01/14/2016 3:23PM

Hawthorne Harness: Saturday 1/16 Analysis


Best Bet: ONE TO DRAW TO (4th)

Spot Play: BOOGIE NIGHTS (2nd)

Race 1

(8) HRUBYS N LUCK was bearing out in the stretch late but was still too much for this bunch drawing off by open lengths last week.  The pacer probably needed the start as well; short price.  (2) DAKOTA ROADSTER will offer a big price and can hit the ticket with a good setup.  (7) DONTGETBYME owns a lot of back class and might have an excuse with the sloppy track last race.

Race 2

(3) BOOGIE NIGHTS raced big last out even with dull cover; threat.  (7) SIR MAMMO don't sleep on the four-year-old gelding getting sent out second start off a layoff for capable connections.  (2) JOHN JAY has really stepped his game up at every level, however the lightly raced pacer is facing older more seasoned opponents; use caution.

Race 3

In a wide open and evenly matched race, (1) HTH LYNN ROY gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but had flashed some ability a few starts ago.  (8) JETHRO gelding picks up a big driver change and should improve in his second lifetime start.  (9) DAKOTA ROAD raced gamely last out just missing; threat.

Race 4

(10) ONE TO DRAW TO just missed blowing up the tote board to open level pacers last start.  The 4-year-old now drops down quite a bit and will win with a similar effort.  (1) LYONS JIMMYDEAN is really starting to blossom for the current connections getting a nice win last out.  (2) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN well bred pacer was an easy winner last week down in class but is best used underneath.

Race 5

(10) SPORTY GYPSY owns some back class and just needs to find a way into the race for a chance at a piece.  (7) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY rarely wins but is facing much weaker this week.  (5) PARKLANE INDY has some upside but would need more to hit the top spot; command a price.

Race 6

(3) WINDOW WIPER was shuffled back to last before unleashing a nice late rally last week.  The pacing mare needed the start off a three month layoff and should have more to offer.  (8) PEMBROKE BOOGIE gets sent out for capable connections and looks to offer value.  (6) HOOSIERS FANTASY doesn't look the best on paper but does have room to improve second start out for a new barn.

Race 7

(5) JONES BEACH raced big last week off a month layoff.  The driver opted elsewhere but that could boost the price.  (7) LONEWOLF CURRIER was the driver's choice and will be much closer turning for home this week after showing a big late kick last start.  (8) ONTARIO SUCCESS was loaded with pace last week never challenged but could have a much tougher go of it this week with the outside post.

Race 8

(1) VANCE BAYAMA takes a significant drop in class with the best post.  (3) GD AIRLINER had to need his last start and should be much improved this week also dropping down.  (9) FEELNLIKEAROCKSTAR had no excuse last start being outkicked late; command a price.

Race 9

(7) CAM B ZIPPER does his best work on the lead and is likely headed that way early.  (3) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH mare will offer a big price facing the boys.  She has had a history of success in similar spots.  (5) CRIME OF PASSION is the sleeper in the race getting sent out first start for one of the top barns in the country.

Race 10

(9) PREEMPTIVE BID would have been a winner last week had the pacer had anywhere to go.  The seven-year-old gets a big morning line and can beat this bunch with a decent setup.  (7) COMPANY MAN was the driver's choice and is facing much weaker; threat.  (4) ROCKIN THE HOUSE should be sharper down in class for capable connections.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]