03/01/2012 11:31AM

How to bet Santa Anita's guaranteed $500,000 late Pick 4 for Saturday, March 3, 2012


Here's my race-by-race rundown of Saturday's late pick four at Santa Anita Park. I'm building my wager with TicketMaker, found exclusively on DRF.com.

Race 8 ($58,000 allowance race)

TEN DEVILS (#3) can bounce back after a dull hillside sprint Feb. 11. His prior sprint was very nice and he’s proven at this trip on this course. SMUG (#7) returns from a lengthy layoff, but trainer Neil Drysdale is among the best off the bench and this colt showed ample turf ability last spring. TWIN SIX (#10) won his maiden easily routing at Hollywood on Nov. 26 and then set the pace and ran 4th in a strong race here Feb. 4, so he fits. TIZ A TRIP (#11) looked good blasting maidens on this course at this trip and may have found his niche. RENEGADE STORM (#8) was freshened after a dull run here Jan. 12. He can do much better, and both career wins came on this course at this trip.

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Race 9 (Grade I, $250,000 Las Virgenes)

RENEESGOTZIP (#7) looks like this year’s version of Turbulent Descent, a quality filly loaded with speed who figures at her best at this type of trip. She will make them come get her. EDEN’S MOON (#5) couldn’t handle the top pick when they met in January, but came back to laugh at maidens. She scratched from last month’s Grade 3 Santa Ysabel, but has worked well since. CHARM A MAKER (#2) is a proven commodity and may get a better race shape than she did when 4th in the Santa Ysabel. WiILLA B AWESOME (#3) was awesome wiring many of these in the Santa Ysabel. She won’t get that kind of trip here with RENEESGOTZIP in the lineup, but she’s shown she can stalk and finish, too.

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Race 10 (Grade I, $300,000 Frank E. Kilroe Mile)

MR. COMMONS (#1) holds the aces. He’s emerged as one of the leading grass milers in the country and comes off 2 devastating wins over this course over similar rivals. So long as he can get clear sailing for his big late kick, he can put another notch in his belt. That being said, if you can beat him that can lead to a jackpot payoff as many tickets will have him singled. JERANIMO (#5) is quite capable of huge efforts as well, and if he shows up with his ‘A’ game that leaves MR. COMMONS no margin for error.

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Race 11 (Grade I, $750,000 Santa Anita Handicap)

ULTIMATE EAGLE (#2) has blossomed. After wire-to-wire wins in the Grade 2 Oak Tree Derby and Grade 1 Hollywood Derby (on grass), he may be even better on dirt, judging by his tour-de-force in the Grade 2 Strub. He got a huge break when Game On Dude opted to skip this to go to Dubai instead, not just in terms of the level of competition but also strategy-wise as that guy’s defection may leave ULTIMATE EAGLE the lone speed. SETSUKO (#9) was a strong 2nd in this last year. He looked back to that kind of form when blasting lesser here last month. Off that win, trainer Richard Mandella said this was the target, and there have been glowing reviews since on this guy’s morning work.

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My wagers

With TicketMaker I'm able to put greater emphasis on my "A" selections while still having coverage with my "B" and "C" picks just in case. This allows me to maximize my budget for this pick four.

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Marc Ferrell More than 1 year ago
In Race 8 on Saturday, coming off a long layoff is Lucky Rave. He was running with some nice company as a 3 year old and has been working tremendous for his return. May be a nice horse to use in exotics as he will probably be 10-1 at post.