Updated on 09/15/2011 2:05PM

Fairplex analysis for 9/24

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Second Race

1. WEEKS BAY 2. VIRTUOUS VICTORY 3. MAKIN A MOVE

WEEKS BAY has posted two solid runner-up efforts since coming to this track and to this level. Against this very suspect lot this son of Caller I.D. looks primed to get his diploma. VIRTUOUS VICTORY was a dull seventh in his bow, but it was his debut and came vs. tougher. He's eligible to do much better as Pedroza takes the call. MAKIN A MOVE failed to perform last time when well-backed. Still, that marked just the second career start for this West trainee. It's too early to give up on him just yet.

Third Race

1. SHESMYHUCKLEBERY 2. INCANTATION 3. POOH BEAR

SHESMYHUCKLEBERY dropped to this level first time over this track and ran a smart second for Spawr. It shows she handles the level and the tight turns, and it also shows her form continues on the rise. That combination can get the job done. INCANTATION is the main danger. She was just third vs. tougher and Pedroza rides for one of his main barns, Carava. POOH BEAR was nowhere last time but that was routing. She's better sprinting and figures to do better here under Baze.

Fourth Race

1. A TOUCH OF GREY 2. CHAFFEE'S PROSPECT 3. J. T.'S SONG

A TOUCH OF GREY looked like his old self last time with a big effort for a slightly higher tag. That also marked his third good effort in as many local starts. He should get a nice stalking trip. CHAFFEE'S PROSPECT has won lots of races and while he finished sixth last time note that came vs. tough, $32k foes. Previously he beat $25k foes, which makes him a good fit here. J. T.'S SONG comes off a smart win at FPX and lures Pedroza. It's good to see him bumped up the ladder and so long as he can avoid a duel with DINNERATHEPALMS he'll be dangerous all the way around.

Fifth Race

1. REMEMBER THE MANE 2. MISS CANDI ROAD 3. HONEY MUSTARD GIRL

REMEMBER THE MANE was hardly embarrassed when third vs. $8 foes two back, but on the drop to this level she woke up with a biggie, winning by four. She appears back on her game and can double up here. MISS CANDI ROAD didn't run badly vs. $8k foes and is surely a better fit here. HONEY MUSTARD GIRL opened up then fell apart last time but that came for over three times this tag and routing. She drops a bunch for this, moves back to a sprint and keeps Tyler.

Sixth Race

1. MISS WILDGOOSE 2. SYNANITA 3. NITES DELIGHT

It's tough to look past MISS WILDGOOSE who has rattled off three straight wins since returning from a long layoff, including a corker here for this tag. She opened up and just kept widening and looks tough to deny right back. SYNANITA, of course, also comes off a smart win over this track at this level. If someone can go with 'WILDGOOSE early and take some of the starch out of her this girl looms the main late threat. NITES DELIGHT just went on a 'WILDGOOSE chase last time and like SYNANITA has a shot to close the gap or turn the tables if the favorite gets weary late.

Seventh Race

1. GLITTERING STONE 2. DIVINE ASSURANCE 3. MIDNIGHT JIGALO

GLITTERING STONE was hardly embarrassed in the I'm Smokin at DMR, that after a terrible start. His speed still had him on the lead. With a clean break he might be gone here. DIVINE ASSURANCE looked good winning his first two then pressed the pace and faltered in the I'm Smokin. He's certainly a threat here. MIDNIGHT JIGALO showed some heart graduating here last time and keeps Pedroza. It's no small matter he has a nice win/race over the track, something neither of the top two have.

Eighth Race

1. LARRON 2. LEAVEN 3. ENGELBERT

LARRON drew off nicely in his first local start and it's also worth noting that race came vs. slightly tougher. The drop is a little scary, but then again it's the last day of the meet, so Mullins knows this is his last chance to run here, even if he risks losing him. LEAVEN just missed posted a 59-1 surprise at DMR July 29, then came up a bit dull in his last two. He drops for this off the claim by O'Neill and may be ready to pop up again. ENGELBERT had his value cut in half, ran much better and was claimed. He could be ready for his best now.

Ninth Race

1. LOS CABO 2. CROWNED KRIS 3. TOWN GAMBLER

LOS CABO was taken out of his normal game plan last time with a lousy start, yet still almost got up to win. That's a new dimension, and also shows he likes it here and comes here sharp. A clean break gets it done today, if he scratches in from the AE list. CROWNED KRIS dueled, opened up, then got nailed late as the 4-5 chalk last time. Obviously he likes it here and with his speed figures tough right back. TOWN GAMBLER comes off a good effort at this level. He's another who seems to be flourishing under the shadow of the Ferris Wheel.

Tenth Race

1. DREAMIN N SCHEMIN 2. ELEVATOR GAIL 3. CHASTER

DREAMIN N SCHEMIN looked good winning at DMR and has previously run well over this track. Her speed should have her in it from the bell, and the fact Baze ends up here (he certainly had options) is a good sign. ELEVATOR GAIL dueled, opened up, then couldn't contain CHASTER in the lane. That's a nice form turnaround, though, and she should get a nice stalking trip here. CHASTER's big rally did the trick last time. She'll come running late, but she'll need some help again and it's noteworthy Baze ends up on 'SCHEMIN instead of staying here.

Eleventh Race

1. THE MORRIS MONROE 2. L'EFFACEUR 3. ELEGANT FELLOW

THE MORRIS MONROE just loves it here, as evidenced by his romping win in the Aprisa Handicap last time. He did wire to wire but has all kinds of versatility. He looks tough to deny. If anyone can do it, however, it's L'EFFACEUR. Winner of last year's Pomona Derby he's also entered in Sunday's Pomona Handicap. One drawback to this spot, though ? he may be better routing. ELEGANT FELLOW can flat sizzle early. He couldn't go with the likes of Freespool (who can?) last time in just his second start after a year-plus layoff. This is a much better spot for him.

Twelfth Race

1. SHE DANCE SO SO 2. WINNER SEASON 3. PLATE BOUNDARY

SHE DANCE SO SO ran quite well in her bow, then backed out of it last time as the 5-2 choice. She's better than that and maybe a change of venue and weaker foes can get her back on track. WINNER SEASON has had plenty of chances but at least two of her best efforts have come here. She won't need to improve much off her last to be a factor. PLATE BOUNDARY ran quite well in her debut. Mullins has given her plenty of time since after claiming her for $40k and now cuts her value in half. That's scary, but he's made this move before with success.