01/08/2016 3:55PM

Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 1/10 Analysis

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Best Bet: LASTDUKESTANDING (5th)

Spot Play: VIN (1st)

Race 1

(5) VIN gelding has a ton of trotting ability when he minds his manners.  (3) FOX VALLEY YOKO tailed off at the end of the year but faces much weaker.  (7) MASTER OF EXCUSES should have had more last out; command a price.

Race 2

In a wide open race, (2) NICKS ONE MAN SHOW doesn't look the best on paper but picks up a good driver change.  (8) NASHVILLE NASTY pacing mare has been sharp in her last three; fires early.  (7) THE DALI'S LLAMA has a bad winning percentage but is a threat against this group.

Race 3

(4) RED SOLO CUP well bred trotter is inconsistent from week to week but finds a nice spot to do some damage.  (1) RUIZ ships in from out east and should be sharper second start back off a layoff.  (5) MOON IN MY SHINE gets a post with options and has been competitive against better.

Race 4

In another tough race to gauge, (7) GOSSIP MODEL is lightly raced and is one of few in the field with upside.  (9) GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS gets sent out for a barn that was heating up at the end of last year.  (5) DUNESIDE PERTTIE mare didn't win in thirty-one starts last year.  The pacer will offer a big price and can hit the ticket with a good setup.

Race 5

(2) LASTDUKESTANDING raced well off over a month last start and could be sharper this time out.  (3) MR MATLOCK owns a decent brush but is inconsistent; threat.  (6) MOTORIN MATT is capable of picking up the pieces with a good setup.

Race 6

(10) FINANCIAL EFFORT made the most money of the field last year.  The 7-year-old mare has her work cut out from a tough post but might be a step better than this bunch.  (1) EXCELERATED SPEED  gets the best post down in class.  (7) PACIFIRE was pacing up a storm late last start.  Mare could be the sleeper in the race with some luck; fires early.

Race 7

(7) WINGS just missed last start against slightly better.  (1) NORTHERN DALI is capable of upsetting at this level; threat.  (8) AHLBBACK YANKEE mare has some excuses in recent and will offer value.

Race 8

(8) FOX VALLEY PIPA owns the best closing ability in the field and just needs to be close turning for home.  (9) BUST MY CHOPS doesn't win often but finds a suspect bunch; threat.  (5) DESIREE BELLABELLA raced big last start dead-heating for the victory.  If the pacing mare races like that again she's a threat.

Race 9

(4) IF I DIDNT DREAM went a big effort last start just tiring late.  (6) EVA BELLA mare needed her most recent effort and has room to improve; threat.  (3) PROSPER gets a big morning line and can hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 10

(2) HOOSIERS FANTASY mare makes her first start for a new trainer; big chance.  (6) MOON BAY DANCER gets sent out for a capable barn looking to make it five wins in six starts; short price.  (1) SMASHY CERISE looked to be home free in her last outing before coming to a walk late; use underneath.

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