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POMONA, Calif. – Does the path to the Breeders’ Cup run through Fairplex Park?
It might for Candrea, the 2-year-old filly expected to be heavily favored Friday in the $50,000 Phil D. Shepherd Stakes at the Los Angeles County Fair.
Bob Baffert trains Candrea, whose auspicious debut was a July 7 maiden race at Hollywood Park that she won by more than three lengths while geared down, earning a 75 Beyer Speed Figure.
The race established Candrea as the favorite for the Grade 3 Sorrento Aug. 5 at Del Mar, but she got sick and did not enter. The setback essentially ruined her summer campaign. Del Mar did not card an allowance race for 2-year-old fillies the entire meet; the only option for Baffert was to train Candrea for a possible start Sept. 3 in the Grade 1 Debutante.
It would have been a tough spot in which to return, and Baffert already had Dreamcaster in the Debutante field. Meanwhile, the calendar pages continued to turn, which brings Candrea to September with an unbeaten r é sum é that still includes just one start.
Baffert believes Candrea is a top filly, and he may use the seven-furlong Shepherd as a prep race for a Grade 1 route.
“If she runs well, I can swing her back in the Oak Leaf,” Baffert said this week via text from Keeneland.
The Oak Leaf is Oct. 2 at Santa Anita.
Baffert has won the Oak Leaf six times, but never with a filly that prepped at Fairplex. A good effort Friday in the Shepherd would give Candrea a much-needed tune-up before an Oak Leaf showdown with Weemissfrankie, Self Preservation, and Egg Drop.
Candrea’s main foe Friday is a filly she beat first time out by nearly nine lengths. Lasso From El Paso, however, has something Candrea lacks – an uninterrupted campaign. Fourth in her debut, then seventh to Candrea, Lasso From El Paso put it all together Aug. 10 with a front-running victory in a $55,000-62,500 maiden-claimer in which she earned a 77 Beyer.
Eric Kruljac trains Lasso from El Paso, who could be the speed of the seven-furlong Shepherd.
Other starters include I Sense Your Luck, debut winner July 21 at Del Mar in a $50,000 maiden-claimer; Duality, a maiden shortening from one mile; and Real Dream, 2 for 4 with a career-high Beyer of 62. Wild Hickory also entered.
Candrea and jockey Martin Pedroza are listed at even-money on the preliminary morning line.
Best Bets
Facing a shallow field of maiden-20 for fillies and mares, second-time starter MISS MADDIE BEE can be long gone at a short price. She dueled through a hot pace before tiring in her maiden-40 debut, but now shortens to five and one-half furlongs, drops to the bottom, and figures to clear the field. Adios. AWESOMEKAYLEE has a pair of good-looking gate works the past two weeks, and makes her career debut against a shallow group. Sired by Awesome Again, she is the first foal out of 9-for-38 mare Getcozywithkaylee. LOVE MY GIRL was well-backed in her comeback, but lost her rider.
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