07/24/2013 11:44AM

Closer Looks: Saratoga July 25, 2013


Race 1

Tested these waters twice last year and was outrun, but a two-time winner over jumps and long on experience; solid two wins last year, then tested in G3 tries to start 2013; last was more his level, but he fell; freshened since and back to work; wants pace battle up front; coupled with unbeaten entrymate.
Thunder Gulch on the pedigree, Sheppard at the controls, plenty to like, but so far just middling efforts after wining first two way back in 2010; went through trainer's patented 5-furlong turf move Friday so the preparation is there; Sheppard at a price.
Martini Brother
Breeding, breeding, breeding; 5-year-old is by A.P. Indy out of Grade 1 winner Island Sand; flat career derailed early, but he was quick enough to compete on turf at Ellis Park and Kentucky Downs; unbeaten over jumps in two starts with Sheppard; only question is the level of competition he's faced, otherwise a deserving and likely favorite; coupled with Powerofone, but only one runs.
Forgotten Man
Ran into third at a decent price here last summer so capable of doing the same; just one career jump win, but seems to grab minor shares regularly; off since April, but consider him ready for strong effort; like the experience and the classy foes he's faced; definite underneath player.
A winner here last summer so you know he likes the place and the pace of Spa jump racing (biggest challenge to most); wrapped up 2012 with third in open Grade 1 company and trained by a master; busy spring with March jump win, an April jump loss and two recent flat tries; fit, ready, must fire best shot.
Not sure which one Sheppard runs, but both are major players and both by A.P. Indy; 4-year-old started 2013 with back-to-back wins, a good maiden at Camden where runner-up returned to win his next two and then easy allowance romp; didn t handle rise to novice stakes but potential excuses in ground, ship to Tennessee; one to beat.
After knocking on door, repeatedly as a 3-year-old last year and maiden this year, kicked it down with 19-length powerhouse at Fair Hill; repeat of that puts him in the mix here; Voss barn doesn't hit like it used to at Spa, but must be respected, especially off a win; sitting on big effort, fresh, gets great break in weights, savvy jockey in Young; player.
Sulwaan (IRE)
Two flat starts coming into this translate to sharpness; jump racing career goes back to 2011 in Ireland so more experience than it shows and did little wrong once he got past fall in US debut; allowance win in April and followed that with solid third behind Mr. Hot Stuff and Black Quartz (both would be standouts here) at Nashville; won't mind recent rain; Day stable counts numerous Spa upsets on chart.
Constant Contact (GB)
His three career jump wins, all last year, make him a player in US debut; English form not as strong this year, especially in last two (remember he beat 17 rivals at Cheltenham); adds Lasix, holds experience edge and in capable hands; negatives are weight assignment (gives 3-16 to capable foes) and acclimation process; note that UK connections thought enough of him to try top meetings Aintree and Cheltenham.
Sharp Numbers
Do not ignore Jack Fisher horses (flat or jumps) at Saratoga, especially at a price; strong debut maiden win for Johar gelding at Nashville, always a good indicator of potential Saratoga success; follow-up run at Parx really didn t work but toss it and he belongs.
Bodie Island
Expected big things from him here last year and it turned out to be his final start of the year and for Sheppard; owner sent him to Valentine for 2013 campaign and first start was a disaster after being rank early; second one was much better behind Martini Brother coming from well back; briefly looked like a winner last time, then flattened out; potential bomb.
Dr. Skip
Done nothing wrong in two jump starts, a solid maiden win at Radnor and easy allowance score at Parx; second win was impressive and hinted at big things; trainer Graham used to work for Bruce Miller and Sanna Hendriks and does good work with small stable; hate outside post, but if he works out a trip will be running late.

Race 2

185K yrlng, 675K 2yo after 2F work 20.4; sire 56-352 (16%) 2yo FTS; dam sprint winner (29K) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 router Peace Rules (3.0M); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/10 work matches barn's 4yo Majestic Number (1st 'n1x' MTH 82 Beyer 6/23); logical
Aarons Orient
35K yearling, 75K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 31-258 (12%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 sprinters); 3rd dam G2 SW Geraldine's Storm; barn 9-43 (21%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; expecting a good effort.
Rooster Cruiser
Sire 57-397 (14%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (0-3 sprints); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Nice Nelly (73K), turf SP Ms Pianist (53K); barn 1-34 (3%, $2.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; 5/28 work match 3yo Channel Isle (3rd 'ANC' turf 68 Beyer CD 6/20); 7/15 work match 4yo Skyring (95 dirt Beyer); interesting.
Sum Superstar
Sire 1-9 (11%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from turf winning dam (166K); 3rd dam multiple SP Hard Freeze (255K); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; must respect any 2yo this barn puts on track.
215K yearling by 43-381 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; 1st starter from SW sprinter dam (286K, 2-2 at 2); female family multiple SW Fast Lane Gal (91K); barn 0-44 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints Spa; solid pedigree, but barn often gives them a race.
Pure Sensation
Sire 1-4 (25%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (496K, 2-5 at 2, FTS winner, 7-25 sprints); dam full SP turf sprinter Captain Gaughen (77K); barn 4-25 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (1-6 Spa); bred both sides speed.

Race 3

Chase My Tail
50K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 253-1398 (18%) 2yos; dam won turf (66K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint) and has 3 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-5 sprinters); 3rd dam multiple SW Victorious Trick (477K); barn 0-5 past 5 yrs 2nd-time 2yo drop from MSW dirt sprints; winner of debut ran 6th in Schuylerville (28 Beyer); can improve.
Thundering Gale
Full G3 SP sprinter Knights Cross (252K), SP Bailzee (152K, 2-16 sprints) by 3-60 (5%) 2yo FTS sire; dam G2 SW sprinter (261K) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 2yos, 3-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP sprint Foggy Launch (90K); barn 11-35 (31%, $2.24 ROI) past 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (1-2, 50%, $7.30 ROI Spa).
Sire 18-186 (10%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SP dam (304K, 0-1 at 2, 3-19 sprints); female family G1 turf SW Fire the Groom (785K); barn 1-38 (3%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (1-9 Spa).
She's Coal Fired
100K yrlng by 7-75 (9%) 2yo sire; dam placed sprint (0-3 at 2) with 1 winner from 3 runners (0-12yos, 1-3 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 SW Sweet Talker (1.0M), multiple G3 SW Silver Medallion (426K); barn 10-39 (26%) past 5 yrs 2yo drop from MSW; expect speed after chasing Schyulerville 4th.
Icing On the Cake
Sire 7-91 (8%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; female family G1 route SW Aptostar (537K); barn 0-3 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos drop from MSW dirt sprints; barn 0-19 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos adding Lasix dirt sprints; barn better 2nd-out than with firsters.
Friends Pro
1/2 SW sprinter Pro Prado (397K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner) by 17-157 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SW dam (435K, 2-4 at 2, 6-27 sprints) has 5 winners from 8 runners (1-4 2yos, FTS winner, 3-8 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP sprinter Mama Cielo (50K, 2-4 at 2, FTS winner); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint.
Little Miss Brown
37K RNA wnlng, 100K yrlng, 40K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; 1/2 2yo SP sprint Scammony (54K, FTS winner) by 9-27 (33%) 2yo FTS sire; dam won sprint (83K, 1-1 at 2) with 5 winners from 6 runners (3-5 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 5-6 sprint); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW Fifth Overture (323K, 1-1 at 2); barn 0-11 past 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint (0-6 Spa).
Good Catholic Girl
23K wnlng, 25K yrlng by 10-82 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won route (13K, 0-3 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-2 2yos, 4-4 sprint North America); dam 1/2 multiple SW Chuck N Luck (349K, 3-6 at 2, 4-14 sprint); barn 3-23 (13%, $4.56 ROI) past 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprints (2-5, 40%, $5.86 ROI at Spa); expecting solid effort.

Race 4

Beautiful But Blue
Like the way she improved in her second start back and she could be set up for a big effort in the third start of her current form cycle; she earned her career-best Beyer Speed Figure at this distance and better yet it came over this surface; would like her a lot better from a different post but she has to be considered a serious threat to win what appears to be a wide-open event.
Clear Pasaj
She hasn't been worse than second in her last eight races and she got her first stakes win going this distance in her latest at Belmont; speed is a very dangerous commodity over this surface and there is a good chances she is the one they will be chasing; she was all out to hold on in her game win in the Dancing Renee and Levine has given her plenty of time to recover; her last couple of works at Belmont alsosuggest she's ready for another solid effort; big shot.
Miss Valentine
She's won four of her last five and she edged Beautiful But Blue in her latest so she is obviously a major player; Rosario bails to ride Willet, however, and not sure this is going to set up for her; she also hasn't won going this distance and she wasn't much of a threat the only time she ran over this track; hard to leave her out of the mix but others look more attractive for the top spot.
She is still eligible for a second-level allowance race and this came up pretty tough with four proven stakes winners in the field; she did finish second to Miss Valentine in the Lottsa Talc at Aqueduct last year but she was allowed to set pretty slow fractions and that isn't going to happen here; her best races have been on turf so we're going to pass.
She just didn't fire when she came back from a long layoff but she was facing some tough ones in the Grade 3 Bed of Roses, particularly the winner who was winning her fifth-stragiht race; she'll appreciate the easier company and she's had three solid works leading up to her second start back; she came close to winning the Grade 2 Go for Want before she went on the shelf so we're going to follow Rosario's lead and make her the pick; it is supposed to be sunny but if it happens to come up wet she is going to be very tough to beat.
Cape Cod Carol
She was all out to win a second-level $35K optional race July 3 and she is going to have to take a big step forward to keep up with this group; the 73 Beyer Speed Figure she earned isn't going to cut it and it equaled her career best; with 18 starts behind her it is hard to see her moving forward enough to make an impact here; passing.

Race 5

Crystal Rocket
3.2K short yrlng, 14K RNA yrlng, 57K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 5-55 (9%) 2yo FTS; multiple SW dam (213K, 2-2 at 2, 4-9 sprint) has 4 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, FTS winner, 3-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo turfer Titan of Industry (152K); barn 1-32 (3%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
Sire 31-247 (13%) 2yo FTS; dam G2 SW sprinter (170K) with 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 sprinters); dam full multiple G2 SW 2yo sprinter Magicalmysterycat (363K); barn 1-28 (4%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/4 work matches barn's 2yo Aslan (28 Beyer); 7/4 work went .01 faster barn's 2yo filly Aldara (0 Beyer).
220K yearling by 4-77 (5%) 2yo FTS sire; dam multiple SW sprinter (225K, 1-2 at 2) with 0 winners from 1 runner (failed sprinting); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Straight Faced (269K), SP turf sprinter Trippin' Along (86K); barn 0-20 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
Jerry Love
70K wnlng full multiple G3 SW Akronism (516K, 2-5 at 2, FTS winner, 8-18 sprint), 1/2 SP 2yo Jerry's Fever (86K, 3-19 sprint) by 46-304 (15%) 2yo FTS sire; dam won turf (40K, 0-2 at 2) with 6 winners from 8 runners (3-4 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 4-8 sprinters); barn 18-78 (23%, $2.09 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints (1-8 Spa); solid drills.
Zip On
55K yrlng, 200K 2yo after 1F work 9.3; 1/2 SP Copy My Swagger (80K, 2-4 at 2, 2-11 sprint) by 182-1021 (18%) 2yo sire; dam won turf (13K, 0-2 at 2, 0-4 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (2-4 2yos, 3-4 sprint); dam full multiple G2 SP Tangled Tango (294K); barn 1-2 (50%, $2.50 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo adding blinks; good early speed.
Our Amazing Rose
325K 2yo after 1F work 9.4; sire 57-397 (14%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (won turf older horse); dam 3/4 G3 route SW Minister's Melody (451K); barn 32-99 (32%, $2.57 ROI) past 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 3 works match 2yo filly Stopchargingmaria (1st MSW SAR 84 Beyer 7/19); dangerous.
Feels So Right
32K short yrlng, 65K yrlng, 120K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 10-58 (17%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SW Peace Symbol (193K); barn 1-28 (4%) past 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/6 workout matches barn's 4yo Awesome Vision (2nd Evan Shipman 87 Beyer Sar 7/22); interesting.

Race 6

Sweet Shirley Mae
The fact she won her debut gives her a chance to fire fresh; off poorly two back, but she picked up pretty good; 4 exited the May 3 race to win next out; place horse in last took an N1X at Indiana next out and the 8th finisher took an N2L allowance at Ellis; would expect this miss to be the long-fused half of the Ward team; she did only beat 4 horses in the lone win; look for her late if at all.
Fresh and dangerous; winner of the 5/5 race repeated in an N2L allowance at Belmont with an 83 Beyer; like fact she has been up here since June; not a ton of speed in here and would expect her to be fairly close up; she was getting a little late in last an has White Rose to contend with among others; this one has some room to grow.
Can't fault her consistency and the win last time may have given her a confidence boost; over 10 clear in first race vs. winners and note Rocco was up for the maiden breaker; she has a right to have a useful career as two siblings banked $200 plus a piece; may like it here.
Nice bit of training to have this gal win in second start after taking about 3 years off; she showed ability as a baby and the 3/28 show horse cashed next out in a MSW at Delaware with a 69 Beyer; two excuses in last; it's never simple to beat winners right back and she may have hated the yielding course; a bit more keen to run early in last, she may be best served settling and making the one run.
White Rose
Only somewhat off effort was in the green debut; agile enough to overcome being forced to steady in the maiden breaker, miss is back with favorite pilot, should sit a nice trip and miss should have her sea legs under her by now; it would be no surprise if she runs huge.
Divine Luck
Three maintenance drills since the last race and at least she has the two races to draw from now; Shug calls on rider that was up for the win and this miss has a right to grow into her skin as kin to Grade 2 placed over $325K earner Pick Six; look for pilot to step on the gas early and try to steal it; respect.
Dance With Gio
Shocked at 21-1 for the last win and the last race was her best since that score; the 6/14 show horse took a $50K optional at Oceanport, then was 4th beaten nearly 6 in a $61K stakes; Jersey bred hold win edge on her foes and that may tell at crunch time; hung wide in last 4 and she may have disliked the two races in the off going of late; note full bro Pasta Lover banked over $300K; can't be dismissed.
Concise (GB)
Like the spacing of the drills for the stateside bow; her best races so far have come on the synthetic; the 5/5 winner repeated in a Group 1 at Epsom; Motion has been good with first in N. America runners to the tune of 40% in the last year of so; rates upset glance.
Go Kitten Go
Soph could have sulked when bumped at the break in last but she put her head down and tried hard; connections thought enough of her to try the stakes last year; bullet move on the 15th was tied with 2 others but 4 ticks the best of the rest on the tab; contention goes deep in a good betting race.
Lady Kierkegaard
Grinder put in mirror races in last pair; place horse in last cashed next out in a $25K optional with an 82 Beyer; note she did catch fast splits in her first two starts of the year; could be looking at a section of the purse if the race comes off the sod.

Race 7

Could not outkick this same group when favored in last; this field is loaded with gate speed so a deep closer has a good chance and she will be able to save every inch of ground for this then make 1 run; the 3-back show runner posted a 64 Beyer speed figure in her next-out BEL-25K-maiden claiming win.
Projects to press the pace from the inside but catches a field top heavy with other gate speed which compromises her upset hopes; the new rider is her 4th different jockey in as many races which is not a good win angle; strong-closing kick when earning her Beyer Top at today's distance in September; off recent losses when flashing speed have her ranked a notch below the top players.
Viva Allegiance
Sire is 16-for-179 with 1st-turf runners; 35-for-306 with debut runners; is out of a 3-for-16 turf dam (120K) all 3 scores at 1 Mile; she produced 2 winners from 2 other foals to race (2-for-40 Sangore 168K) both turf winners top-green earner 3-for-6 grasser Thunderous Lady (84K turf).
Brickhouse Baby
Seems to be setup perfectly to rally past the outside speed in deep stretch after sitting behind a hot pace; exits a new Beyer speed figure Top when chasing a sharp winner making a 6-wide move but clearly a huge change from her turf debut when beaten 24 lengths; the one they must hold off late.
Super trainer 1st-time out with newly-acquired runners and 32%-maiden claiming winners; main issue is her best finish was on the lead but has J Rose Gal, It's Your Dime and Wisdom of Oz to contend with for the frontend today; sharp-4F workout suggests we will see strong gate speed again.
J Rose Gal
Hopes to sit just off the early speed like last but her game is breaking well and making the pace; catches a field top heavy with early zip including It's Your Dime; good sign that latest is a new Beyer Top but was defeated by Brickhouse Baby who follows her here.
Risky Predicament
Exits her lowest Beyer since February when racing on a muddy-main track; the 2-back winner repeated in a SAR-alw. with an 80 Beyer; the 3-back winner and runner-up finishers Beyered 65-52 in next-out BEL MSW and optional-claiming wins.
Pan Dulce
28%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer is a huge plus; 1st turf start is a new Beyer speed figure Top; was screaming out for more distance in last and gets it here; 4F-bullet workout on dirt for this so would be a major factor on any surface.
It's Your Dime
The one to catch in a field loaded with gate speed; posted 2 off-the-board finishes for the newest trainer while front wraps were applied for the 1st time in latest favored loss posting her lowest Beyer since September; know her early but unsure about late.
Wisdom of Oz
Sire is 1-for-47 with 1st-turf runners; 0-for-10 dam did not race on grass; 1 of 2 foals to race on turf is a grass winner (1-for-32 Calagaitor 54K turf); projects to press the pace wide; displayed front wraps for the 1st time in last.
Controlled Neglect
A repeat of her last race where rallying well would make her a huge player today in a race loaded with gate speed; career-best Beyer was posted at today's distance although wish the August SAR Inner Turf race in 2012 was more enticing.
The runner-up finisher from last graduated in a PEN-MSW event next out (77 Beyer); the 7th-place finisher from most recent loss posted a 58 Beyer in a PEN-$12,500-next-out maiden-claiming win; sire is 3-for-49 with 1st-turf runners; is out of an unraced dam; 1 foal to race on grass finished off the board in his only start.
The winner from last repeated in a DEL starter alw. with a 70 Beyer; she beat the 6th-7th and 8th-place finishers from last all next-out winners (60-59-37 Beyers) taking CT-MSW, PRX-25K and CNL-$7,500-maiden claiming events.
Defeated the 4th and 6th-place finishers from last who Beyered 43-38 in next-out MTH-10K and DEL-$7,500-maiden claiming wins; MTO has not raced longer than 6.5F; sire earned 1.5 in routes (8-for-22); is the 1st foal from an 0-for-1 dam who's only start was at 6.5F.
Toast to Ashley
MTO defeated 1 rival in 2 defeats; the show runner from her debut Beyered 76 in a next-out BEL-MSW win; high-percentage MSW-to-maiden claiming trainer but the workout for this does not add to the appeal; must show more.
Taylor Jagger
MTO flashed gate speed in last but today is in a field top heavy with other fronrrunners; did not finish her last 2 dirt races but did hang on well in May on the BEL main track; view as a pace presence for part.

Race 8

Stage Street
The rail post has been a tough post to win out of since they started running turf dashes here in 2005 going 19-300 (6%), but this post was 7-55 (13%) in 2012; that said, this colt has the needed early speed to try to overcome the rail draw, and Napravnik has won with 28 of 75 (37%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
No Distinction
Sire wins with approximatrely 8% of his turf starters and dam won once from 10 starts for 55k, including 1 of 6 turf starts for 48k; turf is a question but can't ignore how sharp he's been in his last three dirt starts.
Central Banker
His one start in a turf dash like this was a fine winning performance over this turf course as a 2-year-old, and this is an outfit that can have one ready to fire off of a long layoff; he'll appreciate turning back in distance and not having to meet up with the likes of Goldencents, Bern Identity and Mylute.
Weekend Hideaway
Although favored to do so, his latest outing was a sharp winning performance, and when considering that was his first start over turf, it makes that performance even a little more impressive; he's a player whether this race is run over turf or dirt.
Salutos Amigos
He brings a good deal of early speed with him, and not only will he appreciate the class relief after a string of graded stakes attempts, but he showed enough in his career debut over turf to suggest that he might be looking forward to getting another chance to see what he can do over grass.
Bernie the Jet
Multiple stakes placed performer has a fine turf pedigree and a few decent turf sprint attempts on his card to look, but this does appear to be a tough assignment for him; note that he was beaten by today's rival Weekend Hideaway in his latest outing.
Strike the Note
Respect the fact that two of his last three starts have been a couple of his better performances, and that he appears to be ready for this off of a sharp looking four-furlong move on July 8, but he does find himself in a tough spot as he tries to secure his first stakes win.
I'm Wide Awake
Maybe he can get himself involved in the running a little bit through the early stages but he's going to need to produce a much improved overall performance if he's planning on getting the better of this bunch; he looks like more of an outsider.
The Brothers War
This colt is a stakes winner in France and like to see that he was primarily used as a turf sprinter before shipping to America; Team Valor-owned runner is by a top turf sire and he certainly adds a little intrigue to this event.
The Truth and K G
Grade 3 stakes placed runner will have the look of a top contender if this race has to be taken off the turf, but there are a few horses in the main body of this race with respectable dirt form, so he'll have to earn it.

Race 10

Statebred tries better after offering little late over a downstate course with some give in it; 5 year old is a 3 time local winner so the return to this course could help perk him up some and he doesn't look to be facing any killers, but a minor award looks to be his ceiling from here.
Decisive Move
Gelding was given a little extra time after being taken out of a winning effort over cheaper by a barn that hits at a big clip with this type right back; he did get a hot clip in front of him in that last one and the number he earned doesn't stick out in here; he is one of just 2 local course winners in the heat, though; consider.
Sokitumi Samurai
Did some damage on dirt downstate earlier in the year, but his effort while returning to the lawn last time was as weak as his prior surface try here last summer; he is a wet track winner and does have some positional foot so maybe he's worth a look if this gets rained off, but on the green he looks to have his work cut out for him today.
Roman Invasion
First part of the coupling returns to the lawn for an outfit that's already saddled a couple of winners at the stand; highest last out Beyer earner in the main body of the heat exits a sharp Belmont main track score over claimers and he did win sprinting on the lawn down there 3 starts back; from close range he's a contender.
Shadow Rock
Shipper looks to catch a moderate bunch in his return from the brief freshening for an outfit that boasts nice recent numbers with this type; he took to the lawn first time over the stuff in Louisiana this spring and was still coming late after losing his best chance at the start in his first with winners last time; with Rosario getting aboard he gets the call to beat these home.
West coast invader is offered for the optional tag while trying the allowance ranks in his first local spin; colt earned some numbers on dirt earlier in the year that would make him a big player in here and his lone surface try was hampered by a poor start; dam won her lone start on the green so maybe he deserves another shot over it.
Warrior James
Failed to last after setting the pace against conditioned claimers on the Belmont lawn late last month; sophomore appears quick enough to strut his stuff early in here as well, but a few of his rivals could push him from the bell so he's probably going to have to earn it in the lane; one to catch.
Triple Crown nominne didn't do much first out on the main track in Kentucky last fall, but he really responded to shades and the surface switch to score from gate to wire second time out; he'll lure a top local pilot for his first start since then, but he draws a tough post and will be taking on winners for the initial time with a pace player drawn to his immediate inside here so there are hurdles.
Channel Marker
Just missed while making a wide run in his return from the freshening at this level in Kentucky; barn moves them forward second off the break and this guy did prove he could sprint while tackling winners for the initial time in Louisiana in the winter; expecting to see him rolling late on the turn back to this trip; one to hold off.
Demon's Deputy
MTO hasn't been a threat in any of his 4 downstate tries since being stepped up to this level; proved little threat for the money finishers when trying a wet strip for the first time 2 starts back; have to side with others if the rains come.
Take Down Two
MTO got the job done as the chalk when dropped in to face conditioned claimers in the Belmont slop last month; new outfit excels with this type and this guy loves the off going which is a condition he'll likely get if this one gets moved to the main track; one to deny from close range.
Blue Creek
MTO is another who was given a little time off to prepare for the class rise after being claimed by this sharp outfit; hes worked a handful of times in the interim and he's another who adores any moisture in the track that he can get, but he has little early foot and will spot his main foes a tactical edge at this reduced trip; contender.
MTO has only run twice and maybe he just didn't want to go 8 panels in his first with winners; gelding was quick enough to get involved from the bell in his sprint debut and did get some moisture in the track that day, but he'll catch his toughest bunch to date if he gets to go here.
P J's Magical Wink
Barn's other half was taken out of his last in which he held over cheaper on the class drop and now he'll look to step back up the class ladder; gelding has plenty of early foot and he earned a huge number in victory the last time he stepped over wet footing; he may not be that good anymore, but hedoes have a solid early turn of foot and the shorter trip does look to benefit him; one to catch if he goes.