07/02/2015 10:36AM

Juan Gonzalez offers few clues to bettors

Shigeki Kikkawa
Sambamzajammin's 71 Beyer she earned in her maiden win is the highest in the field for the Juan Gonzalez Memorial.

The $50,000-added Juan Gonzalez Memorial at the Oak Tree at Pleasanton meet matches five wire-to-wire maiden winners and a first-time starter. That could lead bettors to do a lot of head scratching when the 5 1/2-furlong race for 2-year-old fillies is run Saturday at the Alameda County Fair.

From a Beyer Speed Figure standpoint, the race is simple. If Sambamzajammin matches the 71 she earned in her maiden win two starts back, she likely will win for fun. That Beyer is 15 points higher than any of her rivals has run.

Of course, there are other factors to consider, such as: How many of the fillies have to gun for the lead? And how many may be willing to sit and stalk?

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While Sambamzajammin seems quickest, all her races have come on dirt on Santa Anita. Three of the winners she meets Saturday ran on the Golden Gate Fields Tapeta surface, which is not as quick as Santa Anita’s dirt. Marquee Cat scored her maiden victory here in her second start. Saturday rival Ibelievewewillwin defeated Marquee Cat (10th) in the debut for both. Ourprincessmelanie finished third in that race after a slow start but went wire to wire in her next start.

Stays in Vegas, a $40,000 Keeneland purchase last September, will make her debut, and her style is unknown. She has two bullet works, including one from the gate, with her final work getting a rare “breezing” designation.

She’s So Vain, like Ourprincessmelanie trained by William E. Morey, won her debut in a maiden claimer. She is a half-sister to Kelly’s Princess, who was the runner-up in this race in 2004.

:: Oak Tree at Pleasanton: Get PPs, watch Saturday’s card live



Sambamzajammin (Last 3 Beyers: 43-71-56)

◗ Her winning Beyer sticks out here, but the number dipped dramatically in her last start, a third-place finish in the $125,000 Landaluce at Santa Anita. The Landaluce was run at 5 1/2 furlongs, and she is the only filly in this field to have run at the distance.

◗ She had a very fast three-furlong work five days before her best race, and she had a very fast three-furlong work five days before this race.

Ibelievewewillwin (Beyer: 46)

◗ She won Northern California’s first 2-year-old race of the year and was visually impressive as the 6-5 favorite. She has worked steadily since then and even has a work over this track.

◗ She’s by a productive dam and is a half-sister to a $250,000 winner.

Marquee Cat (Beyers: 56-0)

◗ She was 4-1 behind the favored Ibelievewewillwin in their debut, but she hesitated at the break and never got involved.

◗ In her maiden win, she ran her final eighth in 12.72, which is the best closing fraction in the field except for Sambamzajammin’s in her maiden win.