08/31/2013 12:52PM

Closer Looks: Saratoga September 1, 2013


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Race 1

Cash for Clunkers
Sire wins with approximately 11% of his turf starters and dam won 2 of 11 starts for 45k, including 0-for-1 over turf; stakes winning mare has run some big races over dirt in her career, but her three most recent starts have been dull, and she finds a tough spot for her first turf start.
She Drives Me Wild
You have to go back 15 starts to October 2011 to find the last time she recorded a victory and she's never run a race that is fast enough to suggest that she can threaten the top contenders in here; strictly an outsider.
Grade 3 winner was very good two and three starts back at Monmouth Park, but she was a little disappointing in recording a runner-up finish in her latest start as she really looked like she was going to move on to victory at the top of the stretch before stalling out to finish second; certainly not going to count her out of it, but prefer to lean toward others.
Baffle Me
Her chances might hinge on if Cash for Clunkers can display the same kind of early speed over turf as she has over dirt, but if this miss is allowed to catch an early breather, she might be tough to reel in through the stretch.
She's only finished worse than third twice from 16 turf starts, and even though Samitar looks like the 'A' horse in here for the Brown barn, this miss can get herself into the mix with these on her best day.
Orion Moon (FR)
Feel that this filly has been much more impressive than her Beyer Speed Figures suggest in her first two starts in America; she broke approx. five lengths slow in her USA debut in a paceless race before getting the job done, and she was absolutely loaded with run last time and was only asked to run for about the final furlong; perhaps if there is a concern, it's that she has looked like she waits on horses once she gets to the lead; regardless, viewing her as being a top contender.
Samitar (GB)
Multiple G1 winner is eligible to prove to be very tough to tackle in this race, and she overcame a slow early pace to get the better of today's rival Baffle Me in a similar spot just two starts ago; winner from latest won next out here on 8/24 going 1 1/16m over turf in a G2 with a 96 Beyer; Castellano has won with 15 of 50 (30%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Something really clicked with this miss at about this time last year and she reeled off four consecutive wins before having that streak snapped with a runner-up finish in her graded stakes debut; obviously she didn't show up with her best in her latest start, but her recent workouts suggest that she's ready for her return to action, and like to see her being reunited with Velazquez.
Harbor Mist
This race might fall apart if it has to be moved to the main track, and this will be a favorable spot for this miss to land in, but it looks like if Cash for Clunkers can find her way back to one of her better performances, she'll be tough to deny; runner up from latest won next out at Bel on 6/1 going 7f in a 100k stakes with an 81 Beyer and then moved on to win a 98k stakes here with an 84 Beyer.

Race 2

Walk of Stars
1/2 multiple SP What Time It Is (221K, 0-2 at 2, 0-3 turf), SP Listentothewindblo (112K, 1-2 at 2, 0-8 turf), SW sprint Strike the Moon (603K, 1-2 at 2) by 14% 2yo, 15% 1st-turf sire; winning dam (78K, 1-5 at 2, 1-3 turf) has 6 winners from 7 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1-4 turf); barn 1-14, $0.37 pst 5 yrs 2yos dirt/turf; chased runaways dirt; can be forwardly-placed.
1/2 G2 SW Workin for Hops (703K, 2-3 at 2, 5-23 turf, 1st-turf winner), SP Cryptocandiac (139K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 turf) by 16% 2yo, 10% 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint at 2 (21K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 turf) and has 6 winners from 7 runners (4-7 with 2yos, 5-5 turf, 3 first-turf winners); barn 7-55 (13%, $3.67 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; should appreciate surface switch.
Prove It All Night
8.5K yearling; sire 46-287 (16%) 2yo sire, 1-48 (2%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 1 winner from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); 2nd dam multiple SP Kimme a Star (173K, 1-10 at 2, 0-12 turf); barn 1-7 (14%, $2.34 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf; expect good early speed.
Lemon de Oro
65K RNA yrlng; sire 11% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-turf; dam placed sprint (36K, 0-2 turf) with 1 winner/1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 G1 turf SW Chelsey Flower (568K, 2-5 at 2, 1st-turf winner), SW route Key Guy (145K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-20, $0.38 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 8/24 work match Ring Weekend (FTS Sun R2); has turf pedigree.
1/2 SW Chary (98K, 0-3 at 2, 2-5 turf) by 14% 2yo, 15% 1st-turf sire; placed dam (30K, 0-4 at 2, 0-1 turf) has 4 winners from 5 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1-3 turf); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Discreet Cat (1.6M, 1-1 at 2), G1 sprint SW Discreetly Mine (799K, 1-5 at 2); barn 1-12, $0.30 pst 5 yrs 2yos dirt/turf; expecting good effort.
Ready Player One
155K wnlng, 200K yrlng; sire 11% 2yo FTS, 14% 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (425K, 2-5 at 2, 4-19 turf, 1st-turf winner); dam full turf SP Victoire Bataille (236K), SW Turfiste (241K, 1-6 at 2, 2-17 turf); barn 1-3, $13.93 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/16 work match Miss Squeal (80 turf Beyer); turf both sides.
Stock Yard Hen
5K shrt yrlng, 30K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; 1/2 G3 SW Buffalo Man (505K, 3-5 at 2, won debut, 3-12 turf) by 12% 2yo FTS, 13% 1st-turf sire; SW dam (278K, 2-5 at 2, 0-4 turf) has 5 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (1-1 2yos, won debut, 3-5 turf); dam 1/2 G2 SW Commitisize (784K, 2-5 at 2 won debut, 6-23 turf), barn 0-12 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS turf; jock's 2nd call.
70K weanling, 280K yearling; 1/2 SW 2yo Managed Account (187K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 turf) by 37-305 (12%) 2yo, 135-1009 (13%) turf sire; dam G1 SW (864K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 7 runners (1-4 2yos, 0-4 turfers); 3rd dam multiple SW Inca Queen (235K); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos turf; troubled vs. very salty group. contender.
Good Catholic Girl
23K wnlng, 25K yrlng by 11% 2yo FTS, 2% 1st-turf; dam won route (13K, 0-2 turf) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Chuck N Luck (349K, 3-6 at 2, 10-23 turf); barn 1-17, $2.84 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/12 work match Arctic Slope (2nd FTS MSW turf 72 Beyer 8/18); vet scratch 7/25
95K yearling by 27-191 (14%) 2yo, 39-274 (14%) turf sire; unraced dam has 0 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); female family multiple G1 SW Excellent Meeting (1.4M, 4-8 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 4-42 (10%, $1.95 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW turf route; may revert to rating tactics here; jock's 2nd call.
Ketel Twist
70K shrt yrlng; 150K yrlng; 1/2 SW Catrageous (90K, 0-5 at 2, 1-3 turf) by 16% 2yo, 10% turf sire; dam won on turf at 2 (31K, 1-2 at 2, 1-8 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-2 turf); dam full G2 turf SW Masseuse (439K, 0-3 at 2, 5-12 turf); barn 0-51 past 5 years 2yo MSW turf route Spa; jock's 1st call
Shy Society
7.5K yearling; sire 14-79 (18%) 2yo FTS, 14-121 (12%) 1st-turf; dam placed sprint (4K) with 2 winners from 2 runners (2-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); 2nd dam 2yo G3 SP router Honour a Bull (92K, 1-4 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 1-2 (50%, $40.25 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf route; jock's 1st call.
All Star Kitten
140K RNA yearling; full multiple SW Empire Builder (211K, 2-5 at 2, 3-13 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 33-188 (18%) 2yo FTS, 40-257 (16%) 1st-turf sire; dam SP turf (87K, 2-9 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with turfers, 1st-turf winner); 2nd dam turf SP Shastri (Germany); barn 6-33 (18%, $2.10 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route.
65K RNA weanling; sire 171-1186 (14%) 2yo, dam placed turf England (2K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 6 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-4 sprint); dam 3/4 2yo SP turf Sheffield (Ireland, 1-5 at 2); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yos dirt; good effort vs. Spinaway entrant in debut.
Sire 107-581 (18%) 2yos; 1st starter from G3 SP dam (113K, 0-1 at 2, 2-7 sprint); 3rd dam G2 SW Wild Applause (240K, 2-3 at 2, 2-3 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; expect major improvement.
Clever Beauty
45K weanling, 45K yearling; sire 156-870 (18%) 2yo; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SW Ruthian (212K); barn 1-16 (6%, $0.80 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprints.

Race 3

Brother Brendan
A poor start really cost this gelding in his belated career debut and he did well to finish within two lengths of the winner, but that wasn't a particularly good group of 25k maiden claimers and now he's stretching out in distance and stepping up to take on MSW competition.
Our Emerald Forest (IRE)
His two most recent races have been improved performances, but those races were run going one turn at Belmont Park and now he's stretching back out in distance around two turns; feel that there's a chance that he'll prove to be better off at sprint distances.
Mio d'Oro
Half-brother to G1 winner Karlovy Vary (4-13, 448k, including 3 of 9 turf starts for 134k) ran well the first two times he raced over turf, and he might have resented the rating tactics that were employed in his latest outing; it might be a good idea to look for him to be aggressive right form the bell while making his first start wearing blinkers; runner up from latest won next out at Dmr on 8/18 going 1m over turf vs. MSW rivals with an 81 Beyer.
Tapit Quick
Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and dam won once from three starts for 32k, and she didn't make a turf start; third place finisher from debut won next out at Ind on 7/15 going 6f vs. MSW rivals with a 78 Beyer.
Relentless Ride
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his turf starters and dam was winless from 10 starts, including three turf starts; he's flashed ability in his first four starts and he gets blinkers for his first turf test.
Iron Works
Half-brother to Christmas Cove (2-11, 66k over turf) goes out for a barn that is very well known for having horses ready for better at second asking and note the addition of Lasix for this; he exits the same race as today's rival Mio d'Oro and the runner up from that race won next out at Dmr on 8/18 going 1m over turf vs. MSW rivals with an 81 Beyer.
Standup Paddle
Sire wins with approximately 10% of his turf starters and dam won four of 20 starts for 102k, including 1 of 8 turf starts for 35k; this colt is a 1/2 to Broomer (2-11, 55k over turf); he's shown enough in his first three starts to be taken seriously in his turf debut.
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his turf starters and G2 winning dam won 3 of 10 starts for 265k, including 0-for-1 over turf; this colt is a full to Shakespeare's Brew (1-4, 57k over turf); his career debut as a 2-year-old was strong and now he's making his first start for a top turf barn that can have them ready to fire fresh.
Sire wins with approximately 14% of his turf starters and dam was unraced; he broke slow and made a decent run into contention before flattening out through the stretch in his debut, and connections waste little time in getting him over turf.
War Classic
He wasn't able to get much going n his career debut after going to post at just under 50-1 and he's going to need to be ready for a much sharper try to be competitive in this spot; the outside post doesn't assist his cause.
Quinby Pete
There are a number of horses in this race with respectable dirt form but this colt will command respect based on what he showed us in his three starts as a 2-year-old; he has a live look to him with sharp recent workouts in tow.
Tiz for Tat
He's shown ability from his first career start when he pressed a very fast early pace from the outside, and after seeing steady improvement in his last three starts, he can prove to be tough to tackle if this race has to be moved to the main track.

Race 4

Saint Pete
First part of the coupling moves to the fence for the drop to the conditioned ranks first time off this outfit's claim; barn does so well with this type first out and the meet's top pilot takes the call; his numbers have been going the wrong way, but it wasn't that long ago that this guy was running numbers that were good enough to win this; consider.
Luigi P
Goes first time for a new outfit after tiring from his pace efforts here last time; he hadn't shown much early lick of late prior to that and will probably revert to off the pace tactics in here but don't think he'll prove good enough to go with these; passing.
Shmooz Talker
Just missed in his return to the lawn while encountering some trouble late last time; gelding has been in excellent form of late and he's had plenty of time to get off that near miss effort; finished just behind one of the bigger guys in here 2 back on the Belmont dirt and looks to be a big threat to get there today; contender.
War Hitch
Ships in here to make his first start off the claim by an outfit that's had some recent luck with the move; colt has speed and he was asked for it in a morning drill at Finger Lakes last weekend; expect to see him firing from the bell but don't know that he'll be good enough to take this better bunch all the way.
Hasn't been on the lawn since his debut run over 2 years ago and he'll return from the brief break for the return to the scene of his main track maiden score; colt was all out in victory on the main track last time but he should be over the try and is a pretty quick breaker so he should find himself in a good spot early for a barn that does nice work with turf sprinters.
Barn has had a rough stand and this guy wasn't able to muster much after arguing the fractons at the level last time; he is a local winner, but his recent stamina issues make it tough to side with him getting back to his most recent score here; passing.
New outfit does great work with this type right back and thet certainly know a thing or 2 about turf sprinters; local sod slate is poor, but this guy ran big from well out of it at a longer trip on the Belmont lawn 2 back and he should get pace to run at in this one; he's the one to hold off.
Adds the hood for the drop to conditioned claimers after a series of off the board turf sprint tries; he's earned numbers that put him in the mix here so he does look to be a fit with these and he's won 3 times over the local course.
Fly Ride
Fresh gelding found himself closer to the top than usual in his Belmont finale and didn't have enough for the drive; cut back to this trip does look to benefit him and he'll get another solid pilot for a barn that's had a decent local meeting; price should be right.
He's been popular at the claim box in his last couple of starts and now he'll return from a brief freshening to tackle conditioned runners; his most recent turf spin wasn't much, but he won on the green out West and his off the pace score 2 back at Belmont, as well as the sharp recent breeze suggest that he's on his toes for this.
Victorious Leader
Seven year old wasn't a threat late here early last month, though the 3 guys who finished ahead of him all returned to score next out; maybe he's tighter with the try behind him, but a minor award still appears to be his ceiling in this one.
Precious Metal
Removes the hood for his first start off the sharp new outfit's claim after a wide trip did him in last time; his most recent turf spin wasn't much, but he did encounter some trouble and his prior tries over the stuff weren't bad; maybe for a share.
Luxury Appeal
MTO had little impact from a wide spot against statebreds last time; he's got speed and should be involved from the outset if this gets rained off; pedigree says a wet track should help him as well.
Real Estate
MTO has early foot and he showed it from the fence against open claimers last time but didn't have enough late; cut back to this trip should help him some and though he's clearly no longer the runner he once was, his pedigree does say this 9 year old will handle the wet going.
MTO looked pretty good wiring 4 foes here last week after getting run down late by one of these 2 back; there's other speed in here so he's going to have to work harder for the top, but if this comes off, in his current form they'll have to beat him.
Chasing Moonlight
Other half of the barn's coupling faces conditioned claimers in his return from the freshening; class drop bodes pretty well for him today and he figures to be just off the pacesetters early in this spot; wet track will help him as well.

Race 5

She is certainly capable of winning this if she brings her best stuff and she has fired big shots coming off this type of layoff in the past; plus the past five years Servis has a 21 percent strike rate with horses returning between 61-180 days; horse that beat her in her latest just missed in the Grade 2 Honorable Miss with a 92 Beyer Speed Figure; the rail is an issue but if she breaks on top she could be gone; big shot.
Currency Union
She seems to like it here with a couple of solid races and of the horses that have been running this year she owns the best last-race Beyer Speed Figure; she had a perfect trip from a stalking position last time and there is plenty of speed signed on so if she could get the same kind of trip here despite moving to an inside post; lightly raced 3-year-old also has a right to improve; another possibility in a wide-open event.
House On Toilsome
Makes her first start since she changed hands and the past five years her new trainer, who is having a solid meet, has a 10 percent strike rate with new shooters; this gal broke her maiden sprinting at Finger Lakes but her only other win came going longer in a $12.5K nonwinners of two and she would need to improve quite a bit to make an impact here; passing.
Dixie Babe
She ran well in both of her starts last year but she's been off for 11 months and she will be facing winners for the first time; Kenneally can have them ready to roll coming off this type of layoff, though - 19 precent with horses coming back from a break of 300 days or more the past five years; she's the first foal out of a stakes-winning mare that earned $153K and her works are solid; tough call.
Pow Wow Wow
She ran into a toung one in her latest in a similar race and this appears to be an easier spot; the winner was coming off a layoff after finishing third to multiple Grade 1 winner Princess Sylmar; it was still a decent effort, though, and she could be ready for a peak performance in the third start of her current form cycle; blinkers go on but other speed in the field isn't going to help her cause; prefer others for the top spot but can see her hanging around long enough to be part of the exotics.
My Sparky
Nice win coming off a layoff two back and she may have bounced a bit in her first start for Rodriguez who claimed her out of her previous race; going four-wide all the way around the turn certainly didn't help her chances but she hung in there and finished a close second; can see her sitting just off what should be a spirited duel and if she moves forward in her second start for Rodriguez she could pick them up late; the pick.

Race 6

Belle of the West
Hopes to show better tactical gate speed for the rematch with Melody Line as they both defeated the 7th and 8th-place finishers from last next-out 65-60 Beyer speed figure winners taking SAR-35K and and FL-$12,500 claiming wins; rallied well noting her lone win at 6F; the April-turf winner repeated in a BEL alw. with a 74 Beyer; new rider will be trying to time her closing move perfectly.
Interesting time to try SAR for the 1st time off a last-place finish where she stopped; the 2-back win was game on the lead beating the runner-up and show finishers who Beyered 67-60 in next-out PEN alw. and PID-$7,500-claiming wins; the workout for this did not sparkle; 1st-time Johnny V who is 1-for-18 for the barn since 2012.
Exits her best Beyer for the new trainer but clearly has been off her best game after leaving prior high-win-percentage trainer; the show runner from last Beyered 82 in a next-out SAR-optional-claiming win; mid-pack runner has been better at longer distances than 1 Mile during career.
Raced 1st at the 1st call in 3 of last 5 races including her March win at longer; 38 days idle for an 8%-winning fresh trainer although her GP graduation at shorter than this was off a similar break; know her early then hopes to hang on late.
Melody Lin
Yielding turf and added distance produced her latest win and career-best Beyer; defeated the 7th and 8th-place finishers from last who Beyered 65-60 in next-out SAR-FL 35K-$12,500 claimers; she has been a new runner since claimed but getting up in time at 1 Mile is a major concern.
Saturday Nthe Park
Sprint speed was able to stretch out on grass graduating 2nd off the claim and right off a 7-week absence; winning-repeat barn and the win rider coming back on adds to the appeal but must pass the class test vs. winners for the 1st time; view as a pace presence for part.
That was a big shocker 2-back rallying from 15 lengths back to graduate; eased in latest and the debut was dull; new rider is 0-for-17 at the SAR meet and is her 4th jockey in as many career starts which is not a good win angle; will be taking a wait and see approach.
20%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer after middle moving in last; good sign that the rider of last stays right here despite the barn change; lone win was via DQ on less-than-firm turf rallying from midpack; is clearly better than latest but has something to prove on firm turf off two 5th-place finishes on that type of surface.
Blinkers on for the 1st time ever after 4-0-0-1 since the muddy-6F maiden breaker to end her 2-year-old season; right back on turf but the added distance here is a concern noting 3 off-the-board routes; the 2-back winner repeated in a SAR-100K stakes with a 74 Beyer.
La Strada
Wanted no parts of dirt again posting a career-low Beyer; favored on MTH green 2 back graduating on a yielding turf course at today's distance with a big-late kick defeating the runner-up finisher who graduated next out in a MTH-40K-maiden claimer with a 69 speed figure.
38%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer is a modest 2-for-14 at the current SAR meet; best Beyer was at longer last summer on AP grass; even finish when favored in last and just hasn't fired as strongly in deep stretch as needed seeking improvement.
Al's Rosie
New rider seemingly had other options here but lands here off the closing-show finish; has simply been a new runner since the February claim with an improving Beyer pattern for this; mainly must overcome a ground-losing trip but seems the one to beat.
Has not fired back to the career-debut when just missing; another who wants a wet-main track dominating last summer in the slop by 11 lengths; the win rider lands on Al's Rosie for this; have not seen that good gate speed since her 9F win when overcomng being bumped at the break.
Time On My Hands
Main Track Only entry was purchased by a 26%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer; 1-for-1 on wet-main tracks she is doing a serious rain dance for this; won on a wet track going long; make Ortiz rider 4 in as many races as the win rider takes Al Rosie.

Race 7

Past as Prelude
1/2 G3 sprint SW Street Magician (254K) by 14% 2yo sire; unraced dam has 5 winners from 9 runners (1-4 with 2yos, 4-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Wonderous Woman (70K, 1-2 at 2, 2-11 sprint); barn 8-36 (22%, $1.14 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint (0-3 Spa); chased solid pace and finished ahead of next-out winner; capable
Pari Nath
Sire 24-184 (13%) 2yo; 1st starter from placed dam (12K, 0-2 at 2, 0-2 sprint); female family G3 SW Inside the Beltway (219K, 1-1 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $2.85 ROI) past 5 years turf/dirt; must do more.
Courageous Julie
Sire multiple G1 route SW (1.6M, 2-5 at 2, 3-13 with 2yo FTS); unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-2 with sprinters); female family multiple G3 SW Mr. Greeley (474K, 2-6 at 2, 4-11 sprint); barn 0-36 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/26, 7/4 works match English Star (FTS - Sat. R2)
Perfect La Comete
1/2 multiple G2 sprint SW Munnings (742K, 1-4 at 2, won debut), multiple sprint SW Munnings Sister (246K, 1-3 at 2) by 7% 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 3 winners from 6 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 3-6 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 SW Icon Project (660K); barn 3-13, $8.55 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; sharp pedigree.
Spanish Gold
1/2 SW Promenade Girl (678K, 1-1 at 2, 1-4 sprint) by 13% 2yo FTS sire; dam won route (20K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 8 wnnrs/10 rnnrs (3-5 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 4-8 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 SW No Review (634K, 2-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G1 SW Another Review (752K, 0-3 at 2, 0-4 sprint); barn 38%, $2.81 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; respect.
Ribbon Cutter
Sire 43-270 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from 2yo route winner (36K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint); 2nd dam multiple 2yo G2 SW Runway Model (725K, 4-10 at 2, 2-6 sprint); barn 1-33 (3%, $1.33 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa
150K RNA yearling, 225K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 12-105 (11%) 2yo FTS; multiple SP dam (120K, 0-1 at 2, 1-19 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 route SW Oratory (189K, 0-1 sprint); barn 0-20 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
Riviera Romper
Sire 110-736 (15%) 2yos; G1 sprint SW dam (664K, 2-8 at 2, 4-22 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 3rd dam is G1 SW Flip's Pleasure (603K, 2-10 sprint); barn 1-4 (25%, $2.05 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos adding blinkers dirt sprint MSW; got all wound up pre-race DEL; blinks may help her focus; jock's 2nd call.
My Merry Way
Full G1 route SW Bullsbay (923K, 0-4 sprint); half G3 SW Our Khrysty (313K, 3-4 at 2, won debut, 4-11 sprint); sire 8% 2yo FTS; SP dam (154K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 4-8 sprint) has 6 wnnrs/7 rnnrs (3-3 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 4-6 sprint); barn 8%, $1.29 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint
1/2 G3 sprint SW Taqarub (256K, 2-2 at 2, 5-11 sprint) by 22-177 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won turf (26K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, won debut, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G1 SW Plenty of Grace (744K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint), multiple G1 SW Soaring Softly (1.2M, 1-2 at 2, 1-2 sprint); barn 0-16 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint.
Malibu Angel
Sire 194-1036 (19%) 2yo; SP dam (89K, 0-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 2nd dam multiple G1 turf SW Donna Viola (996K, 2-7 at 2); barn 1-1 (100%, $37.40 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt sprint; showed some speed when behind Julia Tutwiler.
Julia Tutwiler
Sire 15% 2yo; G3 SP dam (156K, 1-4 at 2, 2-7 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple G1 route SW Colonel John (1.7M, 2-4 at 2, 1-3 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 1st call; factors if in.

Race 8

Scat Away
Scat Daddy about 13% with firsters in a 145-runner sample, 16 for 105 with first-time turfers; sire took debut at 2, won multiple Grade 1s, earned over $1.3 million, never turfed; stakes winning 11 for 30 dam banked over $180K, was never on turf; all 3 siblings won; one lost 6 times on grass, none were much stock; could need experience.
Between foes when jostled heading for the half-mile pole, hung 5 wide after; at least she has the 2 races to draw from now; 2 for 14 dam 2nd in best turf result; the 2 siblings to race are a combined 0 for 9; could be more involved early.
Runner was 8th beaten nearly 10 in the other cut back situation; show horse in the Belmont finale graduated next out and the winner that day clicked against state-bred N1X foes 7/20, then was third beaten over 3 in a restricted $100K stakes; several siblings did win on grass and kin Icabad Crane banked nearly $600K; Bush tries to shake things up with the blinks.
Lady Nitro
Multiple beats for a tag, at least she is now with state-breds; dam took 7 sprints, was out of the money thrice on grass; the sibling that won once took a sprint, never turfed; she got a feel of the mile game and has valid speed; may like it here.
Eddy's Time
Miss should have her sea legs under her by now; backers can point to the fact there is turf success in the family in the form over over $200K earner Stepaside; just might be her time.
Bi Light of Day
Off rail, lack of speed is a concern, maybe the blinks will help in that department; 4th and 9th finishers in the debut graduated next out and the winner 6/23 posted a 70 Beyer beating state-bred N1X foes on 8/3; SW 6 for 29 dam banked over $300K, was turf only; the sibling to win took one sprint, lost 10 times on grass; miss is due for a trip.
Back to the original pilot today; both sibs did win but the one that tried grass lost 4 times on turf; respect barn but she may need softer to shine.
Chasing Paradise
Utopia 6 for 110 with debuters, 3 for 52 with first-time turfers; sire took 2 Group 1s in Japan at 2, banked nearly $5 million, was second in best turf result; dam was unraced; several siblings won on grass including stakes placed over $100K earner Scientist; note it took her over 3 weeks to post the 8/19 workout.
Manhattan Kitty
July works okay, what happened to August action?; only a brief factor when an ice cube on the tote; 6th finisher in debut took a maiden $20K claimer and the winner repeated in a $25K optional with a 77 Beyer; dam one for 24, a dirt route; this is her first to race; needs a turn around.
Josie's Prospect
Disco Rico about 10% with firsters in a 169-runner sample, 10 for 109 with first-time turfers; G3 winning sire won twice at 2, took 9 of 17, banked over $500K, never turfed; dam took 2 routes, was 2nd twice in best turf results; several multiple race winners in the family including SP over $350K earner Good Prospect; miss does look fit enough.
Done Smoking
Took overland route from 9 slot to kick it off, had dead aim at the top of the lane in last before reality set in; dam was unraced; 5 of 7 sibs won; one banked over $250K and kin Fortunate Damsel won 3 times on grass, earned over $200K; shorter trip could be right up her alley.
Let Me Be Nuts
Top Beyer was for the tag; 1 for 9 dam was out of the money in only turf try; 2 of 3 sibs won, the best turf result from them was a second on grass; rates upset glance.
La Java
She had 4 Saratoga works under her belt before the debut with the best being probably the 1:01 BG spin; homebred has no moves in July and the drills are on the light side; dam 0 for 8; one of 4 sibs won; that runner, Cribnote, was Grade 1 placed, took 3 of 15, earned over $200K; has speed to threaten.
Dance I Can
Roaring Fever 6 for 119 with debuters; SW sire took debut at 2, banked over $200K; 8 for 36 dam earned over $100K; the 2 siblings lost 6 times each; nice gate move on the 7th; could at least muddle the pace.
Had valid excuse of mud the only time not in the money; she has a shot to respond in this spot off fact her second career races was a huge Beyer progression; respect everything from this outfit.

Race 9

Five Iron
Multiple stakes winner took a field of six the distance in only his second turf attempt in his latest outing and he'll likely be looking to do the same in this event after breaking out of the rail post; note that he's recorded a couple of sharp looking workouts in preparation for this.
He's a G1 winner racing over the synthetic surface at Keeneland, but he is seeking his first win as a 3-year-old, and he might need to see a slow early pace develop to have his best chance to get the job done in this spot, and that doesn't seem likely to happen with Five Iron and Frac Daddy signed on.
He ran well in his first four starts and it's easy enough to forgive him for the sub par performance in the G1 Secretariat, a race that saw him get jammed up in quite a bit of traffic before kind of just going through the motions through the stretch; he's coming back on relatively short rest, and viewing that as a sign of confidence from Mott.
He got the job done in an off-the-turf event in his latest start, but he still figures to appreciate getting back over turf for this; he was disappointing in his first start as a 3-year-old, but it's been three wins since, and he was particularly good when beating today's rival Joha two back, a race where he had to overcome a slow early pace.
Frac Daddy
Grade 1 stakes placed colt ran very well in his first few career starts, and after not living up to the hype along the Triple Crown trail, perhaps the move to turf is going to prove to be a key for him; that said, he finds himself in against much tougher in his second turf attempt.
Favor Factor
He put together a very sharp performance in getting the job done in his latest start and he just left that field behind through the final furlong; he's hinted at ability from day one and he appears to be ready to take his game to the next level; Castellano has won with 15 of 50 (30%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Son of top turf influence War Front has run well since being placed back over turf four starts ago, but he was beaten by a couple of today's rivals just two starts back, and he's going to need to step up his game to prove to be the one in this spot.
There are a few horses in the main body of this race that have run well over dirt and this colt has finished behind a couple of today's rivals in his recent starts; prefer the other two Pletcher-trained colts in here over this one
Saint Vigeur
Multiple graded stakes placed performer has seen his form improve with the addition of blinkers; he ran into a buzzsaw over a sloppy track in Freedom Child two back and then ran into Moreno in the Dwyer, and that one has since run big in both the Jim Dandy and Travers.
His lack of early speed is a little bit of a concern, but have to respect his recent form, including a G1 stakes placing in his latest start, and he was a sharp winner in his only start over the main track here in his career debut; obvious threat if he gets to go.

Race 10

Brazen Persuasion
She ran a huge race in the Schuylerville; battled Yes Liz through torrid fractions, then battled with Bahnah the length of the stretch; draws the inside so Rosie will likely send one more time; she's fast enough to make the lead, but figures to take at least some pressure and must go another furlong; talented filly can't be discounted for red-hot barn.
So impressive when winning her debut under a mere hand ride and it looked like she was going to blow right by Brazen Persuasion with a 3 wide burst on the turn in the Schuylerville; battled gamely and may work out a stalking trip behind a very good pace; demand value on this little filly as she stretches out to seven, but she wouldn't be a surprise.
Designer Legs
Took a good bump at the start of the Adirondack and tracked the pace while 3-4 wide going into the turn; drifted in a bit under right-handed urging and battled hard to the wire, missing by a neck and being put up by the stewards; should get plenty of pace to rally into, but this looks like a tougher spot; prefer underneath.
Sweet Reason
Broke slowly from the inside post and was completely outsprinted in the early going, but she looked like she was shot out of a cannon on the turn and blew past the shellshocked leader in midstretch; earned a competitive figure, but it was over a wet track and these are much tougher horses; interesting at a decent price.
Dancing House
Didn't run very fast in her debut, but this well-bred gray displayed some grit; was squeezed a bit at the start and raced in and among horses entering the turn before wheeling outside turning for home; wore down the pacesetter late and will appreciate the extra distance; has upside, but finds a tough spot for the 1st race vs. winners.
The debut was like breaking sticks as she was hustled to the front, made her own pace and scampered on home under a hand ride; they ran 1-2-3 around the track, however, with nothing coming from behind; drew a good attack post, but the pace should be much faster than in the debut; hard to knock.
Art of the Game
Beaten by Stopchargingmaria in the well-bet debut, but she broke terribly that day and lost all chance after the first 100 yards; returned to wire a subpar field through moderate splits 2 weeks ago and will likely have to rate off faster fractions here; this is a pretty tough task; prefer others.
True Blue Nation
May have taken advantage of a speed-favoring track when upsetting the now-exposed Predicate at Belmont; broke poorly and was outsprinted when those fast ones blasted away in the Schyulerville; jock eased up on her the final sixteenth so don't read too much into the margin of defeat; must improve.
Sweet Whiskey
Was the buzz horse for her debut and didn't disappoint, pouring it on her foes in the stretch under a stiff hand ride; that race was fast from start to finish and she draws a comfortable outside post here; shouldn't be too far away when they turn for home; logical.

Race 11

Tiz Adonis
Earned a career best number at this trip and level and now he'll move to the fence off that placing; didn't get much pace in front of him in that one but the clip does figure to be better in this heat; slight move forward puts this sophomore in the mix and the price should again be right.
Fast Falcon
First part of the coupling gets huge class relief after facing some of the better older runners in the country; 4 year old was dull all the way in the G1 Whitney early last month, but his prior handful of efforts earned numbers that would be tough to handle if he ran back to them here; he remains a limited winner who has settled for plenty of minor awards and the price will be short, but they'll have him to beat.
Box Office
Switches surfaces and begins from a better draw after tiring in his local turf debut; gelding was making his first start since the troubled beaten chalk effort against a decent one in his inner track finale last time and his prior try earned a number that fits well in here; barn is winless locally but they call upon the meet's top pilot and this guy did breeze a couple of weeks back as if he's on his toes for this; don't overlook.
Graded SP sophomore tried older for the initial time in his local turf debut last time out and didn't have much impact with the new shades in that troubled heat; he did run into some capable 3 year olds earlier in the year and maybe he moves forward with his return to the main track at this preliminary allowance level; price warrants him a look.
Kid Sidney
He's been right there at the finish of each of his 2 local spins at the trip and level this summer; gelding has had plenty of chances in this condition, however, and he does catch a pretty good bunch in this spot; prefer to limit his use to underneath while going for a barn whose runners have settled for a lot of minor prizes at the stand.
North Ocean
Looked good beating cheaper in his first start off the barn's claim and is in search of his fourth straight score; his positional foot always has him in a good spot to make a run and he is on the improve; in his current form he can't be overlooked, but he does catch the toughest field he's faced to date in here.
Truth Is
He was pretty professional in his sprint debut score here last month, settling behind a hot clip and running on when asked; he'll tackle with winners and 9 panels for the initial time here and that's not an easy transition; sire's side of the pedigree suggests he'll handle the added ground, but his dam and his lone winning sib - a full brother - were both sprint winners who failed to win routing; barn does stretch them out well, though, and last week's drill says he has more in the tank.
Nevada Kid
Barn's other half starts from the outside slot while stretching back out in here; colt does have speed so he should be prominent from the bell, but he'll tackle a 2 turn route for the first time in this spot and that's no easy task; expecting they'll try to send him with Ortiz getting aboard so if he's able to clear they may have to come and get him.

Race 12

Distinct improvement in that second run way back in April when chasing the pace; has shown some life in the returning work tab; her sire won multiple G1s and 5.75 million; the dam won 3 of 14 and 69K; there are no winning siblings to mention; puzzling.
Medium of Exchange
Been breezing well here for more than a month after earning several checks at Oaklawn; seven furlongs will likely suit her style and she picks up Napravnik who has done very well for these connections in the past; consider.
That was a sharp effort in her local debut and the blinker addition obviously did her a world of good in that try; the problem today is the probable soft pace that seems in store; may arrive too late as a result.
Golden Rule
This beaten favorite lands into a field without much early speed and may find herself closer to the lead today; debut race last season featured a very strong rally; can upgrade suddenly with this being her first start for a tag.
Darnley Bay
Considering the layoff of just over a year, that was a commendable placing last time out; should be within range of the easy pace that is expected this afternoon and perhaps the extra furlong will pose no problem; money chances.
Has experience at the course and distance but exits a race which featured a modest pace and final time; will have to improve her game here to end the drought; cannot be given the top vote but warrants some play at the tail end of your exotics.
Wedding Lass
Only one blemish on the record and she had a legit excuse that day; her sire won 3 of 15 starts and 44K while the dam went 2 for 7 earning 15K; there are no winning siblings to mention; should fare better against this line-up.
Rt. Sixty Seven
Goes back to blinkers but remains a thin take; best efforts have been at distance far beyond today's and this could be a mere prep; must somehow avoid another extra-wide trip which has been the case in recent efforts.
Malibu Queen
Decent try in her main track debut last time out; unlucky lass lost plenty of energy prior to the start and is from prolific and successful sire Malibu Moon; draws a favorable attack post and must be respected.
Work N Flirt
On pace theory, this is the right play; she was chasing swift early splits in all starts this year and may be able to dictate the tempo throughout this afternoon; worth serious backing if front-runners have won the majority of the races on the card.