06/18/2007 11:00PM

Horse of the day for 6/20


Churchill Downs - Race 6
7 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
3-year-olds and upward, fillies and mares
Purse $48,000.

LILY'S PLACE made a strong three wide move on the turn of her career debut, but couldn't get past favored Star of Luvina in the stretch. She did gallop out past the winner, however, and that race was the faster division of maiden special weight sprints on May 18. Lily's Place showed good tactical speed to best two of the rivals she'll face today, and may sit a nice stalking trip off probable pacesetters MS. SABBATICAL and PURE SILK in this spot.
MS. SABBATICAL makes the important third start of the form cycle after uncorking a premature midrace move as the 9-10 favorite. She finished ahead of next-out maiden winner Bright Line (68 Beyer) that day, and should appreciate dropping back a bit in trip. A repeat of the 86 Beyer earned two back in a key Keeneland heat would make her tough on Wednesday, and she should be prominent when the field turns for home. ROCKETINTHEGATE is a half-sister to stakes-winner Stolen Gold (10-3-1-2, $284,270), and she earned a solid figure in her career debut over Polytrack. She faltered in her last two starts on grass, but turns back to a comfortable distance, and should be running late. UNFORGOTTEN is a half to multiple stakes-winner Hot Storm (31-10-2-10, $839,536), and is another going third off the layoff with solid tactical speed. It's probable that we haven't seen her best run just yet.
ELUSIVE MELODY is kin to Grade 3-winning router Unbridled Hope (15-6-0-4, $272,370), Grade 2-placed router Silent Fred (27-5-7-4, $215,402), and stakes-winning sprinter Forestier (13-5-3-2, $195,710). The 450K yearling purchase ran well in both starts as a juvenile over synthetic surfaces, but this will be her first start of the year as well as the initial race over conventional dirt. Entrymate MISS BARRISTER is out of stakes-winner Bay Barrister (21-4-2-4, $102,487), but will be saddled with a wide post if she breaks in from the also-eligible list.

1. Lily's Place
2. Ms. Sabbatical
3. Rocketinthegate

The play: Lily's Place to win at 2-1 odds or more.

YTD record based on starts, wins, top pick in the money, and profit/loss of that day's selection: 46-9-18 (+$58.40)