07/27/2013 12:27PM

Closer Looks: Saratoga July 28, 2013

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Race 1

Winning Cause
He's a Grade 3 winner over the synthetic surface at Keeneland, and when considering he has turf in his pedigree, he deserves another chance to see what he can do racing over grass; it certainly looks like he got over turf well in a four-furlong workout here on July 22.
 
Bellarmine
This colt was a sharp runner up in his career debut, his only turf start, and he's a 1/2 to G3 winner Aly's Alley (6-36, 902k, including 3 of 21 turf starts for 517k) and Schleprock (7-28, 109k, including 6 of 18 turf starts for 80k); he's a very interesting player while making his second turf start.
 
One More Cat
His form has taken a noticeable turn for the better since being placed over turf two starts ago and he's finished up very strong in those two starts; he loses the services of Rosario to another in here, but this colt commands his share of respect.
 
Flying Bird
He has a shaky look to him after a couple of poor performances prior to this event, but he's by a fine turf sire, and he did run very well in his first two turf starts as a 2-year-old; third place finisher from latest won next out at Prx on 7/9 going 1m over turf vs. 25k OPC's with a 93 Beyer.
 
Hamp
Respect the winning performance he showed up with in his first route attempt in his latest outing but this stakes placed colt finds himself facing a much tougher assignment this time around; he'd be a bit of a surprise if he were to get the better of this field.
 
Play It Loud
Lightly raced 3-year-old has displayed a lot of talent in two of his first three starts, including a G3 stakes placing in his latest outing, and the winner from his latest race returned to win next out at Bel on 7/13 going 1 1/16m over turf in a 100k stakes with an 86 Beyer; he's out of a multiple graded stakes winning dam who won 7 of 16 starts for 595k, including 2 of 3 turf starts for 132k.
 
Joha
Like to see the way that he bounced back with a sharper run in his second start as a 3-year-old but he did benefit from an ideal early pace scenario and the early tempo in here figures to be a bit quicker; certainly not counting this G1 winner out of it, but others entice more.
 
Elusive Son
He has a chance to prove to be a useful 20k claim for his current connections but this has to be considered a tough spot for him to land in; third place finisher from latest won next out at Del on 7/17 going 7 1/2f over turf vs. 25-20k N2L claimers with a 67 Beyer; dam was a multiple graded stakes winner while winning 9 of 19 starts for 625k, including 3 of 4 turf starts for 177k.
 
The Truth and K G
A couple of horses in the main body of this race have shown the ability to run well over dirt, but this will be a favorable spot for this G3 stakes placed runner to land in if this race has to be taken off the turf; Ortiz is a go-to rider for this barn.
 
Tenango
He carries multiple stakes placed credentials with him and he really hasn't run a bad race since moving into this barn; not sure how much the traffic trouble impacted where he finished in his latest start, but he ran well after chasing a fast early pace.

Race 2

Rau Breck
100K yrlng; 1/2 turf SP Sahaat (72K France), G2 turf SW Shakis (1-2 at 2) by 10% 2yo FTS, 10% 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (13K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners/8 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-6 turf); dam 1/2 SP (South Africa) Andrea Dora; barn 1-14 (7%, $3.45 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 6/15, 7/22 works match Stroll to Victory (FTS Sat. R2)
 
Red Constitution
52K yearling; sire 12-97 (12%) 2yo FTS, 3-111 (3%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (113K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 turf SW Apasionata Sonata (155K); barn 5-48 (10%, $3.39 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-2 turf).
 
Samurai's Honor
85K yrlng; 1/2 2yo SW Passport (279K, 2-11 turf, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner) by 9% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-turf sire; dam multiple G3 SW (888K, 0-1 at 2, 1-5 turf) with 3 winners/4 runners (2-4 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-4 turf, 1 first-turf winner); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 6/30 work matches Feels So Right (FTS Thurs. R5)
 
Illapa
70K wnlng, 280K yrlng; 1/2 2yo SW Managed Account (159K, FTS winner, 0-1 turf) by 12% 2yo FTS, 13% 1st-turf sire; dam G1 SW (864K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners/6 runners (1-3 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 0-3 turf); barn 8-137 (6%) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-9 turf); 6/13 matches Art of the Game (4th FTS 33 Beyer dirt MSW 7/19)
 
Macaroon
Sire 109-718 (15%) 2yo, 125-1076 (12%) turf; dam G2 route SW (557K, 1-7 at 2, 4-14 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple 2yo G1 SW Midshipman (1.5M); barn 2-9 (22%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo sprint-route turf MSW (1-3 Spa); perhaps more early speed here.
 
Murmure
1/2 turf SP Skating (44K), turf SW Medolina (130K, 1-1 at 2, 1st-turf winner) by 11% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-turf sire; SP dam (96K, 2-6 turf, 1st-turf winner) has 3 winners/3 runners (1-1 2yos, FTS winner, 2-3 turf, 1 first-turf winner); barn 6-37 (16%) pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/15 work matches Candy Kitty (2nd 78 Beyer turf MSW 7/22)
 
Spangled Banner
55K wnlng; 1/2 multiple SW Ladyecho (381K, 2-6 at 2, 0-2 turf), G2-placed router Whatdreamsrmadeof (137K, 1-4 at 2, FTS winner) by 22% 2yo FTS, 8% 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 4 winners/6 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 0-3 turfers); dam 1/2 SW Gold Star Deputy (416K); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS turf
 
Striking Style
280K yrlng; 1/2 G3 turf SP Aquitaine (112K, 0-2 at 2) by 14% 2yo FTS, 11% 1st-turf sire; dam 2yo G1 SP router (95K, FTS winner) with 3 winners/4 runners (0-1 2yos, 1-3 turfers); dam 1/2 SP turf sprinter Pink Diamond (131K); barn 2-12 (17%, $5.72 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route (1-2 Spa); 6/22 work matches Jasper Lake (50 dirt Beyer)
 
Miss Frost
57K RNA yearling, 105K 2yo after 2F work 22.2; 1/2 2yo turf SP Prizefighting (117K, Europe) by 16-99 (16%) 2yo, 3-26 (12%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 4 winners from 6 runners (2-4 2yos, 1-4 turfers; dam 1/2 turf SP Petrovich (England); barn 1-11 (9%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo dirt/turf; jock's 1st call
 
Granny Mc's Kitten
Full G2 trf SW Kitten's Dumplings (433K, 2-4 at 2, FTS wnr, 1st-trf wnr) by 18% 2yo FTS, 16% 1st-trf sire; dam route wnnr (68K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 trf) with 2 wnnrs/2 rnnrs (1-2 2yos, FTS wnnr, 1-2 trf, 1 first-trf wnnr); barn 5-26 ($2.11 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 6/10 work .05 faster Ready to Act (1st 73 Beyer 7/22 turf MSW); jock's 1st call
 
Prove It All Night
8.5K yearling; sire 10-82 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP Kimme a Star (173K); barn 3-25 (12%, $2.01 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-4 Spa); jock's 2nd call.
 
Ocean Boulevard
Sire 114-785 (15%) 2yos; SW dam (184K, 0-3 at 2, 2-5 sprints) has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Susan's Angel (350K); barn 0-16 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos/1st-time Lasix MSW dirt sprints; jock's 2nd call
 
Dancing House
Sire 31-250 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam multiple G1 SW (1.7M, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint) with 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, FTS winner, 1-3 sprints); dam 1/2 G3 SW Forest Grove (281K); barn 9-49 (18%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

Race 3

Moonlight Caper
Shipper tries winners for the first time while returning to the lawn for the first time since fading from her pace efforts at Keeneland in the spring; filly is kin to a couple of multiple main track winners including G2 SP router and 442K earner Join in the Dance so there's ability in the family and now that she's figured things out maybe she's got another move forward in her; concern is that this may just not be her preferred footing; siding with others.
 
Grenoble
Barn's runners have been ready here thus far and this gal wasn't bad on the downstate green prior to the time; she does have local course experience and she wasn't far off the rest while chasing a runaway winner here last summer; price figures to be right but her slate suggests a minor award is her likely ceiling.
 
Riolama
Field's highest last out Beyer earner has started just once this year and she's been off better than 3 months since the try, but it was an excellent effort into a slow clip; she has run well fresh in the past and this sharp outfit names its first call pilot for her return from the break; don't know that she's gonna get a lot of pace in front of her in this one, but her maiden win going longer over the course last summer was pretty good; though she probably won't offer much value she does look to be the one to beat.
 
Town Flirt
Beaten Delaware chalk makes her local return for a barn that's fired with its limited runners at the stand; mare was quite good in Florida in her prior couple of efforts at the level and this outfit moves them forward second time back from the break; one to consider.
 
Riverboat Queen
Pletcher filly didn't do much in her first crack against older in Jersey last time and came up empty against a stakes field of her peers prior to that one; she did run well on this circuit 3 starts back but she's going to need to step things up off what she's done of late to prove a threat in here.
 
Clearbrook
First part of the entry came from out of it to run down maidens in her career debut over a Belmont turf course with some give in it; she's had a couple of months to get over the effort and she has been working regularly in the interim so maybe this 180K yearling buy is set to take step forward in her first with winners; can't overlook.
 
Strike Charmer
Cuts back a bit after running down maidens in her third career start in Kentucky; she's found herself stuck in wide spots in each of her 3 starts and a similar trip could hamper her run significantly over this course as she tackles winners for the first time; siding against the repeat.
 
Ezpz Lemon Squeeze
Failed at this level 3 starts back in Florida but has since run a couple of bang up races against conditioned claimers on this circuit; filly ran down a slow pace first time for this barn and she was ok over the course a couple of summers back; numbers are a little on the light side but she's certainly in shape.
 
Sustained
Other part of the entry found herself on the lead from the inside slot as the chalk in her first start of the year and she understandably tired late; filly worked quite well on the main track here last weekend and she doesn't face a lot of speed in this spot so it wouldn't be a surprise to see her again involved from the bell in her return to the scene of the impressive score first time on the green; main danger.
 
Enchanting Lisa
Ran away from maidens first on on synthetic footing at Presque Isle and now she'll tackle both winners and the lawn for the initial time; barn has been right there with each of its runners at the stand and they boast some recent luck with its stock getting Lasix for the initial time; sire gets about 14% first time surface winners from his offspring and the dam did drop a couple of turf winners including one you may have heard of - multiple G1 SW and 4.1 million earner Wise Dan, reigning Horse of the Year and 8 time grass winner from 9 tries over the stuff; has a right to keep improving.
 
Miss Lamour
Runner up in her last 2 ships in here to give both the lawn and the level another shot; filly will get another new pilot while starting from an outside slot so though she does look to have some ability, she has her work cut out for her; maybe for a share.
 
Secret Union
Outside drawn filly makes her first start since the odds on defeat in her first with older downstate and now she'll step on the green; sire gets about 8% first turf winners from his offspring, but the dam dropped a couple of surface winners including 583K earner Deputiformer who won 5 times on the green.
 
Belle Gallantey
MTO makes her second start at the stand after running into a pretty good one here last weekend; it's been a long time since her last score and she's settled for quite a few minor awards in the interim; have to limit her use to underneath if she gets to go in here.
 
Galloping Giraffe
MTO responded to the drop in class and move to the main track second time out with a resounding score and now she'll return in a protected spot to try winners; there's a little bit of dirt form in the main body of the heat so if this does come off she could face some competition and she's yet to show any speed, but her pedigree says to let it rain; with a move forward off her last she could prove tough to handle.
 
Lady Kierkegaard
MTO has earned money spots in each of her 3 starts with winners and has hit the board in each of her wet track spins; like the fact she was able to sit closer to the top than usual last time and maybe that signals she's about to take a big step forward; consider.

Race 4

Plausibly
Hooked freak in the mud but this guy was also clear; he has some work to do to match top kin Presumptive, who won routing, took 5 of 16, banked $130K; he could be a bit fragile as the races are spaced; try to get a good look at him on the track.
 
Great Call
Off a career effort, but apparently not much of a work horse; he did get a boost when the show horse in last graduated next out in a MSW at Ellis with a 73 Beyer; backers can point to the fact that one sibling banked over $350K and kin Palmeiro took 9 routes, a Grade 3 and won $475K; look out.
 
Barrister Jim
Nearly 5 clear the other time for this price; that 5/10 winner repeated in a $30K starter, was 2nd beaten less than 2 last Wednesday in a $35K claimer here; could very well make amends for flop as chalk.
 
So Outspoken
At least he was a bit more keen to run early in last; 3 exited the debut to win next out and the winner repeated in the Grade 3 Pilgrim, was 2nd in the BC Juv Turf and victorious in a G2 at CD with an 86 Beyer; 8th finisher in last took a maiden claimer next out and the place horse took an MSW event; 3 for 11 dam took 2 routes; this is her first to race; in for $325K less than purchase price in only the third start; hmmn.
 
Prince Curlin
Realistically placed as a $22K purchase; dam's lone win was a sprint; the half sis to race took 2 sprints, banked $120K; lack of speed is a legit concern but the drop could move him up.
 
Master of Markets
Grinder has had his chances; 12 shots and never in the money; needs a major turn around to make an impact here.
 
Let the Cat Out
A bit more speed in last, must be given look on the drop alone; dam was unraced; both siblings took one sprint; back to the original pilot; examine stamina issue before jumping aboard.
 
Tapulous
Thirteen clear, under purchase price now; look out; could grow into his skin as kin to G3 winner, double route winner and near $180K earner Indian Ocean; slight improvement and this guy will be a handful.
 
Retired
Once they start piling up 10 or 14 defeats, the upside is hard to find; she tends to go wide or find trouble and that happens with limited speed; the 4/28 place horse graduated, then beat $15K claimer; could see him getting a section.
 
Navajo Ca Lo
Stabled up here so he should be comfortable; freshened, runner was clear by daylight in last and there seems to be enough speed here to help the cause; will be rolling late if at all.

Race 5

Fiddlers Tango
He's yet to finish better than seventh or closer than seven lengths to the winner and he's been beaten by a few of today's rivals in his recent starts; prefer to keep looking around in here.
 
Post Pattern
He's been a pretty consistent performer and he's capable of getting himself into the mix against these on his best day, but with 14 starts behind him, it's tough to place confidence in him for the top spot as he seeks his first career win.
 
Irish Jade
He ran big in a paceless race over this turf course at second asking as a 2-year-old, and that was behind a horse with a good deal of ability in West Hills Giant; it would have been nice to have see him show more in his first start as a 3-year-old, but still feel that he's one of the more interesting options to consider in here.
 
Volatile Markets
Sire wins with approximately 7% of his turf starters and dam won 4 of 39 starts for 47k, including 1 of 7 turf starts for 8k; runner up from latest won next out at Bel on 5/22 going 1m vs. MSW rivals with a 66 Beyer and 3rd finisher won next out at Bel on 1 1/16m vs. MSW rivals with an 84 Beyer.
 
Grahamandwithers
He brings some early speed with him but he's had a tough time carrying his speed through the final furlong in his races and he's even benefited from a comfortable early pace a few times in his career; perhaps a minor award is the ceiling.
 
Acadian Connection
His best performance to date was against 35-30k maiden claimers at Gulfstream Park, and maybe that level of performance can get him into the mix against these; however, his latest start wasn't an encouraging performance, and prefer to look toward others in this spot.
 
Raffies Bay
Maybe this lightly raced runner has more to show us with only three starts behind him, and this is only his second start for the Bond barn, but he's going to need to produce a much improved performance if he's to come out on top in this spot.
 
National Buck
Half-brother to Sam's Buck (2-12, 82k over turf) wasn't a match for a sharp runaway winner in his career debut, but this is an outfit that does nice work with young/lightly raced turf horses, and note the addition of Lasix for this.
 
Sun Worshipper
Sire wins with approximately 7% of his turf starters and dam was unraced; this gelding is a 1/2 to Royal Sighting (4-26, 206k, including 1 of 5 turf starts for 21k); this barn is capable of having one ready for better at second asking and maybe the move to turf can help him along.
 
Professor Chaos
The 0-for-19 career race record alone is a reason to look in another direction and this colt has yet to post even a runner-up finish; maybe a spot underneath in the exotics is within reach, but looking elsewhere for the top spot.
 
Oklahoma Den
He's another in here seeking his first 1-2 finish and he will have to be ready for an improved performance to make that happen against these; considering his saddle slipped in his latest start, that was a decent effort, and the runner up from that race returned to win next out at Mth on 7/21 going 1m over turf vs. MSW rivals with a 68 Beyer.
 
Mike and Rob
He's been a steady performer in his eight turf starts and he owns enough positional speed to help him secure favorable racing position before getting into the first turn; he's one of two signed on in here for the Weaver barn and feel that National Buck is the more intriguing of the two.
 
Privatize
100k purchase figures to appreciate getting back over dirt after being given some time off and like to see that he has some early speed to put to use; he's eligible to give a good account of himself against these and this is the first call for Ortiz.
 
Face the Race
He's a little interesting while getting back over dirt for the first time since a decent run at second asking, but he must improve over that performance to win this, and this is the second call for Rosario.
 
Bernardo
He's put together four consecutive respectable performances prior to this and it's very interesting to see him looking to make his first start with Lasix; this is the first call for Ortiz.
 
Mr. G. Zee
Don't like to see that he was a beaten favorite when dropped in with 40-35k MCL's in his latest start, but his two most recent dirt starts haven't been bad performances; not going to give him the nod for the top spot, but a spot underneath in the exotics isn't out of the question.

Race 8

Time On My Hands
Cut back makes sense the way she has been stopping; a bit more keen to work in the drill on the 8th; capable barn due to get rolling and note this rider was up for the lone win; can't be counted out.
 
Dissension
Nothing wrong with the grass debut and the tactical speed can't hurt; runner does have natural speed and the shorter trip could be right up her alley; must be left in the mix.
 
Colorme Kitten
Miss has been pretty consistent vs. winners; okay, it was a short field but she was 3 clear; she pushed along a moderate pace in the lone grass out; she has never been in this cheap; backers have to hope that puts her over the top.
 
Jealous
Wraps re-added for the maiden breaker but she has not been in the same zip code of a winner since; she has more speed than she flashed in last but also seems comfortable tracking; may need Empire-breds to show top talent.
 
Pumpkin Lane
Midas Eyes 1 for 22 with first-time turfers; sire won at 2, took a G1, banked over $600K, never turfed; dam 0 for 12; the sibling that won took 6 sprints, never turfed; can't be thrilled about the debut in open company; would tread lightly here.
 
Midnight Rider
She has been in nothing but potent barns; miss needed to take the biggest drop in the game to get the win and has tired vs. winners; shades off, like they were for the maiden breaker and the last race came back so-so as the 7th finisher took an N3L at FL and the 8th finisher took a $4500 N2L claimer there; will at least muddle the pace.
 
Rodinia
Miss came back in 9 days when posting the lone victory; note gap in published drills till last Thursday; could see her sitting a nice stalk and pounce journey; must be left in the hopper.
 
Sharon Spagetti
Frost Giant 0 for 12 with first-time turfers; sire took a Group 3 at 2, ended up banking over $450K, won twice on grass; 4 for 6 dam earned almost $100K, never turfed; both siblings won, the one that tried grass was third in best turf moment; the 5/5 winner repeated in the $122K state-bred Bouwerie with an 86 Beyer; respect barn but there are stamina issues.
 
Rosie My Way
Miss was handled pretty easily by Top Tier in last; she does bring positional speed to the party but she will likely be at the mercy if the leaders come back; one angle to seriously think about: she graduated in the third off the layoff run.
 
Honorable Pass
Desert Warrior 1 for 63 with turfers; sire won debut at 2, banked nearly $175K, never turfed; dam took 3 sprints, never turfed; 2 of 3 sibs won but neither cashed on grass; fact she won her debut gives her a right to fire fresh; 5/12 place horse took a $35K optional next out, lost next 3; winner 5/12 repeated for this price, ran third twice; can't fault those that give her another shot at glory.
 
Maid for Joe
Lion Hearted about 5% with first-time grass runners in a 196-runner sample; sire graduated at 2, liked the off going, was G2 placed, never tried grass; dam lost twice; lone sibling that tried grass was out of the money on turf; decent blowout last Thursday, only beaten to the first call once; not impossible task.
 
Top Tier Lass
Connections thought enough of her to try the stakes in the second start; if you figure she just needed the last, then you have something to work with here; fit enough to drill a couple of times since the last race; another threat in an absolute scramble.
 
Legal Lady
Agile enough to overcome the poor start two back; she saved ground to no avail in last; not sure what to make of the drill on the 22nd; has some things to iron out.
 
Frosty But Funky
Just held it together for the win, and three regressions since; miss cleared on the stretch out but reality clicked in quickly; can't boost off the last fiasco.
 
Little Gabby Girl
The light is clearly on now; not simple to beat winners right back but she did it making the huge middle move and then kept on going; place horse in maiden breaker graduated with a 60 Beyer in a state-bred maiden $20K fray; miss seems to be improving hourly.
 
Midnightinpositano
Cut back worked to perfection; shorter trip should help as runner was getting late in last; the 4th and 6th finishers took maiden claimers next out; note show horse in last was well clear; would lean toward watching a race vs. winners.

Race 9

Midnight Taboo
He was thrown to the wolves in the G1 Belmont when making just his fourth career start and didn't have much to offer at all; he fits a lot better in this allowance heat and he has shown the early foot to secure position from this inside draw in a field that doesn't look to contain much speed; connections temper the price potential but he's working quite well of late for this and looks to be a big threat to win this; contender if they opt to bypass Friday's restricted Curlin Stakes and wait for this spot.
 
Cap the Moment
Statebred wasn't a threat to the top 2 when third at 68-1 while trying one turn downstate last time; gelding does own some ok 2 turn efforts over the inner this past season, but don't know that he's going to be good enough to threaten for the top spot today; siding with others.
 
Tiz Now My Choice
Tries older again after failing to pick up his feet in his first try with winners; shipper earned a lackluster number in his Churchill maiden breaker 2 starts back and doesn't appear to be a serious threat in a field that doesn't look to feature a lot of early lick; looking elsewhere for the winner.
 
Cary Street
Field's highest last out Beyer earner makes his first local start after a couple of sharp placings at the level in Kentucky; guy who beat him just over a couple of lengths 2 back is one of the contenders in Monmouth's G1 Haskell today and he's run into some other next out winners of late, so those recent numbers are certainly legitimate top pilot named hasn't gotten off to a great start here, but on his best this shipper looks to be the one to beat.
 
Tiz Adonis
Stretches back out to 2 turns off a late running effort while trying older for the initial time in Kentucky; his numbers are light, but he's only run a handful of times and sophomores are certainly eligible to take a good step forward at this time of year; should like the added trip and the price will be right.
 
Kid Sidney
Hasn't done much since he was taken by this barn in January and his recent couple of one turn tries are a cut below what the better guys in here have been running; maybe the stretchout to 2 turns helps and he did have time for a local breeze to get acquainted with the local surroundings.
 
Norumbega
Beaten last out chalk ran into a winner who freaked and earned a triple digit Beyer before getting beaten just a neck (86 Beyer) in the statebred Evan Shipman Stakes here last week; gray returns to the scene of his juvenile 9 panel maiden score last summer and maybe the stretch back out to this configuration is what he wants; rail runner did beat him 3 back downstate, but that came over a wet track; bounce back type of try makes him a pretty tough foe.

Race 10

Mentor Cane
Plenty of early speed in his game but has to battle Rainbow Heir to make the front today; just 1 victory while 18 wins among the others combined; 1st two races were right on the lead but rated effectively in the maiden breaker 1st-time racing in New York and will need to use that strategy again here today; very-ambitious placement right into graded-stakes company off the graduation; the winner and show finishers from the debut posted 92-83 Beyer speed figures in their next-out SA-Grade 2 stakes and MSW wins.
Forty Tales
Cuts back to his shortest-distance test since the January allowance win; looked like he needed every bit of 7F in last to get up in time and will probably be last or close to the back of the field when the gates break; saves ground again then makes one run.
Declan's Warrior
Has not raced this short of a distance since February; he is 6-for-6 in exactas and one of his rare losses came at the hooves of Forty Tales who is right back in for this and figures to get the jump on him rallying; is another late runner who hopes someone goes after the speedy Rainbow Heir from the gate to help setup the closers; 13%-winning fresh trainer since 2012 does not add to the appeal.
Salutos Amigos
Outsider has been defeated by simlar rivals in 2013 while his February maiden breaker was strong beating the runner-up finisher who Beyered 102 in his next-out SA-MSW graduation; the 3-0-0-0 mark since the diploma earner is not very enticing; best game is racing right off the lead but stalking the pace in last was not effective enough to hold off Forty Tales and Declan's Warrior who are also back for this.
Cat Five Hurricane
Looks like a rough spot off the dueled-into-defeat running line vs. much lesser; the race looks better since the winner repeated in a GP-optional claimer with a 98 Beyer; last fast-track start represents his lowest Beyer since January; won right on the lead 2-back but with Rainbow Heir in here the fractions will be very fast up top as this one figures to be a pace presence for part.
Rainbow Heir
Is the one to catch 4-for-4 and all 4 races on the lead; back in just 24 days his shortest rest time ever after posting another new Beyer speed figure-career Top following a 53-day break; super-stakes debut in last capturing a Grade 3 but today picks up 7 pounds to race with his heaviest assignment ever; the 2-back runner-up and show finishers Beyered 84-65 both finishing 2nd next out in MTH-optional claimers; the 3-back runner-up and show finishers finished 2nd and 5th (87-75 Beyers) in next out PIM-optional claiming starts.
Mico Margarita
2-for-2 record with blinkers on racing on dirt; latest was superb when stalking he pace then drawing like a fresh runner; his 4F breeze for this was not very enticing 1st time in New York since his BEL maiden breaker in September; has never been better would have to up his Beyers to a new level to make it 3 in a row for a trainer who hasn't done much wrong at the current SAR meet.

Race 11

Magnifcentmillion
Tries claimers for the first time, always a dangerous factor, but of greater interest is the most recent sharp half-mile breeze; his sire won 1.12 million including multiple G1 wins on the NYRA circuit; the dam won 67K; among the winning siblings is 124K earner Fantastique.
 
My New Hope
Gets rid of the blinkers but has shown no firepower whatsoever up to now; workouts along the comeback trail are modest at best; likely to be no more than a brief factor here; pass until further notice.
 
Thingamajigger
Certainly improved, pace-wise, in his latest test; son of champion Holy Bull should be within range in this soft field and did have a legitimate excuse in his last local appearance; drops to a career low level now and should upgrade.
 
My Teddy Bear
All kinds of trouble for this grey in recent starts; he makes only his second start for a tag and there is very little early speed signed on in this event; should, be default, find himself much closer to the early lead and benefit.
 
Woburn
Rested since a respectable effort at Belmont from a very difficult post; was game to capture the place 2 races back and may be able to run down some questionable pacesetters here; worth some inclusion in exotic wagers.
 
Purple Pico
Makes his 27th starts in these ranks but has better prompting ability than several of his rivals; trifecta chances increase if the half-mile fraction here is on the light side which figures to be the case.
 
Without Regard
This is his first start for these expert connections and he could not have found a much weaker field for this 20 grand price tag; although the local work tab is slow, the gelding can improve substantially against this crew but will likely be overbet.
 
Never Naked
Adds blinkers and can last much longer today than many bettors anticipate; his sire won 5 of 22 and 370K; the dam won 9 of 26 and 191K; sib to 64K earner Edge Road; worth extra consideration if front-running types have fared well on the card.
 
Spin Chief
Commendable maiden voyage in May when making up considerable ground after breaking slowest of all; his sire won 1 of 4 and 327K (Chief Seattle was also twice G1 stakes-placed); the dam was unraced; sib to the talented statebred Slevin who banked 317K.
 
Keyaly
Has shown only mild late kick and while it is difficult to recommend him as the one to key on top, he can secure a minor award if the pace is unexpectedly fast; a muddy track would also help his chances of rounding out a healthy exotic payoff.
 
Jump Johnny Jive
There is very little to highlight for this runner and this outside slot does not help matters at all; there is nothing special about the returning workout regimen either and he seems destined for a wide, futile run.
 
G W's Hammer
Made up some ground after the fact in that May getaway race; he did turn in a surprisingly good workout on the morning of 7/6; son of the undefeated Bustin Stones may be able to make an impact even from this outpost.