08/19/2016 2:11PM

Hawthorne: Sunday 8/21 Analysis

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Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (16 - 27 / $77.60): SUNSET DREAMER (5th)

Spot Play: SIMPLY BURBON (1st)

Race 1

In a field with few contenders, (7) SIMPLY BURBON might offer the better price and faces much weaker.  (1) CARMEN O has beat this field consistently all year.  (6) LIZZABELLE doesn't win often but can jump up with a good effort from time to time.

Race 2

(8) RED RED REDNECK races very inconsistently from week to week but a good effort puts him on the ticket.  (7) REAL COOL DUDE gets a downgrade in the bike but has been racing gamely.  (9) GENUINE DESIRE keeps the top driver off a big effort from a tough post.

Race 3

(6) IYQ YQR sophomore pacer went from empty to awesome last week winning easily.  (2) EVERGREEN ELITE four-year-old gets sent out for a hot barn off a lifetime mark.  (5) JEWEL MAKER well bred pacer looks to be coming on strong late in the season.

Race 4

In a really tough race to gauge, (9) SOUTHERN SPECIAL will offer a monster price and might have a chance with some racing luck.  (7) ROSE GUIDA burned cash last week showing very little in the stretch; use caution.   (3) FOX VALLEY KLAUS freshman trotter faces older tougher opponents but is one of few in the race with some upside.

Race 5

(5) SUNSET DREAMER dropped and popped last week sweeping past late.  If the pacer gets a good setup he's a huge threat.  (7) LUCKY CRUSADER pacer has been on fire since a really lackluster effort a month ago; threat.  (6) MYSTICAL WALTER has been much improved for a new barn.  The pacer has been really close at this level.

Race 6

(7) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH was in too tough last week.  The pacing mare loves to win.  (6) FEETONTHEDASHBOARD four-year-old hasn't been as good this year but is capable.  (5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY has been unable to seal the deal this year; command a price.

Race 7

(5) SPORTY REDHOT nice looking two-year-old will look to get back on track against weaker.  (7) FOX VALLEY JETER picks up a big driver change and has flashed ability.  (3) FANCY CREEK LINK has lots of room to improve off a nice win.

Race 8

(1) CINNAMON SPIDER has strung together good efforts in the past and comes off a really nice victory.  (3) SHHRAYRAY is due for a better effort; threat.  (4) KING OF THE SWAMP well bred pacer is 0 for the year but is getting sent out for a capable barn.

Race 9

(5) 'CUDA HALL well bred trotter looks to be improving and will offer a nice price in a wide open race.  (10) LITTLE MS CHRISSY gets saddled with a tough post but is fast enough to threaten against this bunch.   (7) IT'SASWAN drops in class and owns a win against better on the year.

Race 10

(6) CAPELO five-year-old stallion drew off impressively last start and is right back in against similar.  (7) OUTLAWPOCKETROCKET just missed last week racing gamely; threat.  (4) HOLY MCMOSES pacer rarely wins but can hit the ticket at a price.

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