07/31/2013 10:32AM

Del Mar: Brad Free's Analysis August 1, 2013

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Brad Free’s Analysis [BEST BET: Rousseau (3rd race)]

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1 Down to the bottom goes HAWFINCH, into an $8k claiming route she can win with a pressing trip. She set the (slow) pace to past the furlong pole last time before fading vs. $16k claimers. Triple drop for the dough. FREQUENT FAME might be the one to catch. She raced wide from off the pace in her local debut that was run over a track favoring inside speed. Now she stretches out, is quick enough to make the lead, and has a chance to get brave. IGOTNOSIXES also bucked the speed bias two weeks ago. She probably is not as bad as that eighth-place finish indicates. KATY'S KITTY has run races that put her in the hunt, although all three starts this spring-summer have been sorry. Closer Looks >>
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2 ZUZU'S PETALS can clear this maiden-40 starter allowance field and lead gate to wire as the controlling speed. She was pressed every step last time, and finished second as the odds-on favorite. But none of her five rivals in this race are quick. Color her gone for the "It's a Wonderful Life" fan club. LETS GET FRISKY finished only a nose behind the top choice last out, after racing inside and between horses much of the trip last. In the money all three starts on the main track (dirt, Cushion Track), this is her first start on Polytrack. COMIN EASY drilled a weak field in her comeback at Golden Gate, winning by four lengths. The runner-up returned to lose a maiden-25; the third-place finisher is 0-for-12. Although a subsequent vet scratch June 28, COMIN EASY sports a steady work pattern through July. Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer and jockey Julien Leparoux are 7-for-21 this year. Closer Looks >>
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3 Can you single a first-time starter in the first leg of the pick six? Of course. ROUSSEAU debuts with a series of sharp works for trainer Mike Mitchell against a modest field of California-bred maiden-50s. Sired by Southern Image (10 percent debut winners, below average), ROUSSEAU is out of a dam whose first four foals are multiple winners (Dirty Dish Mitch, Justdontcallmejeri, Mikeswayorthehiway, Anna You're Up). None of those won first out, but sharp recent works by this filly suggest she is "live."TOOKMEBYSURPRISE ran well in her Sacramento debut, finishing second behind an odds-on dropper from Southern California. 'SURPRISE finished more than four lengths clear of third, and makes her second start for trainer Steve Miyadi, whose shippers to Del Mar are firing. THUNDER BONNET scratched from a maiden-30 last week to go here; WHATSALLTHEDRAMA is a first-time starter with winning connections. Closer Looks >>
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4 The knock on SACRED OVATION and STRONG WIND is they have similar running styles. If the speedsters get in each other's way, anything goes in this N1X turf sprint. But so far at this meet, turf sprints (five of them) have been dominated by front-runners/pressers. SACRED OVATION led at the furlong pole his last three starts going six furlongs; he benefits by a cutback to five furlongs. As for STRONG WIND, he has never raced on turf, but he sure is quick on the main track. He set a suicidal pace last time in his return from a six-month layoff, ultimately tiring to third behind the promising Freakin Rocket. Now that he has had a prep, 'WIND can only improve. He ran well here last summer on the main track. Sired by Tribal Rule, no reason he will not handle turf.WILD MEDIA returns from two-month freshening and switches to grass. If this race unfolds as expected, he could get a good trip positioned third behind the pace. Comebacker UNUSUAL HEATWAVE is using this as a prep, but he does have a touch of class ($412k earnings). If the pace melts, 'HEATWAVE could be along in time. Also-eligible INSIDEONDOUTSIDE figures off his recent runner-up finish. Closer Looks >>
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5 First time for a tag, SCATMAN BLUES drops to maiden-50, switches to the main track, and shortens from a mile and a quarter to one mile. As a son of Scat Daddy, he may like Polytrack. Trainer Paddy Gallagher won with three of his last four droppers from special-weight to maiden-claiming. BOSS OF ME also drops in for a tag, second start back while moving to synthetic for the first time. He will be ridden by Gary Stevens, who was 8-for-19 the first two weeks. MONEY MACHINE stretches out off back-to-back runner-up finishes. CARAMURU has not raced since February, but he also drops from special-weight for a stable that upsets with many types including comebackers. Closer Looks >>
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6 Runner-up last out at this N2X level, DOYOUSEEMECOMING has trained fast over this track since then and enters as the logical favorite. He looks like the pace of the race. FURY KAPCORI has not been seen since finishing second in the G1 CashCall Futurity in December. He has a series of sparkling workouts for his return. TRELAWNY is a Midwest shipper with credentials. He has 8 wins and 10 seconds from 29 starts. This is his first start for Jeff Mullins; he is eligible because he entered for the $62.5k claim tag. He is the only entrant in for the price. Closer Looks >>
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7 Winner of the G2 La Jolla here last summer at 3, OLD TIME HOCKEY has a decent third-place comeback under his belt and should move forward with that race under his belt. IRISH ART has not raced since February, and might be better as a sprinter. But he wired maidens running long here two summers ago, and he does run fresh. The pace of this mile turf race figures to be moderate; 'ART will set or press easy splits. HAWK'S EYES set the pace and tired in the G3 Sunset at a mile and a half. This is the second U.S. start for the G1 winner from Brazil. Expect improvement vs. softer company at this shorter one-mile trip. EL COMMODORE is a new shooter from New York. Shippers delivered with regularity here the first two weeks. Closer Looks >>
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8 IN A WINE TIZZY had an uneasy trip finishing fourth here opening day. That race was won in a romp by Spring Up, the favorite Wednesday in race 3. 'TIZZY was claimed from the effort by Dan Hendricks, returns at the same maiden-20 level, and may only need racing luck. THE GATEKEEPER is reunited with leading journeyman rider Edwin Maldonado after a tough trip sixth under the apprentice. This is the first time on "real" synthetic for the gelding, whose dam Dearest Trickski was a synthetic-surface pro.WARREN'S TYLER S. drops to the bottom for the first time, with Rafael Bejarano aboard for the first time. Closer Looks >>
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