08/02/2013 9:53AM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 3, 2013


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Race 1

Googleado (ARG)
Runner really slowed up in the last furlong last time being clocked in :13.92; he does have natural speed but there are a number of runners in here with designs on the top; note he was nearly 5 clear in the CD finale; look for rider to send and try to steal it.
Indian Nobility
Hung wide from marooned slot in the debut, very solid in the other efforts; the 6/8 winner repeated in an N1X at CRC with a 78 Beyer; like fact he got a feel of the surface last Saturday and he was extending in last; connections would love to see him mature like top kin Carolyn's Cat, who took a Grade 3 and banked over $300K.
M P Joe
Joe took a long time to figure it out; Empire-bred has not been close in open company in his career and with no speed, he can be his own worst enemy; back in a hurry, not sure that will be the cure all.
Slan Abhaile
No stamina in the off going two back, wide on a surface he may have disliked in last; he did get a boost when the winner of last repeated in a $62.5K optional with an 84 Beyer; Rosario got a chance to figure out what's under the hood and got a feeling this guy will rebound today.
Beat the small field when taking the biggest drop in the game; barn has been firing with everything and this guys seems to have taken to the surface; could see him sitting a nice stalk and pounce trip; respect.
Gombey Dancer
Proven off the pine, nothing wrong with the local start when hooking wide and got to lugging; pretty snappy move on the 24th and he may have just hated the off going in last; place horse in last took an N1X fray in next and the 6th finisher took a $17.5K seller; don't ignore.
Midnite Poppa
Not disgraced in the local debut considering he was hung out to dry; connections thought enough of him to try the stakes in last but he was out in post 9 and was left with too much to do; back to the original rider; rates upset glance.
Rincon Behr
Don't be oversold by the margin in last as it was slop aided; he's been firing bullets on the synthetic in the mornings but would have liked to have seen a local spin; trainer has spotted them great all year, he's drawn right too; may like it here.

Race 2

Poison Apple
Game in defeat at Indiana and the most recent workout at his Keeneland home base was strong; confronts several well-bred firsters today and does not warrant such a short price once again; respect his gate speed nonetheless.
His sire won the Kentucky Derby and 4.38 million in total (offspring of Street Sense have scored in 15 out of 136 debuts); the dam was unraced; among the winning siblings is 101K earner Caribbean Pegasus; shows modest a.m. drills.
Stormy Henry
Twice beaten favorite at Parx finally adds blinkers and exits a bumpy race way above average in quality (a foul claim against the winner was disallowed); now has a target pacesetter in the name of Poison Apple and the latest half-mile breeze from the gate suggests he has taken to this surface; the selection.
Progeny of Harlan's Holiday, a multiple G1 winner who banked 3.63 million, have won 14 percent of their first races; the dam won 3 of 5 and 73K; among the winning siblings is 183K earner Hidden Dragon.
Tiz for Tat
Lost all realistic chance at the start of his last assignment yet was quick enough to be a clear-cut second; should be able to stay within range without difficulty here but might go to post as an underlay; difficult call.
Newcomer was sired by Bernardini, a multiple G1 winner on the NYRA circuit who amassed 3.06 million; his descendants have won 11 percent of their debuts; the dam never raced; winning sibs include 191K earner Millenium Storm; solid local work regimen is a plus.
In the Dark
Makes his belated sophomore debut but ran into some speedburners last season (including Forty Tales who won the G2 Amsterdam here last week); his sire won 1.69 million including G1 success; the dam went zero for 2 lifetime; winning siblings include 18K earner Sweet Bibby.
Mr. O'Leary
Stayed on fairly well when involved with the pace at Belmont (defeated by Eastwood who won an allowance event thereafter earning a 93 Beyer); the colt's sire won a G2 and 360K; the dam won 1 of 6 and 27K; sib to 35K earner Springfield Alley.
Bellamy Chief
Varied workout pattern for this beginner, son of Wood Memorial winner Bellamy Road (whose offspring have won their first try at a rate of 10 percent); the dam won 1 of 5 and 31K; sib to 19K earner Klassy Kate.
Truth Is
He was sired by top-notch Medaglia d'Oro who captured 5.75 million and whose progeny are 10 percent winners first out); the dam won 3 of 16 and 182K; among the winning siblings is 133K earner Honest Gold; completes strong 3-way entry.

Race 3

Glassy Aly
Hood goes on after offering little in her first start of the year earlier in the week; statebred gets a new pilot as she tackles open company and maybe that helps shake things up some, but the barn's had a rough go of it here and hasn't had much recent luck with runners second off the break.
Miss McKeown
Didn't have much to offer first out on the Belmont lawn and now she'll give dirt a shot for a barn that doesn't win many races; she's the first foal to race out of a dam whose 2 wins came sprinting on the main track so maybe she moves forward some over the new footing and she's not facing a lot in this spot, but she's still got a lot to prove.
Princes On Thelake
Ships back into this circuit following the late fade off a troubled beginning at Monmouth a couple of weeks back; sophomore didn't have much luck against cheap claimers downstate prior to the Jersey foray and there's not much to suggest she's going to move forward enough here; passing.
First part of the coupling ran into a couple of next out winners in her first start of the year at Belmont and was given a little extra time off the try; career best effort came first out over this local main track last summer so maybe the return to this venue helps perk her up some.
Filly should have some bottom for the turn back to sprint after trying a couple of turf routes in Kentucky; she was ok on dirt earlier in the year and maybe the new shades help her get more involved from the bell today; worth a look in a rather weak gathering.
Diamond Maker
Runner up on the drop to this level has been beaten as the choice in 3 of her 6 starts this year; top pilot sticks with the second half of the entry for the slight stretchout and the barn does an excellent job with its runners who return off this type of rest; interim drills suggest she has another solid effort in her; contender.
Wild Siren
Failed to pick up his feet while trying the lawn for the initial time downstate and now he'll add the hood; none of his recent outings suggests that he's set to jump forward with an effort that would put him in the mix in this spot; can't use him regardless of price.
High Inflation
Tries sprinting on the surface switch after failing to get involved from the inside draw on the Belmont green last month; filly ran well over the inner in the winter, but she hasn't shown the early lick of late that would make her a serious threat in this spot; limiting her use to underneath in exotics.
Locks of Gold
Sire gets nearly 7% winners from his debut runners and the dam won sprinting prior to dropping 3 sprint winners from as many foals to race; barn isn't known for its work right out of the box and this gal's most impressive recent drill came on the green; siding with others for the top pspot.

Race 4

3 solid races since the claim; today marks just his 3rd race since November, 2011; last looks better defeated by just 2 lengths by the runner-up finisher who posted an 86 Beyer speed figure in his next-out BEL-optional-claiming win; good try 1 start on SAR Inner Turf finished 3rd for double today's price tag.
Sam's Buck
SAR-Inner Turf graduate at today's distance exits a co-Beyer Top; super-fresh barn and jockey-trainer combo off the wet-turf loss vs. Dual Citizen and figures for a similar type of trip for this; the 2-back winner repeated with an 84 Beyer in a BEL-optional claimer.
Louie Mondello
Flashed speed in sprints so figures to be a major pace presence stretching out to his longest distance since 2011 for this; exits his lowest Beyer since April, 2010, but could very well be loose on the lead which is always a dangerous scenario; may take these a long way.
Winless since; middle moving in latest when sent this far over today's SAR Inner Turf; new rider is his 5th in as many races which is not a good win angle; career-best Beyer when setting the pace in an August loss; finished a mediocre 5th on SAR-Inner Turf in 2012.
Perfect Footprint
Was on the lead in last at 11F vs. the winner who won his next 3 races with 2 Grade 2 wins (100-100-96 Beyers); beat the 2-back show runner who Beyered 83 in his next-out BEL-35K-claiming win; 1 race on SAR Inner Turf was a last-place finish in a 100K event; off the long layoff will be taking a wait and see approach.
East of Danzig
Freshened up off winless 2012 and 2013; defeated as the favorite 2 of his last 3 starts; best Beyer was over a less-than-firm turf course; hasn't run a bad race since 2011 off a similar 10-week abesence; not a great sign that he defeated only 3 runners combined in last 2 SAR Inner Turf races.
32%-long layoff trainer adds to the appeal; the runner-up and show finishers from last Beyered 86-83 in next-out GP-alw. and optional-claiming wins; he beat the 7th-place finisher a 70 Beyer-GP-50K-claiming winner; main knock is he finished 10th beating 1 runner in his only other SAR Inner Turf start.
The 0-for-10 turf record is not easy to take; he hasn't fired anywhere near his best form since being claimed off a January wet-main track career-best Beyer; lost in September on turf vs. much lesser than this.
Rallied too late over today's turf course during the summer of 2012; solid-fresh trainer (20% winners since 2012) off a pair of odds-on confidence-building romps on synthetic; his turf record includes 8 minor awards with 1 win so when he does very fire best on the green it often produces a supporting role; beat the runner-up and show finishers 2-back next-out 67-66 Beyer PID-25K-16K-claiming winners.
Dual Citizen
Fired his best Beyer since February 1st off the claim when setting the pace; his 2012 wins were from stalking trips so expecting him to sit just off Louie Mondello before getting 1st run on the closers; new rider wins 22% for the barn since 2012 but began SAR on a 1-for-26 clip.
Lure of the South
The 9%-winning fresh trainer automatically suggests we take a wait and see approach; exits a dull effort 1st time off the claim posting his lowest Beyer since January; other SAR turf start was July, 2012, finishing 8th in a MSW event at today's distance.
Perfect Joiski
His other SAR grass race was a 6th-place 2011 starter alw. finish at today's distance on today's Inner Turf; last race going this far was a 6th-place finish vs. lesser defeated by the show runner who Beyered 79 in his next-out TAM-16K-claiming win.
Thunder Brew
2010 stakes winner at today's distance has been far off best form when racing this far recently 2-back finishing last when favored; recent Beyers again far off his best day however in last had trouble but finished a game 3rd; hopes for better reuniting with the rider from his 2013 Beyer Top exacta finish fresh but was sprinting that day and is back in just 21 days for this.
Minnie Punt
Winless 15 races last win picture was May, 2010, on BEL-Widener turf in a 100K-NY-bred stakes at 1M and 1-16th; new 27%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer takes over after a mild rally defeated by the runner-up finisher who Beyered 101 in his next-out BEL-optional claiming win; the 2-back winner and runner-up finshers Beyered 103-91 in next-out BEL-G3 stakes and alw. wins.
Main Track Only entry heads back to dirt where all 6 career wins occurred; 2 of his worst speed figure during career were on turf; was claimed off a sloppy-track win and does his very-best work on wet race tracks; exits his lowest Beyer since March, 2012, on AQU dirt.
Irish Lion
Finished last 3 weeks ago on turf now back to dirt where his career-best Beyer occurred on AQU Inner dirt last winter; the 2-back winner repeated to make it 3 in a row in a BEL-optional claimer with an 84 speed figure; MTO was also slated to race August 1st SAR 8th on dirt at 7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | CLAIMING ( $35,000 - $25,000 ).

Race 5

Raven Rise
Feel that it's fair to question the strength of the 71 Beyer Speed Figure she earned for her latest effort as that was a pretty soft bunch, and number of horses were awarded much improved figures; that said, it's not like she's meeting a tough group here and she was clearly better with a move to turf.
Wild Frances
She didn't run poorly in her career debut and she has some early speed to throw at these from her inside post; winner from latest won next out here on 7/20 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. N1X rivals with an 81 Beyer.
Eddy's Time
She has a little bit of turf in her pedigree and she figures to be involved in the running right from the break; not thrilled with the field that she met up with in her latest start, and a couple of those return in this spot, but it's not like she's in all that tough today.
Left Uppercut
She earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure when taking blinkers off in her latest start, and that level of performance can get her into the mix against these, but this is a mare seeking her first career win in her 15th start; perhaps a minor award is the ceiling.
Let Me Be Nuts
Sire wins with approximately 10% of his turf starters and dam won once from nine starts for 22k, including 0-for-1 over turf; runner up from latest won next out at Sar on 7/31 going 6f vs. MSW rivals with a 70 Beyer.
Chrissy Girl
Of the horses in here exiting the 10th race at Belmont Park on July 7, this appears to be the one to focus on; this filly encountered her share of traffic trouble before finding room to run, and she finished well to be second that day.
Done Smoking
Overbrook Farm-owned filly enters this race off of what can be viewed as being a useful career debut, and she's a 1/2 to G3 winner Fortunate Damsel (4-21, 218k, including 3 of 13 turf starts for 182k) and Considerate (3-24, 170k over turf); like the idea of her moving forward at second asking and Lezcano has won with 16 of 57 (28%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Sire wins with approximately 7% of his turf starters and dam won once from four starts, including 0-for-1 over turf; this miss is a 1/2 to My Lil' Red Rodeo (3-18, 79k, including 1 of 6 turf starts for 16k); she has early zip but she needs a much improved overall performance in her turf debut if she's to contend.
Carole Lee
She's a 1/2 to Barometric (4-10, 118k over turf) but she's going to need to show up with her best effort to date to get the better of this field and she finished behind a couple of today's rivals in her one turf start.
Kate Is a Ten
Her form has improved a little with a move to turf and it will be interesting to see what she can do while making her first start for a barn that does some of their better work with turf starters; not putting her at the top of the list, but not going to count her out of it either.
This will be a comfortable spot for her to land in if this race has to be moved to the main track, but since a promising career debut, she finished fourth as a heavy odds-on favorite, and she only beat one to the finish in her third start.
Prize Taker
Respect the improved performance she showed up with at second asking and perhaps she just didn't care for the feel of turf beneath her in her latest outing; she'll have the look of a contender if this race has to be taken off the turf.

Race 6

Captain Davrick
Discreet Cat 9 for 62 with first-time turfers; G1 winning sire took debut at 2, won 6 of 9, banked over $1.6 million, was never on turf; dam was unraced; several multiple race winners in the family including 2 turf winners and near $600K earner Fourth and Six; look for rider to send hard and hope for the best.
Colt was moving well when forced to check in last but still was inching toward the winner; show horse in last took a $14K optional next out, 8th finisher took a FL allowance and the 11th finisher took a $16K claimer; last race could have served as an ideal prep; this guy looks live.
Seal Team Four
Flatter 6 for 152 with first-time turfers; SP sire didn't run at 2, took 4 of 6, was best long, never turfed; stakes winning 6 for 22 dam earned nearly $160K, was turf only; there are a couple of turf winners in the clan including over $100K earner Pillow Pal; runner set the career pace in last and just had nothing left; maybe he can build on the effort.
Archer Hill
Runner has natural speed and could show more with the blinks today; connections thought enough of this one to try the stakes early in the career; must be left in the exotic conversation.
Papa Freud
Two of the 3 races vs. winners have been solid; note he was handled by Sky Blue a couple of races back; pace was pretty moderate in last and he still could not capitalize; another slice?
Gimme Credit
Senior citizen is back at the claimed level and he has had some local success; nothing wrong with hitting the exacta half the time on grass here; note show horse in last was nearly 4 clear; will be rolling late if at all.
James Jingle
Lone win was by a nose in a dirt miler in the second career start; can't be thrilled with the grass record; backers have to hope they go bonkers early and the race falls completely apart.
Northern Tripp
Gelding has the 3 races to draw from now; the 6/26 place horse took a $35K optional next out; trainer three back won next out and the winner 5/27 clicked again in a $20K seller 7/13 with a 77 Beyer; the hotter the pace the better for this guy.
Hidden Vow
The freshening obviously did him a world of good; not thrilled to see all the defeats for a tag; could find the waters much deeper vs. winners this time.
Tycoon Cat
Gelding posted the rare win in last, check out the 13 slices; best when sent along but runner was getting a bit late in last; note rider has had good success for this barn.
Barnards Galaxy
Last 4 efforts have been decent; the 5/27 winner repeated in a $40K overnight 'cap with and 84 Beyer; could see him getting a nice stalk and pounce trip; should be around the wire once again.
With Exultation
Rank two back, had dead aim at the top of the lane 2 back but could not carry on with the momentum; runner has a right to have a very useful career as all 3 full siblings banked 6 figures including over $330K earner Becky's Kitten; interesting.
Roaring Conquest
One for 24 is a tough number to bet into no matter how you slice it; can't be thrilled with the turf slate but 4th finisher in last took a $14K optional and the winner repeated in a $25K optional; would be careful here.
Power Blast
Key off the May finale and he has to be left in the mix; place horse 4/14 took a $10K seller, beat $7500 starter foes and was 2nd a neck in a $25K optional; winner 4/14 took an N1X, then beat $5K starter rivals; note wraps added in last, try to get a good look at him in the post parade.
Sky Blue Pink
Wraps re-added in last; try to get a good look at him on the track; key off the 6/8 race and he fits and the winner that day repeated in a $35K claimer with a 79 Beyer; with his style, he needs a hot pace and a traffic-free trip.
Fiona's Hero
Nothing like taking the biggest drop in the game to get a win; and he was boosted a bit when the place horse in last graduated 7/5 vs. $16K maiden foes; he has lost ground late in the all the routes; may want to watch one vs. winners.

Race 7

Bird Now
1/2 G2 SP sprinter Pow Wow Wow (80K, 1-3 at 2) by 8% 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 1 wnnr/1 rnnr (1-1 with 2yos, 0-1 sprint); 2nd dam G1 route SW Bird Town (871K); barn 0-51 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/22 work match Sinorice (1st 20K 'beaten' 7/31); 7/29 work match Catholic Cowboy (69 Beyer).
Mischievous One
9.5K RNA weanling, 62K yearling, 130K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 13-72 (18%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; 3rd dam multiple SW Quick Selection (61K); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yos dirt; the winner of debut try returned to finish 4th in the G2 Sanford with 61 Beyer.
Dunkin Bend
21K wnlng, 53K yrlng, 110K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; new sire multiple G1 SP router (1-1 sprint) and is 1-17 (6%) with 2yos;1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Macadamia); barn 6-21 (29%, $3.01 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; 3rd-finisher in debut returned to win on turf with 71 Beyer; speedy major player.
King Cyrus
sire 6-66 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-2 on turf); G1 SW Dispute (1.1M, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner, 2-4 sprint); barn 33-99 (33%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/10 work went .01 slower than uncoupled mate Chisholm); 6/16 work matches Danza (1st FTS MSW 68 Beyer 7/12); 7/28 work matches Chisholm.
Bold Visionary
1/2 multiple turf SP Pure Incentive (112K, 1-3 at 2, 1-3 sprint) by 12% 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo turf SW (73K, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner) with 5 wnnrs/8 rnnrs (2-6 2yos, 3-6 sprint); dam full G3 turf SW Alexis (351K); barn 11% pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-7 Spa); 3 works match Thank You Marylou (1st FTS Tippett Stakes CNL turf 65 Beyer 7/13).
Souper Lucky
Sire 84-612 (14%) 2yos; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (184K, 1-5 sprint); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW Canadian Frontier (253K, 6-11 sprint); dam full G3 turf SW Seeking Slew (327K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-5 (20%, $0.72 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo/1st-time Lasix MSW dirt sprint; didn't have easy trip in debut; can improve with Lasix.
1st starter from new sire (German G2 turf SW, 187K); 1st starter from sprint-winning dam (42K, 1-6 sprint); 3rd dam French SW Euphonic (100K); female family G1 turf SW Danehill (England); barn 1-29 (3%, $1.52 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/5 work matches Empire Dreams (4th FTS 56 Beyer SMSW 7/21)
Big Air
1/2 SW R Baggio (314K, 1-3 at 2, 2-14 sprint), SW Handyman Bill (136K, 1-3 sprint), G3 SW Elusive Diva (484K, 2-6 sprint) by 11% 2yo FTS sire; winning dam (92K, 0-1 at 2, 1-11 sprint) has 8 wnnrs/10 rnnrs (3-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 6-9 sprint); barn 1-34 (3%, $2.94 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
400K 2yo - 1F work 10.1; 1/2 route SW Devotion Unbridled (163K, 0-1 sprnt), turf SW Snow Cone (353K, 2-7 at 2, 0-3 sprnt) by 13% 2yo FTS sire; SW dam (516K, 2-12 at 2, 1-9 sprint) has 8 wnnrs/10 rnnrs (1-3 2yos, 3-9 sprint); barn 33%, $2.59 ROI pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/8 work .04 slow than Pecorino (2nd FTS MSW 71 Beyer 7/22)

Race 8

Set the Sail
Cuts back a half panel while making his local return off the freshening with a solid main track breeze in tow; gray was quite good over the course last summer and though he's done most of his recent damage from outside draws he has been handy enough at times to secure tracking spots so maybe the inside slot doesn't hamper his kick; contender.
Fan Base
Shipper gets a solid turf pilot for his local debut after yielding the lead off a wide run at the level in Jersey; colt has early foot which should have him up with the pacesetters from the bell in this one and he clearly likes today's trip but he looks to catch a tough bunch in this heat.
Bim Bam
He's in for the optional tag after being beaten less than 3 lengths in a loaded allowance heat here last week; maybe he's better with that one behind him and he did keep some pretty good company earlier in the year but it's been a long time since he's won and sooner or later he's going to have to improve in order to step with this type.
Makes his first start for a barn that does nice work with this type and they'll reach out for a top pilot; gelding has been working well of late for his first local sod spin and his last couple of races proved that he's clearly a fit at this level; one to consider.
Statebred didn't have much of a chance getting to the loose front running winner of his last and both that guy and the runner up have since returned to score; nice to see Castellano take interest and maybe he finds himself looking at a more favorable pace scenario this time; been a while since he's won but he does own a course victory; giving him the nod to beat them home today.
Joes Blazing Aaron
Speedy gelding couldn't go on late when stretched out off the freshening in his return to the lawn; he hasn't been as good as he was when this outfit first took him over, but with some other speed signed on maybe he's able to sit a tracking trip from here; gets another top pilot for this and that can't hurt, but he doesn't boast a recent winning profile so we'll limit his use to underneath.
Admiral Perry
Runner up in 3 of his last 4 draws the outside slot for another crack at this level; 5 year old should get pace in front of him in here and maybe that helps make the difference, but he hasn't won in a while.
MTO steps up for his first off the claim by an outfit that excels with this type right back; he's quite capable at the trip and he looked pretty good winning in the downstate mud the last time he tried a wet track; dangerous from off the pace if the rains come.
Aussi Austin
MTO just missed at the trip here on Monday and now he's entered right back off that career best Beyer effort; 5 year old has positional foot which should help him if the rains come and he's run well in each of his wet track starts; in his current form he's the one they'll have to beat if this gets moved to the main track.

Race 9

Open Water
Respect the form she displayed racing over turf as a 3-year-old, but since winning a G2 after a layoff three starts back, her form has headed in the wrong direction, and it would have been nice to have seen her show more through the stretch in her latest start while getting over the Saratoga turf for the first time.
Sweet Little Lion
Kinsman Farm-bred mare has run well in five of her last six turf starts and she's making her first start for the top turf barn of Bill Mott; third finisher from latest won next out at Crc on 7/20 going 1m in a 75k stakes with an 88 Beyer; Rosario has won with 13 of 44 (30%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Laugh Out Loud (GB)
She's a G2 winner racing overseas and have to believe that it just wasn't her day in her first start in America; she's now being sent out under the name of Chad Brown, and she gets Lasix and Castellano for this; Castellano has won with 31 of 102 mounts for this barn in 2013.
Like to see that this stakes placed filly ran well over this turf course in 2012, but not sure that her best race is quite strong enough to get the job done in this spot, and she had it all her own way on the front end in beating optional claiming competition in her latest outing.
Baffle Me
For the most part, her form has been strong since being placed over turf as a 3-year-old, and two of her last three starts have been particularly good performances; filly that beat her last time finished fourth in the G1 Diana going 1 1/8m over turf on 7/27 with a 90 Beyer.
She chased of couple of good ones to the finish in her latest start, Dayatthespa was already a G1 winner over turf and Laughing exited that race to win a G1 here on 7/27 going 1 1/8m over turf with a 96 Beyer; this miss is a G3 winner in her own right, and Lezcano has won with 16 of 57 (28%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Have to respect the fact that that this stakes winner has won seven of 18 turf starts, but she finds herself facing a pretty strong buunch today, and she is going to have to bounce back from a string of starts that have not been up to par.
Miss Montreal
She exits the same race as today's rival Sweet Little Lion and the third place finisher from that race returned to win next out at Crc on 7/20 going 1m in a 75k stakes with an 88 Beyer; like to see how much she's improved her game lately and respect the presence of John V.

Race 10

Successful Dan
Exits his lowest Beyer speed figure since August, 2010, defeated by the runner-up finisher who Beyered 104 in his next-out PRM-98K stakes win; 3 times he's raced 1st at the 1st call have been all wins but Fort Larned outbroke him in Louisville then a troubled trip produced his 1st off-the-board finish since 2010 while Cross Traffic seems the one to catch here; 1st-time SAR with a 4-pound positive weight swing for the rematch with Fort Larned.
Mucho Macho Man
Ran such a huge race over the track in 2012 when necked in the G1 Woodward; his 5-year-old season has been rough it saw him show up with front wraps on then beat 2 runners combined in 2 non-graded defeats; the 2-back show runner Beyered 100 in his next-out GP-Grade 3 win; guess you can blame wet tracks for his recent poor showings?
Fort Larned
Defending champion has won all 3 times racing 1st at the 1st call with big-gate speed shown in last defeating a next-out 104 Beyer stakes winner; rallied from off the pace to win this event in 2012 giving Ron the Greek the rematch with a negative 7-pound weight swing from that event; in the 2012 Whitney beat the show runner a next-out 109 Beyer BEL-G1 SW; best of 31 bullet workout for this for a 13%-winning fresh trainer (31-60-days).
Cross Traffic
We know Successful Dan and Fort Larned are tough customers when they make the lead; this one wants the front too and appears to have sharper gate speed off the Mile pacesetting events stretching out to his longest-distance race ever; last looks better since the show runner Beyered 107 in a next-out BEL-G2 win.
Ron the Greek
Positive 2-pound weight swing off latest lopsided loss vs. Fort Larned who was loose on an easy lead a scenario that does not pan out here; his last win was in the slop a career-best Beyer; favored in the 2012 Whitney when defeated by Fort Larned again; the 2-back winner and runner-up finishers Beyered 114-106 in next-out BHP-G1-G2 wins; gets a good closer's setup but if repeats last that wouldn't be good enough to beat these.
Perfect at SAR including the Travers which was his last win; working well for this but his prep in the Suburban at BEL was not very memorable when defeated by Fast Falcon who is here for this; the 3-back winner repeated in a 400K event next out.
Best Beyers on wet main tracks including nosed in a G2 at today's distance at SAR in 2012; the 3-back winner repeated in an FG-G2 with a 103 Beyer; figures to work out an ideal trip stalking the inside speedsters but but would have to fire back to one of his best 2012 Beyers to land a major share here.
Fast Falcon
Never better off a career-best Beyer and figures to work out an ideal closer's trip as the speedy Cross Traffic will likely have Successful Dan and Fort Larned breathing down his neck; just 1 win (May, 2012, PIM-MSW) is a major drawback but his Travers near-miss finish was rock solid showing he likes SAR fast dirt.

Race 11

Nonnie Connie
Frost Giant 0 for 13 with first-time turfers; sire took a Group 3 at 2, ended up banking over $450K, won twice on grass; dam's lone win was a dirt route; several multiple race winners in the family including double turf winner and over $100K earner Right Direction; probably a late threat on the cut back.
My Uptown Gal
One more jump and she is at another condition; there is classy blood all over the pedigree as three in the tree banked 6 figures including Go Tiger Jack, who took a stakes at 5, won twice on grass, banked over $200K; respect.
Talmadge Hill
Miss seems to have taken to the local grass if the 7/22 blowout is any indication; best when sent along but the feeling is she can track and succeed too after the decent rally in the racing debut; like the way she was inching away late in last.
Desert Bliss
She has a pretty nice turn of late foot; homebred has been decent value in the gimmicks in her career and that is where her strength may like once again; should be motoring in the late stages.
Mary P. Jones
Had dead aim at the top of the lane in last, just tired; now she has the two races to draw from though; she has much more speed than she just flashed and the recent milers could have helped with the stamina; not impossible chore.
Shocked in the stakes to graduate at 53-1, has not threatened since; handled rather easily last time by the rival in post 2; the wraps have been on since the November finale; not seeing it.
A Prettydixie
July works well spaced; note the maiden breaker did come in the cut back situation; just might be the bomb in the exotics.
Ave's Halo
Must prove it on the grass; only in the money once vs. winners; out of the money in the other return efforts; place horse in the 2012 closer has won twice since, the last in a state-bred $50K optional with a 79 Beyer; the trip is everything.
Grinder may have not cared for the off going in last; place horse in last cashed next out in a FL allowance with a 58 Beyer; blowout on the 25th was pretty snappy; a slice once again could be the ceiling.
White Crane
First Defence 1 for 20 with first-time turfers; sire took the Grade 1 Forego, won only try on grass, banked nearly $600K; stakes winning 6 for 21 dam banked over $330K, never turfed; this is her first to race; could very well make amends for flop as chalk.
Those that took 17-1 got a pretty good run for their money till the top of the lane; she had to take the time off after the muddy win and those efforts can be taxing; trainer has spotted them just fine though all year.
Wild Grace
Maybe she just wanted grass all the time; like the way she showed a new wrinkle and came from a bit off the pace; love the series of drills since the diploma run; 4th finisher in last took a MSW and the 9th finisher took a maiden $16K claimer; there is a $100K earner in the tree; can't sell short.
L B's Expression
Only poor effort came when she was dueled into submission; 4th finisher last Halloween cashed next out in a $40K optional and the place horse 10/31 took a $75K state-bred stakes at Penn National, then lost 4 times; respect everything from this barn.
Warrior Marie
Two Beyer regressions since the decent 5/17 return; 6/26 place horse beat $20K claimer here 7/22 with a 76 Beyer; Rocco got a chance to figure her out; with her style, things will have to break just right.

Race 12

St. Sincere
Not wild about what he showed in his only turf start under the lights at Hollywood Park, but this really isn't a bad spot for him to make his first start in New York, and he shows up for a barn that has been live at this meeting; look for him to grab the early lead and take them as far as he can.
Summer Shiner
Although for a different barn, it's a good idea to respect what he showed over this turf course in two starts as a 2-year-old; it would have been nice to have seen more from him at Gulfstream Park over the winter, but like the drop in class for him and C.V. is a go-to rider for this barn.
Its What I Do
He hasn't finished better than sixth through his first five starts, including a couple of turf starts, and he's going to need to find a way to take his game to another level if he's to prove to be a threat in this spot.
Seriously Sharp
He hasn't finished better than seventh or within 10 lengths of the winner through three starts and he's another who will have to find a way to do more if he's to contend; runner up from latest won next out here on 7/21 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. 25k MCL's with a 78 Beyer.
He recorded his best finish to date n his latest outing but he was beaten by today's rival Ryvit in that race, and that one was making his first start in more than a year; feel that a minor award is probably the ceiling.
Always tough to push long time maidens for the top spot, but like to see that Lezcano was aboard for the near-miss performance two starts back, and this will be the first time that this gelding has raced without blinkers.
My Teddy Bear
Can't ignore the early speed that he brings with him but he's yet another in here who will need to find a way to show up with a performance that is much stronger than anything he's done to this point in time if he's to have a say in the outcome.
Fiddlers Chico
His form has steadily improved since being placed over turf at second asking and it doesn't hurt him to retain the services of Castellano; at the very least, he's worthy of consideration underneath in the exotics.
When considering the long layoff, his latest race can be viewed in a positive light, and this is a runner who has run races in the past that are strong enough to suggest that he can be competitive in a spot like this; this is a capable turf barn and respect Alvarado as a strong turf rider.
Omos Journey
Lightly raced 3-year-old has been so-so at best through his first three starts, but he does show up for a new barn, and it's interesting to see the addition of Lasix and blinkers; he looks like a little bit of a wildcard.
Like a Boss
There's very little in the way of dirt form signed on in the main body of this race, and this looks like it will be a good spot for this gelding to get to go if this race gets taken off the turf; however, it still looks like he'll have to show more to beat some of the other MTO's.
Boogie Too
Like to see the effort he showed up with over a sloppy surface at Gulfstream Park earlier in the year and that level of performance figures to be strong enough to make some noise in this spot; first call for Alvarado.
Prince Curlin
He's basically been outrun at every point of call through his first three starts, and even though this race figures to come up pretty soft if it has to be moved to the main track, this colt will still need to show more if he's to prove to be a player.
Streets of Fire
When looking at what he's done in his dirt starts, he ran pretty well to finish second three races back at Belmont Park, and in his only other dirt start, two back at Belmont, he chased an early pace that was a little too hot for him to handle; first call for Ortiz.
Ramsey-owned colt will find himself in an ideal spot to go after his first career win if this race comes off the turf and Rosario has won with 41 of 115 (36%) mounts for this barn in 2013; he'll be tough to look past if he gets to go.
El Dreamer
The 0-for-39 career mark alone is reason enough to look in another direction for the top spot, but his best race is strong enough to suggest that he can sneak his way into a spot underneath in the exotics if he feels up to one of his better performances.