08/08/2013 12:30PM

Del Mar: Brad Free's Analysis August 9, 2013


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Brad Free's Analysis [BEST BET: Behind the Bossman (3rd race)]


1 TOLEDO EDDIE shortens to a sprint, adds blinkers, and figures as a contender based on his runner-up finish two starts back in a similar N1X turf sprint for state-breds. The 5-for-13 veteran had trouble last time but missed by less than five lengths in a route. He clipped heels at the head of the lane, yet still tried to finish. He is back at one turn, and quick enough to be in the hunt early.HAGIBIS can win if he reproduces his most recent start, a blowout maiden win by nearly five lengths. Trouble is, that race was more than two years ago in April 2011. He has a good recent workout pattern, and is racing only five furlongs. He looks "live" first start back, despite the long layoff. FREE TIME has a chance to steal it. He led to deep stretch three weeks ago under similar circumstances, ultimately tiring to finish fourth. He is the one to catch. Also-eligible FIELD REPORT is always a contender at this class level, but he sure likes to finish second. Closer Looks >>
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2 Runner-up three weeks ago in a similar claiming sprint for 3-year-old fillies, KATY'S STAR looks logical even if six and one-half furlongs could be beyond her preferred distance. She is the horse to beat, but hardly invincible. ECONOMY OF MOTION is the one to catch. A speedster returning from Ruidoso Downs, she won a maiden race here last summer by more than six lengths, racing on a track that was speed biased. She will lead the field into the lane. The consistent GIANNONATTI finished first or second in five straight, including an apparently decent runner-up finish last time. The filly that beat her returned to run poorly, twice. JESSE'S GIACOMO goes first off the claim by Vann Belvoir; the 4-for-14 pro will be grinding late. Kind of a messy race, actually. DRF Picks >>
3 BEHIND THE BOSSMAN might be a slam dunk second out, dropping from a productive special-weight into a maiden-40. In his debut, he battled with Celtic Moon, runner-up Sunday in the G2 Best Pal. The second- and third-place also returned to run well (second, and a win). 'BOSSMAN meets an ordinary field of maiden 2-year-olds and could be the speed of the field. Second time out, color him long gone on the drop. BRIGHTON STAR showed late interest in his third-place debut at five furlongs. He benefits by the added distance of this six-furlong race. HEYYOUCAN finished last in his debut, but that was a good hot special-weight race from which the winner Alberts Hope returned to win the Best Pal; third place finisher Rum Point scored a good win next out. 'CAN drops to maiden-claiming for his second start, and should improve. The past four years, trainer Peter Miller is 4-for-9 at DMR with 2yos dropping from special-weight to maiden-claiming. ZNELLE weaved through traffic and finished evenly in a promising debut at Pleasanton. He also can improve with a race under his belt. Closer Looks >>
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4 Not sure if a mile and one-eighth is the best distance for HUSBAND'S FOLLY, but he otherwise appears logical in this $16k claiming starter. His recent form is acceptable, and his speed figures are appropriate for this level. The drawback is he could be best as a late-running sprinter; both his wins were sprints. This is his first start since being claimed by Jack Carava. He is the tepid choice, only. BIPARTISAN was pressured through a fast pace last time, and finished fourth. Not a bad try considering the quick tempo. If new jockey Brice Blanc can ration the gelding's speed, he will be a factor wire to wire. OLYMPIC BLUE is a 3-year-old that missed by only a length opening day in the second division of the Oceanside; MATTO MONDO is a former class horse returning from Lone Star in peak form. He won his last three starts in Texas. A Group 1 winner in Chile and third in the 2009 Santa Anita Handicap, the 9-year-old pro might be ranked too low by this handicapper. Closer Looks >>
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5 Everything went wrong last time for GALLANT GENT. He broke through the gate before the start, broke slowly when the gates opened, and had no shot at catching the gate-to-wire winner. 'GENT was claimed off that fourth-place finish by Mike Mitchell, who has won at a 32-percent clip the past five years first off the claim (52 for 164). 'GENT ran well all three previous starts on this surface (win and a second in 2009; fifth in the $100k El Cajon Stakes in 2010). He returns at same $16k level from which he was claimed, and should fire his best shot first for Mitchell. MCKENZIES WAY has never raced this low. An allowance-caliber sprinter most of his career, he ran poorly in his comeback but worked fast since and drops from $40k to $16k. PLENNY OF HENNY finished more than five lengths in front of the top choice last time, a runner-up finish from which he was claimed by Cody Autrey. 'HENNY won his career debut on this track two summers ago. DRF Picks >>
6 JEANNE MARINI set solid fractions and missed by a nose in her comeback last month. It was her first try at this maiden-20 level, and stamps her as the one to catch. A quick workout on Sunday indicates she holds her form. First-time starter ROCKIN GIRLbegins her career at the bottom, with fast works. Trainer Tim Yakteen won with a pair of first-time starters during the spring meet at BHP. First-time starter FULL OF SPICE is one of 11 horses purchased at a Florida sale in spring 2012 by trainer Peter. Nine of those started; six won first time out. The pattern bodes well for 'SPICE, though it is no secret that Miller-trained maidens generally are ready to fire first out. TIZAFLIRT debuts with a good work pattern. Closer Looks >>
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7 The blazingly fast KINZ FUNKY MONKEY is the one to catch. She wired a good field in her comeback two months ago, a turf-sprint stakes for 3-year-old fillies that she won in commanding front-end fashion. She faces older for the first time, is quick enough to make the lead, and can be gone out front. TASTY TREAT will keep the pacesetter in her sights. A 6-for-16 pro with a good N2X win over this course three weeks ago, she probably will be positioned second and be first to attack if the top choice falters. BELLE DE LUNEalso won a N2X last out. Although closers have not won many turf sprints this meet, her style might play well because this race should unfold at a fast pace. Closer Looks >>
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KEVIN'S KOOL KAT drops to the bottom for her first start of the year and first since transferring into the Mike Mitchell stable. Her speed figures from her 2-year-old season make her one of the ones. SOPHIE'S SECRET drops from state-bred special-weight maiden races into a maiden-20, for the first time. TEQUILAVILLE makes her debut with decent works, while BEAUTIFUL SPIRIT has speed and the rail. The post dictates strategy. Come catch her.
Closer Looks >>
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