08/09/2013 12:01PM

Del Mar: Brad Free's Analysis August 10, 2013

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Brad Free's Analysis [BEST BET: Freakin Rocket (8th race)]

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1 SHE'S ALL YOURS benefitted from a speed bias opening week when she led wire to wire and was claimed for $8k by Jerry Hollendorfer. Up in class to $10k claiming, she meets more speed this time while racing over a surface that recently has been fair to most running styles. The point is, 'YOURS could be vulnerable. But she is the "best horse" in the field, 8-for-25 with seven runner-up finishes. She shortens in distance to five and one-half furlongs, and remains the choice despite pace/surface challenges. ROCK U UP drops a notch following a two-month break. She won her only start on this track a year ago. She also adds more speed. CHA DA BOOM looms the knockout. The returnee from Northern California will be outrun early, and she will be picking them up late as possibly the only late-runner in the field. Closer Looks >>
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2 FASCINATING ran okay in her debut, finishing third at a five and one-half furlong distance that probably was too short. The highly regarded 2-year-old filly "stretches out" to six and one-half furlongs, and should move up a ton with a race under her belt. The $1.3 million daughter of Smart Strike is a sibling to 2012 Kentucky Derby-Preakness runner-up Bodemeister. BAJAN finished a promising second in her debut, against a good field of colts. The winner Alberts Hope returned to win the Best Pal Stakes; third-place finisher Rum Point returned to win a maiden special-weight. BAJAN has two works since, and can improve second out. First-time starterAPPEARANCE is a Bob Baffert-trained stablemate of the top choice; MISS LAFAYETTE had trouble finishing third in her debut after breaking slowly from the rail. Unfortunately, she drew the rail again. Closer Looks >>
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3 CEE'S THE YEAR seeks her third straight, returning at the same level from which she was claimed for $16k last out. She has enough tactical speed to be positioned within range of the leaders, and might be able to grind out the win. Her record at DMR (one third from three starts) is okay. She finished sixth as a 35-1 longshot in her debut here two years ago; her two starts last summer were respectable fourth- and third-place finishes. TOWN BELLE missed by a nose to the top choice last time. She will roll from far back in a race likely to unfold at a fast pace. TORNADO ALLIE drops in class for her comeback, while racing for only the second time on synthetic. Her one previous start on synthetic was a maiden-20 upset in spring 2012. NIGHT DANCE drops in class following a disappointing effort here two weeks ago. Her speed makes her dangerous, but she figures to be pressured from the outside by FUNNY BELLE, TRIBALICOUS and/or NO TRICKS FOR JACK. Closer Looks >>
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4 A sharp runner-up comeback last month by CURRAHEE stamps the gelding as the logial choice in this maiden-40 starter allowance. Making his first start in nearly nine months, he finished two and one-half lengths clear of third and posted three good works since. A two-time runner-up at this level, he has speed but does not require the lead. He is a fresh horse making his first start of the meet.ROCKY BARBOA finished fourth by one length opening weekend, but his effort might have been better than it appears. He raced three- and four-wide over a racetrack biased toward the inside lanes. Blinkers are on; he should be in the hunt start to finish.BLAZING LUTE overcame a slow start, weaved through traffic, and won a maiden-30 by a neck. Good win by a lightly raced gelding that will be finishing. BRANNAMAN wired maiden-40s with a good number; CONGREGATIONALIST figures in the hunt off his runner-up finish here opening weekend. Closer Looks >>
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5 A mile and three-eighths was too far last time for DANDEREK. He made the lead into the far turn, battled to midstretch, and weakened. It was actually a good effort by the veteran, who drops from N1X to restricted (non-winners this year) $32k claiming and shortens to a mile and a sixteenth. On paper, he is among the most probable winners on the card. MAJOR MAGIC drops in class and stretches to a route after a pair of good third-place finishes in sprints at BHP. A mile and a sixteenth might be pushing his distance limits, but he has won twice at one mile. KEY DECISION probably is the one to catch. He set the pace and tired last time in a main-track sprint, and now stretches to two turns while dropping in class. He will take them as far as he can. TAMARACK SMARTY will roll from the back. Closer Looks >>
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6 A sparkling maiden win by BLUE TONE makes him the deserving favorite in his first try against winners. He rated comfortably and drew away for an authoritative win that earned a big number (102 Beyer). The knock is the field he beat has turned out to be not much. The 2-3-4 finishers returned to finish off the board. CURLY TOP missed by a nose to a more highly regarded stablemate in a N1X here opening weekend. Proven over the track and proven at this class level, he is the main threat from off the pace. SOI PHEThas turned into a tiger since being claimed for $16k by Leonard Powell. The gelding trounced maiden-40 starter allowance foes by more than nine, and Calbred N1X foes by more than six on this track. He might be this good. NORTHERN IOWA won a special-weight maiden race here last summer. This is his first start since fall. He is the surprise package for a stable due to pop at a price. Closer Looks >>
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7 A good field of older maidens sprint six and a half furlongs; the highly rated runner-up finish last out by IMPERIAL FORTUNEmakes him the one to beat. He missed by three-quarters to the talented Tom's Tribute, finished more than five lengths clear of third, earned a big number (97 Beyer), and will be tough if he transfers his BHP form to DMR. PROVEN WARRIOR misfired last time. He backed up to fifth as the even-money favorite. But his first two starts were highly rated runner-up finishes as "fast" as the top pick has run. 'WARRIOR worked well since his misfire, and fits if he runs back to his good efforts in spring. HOLY LUTE might be the best gamble. He was fairly well-backed his debut, raced wide, and finished evenly for third. Tab for a big move-up second time out. He might be a better colt than his debut indicates. Price play, perhaps. RAIDER POWER is an Indian Charlie gelding making his career debut for a top stable. Good works. Closer Looks >>
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8 A super third-place finish by FREAKIN ROCKET in the fast-pace first division of the Oceanside sets him up for an odds-beating effort in this G2 turf route for 3yos. Forwardly placed behind a hot pace, he made the lead in the lane, then lost his punch and finished third. It was his first route, his first try on grass, and he ran a wining race. The lightly raced Rock Hard Ten colt meets only one pace rival, and if the race unfolds at a slower tempo he should supply a stronger late kick. ROSENGOLD is the only other front-runner. He faded the final eighth in the slower-pace second division of the Oceanside. But maybe that effort was better than it appears. The one-two finishers rallied from last and next-to-last as the speed faded. This race has only two apparent front-runners, ROSENGOLD and the top choice could make it a parade. UNO DOS ADIOS still hasn't quite figured out what he is doing, but despite racing greenly he has won 2 of 5 including a smart N1X win last out in his first with blinkers. This race has been the target since that win in late June; he enters fresh and fit for his "class test." DRY SUMMER returns as a first-time gelding; SI SAGE split the field in his U.S. debut in the Oceanside and might improve. Closer Looks >>
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9 Lightly raced GIFTING and GLORIOUS LUCK are tough to separate in this N1X sprint. GIFTING followed her maiden win with a good runner-up finish behind Wednesday (N2X winner two starts later). A bullet workout on this track Tuesday morning suggests the Street Cry filly handles Polytrack. But GLORIOUS LUCK has done nothing wrong, winning both starts on turf at BHP. No reason she won't handle the main track for trainer Jerry Quinn, assistant to Carla Gaines. BENCH GLORY drops from the best races, to the first allowance condition while running for an optional $40k claim tag. She will roll late. Closer Looks >>
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10 WILDCAT CANDY got loose briefly in the chute prior to the start, then proceeded to finish a good second in what turned out to be a productive race. The winner and fourth-place finisher returned to win. Second start back, 'CANDY looks obvious. BIG MACHERtrained well into his debut in the same race as the top choice, but he broke slowly, trailed and merely ran around the track. Have to believe he is better than that race indicates. He was claimed by Richard Baltas and might pay quick dividends. CINCO DE MARIOdrops one more notch and probably will be overbet again. Closer Looks >>
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