09/22/2015 9:50PM

Giwner: Jugette Day thoughts

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Derick Giwner
Color's A Virgin won the 2014 Jugette.

While the 2015 Jugette may lack in star power and field size, there is no denying that both six-horse eliminations provide handicappers with multiple options. The 3-year-old pacing filly division has been wide open all year long and many of these fillies could put their hat in the ring for year-end honors with two strong heats.

Of course the Jugette winner is the talented and perhaps lucky young lady which wins the $111,350 second heat of the afternoon, race 17 on the Delaware County Fair program. Since we can’t handicap the unknown, let’s take a look at the eliminations.

Race 12 – $50,450 Jugette--1st division

While I’m not sure that home-cooking is a legitimate handicapping angle, it certainly doesn’t hurt that (1) TRIPLE V HANOVER trains for Brian Brown at these fairgrounds. The daughter of Somebeachsomewhere is coming off a career best effort at Pocono and has early speed from post one, a huge tactical advantage in a short field. While there is no guarantee that (5) WICKED LITTLE MINX will enjoy the half-mile track, you can make legitimate excuses for her recent failures. Even her last race, where she lost by 28 lengths and came home in 33 seconds, reeks of either sickness, choking down or some other easily correctable issue. I see her as a strong price play. I’m not sure you can count any of the six fillies in this race out, so after my top two I like (in order) (2) SOUTHWIND ROULETTE, (6) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP, (4) MOREMERCY BLUECHIP and (3) BETTOR N BETTER.

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Race 13 – $50,450 Jugette—2nd division

For me the likely pace scenario for the second division is more cut and dry. Both (2) MOMAS GOT A GUN and (3) BAND OF ANGELS have early speed and form from inside posts. It will be a very interesting first turn if they both fire strong looking for the coveted leading position. There is no place worse than the pocket on a track with no passing lane. I give the slight edge to Band Of Angels because she has already proven herself over half-mile tracks in New York. (6) SASSA HANOVER is statistically the fastest of this group, but she is also inconsistent and seems destined to trying to win from off the pace, a tall task in a short field at Delaware. Plus driver Yannick Gingras chose off for Band Of Angels. As in the opening division, all of the six signed on actually have a puncher’s chance to win. Wrapping up my graded order is (4) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS, (5) SOMEWHERE SWEET and (1) SERIOUS FILLY.

Bonus Plays

Looking at the undercard stakes on the Jugette program, I see (4) KESTREL is a virtual lock in race 7. Yes, she had no excuse for defeat in the Ohio Sire Stakes final at Scioto, but this field is much weaker and she should make an easy lead.

(4) TIPTON TEEZ is an interesting horse who is coming off consecutive victories. I can’t say for certain she is better than her race 9 competition, but she has proven to be as good and seems to be improving at the right time. Along with (2) MISS ME YET, who is having a strong year in Ohio, they look like the best multi-race exotic plays.

In race 14 (7) I KNOW MY CHIP will be a heavy favorite to win his fifth straight start, but what happens if (1) NEELY’S MESSENGER refuses to yield from pylon position with new driver David Miller in the bike? I’m intrigued by the inside post, the driver change and the idea of him controlling the race while possibly parking out the favorite. If you can get at least 4-1, I’d take a shot on the upset.

My $20,000 guaranteed pick four ticket in races 12-15 is as follows:

1,5 / 2,3 / 1,7 / 3,4,5 = $24 ($1 play)

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