04/30/2015 3:38PM

The Haiku Handicapper: 2015 Kentucky Derby

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Barbara D. Livingston
Haiku Handicapper Joe Nevills favors Santa Anita Derby winner Dortmund in Saturday's Kentucky Derby.

DRF sales editor Joe Nevills analyzes the Kentucky Derby field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku,  a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

Ocho Ocho Ocho
Delta Jackpot ace
Still seeking 2-year-old form
He’ll find it elsewhere

Carpe Diem
Seven-figure colt
Appears built for the classics
But that post is tough

Materiality
Apollo’s shadow
Looms on a woozy stretch run
This is not his time

Tencendur
Non-winner of two
Took a huge step in the Wood
Was that his ceiling?

Danzig Moon
The Blue Grass bridesmaid
Has stamina in his blood
Should show himself well

Mubtaahij
Lots of U.S.-breds
In eye-popping Dubai score
Don’t overlook him

El Kabeir
The Borel magic
Needed to offset Wood dud
Might not be enough

Dortmund
Mountain of a horse
Has passed all tests before him
Even a lost shoe

Bolo
Pretty good on dirt
Really good over the turf
His run could surprise

Firing Line
Jogged home at Sunland
Without that pesky Dortmund
A dragon to slay

International Star
Gutsy New York-bred
Has done nothing wrong at three
But lacks “it” factor

Itsaknockout
Flopped in his last prep
After steady improvement
Seems a cut below

Keen Ice
Last by more than six
In four of his last five starts
Watch as that streak grows

Frosted
Did throat surgery
Make a solid horse a star?
If form holds, watch out

War Story
Fair Grounds regular
Will be one to watch in the
Ohio Derby

Mr. Z
An innovator
In the field of finding new
Ways to lose races

American Pharoah
The juvenile champ
The Zayats’ best chance yet to
Break seconditis

Upstart
Illness, stretch mishaps
Raising a fleet of red flags
Hard to endorse him

Far Right
Oaklawn’s second-best
Insert “far right post” joke here
Wait for better spots

Frammento
Gets in with a scratch
Which says all you need to know
About his record

AE – Tale of Verve
Crashed the entry box
Needs a miracle to run
Bigger one to win

Prediction
Dortmund grinds it out
When in doubt, pick the giant
Then fifteen and five

 

DarrylGrumling More than 1 year ago
Good stuff Joe