02/03/2012 5:19PM

How to bet Aqueduct's Saturday Pick 4 - Feb. 4, 2012


Here's my race-by-race rundown of Saturday's pick four at Aqueduct. I'm building my wager with TicketMaker, found exclusively on DRF.com.

Race 7 ($55,000 maiden special weight)

Two-turn maiden races are a personal weakness for me, but I suspect this one in particular will give a lot of players trouble. There are a couple in here with Beyers that are lacking but for the most part they're horses with little experience, none at two turns, and therefore have lots of upside. Rather than split hairs and possibly leave off a horse that can make the whole ticket I'll use them all.

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Race 8 (Grade 2, $150,000 The Toboggan Stakes)

CAIXA ELETRONICA (#2) and CALIBRACHOA (#2B) form a potent entry for trainer Todd Pletcher, especially since both have proven they can close ground late if need be, and there does seem to be a good amount of speed in this Grade 3 Toboggan. But the FLAT BOLD/CANDYMAN E entry (#1 and 1A) also fits in terms of Beyers and race flow, and by using both entries you can wrap up half of this eight-horse field -- and use arguably the four top contenders -- by going only two deep. Those looking for additional insurance will also likely include Rule by Night (#4), who will be on my backup tickets.

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Race 9 (Grade 3, $200,000 The Withers Stakes)

SWAG DADDY (#3) enjoyed a very favorable trip in that last one but he also drew away powerfully in the lane. Two back, he was up in time despite having to rally into some slow early fractions, putting up a strong final split to just get up in a very game effort. ALPHA (#7) was also impressive in his Count Fleet score, running away from the field through a sharp final fraction of his own. One or both of those two will be on most tickets, but I'll also use KING KID (#4). He ships up from Florida with competitive Beyers, and he has enough tactical speed to work out a favorable trip. Backup tickets also include Hakama (#1), who has speed and the rail, and Tiger Walk (#6), who fits nicely off that last Beyer.

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Race 10 ($27,000 claiming race)

HOPEFUL BOY (#5) comes off a game 2nd and he may be the controlling speed today in his first start off the claim, as this is a race lacking an obvious pace scenario. CANTRUSHPERFECTION (#10) takes a very suspicious drop for his first start since the summer, when he was eased against $25,000 beaten claimers, but the barn wins often with this move and Dominguez does ride. He's 0-for-10 over this track, and his running style may leave him at a disadvantage if the pace is controlled, but Keechi Bullet (#8) is one to consider for backup tickets.

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My wagers

With TicketMaker I'm able to put greater emphasis on my "A" selections while still having coverage with my "B" and "C" picks just in case. This allows me to maximize my budget for this pick four.

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