01/28/2016 3:25PM

Hawthorne Harness: Saturday 1/30 Analysis


Best Bet (3 - 6 / $13.60): BETORLUCKYTHANGOOD (1st)


Race 1

(9) BETORLUCKYTHANGOOD homebred gelding raced gamely last start and has room to improve.  (1) FAVORITE DUNE gets the best post in a wide open and evenly matched race.  (6) SHADY'S DREAM BOY also has room to improve third start back off a layoff; threat.

Race 2

(3) YES WE DID should offer a nice price in a field with few contenders.  The pacing mare has always been a threat at this level.  (8) KESONS AVAIA ten-year-old mare raced big last week against a better field.  The pacer makes her first start in a new barn and might be the horse to beat.   (7) INTERNAL CHECK was the driver's choice but has burned cash in two straight; command a price.

Race 3

(10) KRUSTY THE CLOWN well bred gelding has two wins in four starts on the year and should offer a big price for capable connections.  (2) B R FLYING DALI pacing stallion is sharp and will look to make it four wins in five starts.  (4) MAJOR WAY is a definite candidate to hit the ticket but might be best used underneath.

Race 4

(10) TWINKLE LIKE ASTAR was shuffled back last start as the driver elected to sit in bet down at 2-1 before coming with a big rally late.  The price could be right this week to pull an upset with a trouble-free trip.  (4) SPLENDID PARTY five-year-old stallion was an easy winner a few days ago and might have more to offer.  (6) LET'S NOT DWELL probably needed a start last out.  The well bred 4-year-old gets a big morning line and has an excuse last week hooking wheels.

Race 5

In a tough race to gauge, (1) WINNING DREAM owns a win in this class and should be in line for a nice ground saving trip up close.  (5) FOX VALLEY GEORGE pacer has a history of being camera shy but fits at this level even off the suspect lines.  (8) BIG BRAD is another horse who's had trouble finding the winners circle in the last two years.  The pacer looks to offer another short price and rarely gets the job done; use underneath.

Race 6

(4) SOMESTARSOMEWHERE wasn't able to get involved last week against tougher.  The pacer is capable of pacing a big mile at anytime.  (3) A COOL CARD hasn't been as sharp since the new meet but is more than capable.  (6) SILVER DEVIL was the driver's choice of three and should improve third start back off a long layoff.

Race 7

(8) ONTARIO SUCCESS could get a better setup this week offering a little more value; versatile.  (3) ICE SCRAPER takes a big step up this week but was tremendous last week; fires early.  (7) JONES BEACH pacer wired this same group last week going a big effort.  It might not be as easy this week if challenged early; driver's choice.

Race 8

(2) VANCE BAYAMA faces much easier this week and could be sitting on a big effort for a former top trainer.  (7) MY BUDDY NINKSTER Indiana bred has also been facing tougher and is very consistent.   (3) SUNSET DREAMER former four claimer is in career form and would be going for four straight if not for being DQ'd a few back; fires late.

Race 9

(6) PREEMPTIVE BID dropped and popped last week and might be able to handle the class hike with a good setup.  (8) COLE HEAT pacer was very sharp late last year but has been lacking pop late so far.  A class drop might be just what the pacer needs to find his form.  (2) A STITCH IN TIME gets sent out for a barn that has some nice recent winners; threat.

Race 10

(5) MAJOR BLUE COAT will offer a big price for capable connections.  (6) FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY takes a significant drop down and will be used aggressively.  (8) MAJOR MONET does his best racing upfront and could be dangerous with a smooth trip; fires early.

Race 11

(8) AMERICAN PAPARAZZI faces easier and was the driver's choice.  (4) GRAVELSINMYTRAVEL had nice late pace last week after being shuffled back to nearly last.  (3) KELLY D pacer is due for some racing luck and can hit the ticket at a price.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]