08/27/2013 9:24AM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 28, 2013

Email

DRF Plus Preview

Race 1

Flying Joe
19K yrlng, 65K 2yo after 2F work 22.1; 1/2 G3 SW Flying Glitter (597K, 1-2 at 2, 3-6 route) by 16% 2yo sire; SP dam (90K, 2-10 route) has 8 wnnrs/9 rnnrs (3-7 with 2yos, 4-4 routers in USA); dam 1/2 SW Joe's Son Joey (441K, 1-3 at 2); barn 1-8, $1.11 pst 5 yrs 2nd-time 2yo dirt/turf sprint/route MSW; tried to battle with sharp winner; expect early gas.
 
Tall Boy
1/2 SP router Irsaal (123K, 1-4 at 2, 2-7 route) by 18% 2yo sire; dam won route (37K, 1-4 route) with 1 wnner/2 rnnrs (1-2 with 2yos, 1-1 routers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Saint Liam (4.4M, 9-18 route), G2 route SW Quiet Giant (405K, 7-11 route), barn 1-3, $2.40 pst 5 yrs 2yo turf-dirt MSW route off 31-60 day layoff; bred to appreciate dirt route.
 
Commissioner
1/2 G3 SW Laugh Track (243K, 0-1 at 2, 2-3 route) by 16% 2yo sire; multiple SW dam (245K, 4-8 route) has 3 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 3-4 routers); dam 1/2 G3 SP sprinter Dash for Money (53K, 1-1 at 2, 0-1 route); barn 3-15 (20%, $2.26 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yo dirt routers MSW; got 2-turn experience when chasing runaway chalk; capable.
 
Aslan
1/2 turf SP Spellwork (France, 59K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 route) by 16% 2yo sire; winning dam (352K, 2-4 at 2, 2-3 route) has 1 wnnr/2 rnnrs (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 routers); dam full 2yo G1 turf SW Lujain (England, 139K, 3-4 at 2), G1 SP sprint Botanical (403K, 1-4 at 2); barn 22%, $2.67 pst 5 yrs 2yos sprint/route dirt MSW; distance helps, but lots of turf in pedigree.
 
Gaining Ground
4.2K weanling; sire 17-158 (11%) 2yos; 1st starter from sprint winner (81K, 0-5 route); barn 0-4 past 5 years 2yos; exits solid turf heat (runner-up returned to win 100K stake at CBY 81 Beyer, 3rd-finisher graduated Spa turf 73 Beyer); must improve.
 
Bold Visionary
1/2 multiple turf SP Pure Incentive (112K, 1-3 at 2, 1-2 route) by 14% 2yo sire; dam 2yo turf SW (73K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 route) with 5 winners from 9 runners (2-7 with 2yos, 1-5 route); dam full G3 turf SW Alexis (351K, 0-1 route); barn 1-4 (25%, $3.20 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos sprint/route MSW dirt; gave nice effort behind swift sprint winner; respect.
 
Souper Lucky
Sire 86-623 (14%) 2yos; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (184K, 3-7 route); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW Canadian Frontier (253K); dam full G3 turf SW Seeking Slew (327K, 0-1 at 2); barn 4-18 (22%, $2.67 ROI) past 5 years 2yos sprint/route dirt MSW; improved with Lasix and seems to be moving in the right direction.
 
Lieutenant Seany O
50K wnlng, 70K yrlng, 65K claim 2yo; sire 13% 2yo; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 G1 route 2yo SW Stevie Wonderboy (1.0M, 3-5 at 2), turf SP Queen Joanne (161K, 0-3 at 2, 1-2 route), 2yo G3 turf SW Theyskens' Theory (195K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 route); barn 0-9 pst 5 yrs 2yos turf-dirt; took some money and raced evenly on grass; interesting.

Race 2

Talent N Passion
Never looked back after making the lead in the slop a few weeks back and now she'll step up in company for her first crack off this outfit's claim; filly draws inside so her lick should again be on display and she does own the field's highest last out number; barn hits at a nice clip with this type right back and they'll name a top pilot; one to catch and beat.
 
Dixie Sparkle
She's another who rode a wet local main track to a front running victory over cheaper earlier in the month; her game is speed as well, so drawing outside today's rail runner doesn't look to benefit her, but she is clearly on the improve and will likely be rolling from the bell.
 
Yampa River
Statebred turns back and switches surfaces for her first start under this new barn's care and their numbers with this type right back suggest they know how to place them; she broke her maiden at one turn last year and should have plenty of bottom from those recent turf routes; if things get hot up top she can have a say in here.
 
Liz Lemon
Adds the hood for the class drop in her first start for an outfit that does well with this type and if her recent drill is any indication, she's taken well to the new equipment; the Gulfstream maiden score in March was good enough to win this and maybe she's set to get back to that level of performance in here; price should be right.
 
Revealing Moment
She'll make her first start for a new outfit in here as well after besting the rest behind a runaway winner and subsequent repeater here last month; she should be tighter with her return from better than 7 months on the shelf behind her and as she showed in her maiden score she doesn't need the top to be effective; consider.
 
Start It Up
Steps out of the statebred ranks to tackle older for the initial time in her return from half a year on the shelf; filly did show some ability over the inner this winter and she'll get a solid pilot for the comebacker; boasts some decent breezes for this.
 
Miss Da Point
She exits the statebred ranks as well after a weak spin in the local mud; filly was pretty sharp at the trip and level 3 starts back and maybe the return to a dry strip helps get her going, but the big number she earned in that most recent score was quite a bit better than anything else she'd run; barn is having a rough stand.
 
Pennymine
She's offered for a tag for the initial time while stepping outside the statebred ranks for her second start of the stand; she did break her maiden at the trip this winter and maybe she's better second start back from the break, bt she's got a lot of improving to do to step with these.

Race 3

Kimmies Lucky Star
Has earned only minor shares downstate and is a curious item considering the journey to this venerable oval as the meet nears its close; the filly was a remote third in her only attempt at seven-eighths; decent blowout on 8/19 should help her cause.
 
Bringhomethegold
Nothing to write home about up to now as she has shown no enthusiasm regardless of the surface involved; races for the lowest price tag of her career, however, and the trainer has scored with turf-to-dirt longshots in the past; generous odds assured.
 
Rosie's Song
The likely favorite was game at the course and distance 2 weeks ago and has run well over various types of footing; may encounter unwanted pace opposition from the outside flank and that may prove the only cause for concern; obvious true contender but an unappealing price on the board once again.
 
Ampa's Girl
Fair showing despite serious trouble in her last assignment; this is only her second attempt at the claiming level and she picks up Castellano who may want to get her into the race sooner; seems worth some inclusion in your trifecta approach.
 
Scienziato
Goes back to blinkers after failing as the favorite very recently; seems one of the few in the field capable of putting pressure to bear on Rosie's Song; could be rounding to form in a subtle way here and offer a square price.
 
Prize Taker
Yet to earn an exacta finish although she did have legitimate excuses in the latest defeat; can improve over a fast surface and most runners invariably upgrade in their initial try in the claiming ranks; best lifetime effort was 3 races back, at today's trip.
 
Jupiter Moon
Expert trainer at the helm and the recent workout activity at Finer Lakes suggests the filly is primed and ready; her sire was a G3 winner who banked 260K; the dam won 1 of 8 and 20K; among the winning siblings is 201K earner Tall Poppi; consider.
 
Glassy Aly
Shows the same Beyer at the course and distance as Rosie's Song but might have been cramped by the inside position in that showing (the soft half-mile fraction in that event did not help either); exacta recommendation because of the outside slot, a tactical advantage.

Race 4

Grand Mere
Comeback was highly disappointing; facing first-level allowance horses, this one never got close and only passed one horse; best efforts came on the inner track at Aqu; likely to improve off that last race but looks outclassed with the leap into a stakes.
 
Skyfall
Not often that TAP and Johnny V. are a price, but this one will likely be that; she's raced mostly on turf and in off-the-turf races - no surprise given her pedigree; and though she has won twice on dirt, both came in depleted off-the-grass races contested in the slop; upgrade on a wet track, but shaky otherwise.
 
Sister State
After a couple dismal efforts, this one rebounded in a big way July 31 with a nice allowance win in good time; seems to be back on form again; and perhaps we can make excuses for the failures May 26 (bleeding? Lasix thereafter) and June 22 (G1 company, outclassed); tactical speed a plus.
 
Toasting
Like Sister State, she was dusted in the Mother Goose, but at least she busted out there and set the pace; was G2 placed in the Black Eyed Susan, although that was not a well rated race in terms of figures of a G2; handles any track condition; would not be surprised to see her revert to a pressing/stalking style - as that is how her two victories have come.
 
Profetiza
Found herself behind for the first time last out, and seemed to get discouraged chasing the leaders while in the 3 path; would have though a shift to the grass was in the cards after the recent turf works; expecting her to be hustled early - since she's done her best work on the lead.
 
Flash Forward
Has a pair of stakes placings, including one over this track at this distance; not as speedy as others in the field, but among the most consistent; she has been first or second in 4 of 7 dirt starts, and 2 of the 3 times she was out of the exacta came in graded events; nice work Aug. 15; like her draw just outside the three principal speed horses; so she ought to be able to follow them into the first turn, and get a nice trip in the second flight; choice.

Race 5

Gridley Here
19K shrt yrlng, 60K yrlng; 1/2 SP 2yo sprint Jaw Crusher (45K, 0-4 at 2) by 6% 2yo FTS, 7% 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint (11K) with 0 winners/1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); 2nd dam SP sprint Deputy Em (88K, 0-1 turf); barn 1-16, $3.02 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/17 work match Stroll to Victory (2nd MSW turf 67 Beyer 8/24); interesting.
 
Balderdash
Sire 52-448 (12%) 2yo FTS, 57-523 (11%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (289K, 0-3 at 2, 5-18 turf); dam 1/2 multiple SW My Dinah (450K, 1-3 at 2, 0-6 turf); barn 0-28 past 5 years FTS; jock's 2nd call.
 
Tapidor
1/2 SW Icabad Crane (585K, 1-1 at 2, 0-3 turf), turf SW Our Golden Dream (149K, 1-4 at 2, 1st-turf winner) by 15% 2yo, 9% 1st-turf sire; sprint-winning dam (46K, 0-2 turf) has 7 wnnrs/9 rnnrs (2-7 2yos, 3-7 turf, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 G3 turf SW Adcat (435K, 0-2 at 2); barn 1-7, $1.10 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf sprint/route MSW Spa; bred for turf route.
 
The Mooche
Sire 35-237 (15%) 2yo, 31-249 (12%) turf; dam placed turf (14K, 0-5 at 2, 0-3 turf) with 1 winner from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Irving's Baby (763K, 2-8 turf), G2 turf SW Deeliteful Irving (479K, 1-2 at 2, 5-12 turf); barn 0-9 past 5 years turf; didn't have easiest trip; still must improve; jock's 1st call.
 
Mohican Chief
Sire 11% 2yo FTS, 10% 1st-turf; winning dam (119K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 turfers); dam full multiple SW sprinter Smokieisabandit (304K, 2-5 at 2, won debut); barn 1-3 (33%, $2.63 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW turf route Spa; 8/19 work matches Hamnet (78 polytrack Beyer); respect barn.
 
Bluegrass Flash
1/2 G1 turf SW Discreet Marq (485K, 2-5 at 2) by 13% 2yo, 11% turf sire; sprint SW dam (198K, 1-4 at 2, 0-5 turf) has 3 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (3-5 with 2yos, 3-6 turf); barn 2-7, $1.40 pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yo turf routers MSW; off slow, made huge wide bid final turn to contend before being outfinished by experienced foe; logical.
 
Kant Smoke
Sire 16-234 (7%) 2yo FTS, 17-224 (8%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from turf winner (162K, 6-36 turf); dam 1/2 multiple G2 turf SW Giovane Imperatore (Italy, 567K), G2 turf SP Honey Bunny (Italy, 241K), multiple turf SP Principe Di Galles (Italy, 213K); barn 1-35 (3%, $0.59 ROI) past 5 years FTS.
 
John Bailey
11K wnlng; 75K yrlng; sire G3 SW (1.3M, 0-1 at 2, 7-29 turf, 1-7 with 2yos, 1-4 turfers); dam multiple SP (196K, 0-3 at 2, 4-20 turf) with 1 wnnr/2 rnnrs (1-2 with 2yos, 0-2 turfers); dam full turf SP Sax in the City (130K, 1-1 at 2, 3-25 turf); dam 1/2 turf SP Writingonthewall (456K, 5-21 turf); barn 0-5 past 5 years 2yos turf; figures on or near lead; not out of this.
 
Blue Pigeon
Sire 15-191 (8%) 2yo FTS, 31-274 (11%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from turf winner (35K, 3-5 turf); 3rd dam SW Victorious Lil (170K, 1-4 at 2, 2-11 turf); female family multiple G1 SW router Victory Gallop (3.0M, 3-5 at 2); barn 1-7 (14%, $2.02 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW turf route Spa; solid bloodlines
 
Rewrite History
30K shrt yrlng, 65K yrlng; sire 9-33 (27%) 2yo FTS, 6-33 (18%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from sprint winner (60K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 turf); dam full G3 SW Spotsgone (659K, 1-5 at 2, 1-3 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 2-3, $11.26 past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW turf route Spa; 8/16 work matches Sam's Buck (4th 20K 'beaten' claimer turf 72 Beyer 8/22); jock's 2nd call
 
Cool It
1/2 SP Livin Large (221K, 4-28 turf) by 87-744 (12%) 2yo, 65-718 (9%) turf; mud/route-winning dam (13K) has 8 winners from 12 runners (2-6 2yos, 3-9 with turfers); 2nd dam SP sprinter Whidah (54K, 1-1 at 2); barn 1-21 (5%, $9.23 ROI) past 5 years 2yos turf route; gave improved effort when stretched out on grass; jock's 1st call.
 
Wake Up in Malibu
1/2 G1 SW A Shin Forward (Japan, 3.4M, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 0-3 sprint) by 16% 2yo FTS sire; dam multiple turf SW (248K, 0-2 sprint) with 3 wnnrs/3 rnnrs (2-3 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 0-1 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP Morning Gallop (299K, 0-4 at 2, 1-7 sprint); barn 1-5 (20%, $1.66 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 2nd call.
 
Groupthink
1/2 SW La Concerto (248K, 1-4 at 2, 7-16 sprint), SP Game Token (296K, 0-1 at 2, 5-41 sprint) by 13% 2yo sire; SW dam (98K, 1-3 at 2, 2-13 sprint) has 3 winners from 5 runners (1-4 with 2yos, 3-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 G3-placed Justice for Auston (394K, 0-5 at 2, 0-14 sprint); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint; jock's 1st call.
 
American Creed
115K weanling, 155K RNA yearling; sire 131-1269 (10%) 2yo; 1st starter from route winner (45K, 0-2 sprint); dam 1/2 G3 SW Naughty New Yorker (1.0M, 2-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint), SW router Pupil (204K, 0-1 sprint); barn 1-15 (7%, $0.48 ROI) past 5 years 2yos turf/dirt

Race 6

Selenite
11K yrlng, 20K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire G3 SW (1.3M, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint, 0-3 with 2yo FTS); 1st starter from turf winner (103K, 0-1 sprint); dam 1/2 SW 2yo Seeyouinmydreams (119K, won debut, 2-6 sprint); barn 0-12 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint; 8/11 work match Indy Sea (9th AN1X turf 71 Beyer 8/24)
 
On a Snowy Evening
30K yearling; sire 3-17 (18%) 2yo FTS; dam 2yo SW (83K, 1-5 at 2, 3-20 sprint) with 3 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 3-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP 2yo Southey (125K, 1-7 at 2, 0-3 sprint); barn 0-13 past 5 years FTS dirt; 8/17 work matches Twillerbee (71 Beyer top)
 
Cryptic Comet
13K yearling; 55K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 8-121 (7%) 2yos; unraced dam has 1 winner from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 SP 2yo sprint Tipperary Melody (68K, 1-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt; certainly a contender following solid debut.
 
Sleek
Sire 12% 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 wnnrs/3 rnnrs (0-3 with 2yos, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 G2 sprint SW True Quality (288K, 5-13 sprint); barn 2-3 (67%, $5.03 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa; 2 works match Mei Ling (3rd FTS MSW 7/25); 7/31 work match Artemis Agrotera (1st FTS SMSW 86 Beyer 8/16); respect barn.
 
Molly Jordan
1/2 SP sprinter Palmetto Bluffs (82K, 1-4 at 2) by G1 route SW (1.6M, 2-5 at 2, 4-16 with 2yos); SP dam (60K, 0-3 at 2, 1-8 sprint) with 5 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (1-5 with 2yos, 3-6 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Livermore Valley (330K, 6-21 sprint); barn 1-9 (11%, $0.45 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos SMSW dirt sprint; must improve.
 
Lady Rhubarb
52K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 0-25 2yo FTS; dam won sprint at 2 (27K, 1-3 at 2, 1-7 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 sprinters); 3rd dam 2yo SW sprinter Executive Row (68K, 2-6 at 2, won debut, 2-5 sprint); barn 1-13 (8%, $0.72 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa
 
Talk to Me
1/2 multiple SP Wild Berry (254K, 2-6 at 2, 3-20 sprint), SP router Berrytime (53K, 0-3 at 2, 0-4 sprint) and SP router Berry Bound (160K, 3-15 sprint) by 13% 2yo sire; winning dam (100K, 1-2 at 2, 2-7 sprint) with 5 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (2-5 with 2yos, 2-6 sprinters); barn 13-71 (18%, $1.45 ROI) pst 5 yrs turf/dirt; 2nd best to chalk 2 back; expecting more speed.
 
Canal Six
Sire 18-189 (10%) 2yos; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); 2nd dam SW Prominent Feather (270K, 0-4 at 2); barn 0-3 with 2yos; rallied vs. dropper from Monmouth; capable with race under the belt.
 
Miss Narcissist
47K RNA yrlng; 97K 2yo after 3F work 33.3; sire 14% 2yo; dam won sprint (86K, 1-5 at 2) and has 1 wnnr/2 rnnrs (0-2 with 2yos, 1-2 sprint); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Mighty Eros (95K), 2yo SP sprinter Think I'm Hooked (90K); barn 25-136 (18%, $1.50 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt; bet hard for debut, but acted up a bit behind gate; blinks may help focus.
 
Longride to Wisdom
Sire 42-288 (15%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (136K, 2-6 at 2, won debut, 3-12 sprint); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Fortune in Gold (21K, 1-6 at 2, 2-12 sprint); barn 2-19 (11%, $1.75 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint

Race 7

Viva Allegiance
Albeit against 25k maiden claimers, her career debut was a sharp winning performance, and she deserves her share of respect while meeting up with winners for the first time; third place finisher from debut won next out here on 8/7 going 5 1/2f over turf vs. 35k MCL's with a 74 Beyer; Lezcano has won with 17 of 69 (24%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
 
Granby Girl
She's been on top of her game lately, and she might be more involved in the early running while stretching out in distance again, but it does appear that she's probably at her best sprinting; prefer to look toward others.
 
Sabouli
She hasn't finished worse than third in her last eight starts and she's done it while racing at five different venues; she looks like a decent fit at this level of competition,and at the very least, she's a threat to land a spot underneath in the exotics.
 
Darling Bridezilla
She's put together some decent performances racing over turf during her career but her two most recent races haven't been anywhere near her best and they've were separated by a layoff; winner from latest returned to win next out here on 8/7 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. 35k OPC's with an 85 Beyer.
 
Win for Kitten
She usually shows up and runs her race and like to see what she did in her first start for this barn after a claim in her latest outing while meeting up with stakes competition; she's the only one in here with the price tag attached, but still viewing her in the light of a contender.
 
Indian Starlight
She ran well in her latest outing when finishing right behind today's rival English Rhythm, but she doesn't always show up with that level of performance and she can afford to take a step backward against these.
 
Holiday's Jewel
When considering that she hasn't always been at her best racing over dirt in the past, her first start for this barn in her latest outing can be viewed in a favorable light, and she's run well in all three of her starts over this turf course, including a sharp win in her first start with blinkers two back.
 
Ceci N Red
Her form took a noticeable turn for the better when she was placed over turf three races ago, but it does look like she's going to need to find a way to dial up her best performance to date if she's to prove to be the one in this spot.
 
English Rhythm
This miss has a fine pedigree for turf and she's done some nice work from 10 turf starts while recording three victories; they had her ready to run a good one after a layoff in her latest start and it doesn't hurt to see Velazquez take over for Rosario.
 
Caribean Beat
It's been a quiet year for this outfit and their one win at this meeting was a sharp class dropper, but they've done well with this filly and they seem to have her heading in the right direction entering this race; if she's ready to reproduce her latest performance, she'll be tough to deal with.
 
Mama Zee
Lightly raced 3-year-old came from far out of it to earn her first win at second asking and the runner up from that race returned to win next out here on 8/12 going 6f vs. 20k MCL's with a 73 Beyer; obviously she's going to need to step it up to beat these, but going to respect the potential for better that is living here at the moment.
 
My Sparky
One of two signed on Main Track Only in here for the Rodriguez barn and this looks like it would be a favorable spot for this mare to get to make just your second start for this outfit; she was a sharp winner two races ago and that level of performance can make her tough to deal with in this spot.
 
Bobby Jo
A little concerned when seeing that her Beyer Speed Figures have headed in the wrong direction in her last three starts, but she didn't finish all that far behind today's rival My Sparky in her latest outing, and that rival is one of her main foes today.

Race 8

Granny Mc's Kitten
Full to G2 turf SW Kitten's Dumplings (451K) broke poorly and settled near the back of the field behind moderate fractions; came with a strong wide rally on the 2nd turn, but was turned back by Miss Frost after looming boldly in the final furlong; draws a better post position and may get a bit more pace to attack; can't ignore.
 
Chase My Tail
Sire is 55-540 (10%) with 1st-turfers; dam won twice on turf and has foaled 2 turf winners from 4 turf starters; barn is 0-7 over the past 5 years with 2yos going dirt to turf; aided by a drop into maiden claimers, but now must stretch out 3 furlongs; don't be surprised if she shows good speed but she'll have to step up her game.
 
Duff One
Showed promise in turf debut after breaking awkwardly; was buried down inside near the rear, but rallied willingly when switched outside; finished well despite switching to her left lead in the final eighth; nosed out Shine a Spotlight (next-out 4th over turf in Sunday maiden) in off-the-turf sprint and should appreciate extra distance; needs Beyer boost.
 
Candy Kitty
Turned the tables on talented maiden Kitten Kaboodle after walking on the lead; two back, she prompted the pace while wide and lost significant ground on the turn; wheels back in 10 days, but it's unlikely she'll get a similar easy trip on the lead; still should be close to the pace and figures prominently when the real racing begins; capable.
 
La Mejor Fiesta
Broke a half-step slow in the Tippett, but recovered to track 3 pacesetters while 3 wide; came 4 deep turning for home and was 2nd-best behind favored debutante Thank You Marylou (returned to finish 2nd in the Adirondack on dirt); although yet to race beyond 5 1/2 furlongs, her dam was a graded winner going long; may be best played on bottom of exotics.
 
La Reine Bourbon
Received a perfect trip when winning her debut; settled into the pocket behind a pair of eager pacesetters and shot up the inside when a seam opened in midstretch; at least she wasn't gun shy when the opportunity presented itself and she handled today's distance without any fuss; has the tactical speed to work out another good trip and must be respected.
 
Miss Frost
Very green in her debut on dirt, but improved greatly when switched to grass and stretched out in distance; tracked lone pacesetter Macaroon and inherited the lead early on the 2nd turn when that one stopped badly; opened up a clear lead and gamely turned back Granny Mc's Kitten in the stretch; that race came back quick and she'll get Lasix; contender.
 
True Blue Nation
MTO entrant upset Candy Kitty in front-running fashion at Belmont, but it's worth noting that all 4 dirt races that day were won by speed/pressers; didn't do much in the Grade 3 Schuylerville when unable to get into the race early; seems well-placed if this race comes off the turf and must be considered if she gets to start.

Race 9

Tycoon Cat
It can't be easy moving a horse up from a 23% trainer; runner has tactical speed but there are others that will be gunning early here; game in the July win and he proved he could sit just off the pace and get it done; must find a way to turn the tables on Credit among others.
 
Hyman Roth
Only one poor effort vs. winners and that was the first time he was out of a maiden race; like fact he handled the yielding course 2 back but he does run the risk of getting caught up in a speed duel; far too sharp not to take seriously.
 
Gimme Credit
Senior citizen still wants to beat ya; 4 of his 14 turf wins have come here and there figures to be enough speed in here to help the cause; hung wide on course he may have hated 3 back; a stakes performer back in the day and he has strung wins together in the past; respect your elders.
 
Sneaky Kitten
He's run well on the course without cashing; despite being hung wide in last, runner was inching toward the winner and the hero of the Mountaineer race two back repeated in a $100K stakes when put up by the stewards after being checked; last angle to think about: this rider is 23% for this barn in the last year or so.
 
Towering Moon
Carefully placed off the game win and like the fact connections gave him time to recoup from the all-out effort; note it did take him over a month to post a recorded drill after the last win; show horse in last took a $14K optional next out, 8th finisher took an allowance at FL and 11th finisher took a $16K Belmont claimer; the 4th, 5th and 6th finishers ran second next out; must prove he can go this far.
 
Image of Disco
He has the 3 races to draw from now but sure gave up the ghost quickly in last; never like to see them caved in with a clear lead like he did in the June finale; the show horse that day did return to win next out in a state-bred $35K optional, then was 5th beaten 4 in the $150K West Point; will give backers a brief thrill at least.
 
Alarmed Ndangerous
Maybe he just needed the lats effort; the first 4 finishers 8/8 graduated next out; show horse in the 2012 closer has won 3 times since, the last in an open N1X, then was beaten a length in the West Point; capable barn overdue to get rolling.
 
Status of Forces
Off a career Beyer and he was getting involved late; versatility could be his best asset as he can be placed anywhere and still fire; basically out to prove the 24-1 shocker 2 back was no fluke.
 
Fourseventeen
Runner doesn't have to be 7th or 8th early on today; the 5/3 winner repeated in an open $25K optional, beat and open $62.5K optional, then was 2nd in the West Point; spotty race record is a concern; needs to improve to make a huge impact.
 
Mr Rosenthal
At least he has the 2 races to draw from now; trainer has spotted them fine all year with limited starters and there is a precedent for success here as he won on the stretch out last November; rates upset glance.
 
Idle American
Only one solid effort since the last win; runner is proven off the pine and he did train okay this month; still tough to pull the trigger after the last 2 fiascos.
 
Thunder Harbor
Runner brings sub :22 speed to the party and should be gunning at the sound of the bell; the 6/14 winner won 2 in a row since, the last in a $40K NC allowance at Remington on 8/16 with an 87 Beyer; he has a right to get the trip as a couple of siblings won routing.
 
Bake Shop
In good hands and must respect his consistency; after pinballing against the gate last time, runner could have just sulked but he tried hard right to the end; 6/7 place horse took a $25K Penn National optional next out and winner 6/7 took a $50K Delaware stakes with an 84 Beyer, then was out of the money in the Iselin at the shore; another threat in an absolute scramble.
 
Zivo
Colt has fired every time, had an ideal prep and should be tough if he gets a shot to suit up; winner of finale last year took the Grade 1 King's Bishop on 8/25, was then second beaten 3 quarters in a $400K Remington stakes; toss anything from a 30% barn at own risk.
 
Papa Tom
Colt has been value in the gimmicks a few times and that is where his strength may like once again; the 6/20 winner repeated in the $100K Shipman, then was 2nd a length in a $100K stakes here 8/16 with an 87 Beyer; in light again, not sure that's the cure all.
 
Warrior Up
Solid middle move two back to get within a head of the lead before reality set in; gelding did improve slightly in the second off the layoff run last December; look for him very late if at all.

Race 10

Transatlantic
0-for-20 debut trainer since 2012 and today's distance 1st-time out does not add to the appeal; his sire is 58-for-537 with 1st-turf starters (93-817 with 1sters); is out of a 9-for-19 dam (632K) who took 5-of-14 on grass (430K); her only other foal to race is 1-for-9 Gallico (25K) who went 1-6 on the lawn (18K).
 
Ryvit
Try to catch me hanging on well at today's distance twice in 2013; reunites with the rider from his July-exacta finish when sitting just off the speed; career-best Beyer speed figure at 11F so can go this far; main knock is like 2-back in some races he just doesn't show up with best form.
 
Mr. William
Re-claimed off the last-place finish and career-low Beyer; middle moved in the debut when sent long on turf and hasn't been able to repeat that career-best speed figure; brief speed in last and figures as a pace presence for part.
 
Old Brownsboro
Sire is 36-for-338 with 1st-turf starters; is out of an 0-for-1 grass dam; her only other foal to race 1-for-2 All in Blue (52K) who did not race on turf; the 4th and 6th-place finishers from last Beyered 72-68 in next-out CD-AP-30K-$12,500-maiden-claiming wins.
 
Alvear
The winner and show finishers from last Beyered 74-71 in next-out SAR-20K-claiming and 25K-maiden-claiming wins; sire is 13-for-84 with 1st-turf starters; is out of an unraced dam; 1 of 3 foals to race on North American grass is a turf winner (2-for-5 Morning Raider 53K grass).
 
Present Course
Aggressive placement off the claim cutting the price tag in half for a 26%-win trainer with this angle; was outfinished in latest while his best Beyer was at 1 Mile; the 2-back runner-up and show finishers Beyered 78-74 in next-out CD-MSW wins; beat the 3-back show runner who posted a 77 speed figure in his next-out TAM-MSW win.
 
Acadian Connection
Not much since the barn change and the layoff; the runner-up, 5th and 7th-place finishers from last Beyered 79-67-61 in next-out gradutaions; beat the 3-back show finisher who posted a 74 speed figure in his next-out GP-35K-maiden claiming win then repeated with an 82 in a CD-30K claimer.
 
Solo Approach
New rider is his 5th in as many races which is not a good win angle; much better form in recent races but was outfinished in last; 5%-win trainer in 2013 with a 7%-SAR win rider; the 2-back fade looks better since the winner repeated in a SAR-20K claimer with an 80 Beyer.
 
Plausibly
Hasn't finished better than 5th on turf while doing the rain dance for this noting the 2-back mud-exacta finish; if this is moved to dirt he has to deal with Great Call who trounced him on a fast track when he had a troubled gate break then was a non-factor thereafter.
 
Lasso
The winner and show finishers from last Beyered 74-71 in next-out SAR-20K-claiming and 25K-maiden-claiming wins; drops off the purchase for a 26%-winning 1st-off-the-claim barn; getting the distance is the issue especially off latest his lowest speed figure since November.
 
Fiddlers Tango
The 1st start in a maiden claimer known as the biggest-class drop in racing produced a 9th-place finish for this runner when no match vs. the speedy Ryvitl; 2%-turf trainer since 2012 makes him an even tougher call.
 
Indian Red
Sire is 3-for-115 with 1st-turf starters (21-198 with 1sters); he is out of a 2-for-9 dam (69K) who finished off the board in her only grass start; her only other foal to race 1-for-11 Happy Harvey (28K) went 2-0-0-1 on grass (2K); high-percentage human connections are a big plus but today's debut distance is a tall task.
 
Fastinov
Primed for this at longer finishing last producing a career-best Beyer; closest finish was on SUF dirt but in May was no match on the main track vs. Plausibly; sheds weight for this seeking answers; others appeal more.
 
Great Call
Main Track Only entry should improve 2nd time back off the 7-week absence; the runner-up finisher from last Beyered 69 in his next-out SUF-25K-maiden claiming win; beat the 2-back show who posted a 73 speed figure in his next-out ELP-MSW victory.