06/30/2016 3:04PM

Hawthorne Harness: Saturday 7/2 Analysis

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Best Bet: EVERGREEN ELITE (1st)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY GEORGE (11th)

Race 1

(8) EVERGREEN ELITE lightly raced pacer kicked home nicely last week and has plenty of room to improve.  (7) CHLO'S RICHESS is very talented and can beat this field with a smooth trip.  (3) THE SMIDGE put in an excellent qualifier last week; threat.

Race 2

(10) SULLIVAN well bred pacer was used hard early last week before tiring.  He will offer a much better price and is probably better from off the pace.  (8) ROYALE BIG GUY has room to improve in his second career start off a good first effort.  (9) SPIRITED ENCOUNTER will offer a monster price and can hit the ticket with some racing luck.

Race 3

(2) FRISKY BOB has the ability and will offer value.  (1) RED RED REDNECK sophomore pacer looks to be coming on very strong here in midseason.   (3) POCKET PARTY just drew off against similar.

Race 4

(9) YOUDA SHARK will look to drop and pop for proven connections against weaker.  (4) SAND SHOCKER well bred pacer has some upside but will need to go much faster this week to make it three straight.  (5) WILLIWIN has been close but is probably best used underneath.

Race 5

(6) VITAL TERROR adds second time lasix off a sneaky good effort.  (1) ROCKIN JIMMY has been disappointing for new connections but faces much weaker.  (7) SUMMER SHANDY will look to make it two straight at this level.

Race 6

(1) IYQ YQR got lucky drawing into the weakest division with the best post.  (6) HE GONE JACK might be one of few threats to the top choice with a smooth trip.  (4) BOWEDFORTYOVA picks up positive driver change off a mile against better.

Race 7

(8) DAN D DUNE had some issues early in the season but appears to be ready to roll again.  (1) HOLDONWE'REROLLING has taken giant strides this year and put in a big effort against older last week.  (7) WONDROUS SPORT could be the sleeper in the race at a big price.  The 3-year-old won half of his starts last year and might be starting to come around.

Race 8

(2) BC'S BAD CAT should be much closer turning for home and picks up the top driver.  (8) OLD MAN RIVER was knocked out of the race last week but had hit the board in five straight prior.  (7) MASTER OF DESIRE has just been racing evenly and could use a good setup; command a price.

Race 9

(8) CHIP AGAIN has a lot of question marks but any effort like the start two back and it makes the gelding tough to beat.  (4) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES pacer always showed a ton of potential and has really showed a big late kick in his last three.   (7) DIXIE'S BOY bumps up in class off a game victory; threat.

Race 10

(9) BNGS EXPRESS the driver doesn't inspire confidence but this is the horse to beat if he finds a way into the race.   (10) SIR MAMMO owns a big brush and just needs a fast pace to close into.  (6) PART TIME don't count the 5-year-old out off his last race.  The well bred pacer is more than capable of beating this bunch.

Race 11

(3) FOX VALLEY GEORGE has been knocking on the door against better; big chance.  (4) MEMORY KING jumps up with a big race from time to time; driver's choice.  (10) WHY ASK WHY pacer is very inconsistent from week to week.  A good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 12

(8) TERRORIZE THE MOON has been very disappointing since a good first start off the layoff.  The pacer drops down to the bottom level and does his best work from off the pace.  (4) FRANKTHEBANK owns a win at this level; threat.  (5) TOO TALL TAMARAC picks up a huge driver change with a much better post.

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