01/26/2012 11:01AM

How to handicap the Sunshine Millions Luck Pick Six

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Here's my race-by-race rundown of this Saturday's Sunshine Millions Luck Pick 6, spanning three races each at Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita Park. An "A" horse is a primary contender and top selection, or slightly less likely winner who you think will be an extreme overlay. A "B" is a reasonable contender who will keep you alive with other A's and B's but not with C horses. A "C" is a marginal or unlikely winner you can't entirely eliminate but whose winning would force you to get home A's in all other races.

[LUCK PICK SIX: Watch video handicapping previews, follow the races LIVE]

Gulfstream Park: Race 8 ($150,000 Florida Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Turf)

A: ROMACACA (#5)
B: ROMIN ROBIN (#9)
C: ASKBUT I WON'TTELL (#6), HOOH WHY (#8)

ROMACACA (#5) has some of the best Beyers in the field and she also has some tactical speed, which is a big reason she's been able to win half of her 24 starts. She's usually in perfect position, and with a couple of frontrunners to her inside she may again find herself in an ideal stalking spot. ROMIN ROBIN (#9) is a horse I'll use on secondary tickets, as she'll get a much better set-up here than she got in that last one. Lesser tickets will include ASKBUT I WON'TTELL (#6) and HOOH WHY (#8), a pair of closers who seems to fit the race flow.

Santa Anita: Race 4 ($100,000 Sensational Star)

A: COMPARI (#4), CARACORTADO (#5)
B: AIN'T NO OTHER (#2)

COMPARI (#4) loves to win and he has competitive turf figures. He'll be involved from the start, and he could in fact shake loose early on if he's able to outrun Ain't No Other for the lead. That would give him a tactical edge over likely favorite CARACORTADO (#5), who comes off a sharp score and an impressive Beyer in a race run over this course, and at this distance. He could use some pace help, as a stone closer, but the fractions should at least be honest if this field stays intact. AIN'T NO OTHER (#2) is worth using on backup tickets, given his early speed.

Gulfstream Park: Race 9 ($150,000 Florida Sunshine Millions Turf)

A: LITTLE MIKE (#5), TEAKS NORTH (#10)
B: BECKHAM BEND (#6)
C: BELL BY THE RIDGE (#4), ALLIE'S EVENT (#7)

LITTLE MIKE (#5) is a must-use given his edge in Beyers but his early foot is another big plus, as he may well be the controlling speed, and that kind of scenario will make him even tougher. There is some concern over the taxing effort first time off the layoff, and today's extended distance, however, so I'll use TEAKS NORTH (#10) in equal strength. The latter was likely overmatched in the Fort Lauderdale last time, as that was a deep field, and he should appreciate today's slightly longer distance. BECKHAM BEND (#6), BELL BY THE RIDGE (#4), and ALLIE'S EVENT (#7) will be on backup tickets.

Santa Anita: Race 5 ($100,000 The Crystal Water)

A: LEGAL SEPARATION (#1), SPUD SPIVENS (#3), THIRTYFIRSTSTREET (#4), HOLLADAY ROAD (#5)

LEGAL SEPARATION (#1) is untested at this distance but his best Beyers have come in elongated sprints, including that last one; tactical speed and inside post should mean a favorable trip. SPUD SPIVENS (#3) didn't run his best race last time but he was in a tough spot there, and he should fare better against this group; back Beyers give him strong credibility. THIRTYFIRSTSTREET (#4) comes off an easy win in an optional claimer and the resulting Beyer makes him a threat despite the class rise. HOLLADAY ROAD (#5) won three of five starts last year; ability to lead or rate gives Bejarano some options.

Gulfstream Park: Race 10 ($400,000 Florida Sunshine Millions Classic)

A: TURBO COMPRESSOR (#5)
B: DUKE OF MISCHIEF (#1), MUCHO MACHO MAN (#6), RON THE GREEK (#7)
C: ADIOS CHARLIE (#3)

TURBO COMPRESSOR (#5) has twice posted triple-digit Beyers, which is what it will likely take to win this Florida Sunshine Millions Classic, and it's no coincidence that those two races were both when he was loose on the lead, at this distance. There's not a ton of pace in this relatively short field, and TURBO COMPRESSOR can steal it if he's able to back down the fractions. DUKE OF MISCHIEF (#1), MUCHO MACHO MAN (#6), RON THE GREEK (#7), and ADIOS CHARLIE (#3) will be on backup tickets in one form or another, as the race becomes fairly wide-open if TURBO COMPRESSOR falters on the lead.

Santa Anita: Race 6 ($100,000 Valentine Dancer)

A: LA SOMBRE (#4), UNZIP ME (#7)
B: HALO DOLLY (#9)
C: CAYANA (#6), WARREN'S GOT GAME (#2), ANTARES WORLD (#3)

LA SOMBRE (#4) stretches out but may be able to handle the extra distance if she can avoid a race-long duel with California Nectar, the other main pacesetter in here. LA SOMBRE did rally in a sprint two back, and if she can rate effectively she may get the jump on the closers. UNZIP ME (#7) usually sprints but she still is tough to leave out as she tries a mile, as her Beyers are solid. HALO DOLLY (#9) is a horse I'll use on lesser tickets, as the main backup, but I'll also include CAYANNA (#6), WARREN'S GOT GAME (#2), and ANTARES WORLD (#3) on "C" tickets, mostly due to the expected race flow.