08/28/2013 9:44AM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 29, 2013

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Race 1

Kingdom
Two good efforts at the meet, yet still looking for a win; returns two weeks after getting caught late and settling for second and makes third start in five weeks; seems like a tough task, even for in-form horse; jockey change to McDermott; barn's been close flat and jump but winless; like the horse, just not sure today's the day either.
 
Pleasant Woodman
Get out of the way; he's fast early, strong all the time and makes his presence known; you know he'll be in front at some point but that's no way to win a steeplechase.
 
Constant Contact (GB)
Hmm; too close before fading to seventh in American debut here in the jump opener for top barn; like that they weren't tempted by the other races all meet and return in much easier spot; that race July 25 produced a meet winner in Barnstorming and the Turf Writers fourth-place horse in Martini Brother; class relief helps, rain would really help.
 
Royal Fling Shot
First of two for Sheppard barn shook off some rust here Aug. 1, his first start in almost two years; not a bad effort, all things considered; he was good enough on the flat to break maiden and try Keeneland so there's some ability there; breeding screams long on the turf; sitting on big race off four-week set-up.
 
Orchestra Leader
Labored since breaking his maiden in jump debut as 3-year-old last fall; decent try vs. winners in April would give you some hope; two flat races at Colonial Downs, even at beaten claiming level, will help; chance to grab a piece.
 
Call Me Sonny
Veteran leads field in jump starts, which gives him an experience edge, but he couldn't make an impact at this level two weeks ago; firm turf will help as worst races are on softer ground; as I pointed out last time, that stakes win was a starter race not an open stakes (big difference); would not a surprise on paper, but I can't see it.
 
Mr.Universo (BRZ)
Building decent jump career with four starts (none worse than fourth) this year; love that he hasn't run here yet, which means he's tackling final jump day of the meet fresh and ready as opposed to wrung out; Parx maiden win means he'll handle racetrack and he was pretty solid on flat with three wins and starts vs. Boisterous among others back there on form; fragile 9-year-old must bring best.
 
Bluegrass Summer
Sent off as lukewarm favorite last time, but could not keep pace with contenders late; worked at Fair Hill for this so went home to farm to regroup and then added a little speed for this; flat form is pretty good as he was competitive in two good races last year, one here against Lea; change to Dalton could be a wake-up call.
 
Arrow's Conquest
Romped in jump debut in April, for a barn not known for winning first time out; love the breeding, love the classy flat form; hate that he fell in second jump start; back on the plus side, he's had plenty of time to recover, practice and get right for this; he's also tackling a weaker group than earlier race at this condition; in the mix at what ought to be a big price.

Race 2

Cat Feathers
Picked up fourth in novice stakes vs. males as a prep for this; plenty capable mare with a win and a second here last year; training steadily here all meet and primed for solid effort ; jockey is 50 percent 1-2-3 at the meet and tries to win one for his wife.
 
Quiet Flaine
Chicken or feathers with this one as eight-start jump record includes two wins, four DNFs and two races where she finished but was a non-factor; who shows up today?; better than last, where she rolled to long lead and faded; bold jumper when she's right; interesting to see Young land here; coupled with Well Fashioned, who runs with opposite style.
 
Kisser N Run
Everybody's pick last time flattened out when real running started three weeks ago; looked great schooling last week at Oklahoma; just wondering if her best races aren't away from the racetrack ; win at Far Hills in soft going, win at hilly Foxfield, near-miss at demanding Nashville course; quality, but passing.
 
The Grey Express (GB)
Now that s more like it; came to U.S. off nine Irish jump starts (and two wins), which should have meant relatively early success; not the case as she's still looking for first American win for Hall of Fame trainer; put a head in front but could not keep up with Take Her Tothe Top last time; another step forward wins it.
 
Take Her Tothe Top
She proved parity of division with stakes win as maiden here last time; she figured beforehand off two good efforts for top barn and light weight; Aizpuru riding in championship form; can she do it again? Entrymate Opera Heroine tough as well.
 
Opera Heroine
Last had to help, though I would have preferred to see a little more fight from her; fitness should not have been that big an issue off flat spin, but she is plenty capable; seeing out the trip has been her issue and best form is two years ago; can she hit rewind?
 
Cubist
Pedigree fans will see she's half-sister to recent Turf Writers winner Italian Wedding; also a winner at Saratoga last summer, when she nailed Cat Feathers on the line; tough going ever since though as she's finished just two of five; gets new jockey; went home to the farm and Fair Hill for a break, which can't hurt, though I can't see her reversing form all that drastically.
 
Well Fashioned
Classy mare tries again and always seems to get a piece; Fout would probably prefer 2 3/8 miles for her, but this is shorter distance and she will probably get found out for speed late; entrymate Quiet Flaine could help ensure fast pace up front and maybe this girl picks up the pieces in the stretch; player underneath, but she better bring her running shoes.
 
Lillehammer
Blinkers have produced new sharpness for New York-bred, who ran away with Colonial maiden win and built massive lead here Aug. 8 before faltering to fifth; breaks from the outside today which won't help efforts to restrain her, though maybe that's not the plan anyway; running style too risky for Saratoga.

Race 3

Keep Bustin
First part of the Levine coupling ran ok in the near miss off the freshening in the local mud last time and now she'll get an extra half panel while breaking from a similar draw; she worked quite well last weekend for this and if she's the half to go, should be able to work out a pretty good trip given a clean start; contender.
 
She's Stones Sis
Levine's other half also has Velazquez named so only one will go; finally broke through the N1X condition last time and now she'll take the next step up the ladder; not a lot of early foot in here so she should be prominent from the bell in this one; consider if she's the one to go.
 
Lenders Way
She's the first of the Well Spring Stables coupling and she looks to catch a dry strip for the first time in a while; she's been stuck in this condition for over a year and doesn't always give a very good account of herself, but she could be set to move forward some with the last out regression behind her; maybe for a minor award.
 
Haldane
Other half of the Well Spring coupling was runner up in 3 straight at the level downstate before being given some time to prepare for the slight cut back here; she's taken well to the shades and both of her career scores did come at this trip.
 
Little Rocket
Drops out of a rough trip in the G1 Prioress here last month, a race from which the runner up returned to just miss in the G1 Test here last weekend; lightly raced filly was quite good when runner up at the level in her first start in half a year 2 back and she should like today's added panel; one to beat.
 
Hundred Acre Wood
Didn't do much in any of her 3 recent cracks at the level and now she'll get a new pilot; barn doesn't win often and this gal is going to need to step things up quite a bit to go with this bunch; have to pass on her.
 
Fiftyfour Forever
Beaten last out chalk steps up a level after proving little match for the winner at a shorter trip than she'll tackle here; she's never been off the board in 4 spins at 7/8s and she'll switch to the meet's leading pilot for this; expecting she'll be more aggressively handled at this trip and could prove a threat.
 
Hot Splash
She's been freshened better than 3 months since running down open conditioned claimers on the surface switch at this level downstate; filly doesn't have much early foot and she has had her troubles at this level; prefer to side against the repeat.
 
Newbie
Filly wasn't beaten much in the local mud last time but that was her third off the board effort in as many local spins; she's been in this condition for quite a long time and has also never finished in the money at this trip; have to look elsewhere for the winner.
 
Princess Mara
Outside drawn mare switches surfaces while turning back to sprin in her return to the local main track; she was sharp on the front end in a one turn mile downstate 3 back and maybe she's able to work out a solid tracking trip from here while tackling a field that doesn't look to contain a lot of early lick; worth a look.

Race 4

Blind Hope
At his very best when sitting just off the gate speed and was probably too far back early in last but showed nothing at all on a wet race track which is very alarming considering his 3-1-2-0 record on less-than-fast tracks coming into last; is 1-for-1 on a SAR fast track; beat the 2-back runner-up finisher at today's distance who posted a 104 Beyer speed figure in his next-out 100K-BEL stakes win.
 
Majestic Number
Reunites with a rider who is 2-for-2 for on this one; beat the 2-back show runner who Beyered 79 in his next-out MTH-optional claiming win; the MTH workout for his 1st-SAR attempt is not very appealing; stretches out beyond 6F for the 1st time since February, 2012, but style suggests the added yardage is right up his alley.
 
Homeboykris
All 7 wins from just off the pace but has not shown the same tactical speed in recent losses; 7-0-1-1 record after winning 1st off the claim; needed last race off the 55-day absence and now has 43 days between starts; the 3-back winner and runner-up finisher Beyered 87-86 in his next-out AP-DEL starter alw. wins.
 
Terminus
Tough beat at 13-1 odds 1st time on SAR dirt easily his best race since the May claim and his best Beyer since February; big-class leap off the loss and cutting back in distance does not add to the appeal; last-win rider lands on Schoolyard Dreams.
 
Take Down Two
Claimed back by the trainer off the dueled-into-defeat racing line back on SAR dirt for the 1st time since 2012; consistent sort just hasn't run a bad race in 2013 yet; the 3-back runner-up finisher Beyered 90 in his next-out BEL-optional-claiming win then 93 in a BEL-starter handicap score.
 
Schoolyard Dreams
Claimed off a high-win-percentage trainer which is not a good win angle; defeated the runner-up and 7th-place finishers from last who Beyered 87-85 in next-out BEL-20K and PEN-16K-claiming wins; reunites with CVelasquez for the 1st time since a 2010 Grade 3 TAM-runnerup placement.
 
Blue Creek
Not a good sign that his 1st race off the claim represents his lowest Beyer since October; was purchased off a career-best speed figure then nothing for last; the workouts for this are lacking; beat the 2-back show runner who Beyered 76 in his next-out BEL-20K-claiming win.
 
Star Harbour
Is the one to catch off the 90-day absence; bullet workout for his return to SAR dirt the surface of his career-low Beyer one year ago and the last time he stretched out beyond 6F; reunites with the win rider and Alvarado was the pilot when he drilled his December career-best Beyer;

Race 5

Jess Not Jesse
True horse for the course should be a handful right back; love fact she has speed but doesn't need the lead to succeed; the 8/1 place horse took a $25K claimer here 8/16 with a 78 Beyer; show horse 8/1 also beat $25K sellers next out; connections thought enough of him to try a Grade 3 in only the second start; the rail at this distance this meet is 3 for 53; still a major player.
 
Spiral Stair
Not the easist spot for just a maiden winner; gelding had dead aim at the top of the lane last time, just didn't want to go that far; several decent drills since, back with favorite pilot, not impossible task.
 
Nubin Ridge
He caught the repeater in the CD finale and maybe connections had this race in mind all the time; with limited speed, he can be his own worst enemy at times; one angle to think about: he cashed in the second off the layoff run in March and that was also going dirt to turf; nice.
 
Imperial Robyn
It took colt several attempts to get his act together last year; runner got away with the moderate splits two back, still gave up the ghost; trainer has spotted them just fine all year; should at least offer value.
 
Off the Page
This guy is love; he brings :21 and change speed to the party and he graduated in the second off the layoff effort; he's run decently at a number of different venues and the race over the course can't hurt; place horse in the CD finale cashed next out in an N1X at Presque Isle, then won again in Philly in a $25K optional sprint on grass with a 95 Beyer; respect.
 
Hebert Hall
Runner tugged hard on the left of the bit for the opening half, got out slightly on the backstretch, was choppy and erratic after; the 5/17 place horse took a state-bred N1X, was out of the money thrice; needs a rebound run.
 
Request a Puck
Soph has work cut out; both wins came against Louisiana-breds and he was totally disrespected on the tote in last; looking elsewhere for a key top horse.
 
Downtownoscarbrown
War Front 0 for 10 with first-time turfers; sire won 4 times including a G2, banked nearly $425K, never turfed; 4 for 11 dam banked nearly $130K, never turfed; several multiple race turf winners in the family including Grade 3 placed 4 for 10 grass performer and near $200K earner Plenty; freshened since the June freak job, and that race came back okay as the 4th finisher took a $16K N2L next out, 5th finisher took a $25K N2L and 7th finisher beat $8K claimers at Charles Town next out; he has a right to have a nice career as kin to Grade 1 placed over $260K earner Just a Coincidence.
 
Ziptronic
Back in a hurry and maybe runner just hated the rail last time; can't be thrilled with the local record; he comes back trying to strike within a week but there are others with designs on the lead; this rider at least was up for the last victory.
 
Whiskey Romeo
Style no secret, he'll be gunning hard at the sound of the bell if the race comes off the grass; he's been on a stakes diet just about his entire career and could have just been overmatched last time; look out.
 
Mewannarose
Forced to steady first time for Serpe; 5th finisher in last took a $35K claimer next out and the winner repeated in a $75K claimer with an 89 Beyer; he had to come from dead last in the lone win; even if you figure he needed last, he could be facing some familiar foes; another slice?
 
Midnight Music
Needed the sealed sloppy strip and 6 foes for the lone score; forced to steady last time on the experimental grass effort; could see him sitting a nice stalk and pounce journey; don't ignore.
 
Skylander
Must prove he can handle conventional dirt; fans backed off to the tune of 18-1 in last and they were right on the money; pushed alone in last but he may be better served tracking and trying to get first run on the deep closes; needs very best.
 
Much Stronger
All this guy does is invent ways to win; even on the jump last time, fans stayed on the bandwagon and they were rewarded; 2 of the 3 bad efforts this year came in the off going; threepeat well within the realm.
 
Jumpinofftheedge
Mirror races in last pair and neither was pretty; runner never recovered from stumbling early on in last; not the easiest spot for just a maiden winner; would be careful here.

Race 6

Jolienne
Rushed up to grab the lead from this same rail position before fading 2 months ago; did the same in her sole try over this course last summer but may not have cared for that particular sloppy track; may have to resort to rating tactics today.
 
Private Councel
Only one start this year and it was a poor effort over the inner dirt; does have a local victory to her credit but that was achieved in a route and this could be a prep in that direction; cannot endorse at this time.
 
Quiet Sunshine
Pressed the issue against better company and wheels right back; switches to apprentice handling here and may be able to rally from close range at a square price; likely to be overlooked by many and can round out what should be a generous exotic payoff.
 
Victory Island
Game in defeat 3 weeks ago while the public choice; has a rating gear too which may come into play and her versatility stamps her as one of the true contenders in this field; can handle various types of footing as well.
 
World Premier
Respectable showing last month when rallying belatedly; has the best local record in this field and should be much tighter now; won for this price tag last season and should have sufficient target pacesetters to set her up; the selection.
 
Margaret Lilian
One of the primary despites to consider even though she has limited main track experience; was involved with a solid pace in her last turf attempt and the blinker addition now may help her turn things around; especially dangerous if front-runners have dominated the card.
 
Go Olivia Go
Has not finished in the money since the June claim; ran against decent company at Monmouth though and that meet's leading rider makes the journey for this assignment; draws very well and can make an impact if there is a pace meltdown.
 
Nuffsaid Nuffsaid
Lost significant ground in the last run and unfortunately has to break from a wide slot again; the breeze pattern this month is only moderate in quality; remains a very difficult runner to fathom.
 
Full of Intent
Failed as the 9 to 5 favorite last month after losing plenty of energy prior to the start; a 5-time winner, she can atone here with clean stalking trip; seems to run well from outer post positions such as this and warrants some backing; exacta recommendation.
 
Queen Nine
Defeated a modest crew at Finger Lakes while even money; got away unchallenged in that event and although an expert trainer is at the helm, there appears to be too much speed to the left today; note in this sophomore filly's only try over this course, she was also favored.
 
Flashy in Pink
Owns a solid first gear but her best performances, by far, have been in route affairs; makes her first start for a trainer who does extremely well right off the claim and warrants some respect as a result; tough call.
 
Warrior Marie
Earned minor spoils in the last pair but the cards seem stacked against her today considering the miserable post; unlikely to overcome such a disadvantage and she cannot be given the top vote regardless of track condition.

Race 7

Spartiatis
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his first-time starters and with approximately 14% of his turf starters, and dam was winless from five starts, and she didn't make a turf start; this colt is a 1/2 to multiple graded stakes placed Brother Nick (3-12, 112k, including 1 of 6 turf starts for 53k); his latest workout looks sharp, but this is a tough post, especially for a firster.
 
United States Won
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his first-time starters and with approximately 13% of his turf starters, and minor stakes winning dam won 7 of 25 starts for 201k, including 7 of 17 turf starts for 180k; 200k purchase goes out for Live Oak and Trombetta, and his workouts hint at ability.
 
Bocelli
Although dirt leaning, he has a quality pedigree, and feel that he's a little bit interesting in his first start in a turf dash; winner from latest won next out at Bel on 6/29 going 6f vs. N1X rivals with a 93 Beyer; his early zip can prove to be a key going 5 1/2f over grass.
 
Kingston Bay
Street Boss is making a name for himself as a turf sire and this gelding almost ran too good to lose in his debut, a race that saw him beat a few of today's rivals; he's an obvious threat while going out for a barn that has really heated up lately.
 
Able Baker Charlie
Respect the fact that he earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure in his turf debut in his latest outing, but he finished behind a few of today's rivals in that race, and he's looking like the type that might hang around the maiden ranks for a while.
 
Mongol Boss
Half-brother to multiple graded stakes winner Stanley Park (4-13, 272k over turf) has looked good in both of his turf starts, and except for a race where he had to be eased, he hasn't run a bad race to date; Castellano has won with 17 of 69 (25%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
 
Mr. O'Leary
Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and dam won once from six starts for 27k, and she didn't make a turf start; he exits the same race as today's rival Bocelli, and not only was that a fine overall performance for his career debut, but he showed big early speed.
 
Enough Already
Sire has won with 9 of 42 (21%) of his first-time starters and with 1 of 24 (4%) of his turf starters, and this is the first foal from a dam who won once from four starts, and she didn't make a turf start; recent workouts make this firster tough to ignore.
 
Lion Keen
Sire wins with approximately 15% of his first-time starters and with approximately 9% of his turf starters, and this is the first foal from an unraced dam; this barn has had a big meeting and Ortiz has won with all three of his mounts for this barn at the current meeting.
 
Pacific Theater
He's done little wrong in his three turf starts, but he was beaten by a couple of today's rivals in his latest outing, and feel that Mr. O'Leary is the more interesting of the two Clement-trained runners in here.
 
Quinby Pete
A couple of horses in the main body of this race have shown dirt ability but this would still be a decent spot for this colt to land in if this race has to be moved to the main track; he earned a 79 Beyer Speed Figure in his final start as a 2-year-old and his recent workouts suggest that he's ready for his return to action.
 
Monarch Maker
He attracted a good deal of wagering support when making his career debut for the Pletcher barn and it looks like they tightened the screws a little bit in his latest workout; like the early speed that he showed us at first asking and perhaps the turn back in distance is what he's looking for.

Race 8

Long Island Lee
Sire 2-44 (5%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 SP Yukon Dust (35K, 1-14 sprint), SP router Tina Dynamite (165K, 1-1 at 2, 2-6 sprint), SP Gingham and Lace (74K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 2-4, $5.47 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint Spa; 8/23 work match Your Time is Up (68 dirt Beyer); respect barn
 
Golden Annie
30K yrlng, 60K RNA 2yo after 1F in 10.4; sire 4-22 (18%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 SW Impending Bear (255K, 2-2 sprint), G3 SP Siphon Honey (129K, 2-6 sprint); barn 1-3, $4.86 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint Spa; 7/9 work match Milam (1st FTS MSW 79 Beyer ELP 8/4); 8/19 work match uncoupled stablemate.
 
Believeinfaith
13K RNA shrt yrlng, 10K RNA yrlng, 33K yrlng; 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Funny Lady (49K) by G2 SW (530K, 1-3 sprint, 0-7 with 2yo FTS); unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 sprinters); female family multiple SW Wander Kind (303K); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint; 8/17 work matches Lady Rhubarb (FTS Wed. R6);
 
Thundering Gale
Full G3 SP sprinter Knights Cross (252K), SP Bailzee (152K, 2-16 sprint) by 13% 2yo sire; dam G2 SW sprinter (261K, 7-16 sprint) with 4 winners from 6 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 3-6 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP sprinter Foggy Launch (90K); barn 3-12, $2.64 pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yos MCL dirt sprints; not the easiest debut trip; must improve.
 
Total Talent
20K yearling; sire multiple SW sprinter (603K, 1-1 at 2, 6-13 sprint, 3-10 with 2yo FTS); placed dam (33K, 0-3 sprint) has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 SW Pentatonic (601K, 2-7 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $1.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL Spa; interesting.
 
Friends Pro
1/2 SW sprinter Pro Prado (397K, 2-3 at 2) by 86-527 (16%) 2yo sire; multiple SW dam (435K, 2-4 at 2, 6-27 sprints) has 5 winners from 9 runners (1-5 with 2yos, 3-9 with sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP sprinter Mama Cielo (50K, 2-4 at 2, 2-15 sprint); barn 2-9 (22%, $1.26 ROI) past 5 years 2yos MSW/MCL dirt sprint; good speed in both starts; logical.
 
Coal and Ice
95K RNA yrlng, 140K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.3; 95K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 12% 2yo FTS; dam 2yo G3 SP sprinter (56K, won debut) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 sprinter); 3rd dam SW Stellar Performer (203K, 1-3 at 2, 1-9 sprint); barn 19%, $1.27 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint (0-2 Spa); 8/19 work match Double Gold (66 Beyer); capable.
 
Winekeeper
14.5K RNA yearling, 40K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 26-209 (12%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from sprint winner (23K, 3-13 sprint); dam 1/2 SP Proud Charm (196K, 0-2 at 2, 2-12 sprint); barn 3-11 (27%, $7.14 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MCL dirt sprint Spa

Race 9

Roses for Romney
Respect her consistency, particularly since moving to the turf; she continually shows up; just missed at this level last out and will be favored to clear the condition here; a little one dimensional - note she got burned up by a hot pace July 4; still a deserving selection.
 
Adriatic Dream
Deep closer managed to pass Roses For Romney two back but in a very fast paced stakes race that set up for her closing style; subsequent effort wasn't as good, though it came on a yielding course; she typically runs Beyers in the low 70s on firm ground; never wins by much when she does get up.
 
Downtown Hottie
Raced wide in her latest but that really doesn't justify her finishing last; she clearly didn't run to her potential; two back effort was solid, a close third with a mid 70s Beyer; less than a 10% career win mark; best used on the bottom of the exotics.
 
Pure Amour
Missed some time in her training in late July - judging from her worktab; but she's trained consistently this month and looks capable of challenging if she runs back to the form she showed at Belmont, where she won a pair; aide from shaking off a little rust, some things to like.
 
Sus Annmaries Gold
First start on the lawn was deceptively good; she was wide, made an early move, and then couldn't quicken with the leaders when the tempo picked up on the second turn; makes her second start off the bench and as a 3-year-old has upside to improve; needs to run faster with a top Beyer of only a 67.
 
Lady's Lunar Luck
Former 20K claimer has really come around this summer for Kimmel; she's been first or second in three straight races and just won Aug. 5 against starter runners, finishing quickly to take home the victory; fond of this course and ultra consistent in terms of Beyers.
 
Jerusalem Stone
Never a factor in her latest when ninth in a New York Stallion race on yielding turf; she's only caught wet grass in her two starts on the surface; top Beyer is just a 56, and her success came in an off-the-turf race at Belmont and over the inner track at Aqu; pass.
 
Simplistic
Gets her class test here after winning at FL in the mud; weakened to sixth of eight the one time she raced on the grass; like her tactical speed; she can win pushing hte pace or stalking; just have to question if she is good enough.
 
Funny Money
Lezcano takes over in the irons for the injured Rosario; this gray filly has run well in two of her last three, with a flat effort sandwiched in between when eight lengths behind Roses for Romney; have to think she didn't fire that day; piece projected.

Race 10

Bashart
Wheels back in 11 days following professional maiden tally at the distance; after breaking well, he was hung out 3 wide around both turns while prompting the pace; made the front turning for home and dug down deep to repel the late kick of Arctic Slope; has the tactical speed to work out a good pace-tracking, ground-saving trip from the inside; respect.
 
River Dancer
Pulled off a 30-1 shocker and was flattered when Marvin's Miracle returned to graduate vs. NY-breds; broke awkwardly and was far back leaving the backstretch; angled 5 wide turning for home and worked hard to get up in the final 1/16th; guessing he'll handle this distance, but takes a big step up in class; prefer 'underneath'
 
Tiger Bourbon
Refused to lose vs. General Jack and Bashart; rated comfortably outside Bashart as they chased a longshot pacesetter; put Bashart away with a 3 wide bid only to be immediately confronted by General Jack; kept on trucking and was actually inching away at the wire; gets distance test, but is kin to a SW miler by Big Brown; contender.
 
Racetrack Romance
Settled into a nice pocket behind the pacesetter after the first 5/16th of a mile; split rivals on 2nd turn and engaged in a pitched battle with the runnerup in the stretch; hopped back to his left lead once he made the front late; barn claimed Peeping Tom for 40K in 2000 and transformed him into a G1 winner; giant class hike and must run faster.
 
Marvin's Miracle
Ran well when beating NY-breds; pressed pace while 3 wide and faced a stiff challenge from talented Bluegrass Flash turning for home; it took a few strides before he completed his final lead change, but he battled back determinedly to reclaim the lead; has speed and shouldn't be too far off pace; may be best played on bottom of exotics; jock's 1st call.
 
Base Case Scenario
Beat a good group as the 3rd-finisher returned to graduate with a 73 Beyer; taken off the rail going into the 1st turn, he wound up stalking the pace outside; attacked the leaders 3 wide on the 2nd turn, took over in upper stretch and had enough to turn back the rallying runner-up; barn has sent out some live horses at the meet; consider.
 
We Miss Artie
Didn't get much of a Beyer for his maiden win as he prompted pedestrian fractions set by a longshot; took over nicely in upper stretch and drew away despite being a bit green; although slower than many of these on the numbers, the feeling is that he's talented with upside; demand value.
 
General Jack
Found a great spot in the 100K Shakopee around 2 turns at CBY; a bit eager going into the 1st turn, he settled down nicely when tracking the leader from the outside; still has trouble with his lead changes as he swerved badly once he made the lead in the stretch; must deal with an outside post, but has run fast races for excellent connections; can't ignore.
 
King Cyrus
Pletcher colt put the boots to five overmatched foes going seven furlongs, but that race just didn't come back fast at all; instead of the Grade 1 Hopeful at the end of the meet, the connections are hoping for easier pickings if this race is taken off the turf; experience at 7 furlongs is certainly a plus, but he'll have to run faster if he gets to play.
 
Free Mugatu
Statebred rallied nicely over a sealed, sloppy track and might get some moisture in the dirt if this race is washed off the turf course; sold for 30x the stud fee of his sire and ran the fastest race of the 3 MTO entrants; must respect if this race comes off.
 
Howaboutwe
Seemed more focused with blinkers and battled with Carolinian through solid fractions over a muddy track; bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree and has shown some early gas from two starts; wouldn't be a surprise if he's one of the pacesetters if this race is taken off the turf; jock's 2nd call.

Race 11

Love Tale (GB)
Southern California shipper attracts the services of Castellano for her New York racing debut, but it looks like this filly will need to step up with a career best effort to get the job done in this spot; prefer to keep looking around in here.
 
Hunter Forward (AUS)
Seven-year-old mare has some respectable turf form on her card to consider, but she exits a pair of jump events, and not quite sure that her best effort is strong enough to get over on the top contenders in this event; looking toward others.
 
Edie
Half-sister to G3 winner Wander Mom (8-34, 399k, including 7 of 25 turf starts for 357k) has been in good form since being returned from a layoff two starts ago and she can prove to be a clever 20k claim for her current connections; keep in mind that she was last seen racing for a barn that has been very quiet in 2013.
 
Brandys Secret
She's won 20 of 39 lifetime, including seven of eight over turf, and all of her recent races have been strong enough to suggest that she can be tough to deal with in this spot; if the early pace is slow to develop, she'll be very happy, and Napravnik has won with 34 of 109 (31%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
 
Harbingerofthings
Respect the fact that she's recorded consecutive wins since being stretched out in distance two starts ago, but this appears to be a tough spot for her to be shipping into Saratoga; she looks like another in her who will have to dial up a career best run to get the job done.
 
Score Boyera
Like the idea of her making her first start over turf since moving into this barn, and if she can find her way back to the form she displayed racing over turf in Southern California, she can have a say in the outcome; that said, Prado has not been a go-to rider for this outfit.
 
Garnet Street
She might need to see this race get moved to the main track to have her best chance in this spot, and it's tough to give her a favorable push against these if this race stays on the turf; it looks like she got over the main track here in good order in a four-furlong move on August 21.
 
Sally's Dream
Have to respect the form that she's displayed lately and she'll appreciate not lining up against the likes of Dayatthespa today; this looks like a reasonable spot for her to take a shot at her seocnd win at the meeting.
 
Jean's Surprise
Stakes placed filly is likely going to need to show up with an effort that earns her a career best Beyer Speed Figure to get the job done, but that isn't out of the question for this relatively lightly raced 3-year-old; this is an outfit that does some of their better work with turf starters.
 
Broken Trust Fund
Her two most recent turf starts are in line with what it will take to get the job done, and her latest effort over the synthetic surface at AP has proven to be productive; winner won next out at Cby on 8/17 going 1 1/16m over turf in a 50k stakes with an 84 Beyer, and 3rd finisher won next out at AP on 7/6 going 5 1/2f over turf vs. 80k OPC's with an 85 Beyer.
 
Majestic Marquet
Late running type has earned a couple of stakes placings in her two most recent starts and she's eligible to make some noise in this spot if this race has to be moved to the main track; although a little bit light on winners at the meeting, this barn has been putting live horses on the track.
 
Thisizsparta
Connections saw fit to go for the reclaim last time and she ran well a number of times when previously a member of this barn; runner up from latest won next out at Bel on 7/5 going 7f over turf vs. 25k OPC's with an 82 Beyer.
 
Natalie Victoria
She brings a good deal of early speed with her and her two most recent races have been strong enough to give her the look of a top contender against these; like to see that she's shown the ability to handle moisture in the surface; first call for Castellano.