10/09/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for 10/11

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully add to the profits from "Spa Babies."

Friday's results:
Race 6: Pull Dancer finished first
Race 10: Via Cuvee finished ninth

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Race 6
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Rocamadour (Black Mambo - Willa, by Mountain Cat)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled May 10, 2006 in Florida
- $20,000 yearling (OBS Open August 2007)
- $70,000 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- first-crop sire was a stakes-placed sprinter (21-3-4-1, $100,790, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 2-16 (13%, $1.75 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (33-3-7-6, $72,462, unraced at two, 1-7 in main track sprints)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner
- Mountain Cat is 3-44 (7%, $0.56 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turf Mount Weather (14-3-2-3, $113,750, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- trainer is 12-77 (16%, $2.41 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $0.85 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-24 (4%, $0.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older winner with Lasix)
- worked three furlongs in 33.40 prior to the April sale

2. Badger Bo (Harlan's Holiday - Aheadnotatail, by Unbridled)
Trainer: Gregory Foley
- Foaled March 31, 2006 in Kentucky
- $120,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (22-9-6-1, $3,632,664, 4-6 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 10-69 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-43 (14%, $1.46 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $1,590, all races at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- dam has two runners, no winners, no juvenile runners, two main track sprint runners
- Unbridled is 9-79 (11%, $3.84 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners, two on synthetics)
- Harlan's Holiday - Unbridled 'nick' has produced Grade 3 route winner Denis of Cork (6-3-1-1, $613,252, 1-1 at two, 1-1 in main track sprints)
- second dam is multiple Grade 3 winner Highland Penny (65-15-7-10, $669,886, 1-8 at two, won debut, 1-6 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 9-85 (11%, $1.21 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
-trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-12 with all debut runners in 2008
- September 27 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Champ Laila (finished fourth in 'n2L' allowance at Keeneland on October 4 with 63 Beyer)

3. Platinum Van (Van Nistelrooy - Platinum Streak, by Fight Over)
Trainer: Edward Frederick
- Foaled February 19, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a Group 2 winner on turf at two in Ireland (6-3-1-1, $229,980, all races at two, unraced in main track sprints)
- sire is 5-66 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-48 (4%, $0.68 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners)
- dam was a stakes-placed sprinter (38-8-2-3, $119,821, unraced at two, 8-35 in main track sprints, cost $12,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, one main track sprint runner
- Fight Over doesn't have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $9.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-2 with all debut runners in 2008

4. Storm's Eye (Storm Cat - Dissemble, by Ahonoora)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 28, 2006 in Kentucky
- $400,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- half-brother to Group 3 winner (Brazil) Disport (16-6-4-1, $40,857, 1-2 at two, 3-5 in main track sprints)
- half-brother to Group 1 winner (Brazil) Uapybo (10-2-2-1, $73,538, unraced at two)
- half-brother to multiple Grade 1 turf winner Leroidesanimaux (13-9-2-0, $1,658,377, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
-sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two, 3-4 in main track sprints)
- sire is 73-377 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-33 (9%, $0.90 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners, two winners at Keeneland)
- dam was unraced
- dam has seven runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, at least one main track sprint winner
- Ahonoora doesn't have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Skiable (11-4-1-0, $74,356, 1-1 at two, all races on turf)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning turfer (France) Hasili (17-4-3-1, $68,186, 4-8 at two, all races on turf, dam of Grade 1 winners Banks Hill, Heat Haze, Intercontinental, Cacique, Champs Elysees)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning turfer Arrive (5-3-1-0, $48,253, unraced at two, all races on turf)
- trainer is 11-177 (6%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-24 (13%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-28 (4%, N/A) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner without Lasix)
- September 11, September 18 workouts match barn's three-year-old Lord and T. (finished first in $50,000 maiden claimer at Keeneland on October 3 with 73 Beyer)
- September 26 workout matches barn's juvenile Pegasus Fever (0 Beyer in only start at Saratoga)

5. Mikoshi (Orientate - Tsurugaoka Matsuri, by Jade Robbery)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled February 1, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (19-10-3-0, $1,716,960, 0-2 at two, 8-11 in main track sprints)
- sire is 53-325 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner in Japan (27-1-3-2, $184,639, 0-1 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints)
- this is dam's first runner
- trainer is 12-45 (27%, $3.07 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles

6. Northern Prince (Northern Afleet - Dutch's Duchess, by Roy)
Trainer: Steve Margolis
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (21-5-3-5, $626,671, 1-3 at two, won debut, 3-11 in main track sprints)
- sire is 25-163 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-81 (10%, $0.98 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners, two winners on synthetics)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $0, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $5,500 as a short yearling, and $45,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, two main track sprint runners
- Roy is 1-25 (4%, $0.50 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- second dam is stakes-winning sprinter Missy's Music (38-12-4-6, $144,510, 1-1 at two, 12-33 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 1-50 (2%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, N/A) with all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner with Lasix)
- August 7, September 8, October 2 workouts match barn's juvenile Southern Surge (finished fourth in career debut at Keeneland on October 10)

7. Stage Deli (Successful Appeal - Mississippi Queen, by Dixieland Band)
Trainer: Frank Brothers
- Foaled March 31, 2006 in Kentucky
- $165,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- $200,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to stakea-placed (Japan) Apollo No Satori (23-5-3-0, $952,216, 2-4 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in main track sprints)
- sire is 20-105 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 7-37 (19%, $1.61 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was Grade 3-placed on turf at two (24-3-3-4, $139,200, 0-3 at two, all races on turf)
- dam has two runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one main track sprint runner, no main track sprint winners
- Dixieland Band is 14-103 (14%, $1.87 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (seven juvenile debut winners, seven on synthetics, one at Keeneland)
- second dam is multiple stakes-placed Fapany (12-4-6-1, $87,210, unraced at two, 4-9 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 9-57 (16%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-7 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-11 with all debut runners in 2008
- September 22 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Council Ring (finished tenth in career debut at Keeneland on October 10)

8. Frame of Reference (El Corredor - Polish Silk, by Polish Pro)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $210,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $750,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (10-7-1-0, $727,920, 1-2 at two, 4-6 in main track sprints)
- sire is 15-136 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-51 (4%, $1.62 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners)
- dam was a winner (22-6-4-2, $186,535, 1-4 at two, 4-14 in main track sprints)
-dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile winner, one main track sprint winner
- Polish Pro doesn't have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 2-placed sprinter Silk Broker (34-5-4-4, $156,215, 1-2 at two, won debut, 5-33 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Razor (11-4-1-4, $192,894, 2-4 at two, 4-10 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 97-475 (20%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 13-45 (29%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 20-134 (15%, N/A) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, 12 juvenile debut winners, nine on synthetics, six at Keeneland, two with Rene Douglas aboard, four for this owner)
- September 7 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Dix Huit (finished second in 'n1x' allowance on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 15 with 76 Beyer)
- September 14 workout matches barn's five-year-old mare Roshani (finished seventh in the Grade 1 First Lady on turf at Keeneland on October 3 with 80 Beyer)

9. The Gang of Four (Medaglia d'Oro - One Tough Cat, by Mountain Cat)
Trainer: William Bret Calhoun
- Foaled May 3, 2006 in Maryland
- $90,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- $90,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select October 2007)
- $325,000 juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 16-76 (21%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was stakes-placed at two (24-1-5-3, $76,115, 0-8 at two, 1-19 in main track sprints, cost $105,000 as a weanling, and $105,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one main track sprint runner, no main track sprint winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Sub Rosa (34-7-6-3, $150,172, 1-5 at two, 4-18 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed turfer Mine Inning (8-1-1-1, $20,725, 1-4 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 7-21 (33%, $3.09 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers at Keeneland
- worked one furlong in 10 flat prior to the March sale

10. Double Pittsburgh (More Than Ready - Sewickley Heights, by Pleasant Colony)
Trainer: Robert Holthus
- Foaled May 3, 2006 in Kentucky
- $50,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $17,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2007)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Don't Read My Lips (28-5-4-4, $231,322, unraced at two, 0-4 in main track sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, won debut, 7-9 in main track sprints)
- sire is 24-188 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-62 (13%, $2.04 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (four juvenile debut winner, one winner on synthetics)
- dam was unplaced (4-0-0-0, $1,230, all races at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, cost $325,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners
- Pleasant Colony is 5-53 (9%, $1.72 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner, one winner on synthetics)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning turfer Demeteor (40-10-4-3, $368,514 unraced at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 10-104 (10%, N/A) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 0-24 with all debut runners in 2008

11. Back Alley Tales (Tale of the Cat - Our Dear Sue, by Roberto)
Trainer: Walter Bindner Jr.
- Foaled May 27, 2006 in Kentucky
- $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two, 1-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 151-803 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has 13 runners, five winners, six juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, 13 main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 1 turf winner Sunshine Forever (23-8-6-3, $2,084,800, 0-5 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 2-5 (40%, $7.84 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $13.10 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix at Keeneland

12. Snow Country (Even the Score - Polar Snow, by Rubiano)
Trainer: Rick Hiles
- Foaled April 20, 2006 in Kentucky
- $6,500 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (29-9-1-9, $751,629, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 2-20 (10%, $2.72 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008 (both on synthetics)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $2,640, unraced at two, all races on turf, cost $95,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Rubiano is 1-38 (3%, $0.31 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older winner)
- second dam is Group 3-placed turfer (France) Suivez La (23-3-3-3, $110,055, 0-1 at two, all races on turf)
- female family of juvenile Group 2 turf winner (Ireland) Victory Piper
- trainer is 1-12 (8%, $3.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- this is trainer's first debut runner in 2008
- October 2 workout matches barn's three-year-old Gruenewald (76 Beyer top on dirt)

Analysis:
DOUBLE PITTSBURGH is a half-brother to stakes-winner Don't Read My Lips by acceptable debut sire More Than Ready, and he may have enough stamina to handle this demanding 6 1/2 furlong distance first-out. Although trainer Bob Holthus has been struggling with debut runners, this colt should offer a bit of value.
FRAME OF REFERENCE cost three-quarters of a million dollars at auction, and goes out for Todd Pletcher, one of the best sources of first-out winners in the world. The works look solid, and this colt wouldn't be a surprise at all.
SNOW COUNTRY has some turf blood on the bottom of his pedigree, and that may help him handle the polytrack. The most recent workout looks a bit intriguing, and he'll be a huge price.
THE GANG OF FOUR adds blinkers after an even debut, and this barn must be respected. Expect improved speed and focus from him here. BADGER BO boasts the same Harlan's Holiday - Unbridled 'nick' as the good Denis of Cork, and trainer Greg Foley won Friday's nightcap with a juvenile performer. BACK ALLEY TALES adds Lasix for his second start, and that's a potent angle in baby races. He made up a lot of late ground in his debut, and should be charging hard once again. This barn has excellent numbers with second-time starters. NOTHERN PRINCE's workmate outran his big odds to finish fourth in a maiden special weight on Friday. STORM'S EYE has a beautiful pedigree, but may ultimately do better with more experience and distance. MIKOSHI goes out for barn that has much better numbers second-out than with firsters. Still, he'll have to improve on his dull Delaware debut. STAGE DELI is by a precocious sire, but his workouts fail to impress. ROCAMADOUR and PLATINUM VAN may be in steep.

Selections:
1. Double Pittsburgh
2. Frame of Reference
3. Snow Country

The Play:
Double Pittsburgh to Win and Place at 6-1 or more.

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
19-5-9 (+$10.00)