10/23/2014 12:45PM

Crist: Inside-the-numbers look at pre-entries

Barbara D. Livingston
At 7, Regally Ready, shown winning the 2011 Turf Sprint, is the oldest horse competing in the Breeders' Cup and also has the most victories with 15, but he is mired deep on the also eligibles for this year's Turf Sprint.

It’s time to meet the 201 pre-entrants for the 13 Breeders’ Cup races next Friday and Saturday at Santa Anita. It is, as always, a dazzling group in the aggregate, though skewing a little poorer at the top end than in most years.

One cautionary note in interpreting the statistics below in comparison to other years: This year’s Mile and Turf Sprint both attracted almost bizarrely high numbers of entrants – 25 for the Mile and 29 for the Turf Sprint, and only 14 will be permitted to start in each. That makes 26 pre-entrants who will be excluded, a group that drags down the averages in most categories.

The pre-entrants have combined to win 852 of 2,454 career starts, a 34.7 percent success rate, and earned $121,799,930. The 201 include 128 graded stakes winners and 55 Grade 1 or Group 1 winners. The Classic and Turf each drew eight Grade 1 winners, while the Filly and Mare Turf and the Mile attracted seven each.

There are 41 millionaires among them, but only one (California Chrome) with earnings of more than $3 million. Last year, there were seven (Game On Dude, Wise Dan, Royal Delta, Fort Larned, Planteur, Little Mike, and Flat Out.) This year, there are only three horses with bankrolls of $2.5 million or more – California Chrome ($3.54 million), Close Hatches ($2.70 million), and Magician ($2.54 million). The other four with earnings in excess of $2 million are Goldencents ($2.49 million), Dank ($2.30 million), Stephanie’s Kitten ($2.27 million), and Flintshire ($2.17 million).

There are 65 2-year-olds, 33 3-year-olds, 38 4-year-olds, 43 5-year-olds, 21 6-year-olds, and just one 7-year-old. That elder statesman is Regally Ready, the 2011 Turf Sprint winner who appears unlikely to start in that race this year since he is deep (probably unfairly so) down the also-eligible list.

Regally Ready tops all pre-entrants with 15 career victories, more than the eight with 11 victories apiece (Big Blue Kitten, Big John B., Bronzo, Don’t Tell Sophia, Obviously, Palace, Valiant Emilia, and Work All Week) and four others with 10. Regally Ready’s 35 career starts are only the third-highest, behind Belle Gallantey (43) and Starspangled Heat (37).

There are 159 horses bred in the United States and 42 in other countries – 18 from Ireland, 12 from Britain, six from Canada, two from Argentina, and one each from Chile, France, Japan, and Peru. Of the 159 American-breds, 131 of them are Kentucky-breds, accounting for 82 percent of the domestic group and 65 percent of all pre-entrants. The surprising second among the other U.S. states is New York, with 10 pre-entrants, followed by California and Florida with seven each and then four other states with one each – Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, and Virginia.

The trainer leaderboard looks a lot like last year’s, with Chad Brown again having the largest contingent – 12 pre-entries, 10 of them in grass races, including six in the two juvenile turf races. Next come Bob Baffert and Bill Mott with eight each, then Steve Asmussen, Aidan O’Brien, Todd Pletcher, and Wesley Ward with six pre-entries apiece. California-based Peter Miller and Leandro Mora (subbing for Doug O’Neill) are next with five each, followed by a quartet with four: Christophe Clement, D. Wayne Lukas, Dale Romans, and John Sadler.

Giant’s Causeway is the leading sire of pre-entrants with eight, five of them in dirt races, three on turf. He is followed by War Front with six, Kitten’s Joy with five, and six stallions with four apiece: City Zip, Dansili, Galileo, More Than Ready, Tapit, and Unbridled’s Song. Seven others sired three apiece: Bernardini, Candy Ride, Ghostzapper, Hard Spun, Indian Charlie, Medaglia d’Oro, and Scat Daddy.

Of the 167 pre-entrants who have raced in the United States or Canada and thus received a Beyer Speed Figure, 78 have recorded a figure of 100 or better. The career bests are the 111’s earned by Classic entrants Bayern and Majestic Harbor and Goldencents’s 110.

Now we just have to figure out who’s actually going to win the 13 races. Easy game.

Robynrokn More than 1 year ago
Can anyone explain what the what was the point of putting Ria Antonia in any BC race? Are the owners delusional or what? Especially after all those barnstorming stellar performances all spring and summer.
Jackson Jackson More than 1 year ago
What gunner & timis said is not actually true . I've had plans for years . I buy 150 or more cards per year . DRF plus only allows sporadic access .8 out of 10 times the wheel spins and ends up on PAGE CANNOT BE DISPLAYED . I don't even click it anymore . It's too frustrating to be slapped in the face like that . They make outlandish offers of bonuses if you open a DRF bets account but then deny those bonuses if you've ever had an Express bet or Twinspires account. My guess is DRF has been taken over by vulture capitalists. They take massive loans to redesign things every couple of months and pay huge compensation to the vultures . They will then break up drf and sell the parts . DRF is a dinosaur on the way to extinction . Sad but true.
Horse 2win More than 1 year ago
J.J, I have had an account with DRF for years , I purchase the multiple 120 card every year and not only do I get a discount but access to all DRF Plus articles. The date of purchase is on my customer page with how many cards left and when to renew, DRF has the best PP's and articles and is very cost effective
timis88 More than 1 year ago
j jack, dont know what you are talking about. i have been purchasing card plans for years now and have recieved + for as long as it is stated i would. never had any problems accessing it. if your talking specificly about drf bets than i have know idea about that. but what i stated is true. 100%
Chad mc rory More than 1 year ago
The huge number of "wanna be's" in the Turf Mile only reinforces Wise Dans' position as our Horse of the Year - again.
john g More than 1 year ago
Do you spend enough on pp's or other drf products to get free access to drf+ articles? I thought DRF was trying to stop the " free loaders" who never made any purchases of drf products, when they started charging to read the articles. I guess it doesn't matter how much you spend on drf products, several hundred per year, you still don't get to read the articles. I understand that DRF will not survive giving everything away, I get that, but drf is taking advantage of its regular paying customers by continuously gouging for more money. It's going from one extreme to another. DRF's attempt to stop the guys looking for " freebies" will hurt the loyal customers, but they don't seem to care.
Gunner More than 1 year ago
If you bet $300 a month with DRFBets you get DRFPlus+ for free. It doesn't take much.
john g More than 1 year ago
Gunner, You don't think that is a little to extreme? If you look at how many comments are made on plus articles, vs free articles, it doesn't look like many are betting $300 per month. I'm not expecting something for free. I understand that DRF is a business. They probably had many folks just reading the free articles and never making any purchases, or very few. I think they are going to extremes, its going to hurt their business with good loyal customers. I hope not, because I really enjoy drf pp's much more than other formats..
Gunner More than 1 year ago
Well, I don't think that it is too extreme at all. DRF is an information site. It also provides a wagering platform. Those that want the info, presumably, wager. Hence, DRF wants you to wager on their site. Simple. Logical. Check and check. To quote Sheldon (from "The Big Bang Theory"): "I really don't understand what your problem is."
timis88 More than 1 year ago
john,if your purchasing as much as you say than drf+ is free. When you purchase any pp plan drf+ is free for that time period.I purchased a 10 pp plan and recieved drf+ free for 3 months. So it sounds like your making large pp purchases, you should just buy a plan and recieve not only drf+ for free but also get a discount on the pp"s. Hope this helps. Good luck next weekend.
Raymond Hackinson More than 1 year ago
Sounds like a boxcar payday for the lucky bettors who cash in. Looking forward to getting 'paralysis by analysis' syndrome next week