
- sire is 24-276 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-54 (9%, $1.22 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was stakes-placed (16-4-3-1, $109,124, unraced at two)
- dam has three runners, two winners, no juvenile runners
- dam a full sister to Grade 1 winner River Flyer (23-9-2-2, $573,276, 1-5 at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Lovely Pet (18-4-4-0, $122,577, 1-2 at two), and Grade 1 sprint winner Victory Ride (9-5-1-2, $390,391, unraced at two)
- Riverman is 2-18 (11%, $1.39 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 8-101 (8%, $1.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 6-50 (12%, $1.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- “Finished with good energy” according to the Keeneland Clocker for the October 3 workout

8. Honour for Silver (Silver Deputy – Sopran Rosanna, by Thunder Gulch)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 3, 2005 in Kentucky
- $95,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- dam was a sprint stakes-winner at two (2-2-0-0, $41,820, all races at two)
- sire is 181-975 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced in Italy (3-0-0-0, $0, 0-2 at two)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Merciful Judge (29-5-1-6, $117,873, 1-6 at two), and Grade 1 route winner Honour and Glory (17-6-5-2, $1,202,942, 2-4 at two)
- trainer is 129-480 (27%, $1.79 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 10-27 (37%, $2.85 ROI) with second-time Keeneland Babies

9. Anachini (Forest Camp – Charlie My Girl, by Unbridled’s Song)
Trainer: Darrin Miller
- Foaled March 25 in Kentucky
- $175,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $190,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 juvenile winner (11-4-2-0, 339,984, 2-4 at two)
- sire is 39-233 (17%) with juvenile runners
- Forest Camp – Unbridled’s Song ‘nick’ has produced multiple Group 1 winner Vivaldi Girl (in Puerto Rico, 24-10-3-3, $194,460, 6-8 at two)
- dam was unraced (sold for $149,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Jet Set Broad (11-3-0-2, $91,458, 1-2 at two)
- trainer is 7-27 (26%, $4.27 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $6.80 ROI) with second-time Keeneland Babies
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale

10. Bourbon Street (Dixie Union – Unbridled Vice, by Unbridled)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled February 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (12-7-3-0, $1,233,190, 4-6 at two, won debut)
- sire is 12-124 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-40 (10%, $1.66 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a winner (25-4-7-6, $210,015, 0-2 at two)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed On London Time (17-2-1-4, $85,971, 2-5 at two)
- Unbridled is 3-64 (5%, $0.23 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 5-64 (8%, $1.25 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- September 17 workout matches barn’s four-year-old filly Altesse (finished second in Beautiful Pleasure Stakes at Belmont on September 26 with 95 Beyer)
- October 6 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Minister’s Joy (101 Beyer top on turf)

11. Greenhaven Lake (Greenwood Lake – Night Mountain, by Mountain Native)
Trainer: Ernest Retamoza
- Foaled March 25, 2005 in Kentucky
- $2,500 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (7-3-1-1, $430,620, 3-5 at two)
- sire is 21-182 (12%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (34-7-6-5, $111,186, unraced at two)
- dam has six runners, five winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- trainer is 3-8 (38%, $12.78 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 with second-time Keeneland Babies

12. Lizzy Gets Even (Stephen Got Even – Glen of Aherlow, by Rubiano)
Trainer: Phillip Sims
- Foaled May 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- $15,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (11-5-1-1, $1,019,200, 0-1 at two)
- sire is 12-101 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-53 (9%, $0.79 ROI) with all debut runners this year
- dam was a sprint winner (15-3-1-1, $27,000, cost $52,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to sprint stakes-winner Basic Concern (42-5-5-5, $126,204, 0-3 at two), and stakes-placed New York Gold (39-11-8-35, $157,676, unraced at two)
- Rubiano is 3-39 (8%, $1.29 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-31 (6%, $1.81 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-12 with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.56 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- September 29 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Skippy Due (92 Beyer top), barn’s three-year-old Grand Orator (finished 11th in maiden special weight on October 7 with 31 Beyer), and barn’s three-year-old Double Squeeze (finished ninth in 50K maiden claimer on October 5 with 40 Beyer)

Analysis: ANACHINI exits a key race that was the faster division of maiden special weights for juvenile fillies at Saratoga on August 30. The winner returned to take the Grade 1 Frizette by open lengths, and has to be considered one of the public choices for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. Anachini broke a bit slowly that day, but finished evenly along the inside, and trainer Darrin Miller sent out second-time juvenile St. Joe to win earlier in the meet. She looms a deserving favorite.
BOURBON STREET has a nice pedigree, and the workouts look solid for her career debut. Shug McGaughey hasn’t sent out a debut winner in a while, however, and is only two for his last 54 with firsters. LA CORREDORA and ELUSIVE GIRL both earned 64 Beyers for their most recent starts. The former made up late ground over Arlington’s polytrack despite getting a case of the drifts while Elusive Girl improved with the switch to turf. Elusive Girl chased quick fractions over the Kentucky Downs sod, and may show good speed in this spot.
GOLDEN LEIGH showed good speed in her career debut at Saratoga, but frontrunners did well that day, and her runner-up finish may have been bias-aided somewhat. She should be a pace factor again here. HONOUR FOR SILVER finished evenly on grass in her career debut, and trainer Asmussen is one of the best at handling young stock. She has a nice pedigree, and should appreciate the added distance.

Selections:
1. Anachini
2. Bourbon Street
3. La Corredora

The play: No play

Race 6
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Starter Allowance ($50,000s)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $35,000

Analysis: WORD GETS AROUND gamely put away a 1-2 favorite after a prolonged duel to win her maiden at Ellis Park, and was flattered when that runner returned to graduate at Presque Isle Downs. She raced against the grain of a speed-favoring surface in the quickly-run Fisher Debutante (the juvenile colt stake that day went almost two seconds slower), and should get a nice pace setup with PLENTY O LADY and QUICK NOTICE disputing the fractions. Word Gets Around may receive a nice inside-out stalking trip under Larry Melancon.
Plenty O Lady needed six tries to graduate, but she did so over Turfway’s polytrack after establishing an early lead. She figures to face more pressure here. QUICK NOTICE makes first start for new barn after overcoming pace pressure to win at Arlington. She draws a comfortable attack post, and should be right there when they turn for home.
WHO’S COUNTING never got involved in the Fisher in the first start off the claim, but she was against the bias as well that day. She switches to Bejarano, should improve in this spot, and figures to be charging late.

Selections:
1. Word Gets Around
2. Plenty O Lady
3. Quick Notice

The play: Word Gets Around – Plenty O Lady exacta; Word Gets Around – Quick Notice exacta

Race 7
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Victory by Blue (Victory Gallop – Quick Blue, by Cure the Blues)
Trainer: Gregory Fox
\- Foaled January 18, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-9-5-1, $3,505,895, 3-5 at two)
- sire is 16-146 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-51 (10%, $2.02 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (23-5-5-3, $480,680, 0-1 at two)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Yukon Pete (5-3-0-1, $65,366, 1-1 at two)
- Cure the Blues is 5-72 (7%, $0.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $3.03 ROI) with all debut runners this year

2. Clear Pond (Dynaformer – Kelly Pond, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled February 8, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two)
- sire is 34-324 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-46 (7%, $1.38 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (9-2-0-1, $57,233, 1-3 at two, won debut, cost $250,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 router Talinum (22-6-3-4, $737,818, 2-5 at two), and French Group 1-placed turfer Gharam (juvenile winner)
- Deputy Minister is 13-102 (13%, $1.61 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 12-75 (16%, $2.48 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $0.97 ROI) with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 4-31 (13%, $1.79 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- September 29 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Banner Day (finished second in maiden special weight at Keeneland on October 6 with 66 Beyer)
- October 6 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Clear Thinking (51 Beyer)

3. Cape Discovery (Cape Town – Mythical Mystery, by Rahy)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled March 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-1-1, $795,817, 3-6 at two)
- sire is 58-318 (18%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner (9-1-3-1, $36,080, unraced at two)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Goldenbaum (30-7-7-6, $128,640, unraced at two), and multiple Grade 3 winner Inexplicable (19-6-6-1, $378,314, unraced at two)
- trainer is 18-180 (10%, $0.95 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $0.27 ROI) with second-time Keeneland Babies

4. Dubai Angel (E Dubai – Higher Agenda, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Dale Romans
- Foaled January 28 in Kentucky
- $50,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $95,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (11-5-3-0, $920,800, 1-2 at two)
- sire is 31-138 (22%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (12-2-1-0, $32,809, 0-3 at two, cost $200,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam is stakes-placed Cambury Angel (15-3-4-0, $64,781, unraced at two)
- trainer is 84-560 (15%, $1.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 9-61 (15%, $2.50 ROI) with Keeneland Babies

5. Call Her the Cat (Tale of the Cat – Solidplatinumgirl, by Rahy)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled February 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- $125,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $170,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two)
- sire is 133-691 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Ruby’s Reception (17-4-3-3, $365,130, 3-7 at two)
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $1.44 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 61-180 day layoff
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $7.20 ROI) with Keeneland Babies off 61-180 day layoff

6. Move Clickly (Cherokee Run – St Lucinda, by St. Jovite)
Trainer: H Graham Motion
- Foaled February 26, 2005 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Mananan McLir (35-6-6-2, $459,467, 1-7 at two), turf stakes-winner Sandra’s Rose (14-4-3-2, $199,769, unraced at two), and turf stakes-winner Charming N Lovable (7-3-0-1, $146,240, unraced at two)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, 5-7 at two)
- sire is 160-990 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was multiple stakes-placed on turf (11-2-1-2, $57,501, unraced at two)
- dam has six runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Magic Carr (23-3-3-4, $54,617, unraced at two), and stakes-placed Majestico (72-8-7-10, $93,671, unraced at two)
- trainer is 81-460 (18%, $1.79 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 5-14 (36%, $3.21 ROI) with Keeneland Babies

7. Adriatic Storm (Stormy Atlantic – Adriatic Queen, by Silver Buck)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled May 8, 2005 in Kentucky
- $22,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (15-6-2-1, $148,126, 0-1 at two)
- sire is 123-798 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning router (30-7-2-8, $200,781, 1-5 at two, cost $3,200 as a yearling)
dam has four runners, one winner, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- trainer is 17-89 (19%, $2.40 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-9 with second-time Keeneland Babies

8. Capture the Beauty (Line In the Sand – Deb’s Ky Blue, by Gate Dancer)
Trainer: Angel Hyland
- Foaled March 1, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (16-4-0-3, $185,853, 1-3 at two)
- sire is 119-1322 (9%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix

9. Surpass (Cape Town – Superlative, by Olympio)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled May 11, 2005 in Kentucky
- $3,500 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-1-1, $795,817, 3-6 at two)
- sire is 58-318 (18%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner at two (10-4-2-0, $224,838, 3-5 at two)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Royal Win (39-6-6-3, $158,965, 1-4 at two)
- trainer is 41-125 (33%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 3-9 (33%, $2.89 ROI) with second-time Keeneland Babies adding Lasix

10. Northern Chorus (Royal Anthem – Allie North, by Northern Baby)
Trainer: Michael Tammaro
- Foaled March 18, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 turf winner (12-6-3-1, $1,876,876, unraced at two)
- sire is 1-41 (2%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a turf winner (18-1-3-7, $63,858, unraced at two)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed router Key Echo (22-2-1-0, $85,282, 2-6 at two)
- Northern Baby is 2-28 (7%, $1.08 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-31 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 with Keeneland Babies

11. Conviviality (Northern Afleet – Appealing Jewel, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Helen Pitts
- Foaled March 11, 2005 in Florida
- $20,000 short yearling (OBS January 2006)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $27,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (21-5-3-5, $626,671, 1-3 at two, won debut)
- sire is 19-115 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-38 (8%, $1.32 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- Northern Afleet - Saint Ballado ‘nick’ has produced Grade 2 winner Saint Afleet (12-5-0-0, $342,571, 2-4 at two)
- dam was placed sprinting (6-0-1-1, $9,640, 0-1 at two)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner Turkappeal (32-4-8-6, $280,388, 1-6 at two), and Grade 2-placed turfer Premier Krischief (35-8-4-6, $275,852, 1-2 at two, won debut)
- trainer is 5-51 (10%, $2.01 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $4.40 ROI) with debuting Keeneland Babies
- trainer is 3-26 (12%, $1.78 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- September 7, September 19 workout matches three-year-old Predestined (finished second in maiden special weight on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 25 with 71 Beyer)

12. Stormy Blessing (Storm Cat – Bless, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Eoin Harty
- Foaled March 22, 2005 in Kentucky
- full sister to Irish turf stakes-winner Brave Tin Soldier (8-1-2-0, $67,606, 1-4 at two)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two)
- sire is 266-1100 (24%) with juvenile debut runners
- Storm Cat – Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced multiple juvenile Group 1 turf winner One Cool Cat (10-5-0-1, $568,086, 4-5 at two), Group 1 juvenile turf winner Denebola (10-2-2-2, $338,742, 2-4 at two), multiple Grade 1 winner Finder’s Fee (27-7-4-5, $708,126, 3-8 at two), stakes-winner Serena’s Cat (12-4-2-0, $131,391, 1-3 at two), multiple Group 2-placed juvenile turfer One Great Cat (4-1-0-3, all races at two), turf stakes-winner The Leopard (4-2-1-0, $101,900, all races at two), etc.
- dam was unraced
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam is a full sister to Grade 1 winner Fusaichi Pegasus (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two)
- trainer is 12-51 (24%, $1.68 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles

Analysis: VICTORY BY BLUE is the first foal from a multiple stakes-winning dam, and she’s likely to offer value taking on a solid group. The inside post is no great shakes, but she has enough stamina in her pedigree to get this 6 1/2 furlong distance right out of the box, and trainer Gregory Fox has had a breakthrough 2007.
CONVIVIALITY is the first foal from a half-sister to a couple of quality blacktype runners, and Helen Pitts is another trainer that made a big name in 2007. The Northern Afleet - Saint Ballado ‘nick’ has done well, and this filly worked quickly from the gate here on October 7. MOVE CLICKLY showed good speed in both outings, and figures to be in the hunt when they swing into the stretch. The switch to Gomez should be respected.
ADRIATIC STORM gave a game account of herself in her career debut on turf at Arlington, and turf form often replicates itself on synthetic surfaces. She owns a bullet workout over the surface, and figures to be sitting close to the pace. SURPASS adds Lasix for second lifetime start, and trainer Steven Asmussen excels with that move. Surpass bled in her debut, but showed some early interest before starting to back up in the stretch. Expect improvement. CALL HER THE CAT shows some quick workouts in preparation for her first start since Saratoga, and the gate speed was much improved for her second lifetime start.

Selections:
1. Victory by Blue
2. Conviviality
3, Move Clickly

The play: Victory by Blue to win and place at 10-1 or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 15-2-7 (-$3.00)