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Hammersly: Los Alamitos analysis for Thursday, Sept. 8
BEST BET: QUORUM OF JOY (2nd Race)
1. MR T BIRD, 2. ALLOVERTWISTABOUT, 3. BLACKFORD
MR T BIRD plummets in class after routinely facing tougher on turf. While he hasn't run on dirt in a long time he has won on it and he's spent much of his time in recent months working over THIS track. Trainer D'Amato comes off a strong DMR meet, and he learned from one of the best trainers ever in terms of success with multiple-level droppers (Mike Mitchell). ALLOVERTWISTABOUT failed to threaten in a pair of outings at DMR this summer after having run at BOI and TUP, but he adds blinkers and posted a big bullet work at DMR last week so maybe he's ready to move forward. BLACKFORD posted two strong outings this summer at SAC July 21 and at DMR Aug. 7 before a bit of a clunker at DMR Aug. 21. But he was racing for twice this tag that day so this drop may help. He's run decently here before.
1. QUORUM OF JOY, 2. OUTTHINK’EM, 3. BROTHER SOLDIER
QUORUM OF JOY appears to hold the aces. The son of crack sire Square Eddie was gone over five months, came back with a big drop to the $16K level at DMR Aug. 4, stalked the pace, finished decently for second and was awarded the win via disqualification. That was a sharp comeback run and he drops further for this. OUTTHINK'EM hasn't had much success (2 for 39) but much of his best work has come here, including two good seconds in April. A bullet work at DMR Sunday says he's doing well. BROTHER SOLDIER dueled and paid the price for $10K at DMR Aug. 5, fading to eighth. He was claimed that day by Treece who drops and who's been strong off a claim (22%). A snazzy :59.80 5f work here Aug. 27 encourages, too.
1. GONE WITH IT, 2. DRAMATIC ANGEL, 3. SELECTION
GONE WITH IT finally broke through and got his diploma in start No. 12 after a number of close calls, including three good outings on this track (one second, two thirds). In his first try against winners at DMR Aug. 10, however, he dueled and faded to fifth. In his defense, not only did he duel but was doing so vs. tougher starter allowance foes. He's down in class and reunited with Baze, who has been aboard for most of his best work. DRAMATIC ANGEL was sidelined a couple months but came back with a sharp second for $25K at DMR July 28, a run that looks even better when you note the horse he chased home (Prohibition Repeal) came right back to win. His speed can have him in the hunt from the start. SELECTION posted his lone win here in the spring. Three thirds in four starts vs. winners since show he fits well with these, and that July 31 third at DMR looks even better when you note three he faced that day came right back to win.
1. DESERT EXPRESS, 2. COUNCILMAN, 3. LEGITIMATE
DESERT EXPRESS was no real factor in his last four starts, but in his defense all four came for twice this tag. So, today he's well down in price. He also was a decent third in his only prior start over this track, which came at this same trip. His maiden win also came at this distance. He has two smart recent works including a bullet to indicate he's doing well. COUNCILMAN has done most of his work here so this is home. He's shown speed going shorter and that should translate to him being prominent from the start here. He's won at this distance, too, so he's not just some half-miler. LEGITIMATE didn't seem to be going anywhere for some time but he's perked up considerably of late. That's coincided not only with a class drop but also being reunited with Gonzalez, who stays with him today. This is his first start vs. winners.
1. FACT OF LIFE, 2. TRUE TESTAMENT, 3. NORWEGIAN SPY
FACT OF LIFE was slow into stride in her debut at DMR Aug. 14 but to her credit she ran on well to be third to her promising stablemate American Gal. She cost $260K so there surely are expectations here, and a couple solid works since indicate she's ready. Good as Baffert is first time out he's as good or better second time out (19%). Her lone sib to race is Declassify (3 for 7, $261K, won G1 Triple Bend). TRUE TESTAMENT is by sharp young sire Hansen and brings a full, strong work tab into his debut for Hollendorfer who, of course, is strong first time out (24%). NORWEGIAN SPY is by young sire Gemologist who is off to a fine start at stud. She's worked well for this first run and three of her four sibs are winners including Briecat (10 wins, $683K, G2 SW on turf and dirt, G1 SP on dirt, multiple SP on dirt and turf).
1. ATOMIC ACTION, 2. RUNBRORUN, 3. JOHANN’S COMMAND
ATOMIC ACTION did everything right in his start at this level at DMR Aug. 20 but came up just a neck short when a good second. He showed speed to set the pace but got nailed late. That proves versatility, too, as his debut third was the product of a nice rally from off the pace. RUNBRORUN could be dangerous. He flashed speed and talent in two races to start his career at SA in May 2015 but then wasn't seen for 15 months. When he returned for $20K at DMR Aug. 25 he dueled and stayed on for second, even if he was no threat to runaway winner Magic Taste (won by 8 1/4 lengths). It's most encouraging to not only see no layoff since but that Brocklebank doubles him in price. JOHANN'S COMMAND posted three straight thirds this spring before fading badly at DMR July 28. However, he bounced back nicely to ebe third, less than two lengths behind ATOMIC ACTION there Aug. 20 so it appears that poor July 28 run was an aberration and that he's back on track.
1. CARLOS DANGEROUS 2. HAWK’S EYES 3. LADIES MAN
CARLOS DANGEROUS is capable of big things when in the mood, as he showed last time out at DMR Aug. 25 when romping by 9 1/4 lengths. Of course, he was dropping from $50K to $16K so surely that change of altitude helped, but there's no denying he looked super. It's most encouraging Bonde brings him back in a spot where he can't lose him via a claim. His speed can help him flee this far outside post. HAWK'S EYES comes here sharp, having won three of his last four, and his Aug. 11 win on turf at DMR came at this same trip and level. He's surely as good on dirt, though his previous races here weren't his best. Of course, he looks like a better horse now than he was then. LADIES MAN rattled off three straight strong outings (two wins, one second) this spring before tossing in a clunker last time out at DMR Aug. 28. It's nice to see panicky drop by Dominguez and while there is a bit of a drop he keeps this guy placed where he can't lose him via a claim. Having just claimed him two races ago July 31 that's a good sign.
1. CORRELATION 2. ROCKY’S RAINBOW 3. TURF CLUB QUEEN
CORRELATION burned a lot of money at DMR Aug. 12 when she dueled as the 9-10 favorite at this level before fading to be a well-beaten fourth. In his defense, that was her first start in almost three months. Belvoir saw fit to claim her, adds blinkers and there's a nice work since so maybe she can make amends vs. this suspect bunch. ROCKY'S RAINBOW hinted at ability here earlier this year when third, albeit well beaten (9 3/4 lengths) vs. straight maidens. That was May 1 - she hasn't run since. However, she's been working steadily here and takes the most important drop in the game for Puype who's had success with this class move (28%). TURF CLUB QUEEN has had plenty of chances (12), yes, but she's run well enough times (four seconds, two thirds) to show she's got some talent. Almost all that has come vs. this caliber so she may break through one of these days.