08/02/2013 10:44AM

Del Mar Vulnerable Favorites, Live Longshots, and Spot Plays: August 3

Email

This content is part of a free preview of DRF Plus. Click to learn more.

SPOT PLAYS/LIVE LONGSHOTS

Del Mar Race 2, (5:37  ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

WARRENS WILD THING (#3, 12-1) gets class rise off claim & ran big number in close loss lone local main-track start last year. Do note horse's low win %, however. - Marcus Hersh

Del Mar Race 3, (6:09  ET)

Former class horse KEY DECISION (#6, 8-1) might be "live" on the drop. This is his first time running for a claim tag; trainer A.C. Avila scored an upset Thursday. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 3, (6:09  ET)

APOLLO TEN (#4, 12-1) Recent form leap might be more substantive than bettors might realize. Recent DMR bullet suggests as much. - Marcus Hersh

Del Mar Race 5, (7:10  ET)

HALF STRIKE (#7, 6-1) flashed plenty of promise last year and this spring. The wonderfully bred runner was then freshened and came back with a bit of a clunker at BHP July 7 but could be he needed the race, it's nice to see a sharp guy like Mandella doesn't give him a panicky drop or a layoff, and that Bejarano sees fit to stay. - Michael Hammersly

Del Mar Race 6, (7:40  ET)

The turf rails go out to 14 feet this card. This mile turf race can be won by the pacesetter with the tighter configuration. HEART STEALER (#10, 7-2) is the speed from post 10, a bad post that dictates her strategy. She can lead gate to wire. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 8, (8:40  ET)

VIA VILLAGIO (#5, 12-1) probably cannot beat INCLUDE ME OUT (#9, 9-5), but she can hit the board behind the favorite. ’VILLAGIO is worth a win bet, keyed under INCLUDE ME OUT in exacta and trifecta. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 8, (8:40  ET) - LIVE LONGSHOT

SISTERHOOD (#4, 10-1) is a Polytrack specialist who comes off a deceptively good second in a quickly-run Arlington Matron. If Include Me Out doesn’t show up with her 'A' game, this race is a scramble and this mare's affinity for synthetic racing gives her a shot at a square price. – Byron King

Del Mar Race 9, (9:10  ET)

BLUE COLLAR BOY (#12, 20-1) Surely this 4yo can benefit from the badly needed last out for prior connections after more than 18 months away, especially when getting an education while bogging down along the fence. Now draws far more comfortably with that race under his belt and should have clear sailing with Gutierrez taking over for capable barn that shows a minimal number of tries with new claims; price should be right. Might be worth using in some multi-race plays while also keying Include Me Out in the 8th. - Marty McGee

Del Mar Race 9, (9:10  ET)

JUST IRISH (#3, 7-2) didn't run badly when 5th here July 17, particularly when you note that came vs. tougher, on turf and routing. Today he looks much better situated moving well down in class, back to synthetic and back to sprinting. He seems best as a late-running sprinter and O'Neill, who claimed him 2 back, adds blinks. - Michael Hammersly

VULNERABLE FAVORITES

Del Mar Race 5, (7:10  ET)

ROUSING SERMON (#2, 5-2) A consistent late-runner, the knock on Rousing Sermon is he does not finish the job often enough, while routinely overplayed. He is not a complete toss, only a horse that will be more heavily bet than his true chances. Toss out Hollendorfer-Bejarano at your own risk. - Brad Free

Del Mar Race 7, (8:10  ET)

EDDIES CURL (#3, 5-2) thought that was an extremely weak 100k stake she exits, won by 2-5 wire to wire winner who didn't improve her figure at all; someone had to finish second there. - Chuck Kuehhas

Del Mar Race 8, (8:40  ET)

INCLUDE ME OUT (#9, 9-5) is easily the most accomplished horse in the field and coming off a victory, but layoff-laden past performances raise a concern, as does the preparation of only a single sprint prep leading up to the Grade 1 Clement Hirsch. - Byron King

DRF Plus Preview