12/24/2002 1:00AM

Freshman stallions (E-G)


LAS VEGAS - This is part two of a series on the freshman stallions of 2003, with particular emphasis on how to bet their offspring:

Event of the Year (Seattle Slew). With easy victories in the El Camino Real Derby and Jim Beam Stakes, Event of the Year would have been one of the favorites for the 1998 Kentucky Derby, but was injured before the race. He returned later in the year and finished third in the Malibu Stakes, and won the Strub Stakes at 4. With Seattle Slew (speed) and Mr. Prospector (speed) as the dominant male influences in Event of the Year's pedigree, expect his runners to be precocious at 2, and if bred to mares of quality by stout sires, to be able to stretch their speed at 3.

Expelled (Explodent). A group winner in France at 2, American-bred Expelled returned to North America and won the Eddie Read Handicap. What makes Expelled so attractive is that he is a full brother to the late Exbourne, who showed great promise as a stallion with only a few crops. Expelled has a pedigree rife with speed influences (Explodent, Forum, Jaipur, Swaps), and although his offspring should win on dirt, they will be superior milers on the grass.

Exploit (Storm Cat). One of two sons of Storm Cat (the other is Forestry) who should be exceptional sires as freshmen. A half-brother to five stakes winners, including Prized, Exploit was undefeated in four starts at 2, including victories at Churchill Downs in the Brown and Williamson Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes and Iroquois Stakes. He made only two starts at 3, winning the San Vicente Stakes and finishing second in the San Felipe Stakes and was retired due to an injury. His runners should have his speed and be particularly effective at 2. Because Exploit is from the Storm Cat-Storm Bird-Northern Dancer sire line, his runners should also be followed on the turf.

Forestry (Storm Cat). Forestry has all the qualities to be Storm Cat's most influential son at stud. First, he had blazing speed, which was never more evident than in his brilliant King's Bishop Stakes victory. Second, he is out of the Grade 1 winner Shared Interest, a half-sister to the multiple-stakes-winning sprinter Sewickley. But what makes Forestry particularly attractive as a stallion is that his fourth dam, Sequence, is also the second dam of Mr. Prospector. Breeding Forestry to mares who have Mr. Prospector in their pedigree will create the Rasmussen Factor (inbreeding to a superior female within five generations through different individuals). It just makes sense that inbreeding to a very influential broodmare such as Sequence magnifies the possibilities of producing animals of high quality. In fact, Forestry's half-sister Cash Run (Seeking the Gold), winner of the 1999 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies, is a sterling example of this inbreeding pattern. Expect Forestry's runners to come out running early and often at 2, winning from five furlongs to 1 1/16 miles on dirt and turf.

Free House (Smokester). Free House was a racehorse whose determination and grit matched his talent. He outran his modest pedigree and was a major-league racehorse, winning graded stakes every year he raced, at 2, 3, 4, and 5. He won the Norfolk Stakes at 2, and at 3 he won the Santa Anita Derby, Swaps, and San Felipe Stakes; he finished second in the Preakness Stakes and San Vicente Stakes, and third in the Kentucky Derby, Belmont Stakes, and Haskell Invitational. He captured the Pacific Classic and Bel Air Handicap at 4, and won the Santa Anita and San Antonio handicaps at 5. His runners should have speed and should go middle distances if their dam is by a stamina influence.

Frisk Me Now (Mister Frisky). By an underrated sire, Frisk Me Now first made headlines winning the Hutcheson Stakes at 105-1. But he was far from a one-hit wonder, winning stakes from seven furlongs to 1 1/4 miles, including the Ohio Derby, Flamingo Stakes, Pennsylvania Derby, Suburban Handicap, Widener Handicap, Philip H. Iselin Handicap, and Gulfstream Park Breeders' Cup Sprint Championship. His runners should have speed from six furlongs to middle distances.

General Royal (A.P. Indy). General Royal raced exclusively in California but has a royal Kentucky pedigree. His dam is a half-sister to stakes winners Capote, Exceller, Vaguely Hidden, and Baldski, and is a full sister to stakes winner American Standard. With speed influences throughout General Royal's pedigree, his offspring should be especially effective sprinting at 2. In addition, General Royal has a hidden-turf pedigree (A.P. Indy out of an In Reality mare), and his runners should take well to turf.

Gold Regent (Mr. Prospector). Gold Regent was not a stakes runner, but every son of Mr. Prospector must be given consideration as a sire. He is related to successful sire Marquetry (Conquistador Cielo) and group winner Spain Lane (Seeking the Gold), both sons of Mr. Prospector. Gold Regent stands in Texas. His runners should have speed at up to one mile.

Good and Tough (Carson City). Runners by this multiple-stakes-winning son of the well-established speed influence Carson City should be most effective sprinting. He stands in New York.