12/21/2009 12:00AM

Debut winner may have most upside

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Most of the horses in Tuesday night's featured seventh-race allowance at Penn National have had numerous chances to secure their second lifetime victory. In contrast to his seven rivals, who are a collective 6 for 75, Burkholder Run looks pretty good with his 1-for-1 record.

The 3-year-old colt Burkholder Run, who lit up the tote board at 24-1 less than two weeks ago, will try to make it two in a row in a $25,000, six-furlong allowance restricted to Pennsylvania-breds who have never won two races.

Trained by Rodrigo Madrigal, Burkholder Run was sent off as the second longest shot among 10

3-year-olds Dec. 12. Breaking from the far outside, Burkholder Run set the pace and prevailed by 1 1/2 lengths.

From a small sampling, Madrigal does well wheeling maiden winners back in less than 14 days, showing a 2-for-5 record, according to DRF's Formulator.

The two biggest threats to Burkholder Run appear to be Titranium and Teenage Distress.

Titranium, who began his career in Oklahoma, was regarded highly enough by his connections to run in three consecutive stakes following a win in his career debut. His losing streak stands at 11, including five in a row since coming to Todd Beattie's barn this past summer.

Most of his defeats, however, have come against open company. In his only two previous tries against statebreds, Titranium finished fifth in the Peppy Addy Stakes at Philadelphia Park - his first start following a 2 1/2-month layoff - and fifth in a turf sprint, a race in which he encountered trouble at the start.

Titranium has three older siblings who earned $100,000 or more in their careers, so based on pedigree, it may be too soon to give up on him at age 3.

Teenage Distress is 1-for-18 lifetime, but 15 of those defeats came on synthetic surfaces. He's coming off the fastest race of his career, earning a 75 Beyer Speed Figure for finishing third against open company in a first-level allowance on dirt at Mountaineer.

The last two times Teenage Distress faced Pennsylvania-breds, he won his maiden and was beaten a length in a first-level allowance.