08/13/2013 11:04AM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 14, 2013

Email

DRF Plus Preview

Race 1

Run to Mama
Latest workout, her best yet, suggests she can rebound from last fiasco; she must deal with this precarious rail slot for the first time, however, one of the most underrated factors in handicapping; difficult call.
 
Tassinaia
Deceptive effort at Belmont last month when losing ground throughout; her sire won 2 of 8 and 249 (Raffie's Majesty was also a brave third in the G1 Travers); the dam won 1 of 4 and 26K; winning siblings include 312K earner Tommasi, a pure router.
 
Soul Opposition
Back to the main track after failed bids on the lawn at different distances; 7 furlongs should actually suit her style and she picks up Castellano who has been riding in top form; looks like a favorable fit in this modest group.
 
Rosie's Song
Down the tubes at odds-on in June when failing to break straight and true; she lands into a paceless group today and should be the primary front-runner as a result; despite her inexperience at the distance, seems capable of stealing this.
 
Prize Taker
Focus on the race 2 back, her sole attempt at 7 furlongs; she made up considerable ground in that effort and would benefit today if Rosie's Song sets too fast a clip; note even intervals to the local work tab, a strong sign.
 
Isn'tshewonderfull
One of several turf-to-dirt possibilities in this puzzle; unlucky filly may finally work out a comfortable trip after losing way too much ground in the last pair of performances; should be flying late if receiving the proper pace set-up.
 
Carole Lee
Although finishing off the board in the last test, she displayed much more prompting speed in that venture; notice in her only attempt at today's distance, she ran into a blowout winner; might be able to stay within striking range here at a hefty price.

Race 2

Stalagmite
75K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 16-51 (31%) with 2yos, 6-27 (22%) with turfers; SP route dam (84K, 1-5 at 2) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); female family Kentucky Derby winner Cannonade; barn 0-2 with 2yos; faltered behind General Jack (won stake on turf at CBY with 81 Beyer 8/3); expect good speed vs. statebreds.
 
Harbor King
37K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 20-172 (12%) 2yo FTS, 7-130 (5%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 multiple SP turf sprinter Life Lesson (153K, 0-2 at 2, 2-12 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-10 past 5 years FTS.
 
Hard Rumor
1/2 SW Beebe Lake (195K, 0-1 at 2, 3-15 turf), SP Elusive Rumour (125K, 0-1 at 2, 2-8 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 8% 2yo FTS, 10% 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 7 wnnrs/10 rnnrs (3-9 with 2yos, 6-7 turfers, 3 first-turf winners); dam full 2yo G3 turf SW Contested Bid (146K, 2-4 at 2, 2-10 turf); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; nice pedigree.
 
Pepi's Find
1/2 SP 2yo Bond Arbitrage (77K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 0-2 turf) by 11% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 8 wnnrs/9 rnnrs (4-5 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 1-8 turfers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Without Feathers (499K, 6-10 at 2, won debut, 3-7 turf), barn 6-46 (13%, $1.79 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-7 turf).
 
Junger
Sire 88-609 (14%) 2yos, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 at 2) has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers; female family multiple SW Christina Czarina (293K, 2-5 at 2, 0-3 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $4.06 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf SMSW sprints Spa; broke poorly in slop 5 days ago; too early to give up on just yet.
 
Metropolitan Storm
Sire 88-609 (14%) 2yos, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from winning dam (203K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 turf); 3rd dam multiple SW Kitty Tatch (233K, 8-23 turf); barn 4-116 (3%, $0.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; sire gets some good turfers.
 
Ainteasybeinggreen
Sire 44-190 (23%) 2yos, 35-183 (19%) turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2); female family 2yo SP Rebecca's Gal (198K, 1-5 at 2, 0-6 turf); barn 7-15 (47%, $4.25 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW turf sprint; tired in heat that produced next-out 69 Beyer grad Marvin's Miracle; logical.
 
Carolinian
1/2 SW Smuggler's Hold (114K, 2-3 at 2, 0-5 turf) by 15% 2yo, 6% 1st-turf sire; turf SP dam (61K, 1-15 turf) has 3 wnnrs/5 rnnrs (2-3 with 2yos, 1-3 turfers); dam 1/2 turf SW Field Cat (309K, 2-7 at 2, 1st-turf winner), SW Estevan (412K, 2-5 at 2, 2-20 turf); barn 0-13 pst 5 yrs 2yos dirt/turf MSW sprint; faced fleet NY-breds on dirt; can improve.
 
Push Ups
Sire 3-16 (19%) 2yo FTS, 0-16 with 1st-turfers; unraced dam has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); female family multiple SW Jazzy One (249K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-10 (10%, $2.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS; solid bloodlines
 
Howaboutwe
30K RNA 2yo after 2F work 22.2; 1/2 G2 2yo sprint SP Manchurian High (112K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 15-85 (18%) 2yo sire; unraced dam has 2 winners from 3 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 0-3 with sprinters); 2nd dam SW Ka Lae (231K, 1-9 sprint); barn 4-47 (9%, $1.37 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt.

Race 3

Like a Boss
Flashed a bit of early speed in the last run and is wheeled right back; faces same pace rival today as in that effort but Silver Shot draws widest here; perhaps a change of riding tactics will help the cause.
 
Go to the Net
Even try a month ago for this 5-year-old who makes his local debut; goes back to Ortiz who has extensive prior experience aboard; seems worth some underneath play in your exotic wagering approach although a fast track would be mandatory for that.
 
El Dreamer
Chronic maiden turned in a very respectable try at the course and distance only 9 days ago; should be a money player once again as this field comes up light; hard to endorse as the one to key on top,however.
 
Velocci
Rested more than 2 months following a fair rally at Belmont; improved significantly in the latest a.m. drill and the trainer has established a strong record at the meet; looks like a legitimate contender today although the odds will probably diminish.
 
Mr. Style
Dons the blinkers after showing some fighting speed in his first route test; if he can somehow recapture the performance levels he displayed here 2 summers ago, he should prove tough; picks up Rocco who has been enjoying great longshot success of late.
 
Navajo Ca Lo
Cuts back from a mild run when negotiating 9 furlongs for the first time; he earned a personal best Beyer in that effort and might be able to run down some questionable speeds today; not out of the question in wide-open affair.
 
Slick Daddy
Beginner shows modest work tab; his sire won multiple G1s and 1.33 million (progeny of Scat Daddy have won 17 out of 139 debuts); the dam was unraced; among the winning siblings is 20K earner Infiltrator.
 
Blockade Runner
The selection based on his solid workout regimen and winning connections; the colt's sire won a G3 and 260K (offspring of Defer are 4 for 31 as far as winning their first try); the dam went zero for 5; sib to 39K earner Eye Forty Four.
 
Silver Shot
Displayed fair gate speed in his first run when racing alongside Like a Boss; the grey's sire won 622K including G2 success; the dam never raced; winning siblings include 20K earner Karen Jo; may improve over a fast racing surface.

Race 4

Momentary Magic
Nice to see that off the smart maiden win at GP Bond thought enough of her to then try the G1 Acorn at BEL 2 months later; OK, so taht didn't go so well but it still speaks of optimism; was then a non-threat 3rd in a spot like this there June 30 (beaten 10 1/2 lengths); nice to see no drop and there's a solid work since but you do wonder now if that big maiden win was more the exception rather than the rule.
 
Elusive Jozi
Prine not only saw fit to claim her off a dull turf run at BEL June 5 for $20K but he brings her back up in price; also returns her to dirt and this may be her best game; it's no bad thing, too, that she's 2 for 2 on this track so you know sh elikes it here; of course, the bulk of her best work has come vs. lesser but a nice 2nd in a spot like this on AQU's big track March 28 says she's not completely out of her element.
 
Here's Zealicious
Lots of speed here; won 3 straight this winter, was then 3rd in a stakes on AQU's big track March 30 and hasn't run since; that's a tad worrisome but at least there's no drop in for a tag and she's proven fresh; also been working nicely of late; speed likely means they have to go and get her, too.
 
Pow Wow Wow
Good enough to earn a couple G2 shots in her career; wasn't a factor either time but she didn't run badly when 3rd in the G2 Forward Gal at GP Jan. 25; 3 starts since weren't bad; dueled and paid the price here July 21 and this spot doesn't look any easier; at least worked well since.
 
Asiya
Monster maiden win on AQU's big track Dec. 9 (in the slop, by 11 lengths) shows there's talent here; then ran 3rd in a stakes on AQU's inner (behind now-multiple G1 SW Princess of Sylmar); hasn't been seen since, which is a tad worrisome but she's worked steadily, there's no class drop and that big maiden win came off a layoff so she can fire fresh.
 
Chance Encounter
May have turned the corner; form was a bit spotty from late last summer into this spring but then came 3 nice 2nds, she was claimed by Galluscio and then wham!; she blasted $20K foes here July 22; moves up further in price, which is nice, and that big win shows she likes it here, though note that while Rosario was up for that big win (and her 2 good prior starts) he ends up Here's Zealicious today instead, so read into that what you will.

Race 5

Cynical Storm
37K RNA wnlng, 70K yrlng; sire 16% 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (234K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 2-4 sprint); family multiple G2 SW sprinter American Royale (254K, 3-3 at 2, 6-8 sprint); barn 34-95 (36%, $2.77 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa;; 7/29 work matches Enquete (1st FTS MSW 61 Beyer 8/4); can't ignore.
 
Mallory Street
140K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 SP sprint Angels in Arms (90K, 0-2 at 2, 2-8 sprint) by 14% 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (56K, 2-3 sprint) with 4 winners/5 runners (1-4 with 2yos, debut winner, 4-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SW Penny's Reshoot (249K, 2-2 at 2, 3-6 sprint); barn 2-5 (40%, $6.50 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; sharp works.
 
Delightful Liz
75K 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 16% 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (37K, 3-11 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 route SW Delightful Kiss (1.0M, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 sprint), G3 SW polytrack sprinter Delightful Mary (588K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 3-3 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%) 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa (won Saturday); interesting.
 
Trautman
65K RNA yrlng, 190K 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 17% 2yo FTS; dam turf sprint winner at 2 in France (8K, 0-1 dirt sprint) with 0 wnnrs/2 rnnrs (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Vilayet (France), turf SW Legend of Russia (167K, 0-1 at 2, 3-18 turf), barn 1-30 (3%, $1.18 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; nice pedigree, but lots of turf.
 
J. Quirk
150K yearling, 110K RNA 2yo after breezing 1F in 10.0; sire 150-876 (17%) 2yos; dam won on turf at 2 in Ireland (18K, 1-3 at 2) and has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 router Tiznow (6.4M, 0-1 sprint), barn 2-8 (25%, $1.27 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; gave good account in debut; respect.
 
Red Miracle
1/2 SW 2yo Flashy Ways (107K, won debut, 1-1 sprint) by 13% 2yo FTS sire; dam placed sprinting (0-3 sprint) with 2 wnnrs/2 rnnrs (1-2 with 2yos, FTS winner, 2-2 sprint); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprint Dakota Digger (166K, 0-2 at 2, 1-8 sprint); barn 1-35, $2.85 ROI pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 2 works match Roberto Gato (7th FTS MSW 8/10)
 
Friends Pro
1/2 SW sprinter Pro Prado (397K, 2-3 at 2) by 86-526 (16%) 2yo sire; multiple SW dam (435K, 2-4 at 2, 6-27 sprints) has 5 winners from 9 runners (1-5 2yos, 3-9 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP sprinter Mama Cielo (50K, 2-4 at 2, 2-16 sprint); barn 1-13 (8%, $0.55 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint; showed speed for a tag; not out of it.
 
Naughtynaughtygirl
1/2 multiple SP sprinter Vicarious Won (138K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 4-11 sprint) by 12% 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo SW sprinter (126K, 3-4 at 2, won debut, 3-5 sprint) with 1 winner/1 runner (1-1 2yos, FTS winner, 1-1 sprint); dam full SW sprinter Jena Jena (272K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 6-11 sprint); barn 0-40 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

Race 6

Balance the Books
He ran a really nice race when returned to turf in his latest start and that race didn't setup in his favor at all; winner from latest won next out here on 8/9 going 1 1/8m in a G3 with a 76 Beyer, and the runner up from that race has a G1 win to his credit, and even the fourth finisher, Noble Tune, is a multiple graded stakes winner.
 
Java's War
He's a Grade 1 winner over the synthetic surface at Keeneland and like the idea of giving him another chance to see what he can do over turf when seeing how well he ran over grass in his first three career starts; 3rd finisher from latest won next out at Dmr on 8/10 going 1 1/16m over turf in a G2 with an 88 Beyer.
 
Channel Isle
He ran some decent races over turf early on in his career but not all that wild about what he's been doing lately and he is going to have to step it up in order to prove to be a player in this tough spot; prefer to look toward others.
 
Fear the Kitten
Multiple graded stakes placed performer ran pretty well in a tough spot in his turf debut in his latest outing, and even though he finds himself in a spot that looks every bit as difficult, it's probably a good idea to respect his chances based on what he showed us in that race; Garcia has won with 15 of 47 (32%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
 
Winning Cause
He carries a G3 winning credential with him and have to respect the way that he performed when returned to turf in his latest outing; based on pedigree, turf should be his game, and his best races might still be in front of him; Rosario has won with 7 of 22 (32%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
 
Hardest Core
Can't ignore the way that his form has steadily improved since being placed over turf at second asking and he was a sharp winner in his latest outing when beating today's rival I'll Call; he's another to add to the long list of contenders in this spot.
 
Readyshakego
He proved it in his career debut that he isn't going to let the toteboard intimidate him, and he enters this race after earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure, but still having a tough time giving him the nod for the top spot against these.
 
I'll Call
Nicely bred gelding has yet to run a bad race from four starts and there's certainly plenty of room for improvement at this stage of his career; he was a strong runner up behind today's rival Hardest Core and his latest outing and it's interesting to see him being equipped with blinkers for this; must consider.
 
Mills
He's another in here who is four-for-four in the quality start department, and although he loses the services of Rosario to another in here, he appears to be very well meant after taking some time off; runner up from latest won next out here on 7/27 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. N1X alw. rivals with an 88 Beyer.
 
Saint Vigeur
A couple of horses in the main body of this race have respectable form racing over dirt but this does look like it will be an ideal spot for this multiple graded stakes placed colt to land in if this race has to be moved to the main track.
 
Indy's Illusion
Don't like to see the lack of early speed he's displayed in his two most recent starts, but if he can find his way back to the form he displayed in January and March at Gulfstream Park, he's perfectly eligible to make some noise in this spot.

Race 7

Tie Dye
Lone win was on the lead so wants to be forwardly placed today; benefits catching a race void of much gate speed; she saved best Beyer speed figure for last when outfinished at 1 Mile for the win but was a clear 2nd behind the winner who was dismal next out at SAR posting an 8th-place finish and a 49 Beyer; her only other SAR grass start was on the Mellon turf course where she finished last of 8
 
La Strada
Deep closer's lone win picture was posted on a yielding-BEL turf course and hopes to get green today with some moisture in it; reunites with the win rider for this; that graduation score looks better since the runner-up finisher Beyered 69 in a next-out MTH-40K-maiden claiming win.
 
Dust Em Mick
Late runner displayed better tactical-gate speed in last when outkicked by Holiday's Jewel at longer; today is 2nd-time racing Long which is often a stamina improvement; 21%-winning jockey-trainer combo yields just 9% SAR winners since 2012.
 
Lemon Song
Graduated on less-than-firm turf stalking the speed and figures for a similar slightly off-the-pace trip for this; new trainer today following a career-best Beyer speed figure when outfinished at a shorter distance than today's; the 3-back winner repeated with a 79 Beyer in a BEL-90K event to make it 3-for-3 losing her 1st race 2 starts later in a Grade 2 event finshing 7th.
 
Starship Gambler
Been a bit speed crazy in recent starts; was claimed off a win over today's SAR Inner Turf surface at longer when going gate to wire defeating the show runner a next-out SAR-20K-claiming winner (75 Beyer); was purchased from a high-win-percentage trainer which is not a good-win angle; she can also rate from off the speed which was the trip for her 2012 graduation.
 
Swakopmund
Exits a career-best speed figure for a 22%-winning fresh trainer; her best races are when she stalks the speed; in the pre-rest defeat 55 days ago raced too far back early then rallied past tired rivals defeated by the runner-up finisher who Beyered 76 in a next-out BEL-optional claiming win.
 
Holiday's Jewel
Love that the win rider follows her despite the trainer change; was not impressed by the workout for this for the new barn who claimed her off a career-best Beyer and win on today's SAR Inner Turf; her best races are like last when stalking the speed.
 
Sabouli
Exits her first dull start after 8 consecutive solid efforts; deep closer needs a pace meltdown to score; wish there was more gate speed signed on to help her cause; faded in last when racing too close to the pace on SAR Mellon turf which is not a good sign considering both wins occurred at longer than 1 Mile.
 
Another Please
Was listed at 5-1 morning-line odds Monday on Inner Turf at 1 1/16 Miles in a 20K claimer; the winner from last 33 days ago Beyered 85 in a next-out SAR-optional claiming win; trainer yields 13%-fresh winners since 2012 so will be taking a wait and see approach.
 
Viva Allegiance
Debut victory saw her rally past the show and 10th-place finishers both next-out graduates in SAR-35K and 20K maiden claimers with 74-50 Beyers respectively; massive class test but a good sign she won over today's Inner Turf at the distance with tons of upside for start 2.
 
Currency Union
The one to catch if in; 3 times in the last 5 races she raced right on the lead; Main Track Only entry stretches out past 6F for the 1st time; sire was a Grade 3-SW at 1M and 1-16th on dirt; 0-for-4 dam did not race past 7F; she was also entered as an MTO 15-1 ML-odds Monday in SAR 3 at 5-1/2F in a 100K stakes.

Race 8

Smash
Smart Strike about 11% with first-time turfers in a 598-runner grid; sire won 6 of 8, a Grade 1, over $330K, never turfed; dam took 4 sprints, was out of the money twice on grass; family is solid, all 6 siblings won; 2 tried grass to no avail, one banked over $230K; May 1 winner repeated in an $88K stakes with a 99 Beyer; Grade 2 placed and proven fresh, Baffert is winning in bunches at Del Mar this meet and pro should get an honest pace to run into; may like it here.
 
Varsity
The winner of this race last year, Bridgetown, was also coming off a third in a stakes loss with a 95 Beyer before going all the way in this race to post a 100 figure; he could be a bit fragile as the races have been spaced but he has the 2 races to draw from now; has to try to discourage Great Mills early on; wonder if the Dubai trip zapped him?
 
Tripski
Hung wide in the slop in last, now back on the preferred surface; three exited the 4/19 race to win next out; around the wire this year but has not been able to get the ink on the contract; look for this guy in the picture late if at all.
 
Great Mills
Love the series of drills coming to this race; show horse in last took a $50K Golden Gate stakes next out; 12th finisher BC Day won two high priced optional claimers since; show horse in 2012 closer took a $70K stakes next out and Jim Rome's winner 11/3 has won two Grade 2s and a G3 since; dangerous.
 
Hear the Footsteps
Empire-bred has never been better but he gets the acid test here against some sizzlers; proven here and one for one at the trip, note place horse in last was nearly 5 clear; probably needs another big move forward to make it 4 straight.
 
Mop Head
Consistent, but he has to find a way to close the deal more often; 1/27 show horse held by a neck next out in a $40K optional, lost next pair; 7th finisher 1/27 won twice since, the last in a $40K optional with a 91 Beyer; must be left in the exotic conversation at least.
 
Strong Impact
The freshening did this guy a world of good; he got fast splits to run into last time and the same should be the case here; winner of the 2013 opener cashed next out in a $50K optional, then was out of the money thrice; capable barn due for a bit of luck.
 
Hogy
Versatile and dangerous and note he didn't break all that well in last; runner that was taken down in last cashed next out in a $100K Mountaineer stakes with an 89 Beyer; 5/25 show horse took a $50K stakes next out, then ran out of the money; place horse 5/25 took a $125K Canterbury stakes in next with an 85 Beyer; right there with the A game.
 
Leave of Absence
Goes from one good barn to another but he has never won a stakes; runner upset only 3 runners in the dead heat 3 back but he doesn't have to be 7th early on today; this rider up for the last win but runner will need help up front; might need softer to shine.

Race 9

Praetorian Guard
Is eligible to move forward off that last start, a clear comeback race going a distance less than his best; even so, classwise he looks shaky in this spot - having won just a single race and doing so against maiden 16K opposition; pass.
 
Nevada
Has proven a rewarding claim for Orseno and Hood, who took this well bred gelding from a maiden 25K claimer; he won a race for 35K at the meet and also has a couple seconds in similar starter races for them; last race might not be quite as nice as it looks on paper - the leader and favorite, bore out badly in the race - virtually handing this one the victory.
 
Warrior Up
Might be at somewhat of a fitness disadvantage, not having raced for over a month and a half; also just doesn't win all that much, going 3 for 30 over his career despite racing in many state-bred contests; 2 of his 3 wins have also come on turf; shaky despite the nice recent effort at Belmont.
 
Horned Frog
Has been a starter 5K machine, and with a 9 for 18 record, he's obviously a horse with a tremendous desire to win; hasn't raced for over two months, but has been training regularly since three weeks after his June 9 triumph; distance suits; Maker and Rosario in his corner; second selection behind Thunder Quay.
 
North Ocean
Has proven popular at the claims box, getting plucked from tw consecutive races; he was dominant in those races, too, running solid Beyers; has a fine pedigree and would seem well suited to racing two turns, though he has yet to do so; Rudy having a quiet Saratoga meet but known for doing well first off the claim.
 
Thunder Quay
West Point was smart to send him to Parx after that maiden victory at GP; Parx writes a lot of starters for horses with conditions; lost to a nice Chad Brown horse that shipped in from Belmont in that alw last out; the Brown horse subsequently crossed the wire second in a N2X at Parx, edged a nose, only to get DQed and placed fourth for interference; Preciado ships to Saratoga infrequently, but won a race here 2 years ago for West Point; choice.
 
Street Fight
Is a versatile horse that has been racing on turf most recently but who handled dirt racing in the winter and spring; still get the feeling he is probably better on grass than on the main track; upgrade opinion if he catches an off track; he loves the mud; but the forecast for Wed (as of this writing Mon morning) was for clear skies after rain on Tue.

Race 10

Lakeview Lady
Never raced longer than 6F during career; stamina is the issue but figures to be a major pace presence today; she is best on turf off the good-debut show finish vs. NY-breds; finished last in a key-dirt race; the 6th and 8th-place finishers from last posted 72-56 Beyer speed figures in next-out GP-50K and MTH-40K-maiden claiming wins.
 
Locks of Gold
Brief speed in the dirt debut but worked very well pre-race on grass which is where she lands today for the 1st time; her 1st-time starter jockey lands on Bettina Brugge; her sire is 6-for-84 with 1st-grass starters; dam won 1-of-4 on turf (22K); 2 foals to race on grass are 0-for-2 combined.
 
Bettina Brugge
Long layoff with a new rider who seemingly had other options here; was troubled when off slowly from the gate in the 44-1 unveiling at 2.5F shorter than this; good-recent 4F dirt workout for this suggesting we may see a better gate break; overall will be taking a wait and see approach.
 
Curly Sue
25%-win trainer 1st-time out with newly-acquired runners adds to the appeal; displayed front wraps twice during career both represent co-Beyer lows; 71 days since latest when favored on wet dirt she has only been effective on firm turf during career.
 
Bargaining Table
54 days since a middle-move when favored; the show runner from last Beyered 64 in a next-out SAR-MSW graduation; her game is to break well from the gate which did not occur in last; rider of last pair sides with Tizallheart.
 
Laghazirella Beach
Sire is 21-for-137 with 1st-turf starters;16-for-182 with 1st-time starters; is out of a 7-for-23 dam (240K) who won 5-of-18 on turf (177K); her only other foal to race is 0-for-15 Left Uppercut (29K) (8-0-1-1 on turf, 23K); the workouts for the unveiling do not entice.
 
Your Lion Eyes
Bet hard 2nd-time out; she broke better from the gate but tired at shorter which doesn't bode well for today's stretchout attempt; hails from a good barn; 32%-winning fresh trainer yields 27% maiden-claiming graduates since 2012; must show more to back here.
 
Brickhouse Baby
Never better from a Beyer speed figure perspective but 1 Mile may be too short to graduate?; defeated J Rose Gal in last in a key race; the show and 10th-place finishers from last Beyered 74-50 in next-out SAR-35K and 20K-maiden claiming wins; the winner from last makes her 2nd start today in Race 7.
 
Tizallheart
Rider from last stays right here off the career-best Beyer posted 1st off the claim; last start came out of nowhere showing new-found gate speed for the current trainer; forgive the 2-back dirt defeat; she was troubled in the grass debut vs. the winner who repeated in a BEL-optional claimer with a 79 speed figure.
 
Myperfectvalentine
Best races during career is when she sits off the pace then makes one run; is marooned outside so sure to lose ground for this; 2-back dirt race is a career-best Beyer so would not mind this washed off the lawn; the 2-back runner-up graduated next out in a SAR-60K-maiden claimer with a 69 Beyer.
 
Notional Girl
Did not show much form in 1st pair while 2nd-time out was a slight Beyer improvement; she showed up with front wraps on then did not fire again losing ground in the lane at today's distance; the 2-back winner repeated with a 79 Beyer taking a BEL-90K event.
 
Bebes Passion
Blinkers coming back on for latest loss did not help the cause; exits a last-place finish on SAR dirt 16 days ago; while turf is her best surface the 2-back even defeat vs. similar rivals suggests we rank her a notch below the top contenders.
 
J Rose Gal
Would be a major pace presence if in; was handled by Brickhouse Baby in a key race; the show and 10th-place finishers from last Beyered 74-50 in next-out SAR-35K and 20K-maiden claiming wins; the winner from last is slated to go in Race 7 at SAR today.
 
Ambarona
Faced males in 4 of her last 6 races back in with the girls today; always been a fan of runners facing winners-then back in with maidens; mild rally in last at SUF; her career-best Beyer was posted January, 2012, on GP grass at today's Mile distance; fits well here if in.
 
High Inflation
Main Track only entry has been at her very best during career on wet-main tracks; once had sharp gate speed but has become a stalker in recent losses; main knock is her 3 other SAR dirt races were not overly impressive.