08/23/2013 12:45PM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 24, 2013


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Race 1

Power World
Showed talent from Day One and was solid in defeat in the Sanford here as a sophomore; he caught legit splits two back, improved in last possibly when showing speed and he has the zip to flee the rail; the rail is 3 for 31 at this distance this meet; runner has a right to grow into his skin as kin to Grade 2 winner and near $650K earner Santa Catarina.
Must prove he can win outside of Empire-bred land; he did run well when 2nd in the $101K Albany in 2011; place horse in last took a $100K optional next out by a nose with a 93 Beyer; runner was 10-1 on the morning line here Friday as part of an entry in a $100K stakes; expect better result.
Did that July win last year just knock the starch out of him?; could be, he's only nibbled a couple of times since; he got a feel of the surface in last but was losing ground late; with his style, he need the right kind of pace and clear sailing; must hurry.
Sam Sparkle
Last scored in the Hunch, back in 2011; not thrilled with the local slate but if you figure he was just dead short in last, then you have something to work with here; hung wide in last several, but that happens when a runner has limited speed; must hustle.
Dads Caps
Homebred freaked in the debut and like the fact runners were clear in the company line last time; colt has much more speed than he flashed last time and the blood is there for him to excel as kin to Conga Bella, who banked over $300K; interesting.
Been on the stakes diet of late, but is proven at this demanding distance; tactical speed may be his best asset and he was kind of dueled into submission in last; respect everything from this outfit.
Hooked freak in the debut that is owned by some legendary Green Bay Packers, but the foes have felt this guy's wrath since; like the spacing of the drills coming to this race for good barn; 3rd and 4th finishers in last took $75K optionals next out and the 6th finisher took an N1X in Philly; fresh and dangerous.
Colony Strike
Colt inherited the lead last time but may be best served settling today; place horse in the shore finale cashed next out in a $22K optional with a little help from the stewards; connections still hoping he starts acting like top kin, G3 winner and near $400K earner Colizeo.
Rightfully So
Proven fresh in the graduation party, runner showed renewed energy in the drill last Tuesday; the May 4 show horse cashed next out in a $40K claimer, then was out of the money in a $40K Ellis optional; surprise package.
Indy Scent
Fully extended in the stakes in March of last year, has not been able to close the deal since; the 1/19 place horse won 3 times since, the last in an $88K stakes at Belmont with a 95 Beyer; needs to show more.

Race 2

Bellamy Chief
Perhaps forgive that first run where he did not have a smooth trip; his sire won the G1 Wood Memorial and 811K in total; the dam won 1 of 5 and 31K; among the winning siblings is 19K bankroller Klassy Kate.
Charlie's Picnic
Adds blinkers for the first time after finishing belatedly in his local debut; workout activity this month is only average and he must find a way to get into gear sooner or luck out if there is a more intense pace here.
Order of Magnitude
Yet to finish in the money but the latest breeze over the training track did show some progression; reverts to the original pilot but is another member of this crew dependent on a swift early tempo; pass for now.
Crawford the Crook
Newcomer hails from multiple graded stakes winner Elusive Quality who captured 413K and whose progeny have won 92 out of 591 debuts; the dam was a G2 winner who notched 336K; there are no winning siblings to mention.
Cost Affective
On the shelf since a clear placing at Churchill; has been working at steady intervals for this return engagement and the extension to seven furlongs should work in his favor; playable despite the gap since the last race.
Howie's Tiz
Turns back from his first attempt around 2 turns where he never serious threatened; ran the best race of his career at seven-eighths and he should be a late factor against the likes of these regardless of the soil condition at post time.
Legitimate excuses are on view; his sire won multiple G1s and 3.07 million; the dam was also a multiple G1 winner (on the NYRA circuit) who captured 654K; there are no winning siblings to report; worth following up.
Decent workout regimen for this newcomer, son of multiple G2 victor Pulpit (whose progeny have won 68 out of 593 initial starts); the dam won her only race and 9K; sib to 155K earner Left a Message.
Dattt Melody
Has shown some enthusiasm in the a.m.; his sire won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and 1.31 million; descendants of Unbridled's Song have won 110 out of 824 debuts; the dam went zero for 2 lifetime; there are no winning sibs to highlight.
Celebrated Talent
Certainly has improved since crossing the pond; he turned in a clear-cut second in the latest run at today's distance; draws a favorable attack post and picks up Rosario; has improved by lengths and bounds since losing to Charlie's Picnic in June.
Tiz Chris
Decent try first time out behind Normandy Invasion who went on to run a fine fourth in this year's Kentucky Derby; this colt's sire won 254K including G2 success; the dam went 4 for 16 earning 104K; sib to 123K earner Admiral Rocket.

Race 3

Sycamore Lane
60K shrt yrlng, 95K RNA yrlng, 85K yrlng; sire 5% 2yo FTS, 13% 1st-turf; dam won sprint at 2 (14K, 1-3 at 2) and has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP 2yo Annie Skates (England, 84K, 1-4 at 2, 1-10 turf); barn 0-27 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/21 work match Intermix (78 turf Beyer); solid pedigree.
Stroll to Victory
4.7K wnlng, 31K yrlng; 1/2 SW 2yo sprint Maileys Cat (86K, 0-3 turf) by 28% 2yo, 10% turf sire; unraced dam has 2 wnnrs/3 rnnrs (2-3 with 2yos, 0-2 turf); 3rd dam G1 route SW Dreamy Mimi (585K, 2-7 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 3-6, $5.13 pst 5 yrs 2nd-time turf/route 2yos MSW Spa; pocket trip debut and rallied once switched outside stretch; capable.
Mr Speaker
Sire 12% 2yo FTS, 10% 1st-turf; dam 2yo G2 SP router (103K) with 1 wnnr/1 rnnr (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 turf); dam 1/2 multiple G1 SW My Flag (1.5M, 2-6 at 2, won debut); barn 0-11 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 2 works match Mischieviously (FTS - Fri R1); 8/18 work match Scam (65 Beyer, enter Sat. R2)
1/2 multiple SW Art Fan (379K, 2-5 at 2, 6-24 turf), SP Hunting Print (204K, 5-42 turf) by 19% 2yo, 16% turf sire; dam won sprint at 2 (31K) with 6 wnnrs/9 rnnrs (2-6 with 2yos, 4-8 turf); barn 1-9 (11%, $4.93 ROI) past 5 years 2yos turf; winner of debut returned to take dirt stake at DEL with 81 Beyer; can improve.
All Cash
1/2 multiple SP Andover the Cash (171K, 2-28 turf), multiple SW Spenditallbaby (469K, 2-9 at 2, 3-17 turf), 2yo route SW Runforthemoneybaby (187K, 0-3 turf) by 11% 2yo, 16% turf sire; dam won turf (179K, 4-22 turf) with 5 winners from 6 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 4-6 turfers); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo sprint/route MSW turf Spa; expect early zip.
Proof of Concept (IRE)
By classy European sire (16 G1 SW, 0-7 with 2yo FTS, 8-62 first-turf North America); dam multiple G2 SW sprinter (754K, 1-7 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 turfers, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 SW Born Winner (84K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 turf), SP sprinter Offshore News (35K); barn 2-12 (17%, $2.61 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route.
145K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.4; full G2 route SW Secret Circle (1.0M, 3-3 at 2) by 14-121 (12%) 2yo FTS, 7-126 (6%) 1st-turf sire; multiple SW dam (127K, 1-8 at 2, 1-6 turf) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, FTS winner); dam 1/2 G3 SW Really Polish (399K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 2-5 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route.
1/2 SP Warwick Wonder (218K, 2-4 at 2, 2-9 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 15% 2yo, 3% 1st-turf sire; dam G3 SP turf (178K) with 6 winners from 7 runners (3-4 with 2yos, 2-4 turfers, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 multiple SW Elite Lady (302K, 0-2 turf); barn 5-22 (23%, $7.39 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2yos dirt/turf; winner at Parx returned to take 'n1x' dirt 73 Beyer.
Bobby's Kitten
Full multiple SW Major Magic (126K, 2-3 at 2, 3-14 turf) by 19% 2yo, 16% turf sire; winning dam (54K, 1-5 turf) has 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-3 turfers); female family multiple G1 turf SW Paradise Creek (2.5M, 1-2 at 2, 14-24 turf); barn 4-13 (31%, $1.83 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time turf/route 2yos MSW; kicked late in debut; logical.
Lulu Le' Mon
1/2 G1 turf SW Boisterous (1.2M, 11-22 turf), multiple G3 route SP Peyton (293K, 1-6 at 2, 0-3 turf) by 27-240 (11%) 2yo FTS, 48-414 (12%) 1st-turf sire; dam 2yo SW (273K, 2-4 at 2, 2-9 turf, 1st-turf winner) with 2 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Gold Fever (480K, 3-6 at 2); barn 0-13 past 5 years FTS turf.
52K short yearling, 50K yearling, 18K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; sire 138-839 (16%) 2yo, 282-1848 (15%) turf; dam won sprinting (15K, 0-1 turf) and has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-4 with turfers); dam 1/2 SP router Penny Perfect (98K); barn 1-8 (13%, $4.35 ROI) past 5 years turf (0-1 with 2yos); even try debut.
Justin Nguyen
65K yearling by 143-832 (17%) 2yo sire; dam multiple SW sprinter (474K, 1-4 at 2) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); female family SP sprinter She's the Mint (46K, 2-12 at 2, 2-15 sprint); barn 1-7 (14%, $2.54 ROI) past 5 years 2yos off the turf.
195K wnlng, 220K yrlng, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; 1/2 SP No Passing Zone (185K, 1-3 at 2, 1-12 sprint), SW sprint Double Down Vinman (538K, 2-4 at 2) by 15% 2yo sire; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) has 6 wnnrs/7 rnnrs (2-6 with 2yos, 4-6 sprint); barn 2-4, $3.10 pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yo turf/dirt MSW sprint; vet scratch 7/27.
70K wnlng, 300K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 38-255 (15%) 2yo; 1st starter from route winner (22K, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 SP 2yo router Arezzo (61K, 3-6 at 2, 1-3 sprint), 2yo G2 SW Raw Gold (509K, 3-5 at 2, 8-19 sprint), 2yo G1 sprint SW Point Ashley (237K, 2-4 at 2, 2-3 sprint); barn 2-28 (7%, $0.44 ROI) past 5 years 2yos add blinkers dirt.

Race 4

Dr Figawi
The trainer involved continues to score at a fine rate and this colt exits a tough trip in his turf debut; scored from the fence, in quality time, in his maiden score but now faces certain outside pace pressure; difficult one to fathom overall.
Not really a 2-turn performer, so the latest effort can be dismissed; ran well against better stock here last summer and rarely finishes off the board; should be within striking range and will offer betting value; consider.
Do I Amuse You
Set all the pace until the final yards 2 weeks ago but cutting back to six furlongs today may not prove ideal; seems destined to get into a duel with Marriedtothemusic and it remains uncertain whether he has the ability to rate off that key rival.
Street Swagg
Respectable comeback race behind Do I Amuse You last time and he could benefit by a quicker pace that seems in store today; latest blowout, however, could have been much sharper; mixed signals.
Cay to Pomeroy
Cooked in a speed duel last time, he must somehow avoid that fate today; has no known rating gear though and unless there are some key late scratches, seems up against it; a muddy track would improve his longshot chances.
Frostys Whirl
Trounced a soft line-up at Penn National and is facing some true veterans today; doubt that he can be a major player regardless of how the pace unfolds; sophomore will have to improve dramatically in order to hit the board.
Be Bullish
Warhorse keeps on fighting but drops well below the purchase price today for high-percentage trainer; one of the few drawbacks is the gelding's lack of success at this oval; despite that fact, his running style fits the race nicely as he should be able to rally from close range.
Meet the Mets
Tough beat for those who backed him earlier this month as he was probably best in that race; do not be dissuaded by the effort on 6/8 where he was clearly beaten by Cay to Pomeroy; has shown no preference at all for an off-track and can be a distinct threat here on a dry surface.
Kid Blast
Came up empty in his comeback race of a month ago; on the plus side, his latest breeze over the course was solid and Ortiz, who was aboard for that fine placing 2 starts back, returns in the irons; still will offer a generous price here.
Stone Rocks
Modest rallier should benefit by the solid tempo that is projected today if all runners go; although workout activity this month is average, he should be a late presence if there is a serious pace meltdown; must avoid yet another slow getaway.
The apparent main speed to consider; he set superior fractions when going down to defeat at odds-on last time; if he can equal, or surpass, the pace performances in the last pair, he is the one to beat; will be heavily overbet, however.
Crafty Dreamer
On vacation for just over a year, this colt has an intriguing work tab for this comeback; draws directly outside the primary pacesetter and that affords the rider a tactical edge; worth some inclusion despite the comparative inexperience.
One More Chief
Two solid efforts thus far and he showed determination when graduating earlier this month; must deal with a wide slot for the first time, however, and a far more intense early pace; those two factors may be too much to overcome.
Greeley's Law
Makes his first start for these connections and he did score here last summer, late in the season against 20 grand claimers; seems more than capable of landing a share despite this outpost but a fast track is mandatory.  

Race 5

Roaring Conquest
He has just a single victory after 25 career starts, and he's winless in his last 15 starts going back through 2012; add in that he hasn't posted a 1-2 finish from nine turf starts, and he has the look of an outsider.
He had already run his race when he had to steady in his latest start, but his three most recent races have been a few of his better performances, and can't blame his connections for taking a shot at shipping this NY-bred home to go after a big purse.
Archer Hill
He really didn't seem to have his mind on racing in his latest start, and maybe the additon of blinkers had something to do with it, but he was restless in the gate and he just wouldn't settle down for Solis; it would be interesting to see what he can do if Smith just lets him roll from the break.
Noosh's Tale
He's been in good form since being returned from a layoff back in May and the addition of Lasix seemed to help him a little bit three starts ago; slightly concerned that he might not see an early pace that is as swift as he'd like, but still viewing him as a legitimate contender.
Why Not Whiskey
He gave a solid account of himself in his latest start when facing competition of this caliber and he's being reunited with Lezcano who piloted the fourth-place finisher in his latest outing; not putting him at the top of the list, but a spot underneath in the exotics might be within his grasp.
Hidden Vow
Can't ignore the improvement he's shown since being returned from a layoff two starts ago and he might have pulled off a big upset in his latest start had he been able to get a clear path a little sooner than he did; of the horses in the main body of this race, he shares the best last race Beyer Speed Figure with Sunlover.
Z Maitre D
NY-bred ran his first three races in Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas, and this lightly raced 3-year-old is a little interesting while facing straight NY-bred competition for the first time; his dam was a multiple graded stakes winner while winning 4 of 20 turf starts for 368k; note the turf workout on August 12.
Make a Decision
Half-brother to multiple graded stakes winner J'ray (9-24, 969k over turf) was an impressive winner in his first start for this barn two races back, and his latest race was such an odd run that his saddle might have slipped forward making it very tough for Ortiz to manage him; 3rd finisher from latest won next out at Bel on 6/22 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. N1X alw. rivals with an 81 Beyer; Ortiz has won with 15 of 51 (29%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Sunriver has been a poor influence as a turf sire but this colt has run well enough the last two times he's been seen routing over turf to help give him a competitive look in this spot; note that he beat some of these in his latest outing.
Toy Cannon
Late running type has been a consistent performer in his seven turf starts, and he has to be viewed as an exotics threat, but he might need to produce his sharpest performance to date if he has his eyes on the top prize; Velazquez has won with 13 of 36 (36%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Mike and Rob
He earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure in breaking his maiden in start number 12 in his latest outing, but he's going to have to produce a much sharper performance if he's to get the better of this field in his first attempt against winners.
He's another who must show more after needing many starts to get to his first career win, and even though the addition of blinkers has clearly helped him, he has the look of an outsider against these.
Northern Tripp
He needs to see a scratch from the main body of this race in order to draw in and his complete lack of early speed is always a concern; he looks like another in here who will have to show up with a career best effort to threaten the top contenders.
Barnards Galaxy
His latest race was one of his better performances, but he was beaten by a couple of today's rivals in that race, and if he draws in, hell be faced with an extreme outside post once again; first call for Velasquez.
Ultimate Empire
If this race has to be taken off the turf, he'll boast the best last race Beyer Speed Figure in here, and he did get the better of today's rival Piscesbymoonlight in his last two starts; he'll be tough to look past with Castellano aboard if he gets to go.
He appears to be regaining some of the better form that he displayed early on in his career, but he is meeting up with a rival in Ultimate Empire who has beaten him in his two most recent races; this would be a favorable spot for him to land in, but he might have to dial it up a notch or two to secure the top spot.

Race 6

Great sign that in his 1st-ever SAR Inner-Turf start he just missed with a career-best Beyer speed figure attached; stamina was missing from previous races but he showed a lot better staying power at 9F but still blew a 2-length lead at the top of the lane; figures to stalk the speed of Sun Worshipper again before getting 1st run on the closers.
Sun Worshipper
1st-time Lasix after setting the pace vs. Grahamandwithers and both runners figure for a very-similar trip today; cutting back in distance can help the cause but a tough call trying to go all the way up top off last; the debut-show runner posted a Beyer 70 in his next-out SAR-MSW win; know him early but unsure about late.
Post Pattern
Lightest-weight assignment since 2011 seeking answers; trying to remember one summer ago posted a career and field-best Beyer racing at today's distance on the SAR Inner Turf; latest was dull when returning to today's surface offering no kick vs. Grahamandwithers while many others also follow him here; likely bounced in last 2nd time back off the more than 7-month layoff and expecting better for this.
Polaris Dream
Best-closing kick of career in last when defeated by Campogiovanni making it twice during career he has raced very well in defeat on SAR Inner Turf; has been knocking on the door for a win picture since switched back to turf when moving to the current barn (1-for-64 trainer in 2013).
Clearly his best races are when he breaks behind the field settles in then makes one run like latest over the SAR Inner sod; getting up in time is a big concern for a barn 0-for-19 at the current SAR meet for an 0-for-15-SPA jockey-trainer combo since 2012.
Birchwood Road
Huge-wakeup call in last 2nd time for a new barn; new rider today as the regular pilot (5% SAR winners) stays with Elroi; the 0-for-17-fresh trainer off the 36-day absence doesn't help the cause; adds blinkers after the near-miss finish on SAR Inner Turf at today's distance; may need a start to see very-best form?
Irish Jade
1st-blinkers is a winning angle for the trainer; hopes the new hood will help him break a little sharper and perhaps race mid-pack instead of rallying from 8th like he has in last 2; to upset today would have to get by Campogiovanni who beat him in recent starts including 2-back when favored.
The rider of his career debut seemingly had other options but returns here 2nd-time out after middle-moving in an educational effort; his 1-for-21 turf trainer since 2012 is 2-for-6 with 2nd-time starters; this one is likely to move forward with that race under his belt.
36-1 debut odds then beat 1 runner home with all kinds of trouble; adding Lasix seeking a massive-form reversal 2nd-time out; the runner-up finisher from last Beyered 64 in his next-out SAR-MSW win; would be a complete surprise.
Hudson Miracle
Been a new runner off the claim and the removal of front wraps; he was screaming out for more yardage in the recent starts but remains at today's distance for this; must overcome the ground-losing draw; in top form exiting back-to-back Beyer Tops while today switching to a 32%-winning SAR jockey-trainer combo since 2012.
Jack's R Wild
Main Track Only entry's last dirt start was a 7th-place finish; lone-exacta finish of career was earlier this year on AQU Inner Dirt when more than 10 lengths behind the winner; the 3-back runner-up finisher graduated next out in a SAR-MSW event with a 71 Beyer.

Race 7

Wild Billum
Local debut not all that bad considering the beaten lengths; the rail has been solid at this distance this meet to the tune of 6 for 19 or 32%; the 5/17 place horse won at this level next out, lost next few; rates long look this time.
Craving Carats
First time for sale, you got to put them where they belong in this game; hung wide from the marooned slot in last, connections thought enough of him to try the stakes after the lone win and at least he got a race under his girth; must pick it up.
More Hundred Acre
Colt never looked comfortable last time when rank and forced to steady; show horse in the shore race cashed next out in the $63K Jersey Derby, then won a $62K stakes at Monmouth on 8/17; back to the original pilot; look out.
Gelding could have sulked after the poor start but he put his head down and tried; only beaten a nose in the second off the layoff run in August of last year, place horse in the Indiana race cashed next out in a $25K optional, then was 3rd a neck in a $40K optional there; should be rolling late if at all.
Adirondack Dancer
Empire-bred has been consistent all year; note show horse 2 back was clear and the place horse that day cashed next out in a state-bred $20K optional here on 8/3 with an 81 Beyer; respect.
Got fit hurdling early in the year, lost heart breaker two back but must find a way to turn the tables on that Fella among others; he was inching toward the winner last time; could easily be enticed into gimmick action here.
Rapid Burn
Wide every single time, runner has a nice stalk and pounce style but it's never simple beating winners right back; Beyers are going in the right direction though and his only really poor effort was the debut; toss anything from a 29% barn at own risk.
Happy Fella
Ignited in the lane to get up, but we really don't know how much it may have taken out of him; note Prado was up for the maiden breaker and runner showed he is fit enough to work several times since the game score in last; pace duel would enhance chances.
Bluegrass Springs
Runner has much more speed than he just showed; bumped repeatedly last time and forced to steady, his tactical speed will usually give him first run on the deep closers; clever barn due for a little luck; rates long look in all the slots.
Posse Attack
This guy looms an astute claim as several siblings banked 6 figures including near $225K earner Coosada; consistent since leaving Florida, he has posted a couple of decent drills since the all-out victory; could still need experience vs. winners.
Stallwalkin' Dude
Unraced City Place 8 for 60 with first-time turfers; sire is out of a millionaire and kin to over $600K earner Political Force, who never tried turf; dam was unraced; 4 siblings tried grass to no avail; lean toward watching one.
One Golden Road
Runner is an automatic threat just off the Maker claim; must prove he can score on grass but top kin Atlantic Hurricane took 3 Grade 3s, won 6 times on grass, banked nearly $650K; can't fault those that get on the Road again.
Two Comma Guy
Needed the sealed muddy strip and a demanding sprint for the lone score; Oceanport fans didn't bit last time to the tune of 10-1 and they were right on the money; would think long and hard before taking too short a number.

Race 8

Prado Cat
Moves to the fence for his second local start after failing to go on late off the break here a couple of weeks back; sophomore will try older for the initial time in this spot, but maybe he's tighter with his last behind him for a barn that's solid second off the break and he does attract a top local pilot; may be worth an exotics look from here at what figures to be a nice price.
Last out graduate was able to have things his own way on the front end in his surface debut here and sprinted home to post the upset over a next out winner (81 Beyer at Del Mar); there's not a lot of early foot in this one, either, and he does draw down inside for his first with winners, but have to imagine he'll need to work at least a little harder in order to secure the top this time and he'll have a bit more real estate to cover as well.
Frac Daddy
Sophomore has kept some top company without doing very much on the Triple Crown trail this year and now he'll return from the break to try both older rivals and the lawn for the initial time; barn doesn't do so well with its first turfers and though this guy's sire gets about 14% winners with that type, the dam was off the board in her lone surface try and her other foal to race was winless in 10 spins overseas; nice to see Rosario take interest but this guy has a lot to prove, even at this level.
Indy Sea
Got a solid kick in front of him while sitting inside on the stretchout to this trip last month but didn't have enough to factor late; maybe he's tighter third back from the 14 month break, but don't know that he's going to get much pace today and note that his lone score came in an off the turfer.
Comes the Dream
Ships back down to this circuit following a non-threatening third in an ungraded sophomore stake North of the border last month; he may appreciate more distance than he'll get in his return to facing older today, but maybe that means he'll just have more to offer in the lane for an outfit that's had an excellent meeting; consider.
Pick of the Litter
Had some trouble behind the morning line chalk in today's Travers while finishing well up the track in th G1 Haskell at Monmouth last month and now he'll get in with older allowance runners; he's been training up here for a while, but now he'll get on the lawn for the first time since his debut in Florida when he had very little to offer; don't know of many Kitten's Joys who don't like this type of footing so maybe he deserves another crack over the stuff, but his dam's other foal to try the green was 0 for 2 over it and this guy will certainly take money off his big figure efforts on other surfaces.
Just missed holding on for the place when switched to Rosie in his local return run at this trip and level; statebred gelding hasn't won since his score over cheaper here last summer, but he did earn a career best number in that score and he does own 6 overall turf wins; expecting he'll again get in the mix from the bell and should have a strong say in the outcome.
Red Wings
Makes his local sod debut for a barn that hasn't gotten on track at the stand; his most recent turf try first time against older at Ellis Park was weak and he failed to even finish his prior surface try in a sophomore stake at Pimlico on Preakness Day; just watching him in this spot.
Set a moderate clip before lasting for second money in his initial turf route at the level downstate and now he'll move to an outside slot; there is a good run to the first turn at this trip and little other lick signed on so maybe he's able to secure a good tracking spot from out here and the barn does do a nice job with its runners second back from the break; contender.
North Star Boy (IRE)
Draws the outside post for the rise to this level after running down cheaper over a local course with some give in it a couple of weeks back; Castellano sticks with this late runner who has proven that he'll mount a rally regardless of pace; looks to be a big threat right back.
Box Office
MTO breaks from the outside slot if rain moves this one off and enables him to switch surfaces; he was pretty good on dirt last year and his breeze last weekend suggests he'll appreciate the move back to it here; new outfit has had a rough go of it here, but he's one to consider in this heat.

Race 9

Irish Lute
Was no match for Lighthouse Bay and Wildcat Lilly in the Prioress but perhaps the added furlong today will her turn the tables?; both wins at shorter than this does not help the cause; ended up with a wide trip in last as the winner Lighthouse Bay rode the rail to victory; beat the 2-back runner-up finisher who posted a 90 Beyer speed figure in her next-out SAR allowance win.
Baby J
Was passed at the top of the stretch in last and seemed destined for a minor award but re-rallied to score the Grade 3 upset; has never raced past 6F; her win rider lands on My Happy Face for this; all-3 wins at BEL and has been away 8 weeks which is a serious issue; the 2-back runner-up finisher Beyered 82 in a next-out SAR-optional-claiming win.
So Many Ways
6th different rider today in as many races which is not a good-win angle; faded in the lane after unable to get to Wildcat Lilly who was hard sent for the front; she has won 3 races from off the pace during career but in the Priroess acted like a filly who needed-the-lead to succeed; view as a pace presence for part.
I'm Mom's Favorite
8 weeks since Baby J defeated her in the Victory Ride as she posted a career-low Beyer; was a superstar 2-back beating the runner-up finisher who Beyered 78 in a next-out CT-optional claiming win; which filly shows up for this?; beat the 3-back runner-up won next out in a PIM-optional claimer with an 82 speed figure.
Sweet Lulu
Perfect-synthetic surface runner gets class tested making her stakes debut in a Grade 1; her last published workout on dirt was May, 2012, at PLN; has won on the lead and from off the pace; assume she stalks Wildcat Lily and My Happy Face then hopes to get 1st run on the closers; beat the 2-back show runner who Beyered 84 in a next-out DMR-allowance win.
Lighthouse Bay
Picks up 4 pounds off latest-perfect trip ride by Rocco who saved every inch of ground then stayed right along the wood rallying willingly as Wildcat Lilly drifted out slightly but remained game to the wire; adds 1F onto latest for her longest-distance test ever; main concern is breaking from post 6 she is unlikely to get the same kind of favorable trip here as she did in last.
Ju Ju Eyeballs
5-for-6 since the claim including latest eye-catching victory representing a career-best Beyer; beat the 2-back show runner who Beyered 87 in a next-out SAR-98K stakes win; the final raw time of last does not compare well with the others as she makes her graded-stakes and SAR racing debut for this.
My Happy Face
Could not have had an easier lead in last at longer through soft fractions but was no match for the winner who repeated in the G1-Alabama with a 98 Beyer; the 3-back winner repeated in an AQU-71K event with an 85 speed figure; she's won at longer than this and on wet race tracks; 2 of 3 wins right on the lead but figures to sit just off Wildcat Lily from the gate then hopes to get 1st run on the closers; more than 21-length 2012-SAR graduation dirt win adds to the appeal as a horse for the course; dangerous.
Wildcat Lily
Positive 6-pound weight swing from Lighthouse Bay who had a perfect trip in the Prioress; she was rushed hard to the lead in last then held on very well; main issue is 7F because she earlier in 2013 did not give the impression she wanted to go this far.; beat the 3-back runner-up finisher who Beyered 93 in a next-out GP-75K stakes win; try to catch me.

Race 10

Laughing (IRE)
Really like what she's shown us in her two starts this year as she sat a fine trip in getting the better of Grade 1 winner Dayatthespa two starts ago, and when the pace was slow to develop in the G1 Diana in her latest outing, she grabbed the early advantage and never let go; she has every right to prove to be tough to deal with once again today, and it looks like Pianist is the only other early speed type signed on.
Grade 3 winner is capable of a very sharp performance on her best day and it might be worth noting how well she's run when entered after a layoff in the past; it looks like she'll be involved in a comfortable early pace with Laughing, and Laughing might be content to let her have the early edge, and that should help her keep something in reserve for the run through the lane.
Miz Ida
Multiple graded stakes winner was game when coming up just short to today's rival Somali Lemonade in her latest start, and that level of performance can play well in this spot; the early pace might not heat up all that much, but this filly has shown the ability to run well fomo off the pace even when the early tempo doesn't favor her; Bridgmohan has won with 17 of 54 (31%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Centre Court
Have to be at least mildly concerned that she hasn't quite looked the same filly since recording a G1 victory three starts back, and even if she might have had some traffic trouble over a yielding turf in the Just a Game two races ago, she simply came up empty through the stretch in her latest start; perhaps her two most recent workouts are a sign that she's about to get back on top of her game.
Hungry Island
From early on in her career, Shug has maintained that this miss seems to be at her best when she has plenty of time in between her starts, so the time off after her third-place finish in the Just a Game can be viewed in a positive light; she's another late running type who finds herself in a potentially paceless race, but this is a mare who can be very sharp on her best day.
Somali Lemonade
She's a tricky one to try to figure out after earning her first win since her 2-year-old season in her latest outing, and that was a very game victory she recorded in getting the better of today's rival Miz Ida; obviously she's a threat if she comes right back with that level of performance, but at the same time, it's not unfair to question if she can do it.
Hard Not to Like
She pulled off a mild upset in her 4-year-old racing debut to record a G3 score at Gulfstream Park while making her first start for this barn, but she hasn't been able to get back to that level of performance in four starts since then, and she can't afford to show up with anything less than that against these.
Not only has her recent form been below her best, but she's never run a race that is strong enough to suggest that she can get the better of a field of this caliber; late running type as the look of an outsider.
With the possible exception of Hard Not to Like, there isn't much in the way of dirt form signed on in the main body of this race; both of her wins have come in off-the-turf events and the winner from her latest race returned to win next out at Mth on 7/27 going 1 1/16m over turf in a 66k stakes with an 82 Beyer; she was MTO and scratched here on Thursday.

Race 11

Salutos Amigos
Exits 2 straight starts where he sat the rail trip finishing much better in last which was his 1st-ever SAR dirt start; gets another ground-saving trip for this but is a runner still eligible for a non-winners of 2 allowance event so would be a surprise if he could turn the tables.
Forty Tales
Not sure which one of his last 2 stakes wins was most impressive as he won latest seemingly in hand despite being 10 lengths behind the pacesetter Mentor Cane; his Woody Stephens win may have been more eye-catching as he seemed outrun in deep stretch and rallied very wide to mow down the speed; the pacesetters from the Woody Stephens and Amerstdam are set to duel here; if runs back to either of last pair would be hard to handle here.
Capo Bastone
Gave the impression in the Woody Stephens when outrun until the final furlong that a lot more distance than 7F will be needed to see very-best form; trying to remember his April loss by a neck to Forty Tales; win rider and pilot of last sides with Declans Warrior here.
Slan Abhaile
The 2 win riders land on Majestic Hussar and Forty Tales even off latest career-best Beyer SAR-sprint win at shorter; has clearly been best on fast-race tracks and finally got that again in last displaying gameness after stalking the speed; taking a major-class leap for this is the primary issue.
Majestic Hussar
Finished 4th to Florida-Kentucky Debry winner Orb in his only other graded-stakes start; 3-time win rider seemingly had other options but remains here after beating older horses in a prep-optional claimer where he dueled for the front before pulling away; loves a sloppy track; hopes to sit just off the main speeds Mentor Cane and Let Em Shine before getting 1st run on the closers.
Bad Hombre
Tired in both SAR dirt defeats; it took him 7 races and a sloppy-race track to graduate; today will be trying his 1st-graded stakes field; reunites with the win rider after dueled into defeat at longer; clearly a wet-trace track plays into his favor; another who has to pass the class test to upset.
Mentor Cane
Flew up the rail in last to make the front then blew the turn drifting wide helping set it up for late runner Forty Tales; 1-time winner's lone victory occurred at shorter than this and off last would be shocked to see him hang on for another half furlong especially with speedsters Let Em Shine and Majestic Hussar signed on for this.
Declan's Warrior
1st-time Johnny V as the jockey as the rider from his first 7 starts sides with Majestic Hussar today; was passed by Forty Tales in the Amsterdam after having better tactical position on that one; clearly his 1st race at SAR being his lowest Beyer since March does not add to the appeal.
Arkansas Derby winner graduated on SAR dirt at 5F; September, 2012, was his last race at this short of a distance; exits his lowest Beyer since October which prompts the distance change; the 2-back winner repeated in a SAR-Grade 2 with a 107 Beyer.
Let Em Shine
Same trip as last blasting out from a wide draw to make the lead; doubtful for any easy advantages up top here with Majestic Hussar and Menton Cane noted as serious pace players; 1st time on SAR dirt with both wins at 1F shorter than this; know him early then hopes to hang on late.
2nd stakes start of career and in a tough spot facing Grade 1 rivals off a dull effort 1st time on SAR dirt posting the 2nd lowest Beyer of his career; 2-back winner at today's distance in the mud is another who favors wet footing; 2-back win rider lands on Forty Tales for this.
Central Banker
Just his 2nd start of 2013; owns 2-of-3 wins on turf and 1-for-3 on everything else; his last dirt start 2-back was a middle-moving route loss vs. the winner who repeated with a 98 Beyer in an SA-Grade 3 while the show finisher won next out in an FG-optional claimer (90); beat the 3-back show runner a next-out 68 Beyer FG alw. winner.
Some of these have just 1 win but have met winners while this one has the inexperience of just 2 starts and has never faced anything but a maiden field during career; working like he is ready to fire a biggie noting both races were on less-than-fast dirt ovals; owns plenty of upside overall but for this will be taking a wait and see approach.
No Distinction
The SAR turf and Central Banker snapped the 3-win dirt win streak including the April maiden-breaking 100 Beyer over the show runner who graduated next out in a DEL-MSW event with a 72 speed figure; has never raced this far and the widest draw means a guaranteed ground-losing trip.

Race 12

Improving colt overcame a tough trip to get second money before seeing his number put up last month in the restricted Curlin, a heat in which his coupled mate crossed the wire first; they paid 750K for him a couple of summers back so clearly they have high hopes for him and a top rider does get aboard; while there is likely some upside he'll catch a pretty tough and accomplished bunch in his graded stakes debut; barn and pilot won this heat's 2006 renewal with this colt's sire Bernardini while Castellano also won in 2011 with Stay Thirsty and 2010 with Afleet Express.
He became the field's lone 10 panel dirt winner when he ran away from the G1 Kentucky Derby field this spring but his subsequent flat efforts as the chalk in each of his next Triple Crown starts have raised questions; patient barn says he couldn't be working much better in his preparation for this but note that he spots each of his main foes a big recent prep effort and his late running style is not always well received over this racetrack; while it would certainly be a nice story to see him bounce back for an outfit that has won this race 3 times - Coronado's Quest in 1998, Rhythm in 1990 and Easy Goer in 1989 - he may find himself with a lot of work to do turning for home; consider.
Pletcher colt's lone blemish came over a wet track in the Kentucky Derby in which he was no threat to Orb at today's 10 furlong trip; he looked loaded for bear on the turn in Monmouth's G1 Haskell last month and didn't disappoint when he was let loose, earning a huge number that no one here has approached in the process; barn won this race with Stay Thirsty in 2011 and teamed up with this pilot to take the 2005 renewal with Flower Alley; inside draw says he could either go, if asked, or more likely sit behind Moreno and sit the trip; there may be questions about his ability to get the added ground in top company, but in his current form he's the one they'll have to beat.
Golden Soul
Helped light up the exotics with his late running effort behind Orb in the Kentucky Derby, but his 2 subesequent spins were tough to swallow; maybe he's better second off the freshening and when on his game he likes the distance but right now he's got to prove that it wasn't just the wet track that moved him up on the first Saturday in May.
Will Take Charge
Picked a good time to run his career best number in the local G2 Jim Dandy prep for this, but he just wasn't good enough to get to today's foe Palace Malice who held a tactical advantage that day; he's not the most consistent sort, but he did prove that he's capable of running with these last time and the added panel could help his kick; barn won this race twice - Thunder Gulch in 1995 and Corporate Report in 1991; price should be right and maybe the last out hood removal is the equipment change he's needed all along.
He's an example of a runner who just took off with the addition of shades when shipped East after taking the collar from 9 cracks to begin his career in California; his game is speed so expect to see his pilot pushing him to the top from the bell and he was a little weary late in the 9 panel Jim Dandy when finishing behind a couple of these foes last time; he's clearly a much improved runner and will likely take them as far as he can go, but don't know that he's going to be able to handle the added ground as well as proven G1 types over a fair racetrack.
War Dancer
Last out G2 Virginia Derby winner tries dirt following that 10 panel score over a course with some give in it; he was tabbed on many watch lists after exploding to score in his first with winners at Keeneland this spring, has gone on to impress over the green and he did catch a productive maiden heat the lone time he stepped on the main track this winter in Florida; barn dead heated for the win in this heat last year with Golden Ticket; catches a difficult bunch, but at his morning line price he's worth a look.
Palace Malice
Hot barn's other entrant in here completes their loaded hand after taking the 9 panel Jim Dandy from tracking range here last month; G1 Belmont winner has begun to run to his connections' expectations since learning to rate and with the long run to the clubhouse turn he should have every opportunity to track the speedy Moreno from this outside slot; his pilot won this race in 1998 with Coronado's Quest and in 1994 with Holy Bull; a perfect 2 for 2 over the track, he may be in position to take over for the pacesetter and get first run on his uncoupled stablemate; giving him the slight edge with the local experience under his belt.
Looked pretty good taking the Curlin off nearly 4 months on the shelf before getting his number taken down last time; he's been on the improve from a figure standpoint and his sire was a Travers winner so today's added real estate should prove to be right up his alley; barn dead heated for the win in this race last year with Alpha; he'll need to keep getting better, but given this pricey colt's local prep and price potential he can't be overlooked from out here.

Race 13

Antone Suavey
Life and death for the lone win, double digits on the tote since, is looking at the same fate here; considering the cut back, he could be left with a lot of work to do late; looking elsewhere for a key top horse.
Out of Your Mind
One for 33 is a near impossible runner to bet on with any degree of confidence; the last time he was 2nd is when beaten a head at 39-1 in March of last year; passing.
Risk Management
Goes from one good barn to another; the grass debut was dismal but the show horse in last cashed next out in a $35K claimer, then was crushed at the same level; dropping off the claim, you would figure it to be an all-out go; this guy is live.
Expect this one to be on the muscle fresh; 2 excuses last time, the company and the grass; this rider up for the win, brings speed to the party, must be left in the hopper.
Smiling Bob
What about Bob?; well, he's been knocking on the door and is due to blow it off the hinges; bothered early in last, he was inching toward the winner late; the 7/6 show horse cashed next out in a $20K N2L at Delaware with a 68 Beyer; blood is there as he's kin to near $250K earner Summer Symphony.
Posse about 8% with first-time turfers after 160 starters; sire earned over $650K, never turfed; 2 for 16 dam won once on grass; top kin Take Her Tothe Top took 4 of 21, all on grass, banked $140K; the 7/20 winner beat $25K claimers here 8/4 with a 79 Beyer and was reclaimed by Jacobson; can't count out.
Pushed into the stakes after the debut, has not really threatened since; the 7/3 winner repeated in a $62.5K optional, then was 2nd a length in the state-bred $150K West Point; passing.
Holy Endeavor
Caught the fastest splits of his career in last and just faded out of it; 6/19 place horse won for this very price next out with a 76 Beyer; proven for the price, kept legs moving with the drill on Wednesday; major player.
Cap'n Raymond
The Cap entered the stakes after the win and has not been sharp since; 6/28 place horse beat $25K N2L foes next out, was out of the money twice; hard to pull the trigger on this one.
Impatient Investor
First time for sale today; love the spacing of the return drills and he was hung wide in the lone grass effort; he has a right to be on the muscle since he is fresh; surprise package.
Chics Palace
Opened career on the right now, it's been all downhill since; he only beat 2 to the wire in the last sprint effort and the recent routes may have just dulled his zip; would figure him to be in the picture late if at all.
Poppa Loves Mambo
Only in the money twice since the taxing maiden breaker; one race kind of jumps off the page and that's the length beat in March; live connections; may wake up here.
Western Grit
Maybe connections had this race in mind all the time; note he won in the second career start; wide at the shore but closing and he got a boost when show horse beat $16K starters foes next out in Philly with a 69 Beyer for Joe Orseno; rates long look if he suits up.
Mr Rodriguez
Fact he won at first asking gives him a right to fire fresh; over 5 clear in the stakes here last year and the place horse in the 2012 closer said adios to a Maryland-bred $100K stakes next out; just may make amends for the flop as chalk.
Fiona's Hero
Guess the bullet move on the 17th satisfied the stewards after he was eased; place horse in the maiden breaker graduated in a maiden $16K claimer, was out of the money twice; try to get a good look at him on the track.

Race 14

As Well
She appears to be heading in the right direction entering this race and the 71 Beyer Speed Figure she earned for her latest performance represents the best last race figure in this field; she'll avoid early ground loss after breaking from the rail post and like to see Rosario land here.
Amazing Abby
She's really struggled to find a forward gear through the stretch in her first four starts, and it would've been nice to have seen her show more in her turf debut in her latest outing, a race that saw her soundly defeated by today's rival As Well.
She's another who has yet to make much of an impression through the stretch in her first three starts, and that includes a start over turf in her latest outing; perhaps she can prove to be an early pace player, but going to look toward others.
Left Uppercut
If she can perform the way she did two starts ago at Belmont Park, she's eligible to have a say in the outcome, but it does look like a slow early pace is a key for this mare, and there is enough early speed signed on to make this a tough assignment for her.
Sophie's Turn
She seemed to be well meant in her first two starts with only so-so results, but it is interesting to see blinkers going on for this, especially when looking at her two most recent workouts; not going to be at all surprised if she gives a good account of herself against these.
Discreet Malena
Sire wins with approximately 15% of his first-time starters and with approximately 14% of his turf starters, and multiple stakes winning dam won 7 of 35 starts for 299k, including 0-for-1 over turf; this filly is a 1/2 to multiple stakes winner Borrowing Base (7-59, 515k, including 0-for-21 over turf) and Atitlan (1-12, 47k over turf).
Life's a Stage
This filly has a nice pedigree for turf and she gave a decent account of herself in her first start over this turf course in her latest outing; leaning toward others for the top prize, but a spot underneath in the exotics doesn't seem to be out of the question.
Like the effort she showed up with at second asking when sent out with Lasix and blinkers for the first time, but it would've been nice to have seen her show a little bit more in her two starts since then; perhaps it's worth noting the presence of Rosario aboard another in here.
See See See
She's had plenty of chances to show us what she's all about, including five starts over turf, and she's yet to run a race that is anywhere near strong enough to threaten the top contenders in here; strictly an outsider.
Quiet Kiss
She showed improved early speed in her turf debut in her latest outing, but the end result was very much the same as her first two starts over dirt; she's going to need to show up with a stronger performance in order to contend.
Chow Fun
She's shown a little something in her first four starts, all over turf, but she is going to need two step up her game a little bit if she's to turn the tables on rivals that have beaten her in her two most recent races.
You So Smart
Respect the improvement she's displayed since being placed over turf with the addition of Lasix two starts ago, but she is going to need to step it up over those performances if she's to prove to be the one in this spot; Napravnik has won with 34 of 107 (32%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Raven Rise
She needs to see a scratch from the main body of this race to draw in and she looks like another in here who is going to have to be ready to take her game to another level in order to have a chance at getting the job done.
Chrissy Girl
Her lack of early speed is eligible to leave her with a lot of work to do when they hit the top of the stretch, but if nothing else, she does appear to be well meant while getting a rider switch to Castellano.