11/05/2007 1:00AM

Etched unlikely to give Darley a Derby victory

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We have seen this before. A flashy 2-year-old bred by Darley Stables wins his maiden debut followed by an easy victory in a stakes and is whisked back to Dubai for the winter to prepare for the Kentucky Derby.

On Oct. 28, Etched, who was impressive in his career debut, had no competition and skipped to a front-running 6o1/2-length victory in the one-mile Nashua Stakes. As good as he looked in his only two races, Etched is not Kentucky Derby material because he is by speed influence Forestry and would be stretched well beyond his limits at 1o1/4 miles. His dam, Unbridled Elaine, won the BC Distaff and adds lots of class to the pedigree, but Etched is bred to be a top-class miler who may be able to stretch out under perfect conditions to win at 1 1/8 miles.

* Dump It and Run won a six-furlong maiden race on Oct. 27 and the 2-year-old colt has a splendid sprint pedigree. By Hennessy, he is out of a mare by top European sprinter/miler Green Desert (Shecky Greene) and his third dam is Lady Winborne, a half-sister to Europe's greatest filly, Allez France. Lady Winborne was a prolific broodmare, producing stakes winners Al Mamoon, La Gueriere, Lost Soldier, Born Wild, and Lord of Warriors. Dump It and Run's fourth dam, Priceless Gem, won the 1965 Frizette Stakes before stunning Buckpasser and other males in the Futurity Stakes. Priceless Gem was a full sister to Admiring, who was not as good on the track as her sister, but who produced Broodmare of the Year Glowing Tribute. Priceless Gem was also a half-sister to champion racemare Affectionately.

D'Wildcard, a full brother to the freakishly fast D'Wildcat, finished a head behind Dump It and Run. By Forest Wildcat, D'Wildcard descends from the same female family that produced champion 2-year-old and top sire Deputy Minister.

* One day after Metropolitan Handicap winner Corinthian established himself as the best dirt miler in the country winning the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, trainer Jimmy Jerkens unveiled Shot Gun Holiday, a 2-year-old colt by promising freshman sire Harlan's Holiday, to win a six-furlong maiden race by three-quarters of a length in his career debut. Shot Gun Holiday is out of the Commemorate mare Shot Gun Frances, and this female line has produced many stakes winners, including Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Shot Gun Scott.

* Van Nistelrooy is among the leaders of this year's freshman sires and on Oct. 29, he got another stakes winner when Elusive Lady won the Tempted Stakes at one mile. Elusive Lady is out of the Unbridled's Song mare Song of Royalty, and her second dam, Royal d'Or, was a popular and multiple stakes winner in Ohio. On Oct. 25 at Keeneland, Van Nistelrooy had another winner when Nistle's Crunch, a 2-year-old colt out of the Island Whirl mare Sam Eye Am, won a maiden race at 1 1/8 miles.

Keeneland/Churchill

Court Vision won the Iroquois Stakes for trainer Bill Mott on Oct. 28, and the 2-year-old colt by champion sprinter/miler Gulch comes from one of the most prominent female families of the last 20 years. His dam, Weekend Storm, is a full sister to Summer Squall and also a half-sister to A.P. Indy and Honor Grades. Although Gulch was best known as a sprinter, his offspring win at middle distances and winning a one-mile stakes at 2 over the same surface as the Kentucky Derby could be significant, especially considering his come-from-behind running style. Court Vision ($19.60) rallied from eighth in the nine-horse field to win by a half-length.

* After finishing second in his career debut on Oct. 7, Racecar Rhapsody won a 6 1/2-furlong maiden race on Oct. 25 at Keeneland by two lengths as the 4-5 favorite. By Tale of the Cat, the 2-year-old colt Racecar Rhapsody is out of the stakes-winning A.P. Indy mare Reflect the Music. First-time starter Mad Flatter, a colt from the first crop of the well-bred Flatter (by A.P. Indy and whose second dam is stakes winner and producer Wild Applause), finished second at 38-1. Mad Flatter is also an RF (Rasmussen Factor) as he is inbred 3x3 to the important broodmare Weekend Surprise, through two of her sons, A.P. Indy and Honor Grades. Mad Flatter's fifth dam, Malinda, is notable as a full sister to the great stallion Nasrullah. Flatter's first crop of 2-year-olds are really impressing and it is likely he will be attracting high quality mares in future crops.

* Turn Away won a seven-furlong maiden race on Oct. 28 at Churchill and the 2-year-old filly by freshman sire Empire Maker drew off to score by 9 1/4 lengths for Bobby Frankel, who has an army of juveniles by his star performer. Turn Away is out of the Known Fact mare Averti, a half-sister to multiple stakes winner Defensive Play. Fair Rose, who finished second at 17-1, is by freshman sire Harlan's Holiday and is out of Elrose, a half-sister to Silver Charm.

* Macho Uno is another freshman sire who is getting winners on a consistent basis. A champion at age 2, Macho Uno is a half-brother to top sire Awesome Again, and his runners are bred to be effective on all surfaces. On Oct. 28, Macho Again won a seven-furlong maiden race by 5 1/2 lengths and his dam, Go Donna Go (Wild Again), is a half-sister to stakes winner Kiwi Mint.

Oak Tree at Santa Anita

Mineshaft's first crop of runners are beginning to come to life as late-blooming juveniles. On Oct. 26, La Mina, a 2-year-old filly by Mineshaft out of the Red Ransom mare El Laoob, won the Hidden Light Stakes at one mile over turf. While Horse of the Year Mineshaft achieved success on dirt, La Mina has a slew of turf influences up close in her pedigree, including Red Ransom, Woodman, and Nijinsky II. In addition, her third dam is a half-sister to Clever Trick.

* Vindication established himself early on as an emerging young stallion with his precocious first crop. His early winners included More Happy and Maimonides, two impressive winners at Saratoga. On Oct. 27, Larrys Revenge, a juvenile colt by Vindication out of the stakes-winning Carson City mare Carsonality, won a six-furlong maiden race by 5o1/2 lengths.