12/09/2011 11:59AM

How to bet Saturday's $250K guaranteed Queens County Stakes Aqueduct Pick 4


Here's my race-by-race rundown of Saturday's Guaranteed $250K Pick 4 at Aqueduct. I'm building my wager with TicketMaker, found exclusively on DRF.com.

Race 6: Claiming ($7,500)

KEECHI BULLET (#1) seems to be very well spotted, and is the most likely winner in the opening leg of the Pick 4. DIGGER KARAKORUM (#7) does merit inclusion on the ticket, as he was against the race flow in his latest and he could improve here, but he's not as likely as Keechi Bullet, which makes him a "B". PAX (#8), VALUE ADDED TAX (#9) and AL'S LARK are all interesting horses, all at decent prices; designating that trio as "C" plays means they'll be included on the ticket but not in equal strength with Keechi Bullet, reflecting the relative chances of all.

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RACE 7: Allowance ($42,000)

GROUND FORCE (#1) and MODERN CHILD (#2) are the two standouts in this field, far and away the two heaviest favorites in the field, and one of the two will very likely win it. They are also tough to separate, however, which necessitates using them in equal strength, as a pair of "A" plays. Backup tickets will also include ZONE BREAKER (#4), WARRIOR UP (#5) and CALICO MOUNTAIN (#8) -- three horses with a shot, but clearly a cut below the top two.

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RACE 8: Queens County Stakes ($65,000)

This is a short field but it's competitive, and I'm using three of the four. The top three contenders are RON THE GREEK (#1), INHERIT THE GOLD (#3) and ARSON SQUAD, and it would be no surprise to see any of them win. I like those three a bit better than EA (#5), but that one is tough to leave off completely, given his connections.

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RACE 9: Maiden Claiming ($16,000)

TACONIC KNIGHT (#2) is the only horse labelled as an "A" in this race, as he'd likely win this if he were able to run to his best figures. Coming into this race, the best case scenario would be to be alive to him on multiple tickets, with backups to SGT. SILKY (#1), CHAPEL CHIEF (#6) and ROBBIE'S TURN (#10), all capable if the favorite doesn't run his best race, or runs into trouble of some sort.

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My Wagers

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