07/15/2016 1:11PM

Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 7/17 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (11 - 19 / $57.80): TOPVILLE AVATAR (12th)

Spot Play: SUNSET DREAMER (10th)

Race 1

(8) KENNY THE SWINGER four-year-old lightly raced stallion looks to have some ability.  The pacer was also the driver's choice of four.  (9) MADDYS BUDDY has flashed a decent burst but needs a good setup.  (4) CAM MAJIC SHOOTER pacing mare comes into the race off a nice winning qualifier.

Race 2

(6) SAGEBRUSH SID owns a decent closing kick with a good setup.  The 3-year-old also picks up the top driver.  (7) J B'S HERO has been facing much tougher; threat.  (10) FOX VALLEY ELI gets a tough post but can hit the ticket with an honest pace to close into.

Race 3

(10) SVENSSON well bred trotter has already beaten better on the year.  If the 3-year-old is on his game he looks tough to beat even from the far outside.  (3) HOMERSHOBBYHORSE is better than what he shows on paper and will offer a big price.  (4) COFFEE TOFFY circled the field last week and should be closer turning for home this week.

Race 4

(8) HOOSIERS FANTASY mare has a history of reeling off two or three wins in a row; versatile.  (9) KIMBERLEY R veteran pacing mare owns some back class and can threaten with a good setup.  (1) SHAKEITTOTHEMOON gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field.

Race 5

In a very tough race to gauge, (5) MACIE RAE has been competitive against much better on the year.  (2) ALL ABOUT COWBOYS if the 3-year-old minds his manners he probably hits the ticket.  (3) YOUTH GONE WILD takes a significant drop in class with a much better post.

Race 6

In a field full of question marks, (2) BACK IN BLACK shows some quality lines at Hoosier and picks up the top driver.  (5) FOX VALLEY BENTLEY also benefits from a new driver and will offer a good price.  (4) HONESTLY well bred filly looked to be an easy winner last start before tiring in deep stretch.

Race 7

(9) LITTLE MISS TORIE was loaded with late pace last week off of slow fractions.  The 4-year-old will need more but might be able to step up.  (5) PROSPER seven-year-old is 0 for the year but has been close against better.  (2) WINGS looks to offer a short price with a low percentage pilot; use caution.

Race 8

(8) EXCELERATED SPEED bumps up in class off a win but could benefit from a fast pace to close into.  (4) OUR MISS LILY made up a ton of ground after missing the gate last week.  The pacer needed a start over the track and should have more to offer.  (6) INCREDIBLE FILLY will be used aggressively down in class; fires early.

Race 9

(7) RYLEIGH'S LILLY almost popped at a price last week.  The six-year-old isn't the soundest horse but looks ready for a big effort.  (9) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH had too much work to do last race.  The pacer will be firing for the top off the gate.  (8) FEETONTHEDASHBOARD mare belongs with this group and is a threat with a good setup.

Race 10

(7) SUNSET DREAMER impeccably bred pacer takes a significant drop in class; fires late.  (6) SKIM THE TOP four-year-old stallion is one of the best horses in the race; threat.  (3) DINKY DUNE also drops down in class off some good efforts.

Race 11

(8) BEST MAN HANOVER comes into the race off a clunker but the previous mile is good enough to beat this group.  (10) ROCKIN THE HOUSE is facing significantly weaker but will need a good setup from the far outside.  (7) LYONS JIMMYDEAN has beaten similar on the year and will offer a big price.

Race 12

(9) TOPVILLE AVATAR sophomore trotter adds second time lasix off an easy win; big chance.  (8) JACKIE GOLDSTEIN well bred 6-year-old should be much closer turning for home.  (7) ANTS INER PANTS might be ready for an improved effort third start back off the layoff.

Race 13

(1) PRO SIDE has had bad posts and tough racing luck in his last two.  The pacer has tons of upside and will crush this group with a good effort.  (8) ALWAYS KENZER has just been racing evenly but faces much easier besides the top choice.  (9) ROCKIN JIMMY has done his best racing from off a helmet; use underneath.

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