08/10/2013 1:29PM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 11, 2013


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Race 1

Discreet Code
Feel that his turf debut in his latest outing might be better looking on paper than it actually was as he had a pretty good trip from off the pace and he really wasn't making much of an impression late; third place finisher from latest returned to win next out at Del on 7/17 going 7 1/2f over turf vs. 25-20k N2L claimers with a 67 Beyer.
Bill of Rights
This gelding has a little bit of turf in his pedigree and two of his three starts over turf have been solid performances; like to see what he did in his latest outing while making his second start with Lasix, and this is a reasonable assignment for his first attempt against winners.
El Corriente
Tough to ignore the 1-for-25 career mark, and that includes an 0-for-17 record racing over turf; that said, his best effort is fast enough to get him into the mix against these, so not going to count him out of a spot underneath in the exotics.
My Pal of Pals
Have to give him credit for pulling off the upset at just over 25-1 to break his maiden three races ago, but he's going to need to improve over what he's shown in his first two attempts against winners if he's to get the job done in this spot.
Pyro City
He's capable of better than what he showed in his latest start and like to see Velazquez aboard again, but his latest race was a little puzzling as he looked like he was ready to roll approaching the stretch and came up completely empty; mixed feelings.
You Tarzan
A couple of his turf starts have been decent performances but not sure that his best effort is strong enough to get over on the top contenders in here, and it would've been nice to have seen him show more in his first attempt against winners in his latest outing.
All Alex
Late running type was turned back to a sprint distance to get his first win in his latest outing and he was claimed out of that race for 25k; he's by a top turf sire and has his share of appeal while making his first start against winners; C.V. is a go-to rider for this barn.
Antone Suavey
Not going to be surprised if he's involved in the early running while stretching out in distance again, but it looks like he's going to have a tough time keeping himself involved in running through the lane.
Bold Forest
Obviously his latest performance wasn't one of his better efforts but his overall turf form has been strong enough to give him the look of a top contender while dropping in class; on a negative note, even when he does bring his"A" game to the table, he has been known to settle for runner-up finishes.
Cash Your Ticket
His best Beyer Speed Figure was earned over a muddy surface at Belmont Park, something to consider if this race gets moved to tha main track, and he is going to need to show more than he has in his four turf attempts if he's to come out on top against these.
Tape It
This race figures to come up pretty soft if it has to be taken off the turf, and even though this would be a good spot for him to land in, this colt is going to need to improve over what he's been doing lately if he's to see his number posted on top after this one.

Race 2

65K RNA weanling; sire 44-389 (11%) 2yo FTS, dam placed turf England (2K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 5 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-3 sprint); dam 3/4 2yo SP turf Sheffield (Ireland, 1-5 at 2, won debut); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yo FTS; nice pedigree, but with some turf influences.
Walk of Stars
1/2 SP What Time It Is (221K, 0-2 at 2, 6-23 sprnt), SW sprint Strike the Moon (603K, 1-2 at 2) by 14% 2yo sire; winning dam (78K, 1-5 at 2, 3-20 sprint) has 6 wnnrs/7 rnnrs (3-5 2yos, 6-7 sprint); barn 8-33 (24%, $1.25 ROI) pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yo MSW dirt sprint (0-2 Spa); runner-up from debut returned to win vs. NY-breds with 53 Beyer; capable
Divided Attention
1/2 multiple 2yo G1 SW Octave (945K, 4-7 at 2, 3-7 sprint), G3 SP sprinter Delightful Quality (191K, 2-9 sprint) by 46-412 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 6 winners from 6 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 5-6 sprinters); barn 9-47 (19%, $1.78 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; may want bit more ground, but deserves respect.
Clever Beauty
45K weanling, 45K yearling; sire 49-299 (16%) 2yo FTS; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) has 0 winners from 1 runner (ran on turf); dam 1/2 turf SW Ruthian (212K); barn 2-35 (6%, $2.60 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-8 Spa); sire gets some quick babies.
Tea Time
Sire 12% 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 G1 route SW Arch (480K, 1-1 at 2, 2-3 sprint), multiple SW Alisios (265K, 0-2 sprint), G3 route SW Festival of Light (Dubai, 632K, 2-5 sprint), SP Aztec Pearl (138K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint); dam full G1 route SW Acoma (1.0M), barn 1-12, $1.38 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 1st call
Sweet Whiskey
75K yrlng, 300K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 2yo G2 SW router (583K, 3-3 at 2, 1-1 sprint, 0-7 with 2yo FTS); unraced dam has 2 wnnrs/2 rnnrs (1-1 2yos, 2-2 sprint); dam 1/2 SW Doc's Doll (207K, 1-5 at 2, 2-13 sprint), SW Heidi Maria (220K, 0-7 sprint); barn 35%, $2.68 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; can't ignore Pletcher.
Chief Dante
70K RNA yrlng, 220K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 16% 2yo FTS; unplaced dam (0-1 sprint) has 1 wnnr/1 rnnr (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 turf SW Mash One (549K, 1-2 at 2), G1 SP A.P. Xcellent (363K, 0-2 at 2, 0-2 sprint); barn 1-30, $1.47 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/14 work match Feels So Right (3rd FTS MSW 56 Beyer 7/25)
Sire 32-203 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from G3 SP dam (113K, 0-1 at 2, 2-7 sprint); 3rd dam G2 SW Wild Applause (240K, 2-3 at 2, 2-3 sprint); barn 0-42 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; lots of class on the bottom of this pedigree.
Mallory Street
140K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 SP sprint Angels in Arms (90K, 0-2 at 2) by 13% 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (56K) with 4 wnnrs/5 rnnrs (1-4 2yos, won debut, 4-5 sprint); dam 1/2 SW sprint Daimon (222K), G2 SW Penny's Reshoot (249K, 2-2 at 2, 3-6 sprint); barn 2-5, $6.50 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
Full G1 2yo sprint Dublin (438K, 2-5 at 2), 1/2 G2 SP sprint Mike's Classic (328K, 0-2 at 2) by 10% 2yo sire; dam G1 sprint SW (716K) with 9 wnnrs/12 strtrs (3-8 2yos, 7-12 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 Missy's Mirage (838K, 2-4 at 2, 12-24 sprint); barn 8%, $1.45 pst 5 yrs 2nd-out 2yo MSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 2nd call; chased quick one in debut.

Race 3

Evasive Cat
Caught wide in her comeback race, she should advance following that effort; in her sole start over this course last season, she was near a hot pace in a race conducted over a sloppy track; can be more of a force today if the track dries out from recent rainfall.
Copper Bluff
No factor in the last pair of starts but was compromised by wide trips in both; will have to improve substantially here and is likely to arrive after the fact regardless of the soil condition; cannot endorse for the top spot.
Gritty Gal
The selection based on the following thoughts: she is a 4-time winner who now faces mostly one-timers; she set solid fractions in the last run at Belmont and can prove the speed of the speeds under a top rider (she can also rate to victory if need be); very dangerous if not pressured in the early stages.
Held well until the final furlong in her first route effort in quite some time; although failing in both performances here last summer, she unfortunately encountered repeat winners in those attempts; seems one of the few in the field capable of putting pressure on Gritty Gal.
Pop Pop's Smyle
Yet another beaten favorite in this curious line-up; she makes her first start for expert connections and should be able to stay within range; has been working in tight intervals over the course and has legitimate money chances.
This trainer has done well with the turf-to-dirt angle and this filly can add to the winning total; turned in a sharp placing in her only previous visit to Saratoga and might be able to rebound at a better price today; a wet-fast track would likely help the cause.
Talent N Passion
Unable to grab the lead in her grass debut last month, she did not show her true colors; she has fine gate speed but her endurance levels have tailed off in recent starts; would grant her much more of a chance here if Gritty Gal happens to scratch.
Southern Symphony
Received a nice tune-up over the lawn when racing evenly; draws a very favorable post which suits her running style and if a duel develops, she could prove the main beneficiary; never seems to get bet and is worth some inclusion if that trend continues.
Attended the pace in her first venture against winners 10 days ago; should obtain fair stalking position in opening stages but may have to rally from further back if both pure speeds remain in attendance; the betting value should be there once again.
Unleashed a fairly strong middle move in her last test before racing evenly in the stretch; reverts to the handling of Saez who was aboard for that respectable try 3 starts back; needs a severe pace meltdown in order to grab a major share today.

Race 4

Racetrack Romance
Sire 10% 2yo FTS, 8% 1st-turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 SW sprint Mountain Girl (131K, 1-2 at 2), 2yo G1 route SW Siphonic (774K, 3-4 at 2, won debut); barn 2-4, $3.70 ROI pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MCL turf route; 7/8, 7/22 works match Bold Visionary (2nd FTS MSW dirt 63 Beyer 8/3); can't count out.
Cool Vision
150K yearling; sire 54-503 (11%) 2yo FTS, 74-580 (13%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with turfers, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 2yo G1 turf SP Old Deuteronomy (Ireland, 238K, 1-6 at 2, won debut, 3-15 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 1-21 (5%, $0.36 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf route (0-8 Spa)
Greek God
1/2 SW Hard Enough (104K, 1-5 at 2, 2-8 turf) by 22% 2yo, 13% turf sire; SW dam (165K, 0-2 at 2, 1-4 turf) has 3 wnnrs/4 rnnrs (2-3 with 2yos, 2-3 turf); barn 27%, $2.29 ROI pst 5 yrs 2nd-time 2yos turf (none stretching out in MCL); winner of Jamestown now 3-3 after taking dirt stake at Delaware with 82 Beyer; capable at this level.
Lieutenant Seany O
50K weanling, 70K yearling; sire 25-165 (15%) 2yo FTS, 10-142 (7%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 2yo G1 route SW Stevie Wonderboy (1.0M, 3-5 at 2), turf SP Queen Joanne (161K, 0-3 at 2, 2-10 turf), 2yo G3 turf SW Theyskens' Theory (195K, 2-5 at 2, 4-10 turf); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS turf route.
55K 2yo after 2F work 21.1; sire 35-312 (11%) 2yo, 11-216 (5%) turf; 1st starter from sprint-placed dam (0-3); dam 1/2 SW Doctor Decherd (159K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 turf), barn 2-5 (40%, $6.51 ROI) past 5 years 2yos (0-1 on turf); faced good group of special weights and didn't have the easiest trip; respect dropping and adding blinks.
Nice Way
60K 2yo after 2F work 22.2; 1/2 2yo G1 sprint SW Bevo (410K), 2yo G3 route SW Moonlight Sonata (145K, 0-4 turf), turf SP Carson Hall (249K, 0-2 at 2) by 14% 2yo, 15% turf sire; 2yo sprint SW dam (73K, 0-3 turf) with 7 wnnrs/12 rnnrs (4-9 with 2yos, 4-5 turf); barn 0-25 past 5 years 2yos turf; must improve.
Havana Mike
Sire 1-32 (3%) 2yo FTS, 1-12 (8%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 turf); dam full SP router Pulpit's Treasure (14K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 turf); female family multiple SW Jazzing Around (448K, 2-9 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-5 (20%, $2.68 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf.
Frogman Mel
Sire 236-1597 (15%) 2yo, 447-2940 (15%) turf; 1st starter from winning dam (86K, 0-4 turf): 2nd dam G3 SW Clamorosa (343K, 1-3 at 2, 1-11 turf); barn 4-29 (14%, $0.82 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos sprint/route turf (0-1 in MCL); seems like a good fit at this level.

Race 5

Rallied from 6th in her lone win and late runner comes off the bench trying to repcapture her form from the career-best Beyer speed figure fresh-December key-race triumph; been in with some quick ones; the show finish over the track last summer was vs. the runner-up finisher who Beyered 71 in her next-out SAR-MSW victory; the winner from last repeated with an 81 Beyer then made it 3 in a row with a 79 speed figure; the 2-back winner repeated in an AQU-optional claimer with a 70 speed figure.
Zekes Surprise
Latest-turf defeat represents a career-best Beyer for a 24%-winning turf-to-dirt trainer; lone win occurred at 1.5F shorter than this; lone-other SAR dirt start was a show finish in a stakes; 4 times in 8 career races she's faced stakes foes so should appreciate the class relief; the 2-back show runner Beyered 74 in a next-out BEL-alw. win.
She's Stones Sis
Massive pace edge looking like she could be loose on an easy lead; great sign that her only SAR-dirt race represents a career-best Beyer; the added half furlong is the issue after being outfinished at shorter; lone win was at longer on the lead and would like to make the front here then keep on going; the 2-back winner repeated in a BEL-optional claimer with an 85 speed figure.
Two Susans
30%-winning jockey-trainer combo off the debut win and light Beyer when rallying from 6t;h the added furlong seems well within her scope; 60-day absence for a 21%-winning fresh barn with a good-4F SAR breeze for this; plenty of upside but gets the huge class test 1st time with winners.
52-day absence since middle moving at longer when no match for She's Stones Sis who follows here off the bench; 0-for-5 on fast-main tracks is the issue showing her lone win in the mud stalking the pace at much longer.4F-bullet workout for this; reunites with the show-finish rider at SAR.
Motion Lounge
Late runner posted a debut win at SAR in the mud; went on to drill her best Beyer at much longer than 7F; would be hard to ignore if the dirt is wet for this but on a fast track will be taking a wait and see approach as she appears best around 2 turns.
Tina's Note
27th start but her 1st at SAR; she beat 1 runner home 1st off the claim but posted a co-Beyer Top; lone win on dirt at shorter when stalking the pace; her last dirt start was an April fade behind the winner who repeated with a 69 Beyer then made it 4 in a row with a 74 Beyer taking a pair of 20K claimers.
Claimed off a high-win percentage trainer which is not a good win angle; lone race at 7F was a near-miss finish 3-back vs. the winner who repeated in a BEL-optional claimer with a 65 Beyer; the 4F workout for this does not add to the appeal; others appeal more.
My Unbridled Storm
All 3 wins at 1 Mile so getting up in time at 7F is a concern; rallied from 6th in her last win in January expecting strong improvement for the 22%-winning 1st-off-the-claim trainer; seeks her 1st SAR exacta dirt finish off the 7-week absence for a winning-fresh barn.

Race 6

We Miss Artie
Sire 10% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-trf; dam won trf (121K, 0-3 at 2, 2-4 trf) with 1 wnnr/2 rnnrs (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 G2 SP sprinter Rushin' To Altar (297K, 1-4 trf, 1st-trf wnnr); barn 13%, $0.85 pst 5 yrs 2nd-time 2yos dirt/turf, sprint/route MSW Spa; 8/5 work match Bashart (61 turf Beyer); winner of debut finished 4th Sanford; may work out good trip from rail.
Ready Mecke
10.5K wnlng, 80K yrlng; 1/2 2yo SW sprint Madame Cactus (157K, 2-4 at 2) by 8% 2yo FTS, 8% 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (109K, 0-2 at 2) with 2 wnnrs/3 rnnrs (2-2 with 2yos, 0-1 turfers); dam 1/2 2yo G3 SP turf Ready for Sprint (England); barn 1-9, $1.57 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 7/31 work match Liberal Spin (66 turf Beyer, entered Sat. R1)
All Tied Up
70K RNA wnlng, 70K yrlng, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; 1/2 SW Britt's Jules (493K, 3-8 at 2, 1-7 trf), SW Probation Ready (289K, 2-5 at 2, 3-12 trf) by 8% 2yo FTS, 13% 1st-trf sire; dam won sprnt (72K, 1-5 at 2) with 7 wnnrs/9 rnnrs (4-6 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 4-7 trf, 1 frst-trf wnnr); barn 13%, $1.08 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; works seem so-so.
Breakeven Analysis
70K wnlng, 185K yrlng; sire 11% 2yo FTS, 12% 1st-turf; 1st starter from 1st-turf winner (46K, 0-1 at 2); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Western Summer (161K, 1-1 at 2, 4-12 turf, 1st-turf winner), SP Honour the West (64K, 1-3 at 2, won debut, 0-4 turf); barn 6-29 (21%, $2.39 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; jock's 2nd call.
Closet E
250K yearling by 26-182 (14%) 2yo, 13-81 (16%) 1st-turf sire; 1st starter from route SW dam (408K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 turf); dam 1/2 turf SW Maid of Heaven (158K 3-13 turf); 8/5 work matches Willyconker (entered Sat. R10); expecting a good effort stretching out and switching to grass.
100K yearling by 44-389 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-493 (14%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 SW Whiskey and Low (146K, 1-1 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 1-9 (11%, $1.57 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; sire gets some good turfers.
1/2 G2 SW Tizaqueena (654K, 1-1 at 2, 4-12 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 16% 2yo, 11% 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint (58K, 0-1 turf) with 3 wnnrs/5 rnnrs (1-3 with 2yos, 3-4 turf, 2 first-turf wnnrs); dam 1/2 SW Charley Tango (375K, 2-5 at 2, 1-14 turf); barn 1-6, $1.36 pst 5 yrs 2nd-time 2yos dirt/turf, sprint/route MSW; took money for debut and can show speed
Florida Won
Sire 10% 2yo FTS, 3% 1st-turf sire; dam won sprint (101K, 0-1 at 2) with 0 wnnrs/1 rnnr (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 G1 SW Lady Joanne (987K, 2-4 at 2), G2 SW Afleeting Lady (473K, 0-1 turf), G1 route SW Shackleford (3.0M, 1-2 at 2), barn 0-25 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 8/4 work match Irish Tart (FTS Fri. R5)
Canadian Winner
1/2 G3 SW Biofuel (781K, 2-5 at 2, won FTS, 0-1 trf), G3 SW Tu Endie Wei (528K, 3-4 at 2, won FTS, 0-1 trf) by 12% 2yo FTS, 10% 1st-trf sire; unraced dam has 3 wnnrs/3 rnnrs (2-3 2yos, 2 FTS wnnrs, 0-2 turf); barn 1-9, $6.33 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/22 work match Channel Isle (8th 'n2x' turf 76 Beyer 7/27); interesting.
Indigo Kitten
110K RNA yrling; 1/2 SW sprint Notonthesamepage (120K, 1-5 at 2, 1-1 trf), full G2 SW sprint Holiday for Kitten (327K, 1-4 at 2, 3-12 trf) by 18% 2yo FTS and 16% 1st-trf sire; dam won sprint (303K, 0-1 turf) with 5 wnnrs/5 rnnrs (2-5 2yos, 3-5 turf, 2 1st-turf wnnrs); barn 1-11 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 8/5 work .02 slow Ainteasybeinggreen (53 turf Beyer).
1/2 SP router Amped (122K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 46-412 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; unplaced dam (0-5 at 2, 0-2 sprint) has 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SP Krista's Quick Chic (81K, 0-3 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $2.14 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; jock's 1st call

Race 7

Yes It's Pink
She hasn't run a bad race to date and she gave a solid account of herself in her latest outing after being a little bit slow into stride, and she ran on pretty well through the lane to narrowly missed the place prize.
Happy Face
Like to see the improvement she's shown from start-to-start to begin her career, and when considering that she's out of a multiple stakes winning dam who won 7 of 27 starts for 379k, including 6 of 24 turf starts for 358k, she deserves another chance to see what she can do routing.
Magnificent Shirl
She's Also Eligible in 100k stakes here on Saturday, but like the idea of her taking her first crack at N1X rivals over turf, and she figures to be a tough one to keep out of the mix if she lands in this spot.
Teen Pauline
Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and G3 winning dam won two of three starts for 108k, and she didn't make a turf start; this filly is a 1/2 to No La Hace (7-15, 107k, including 1 of 2 turf starts for 19k); Velazquez has won with 10 of 26 (38%) mounts for this barn at the current meeting.
She's run well in her first two career starts, including a win over this turf course in her latest outing, something that only Holidays Jewel can boast of these, and even though she must show more in her first attempt against winners to get the job done, improvement can be expected at this stage of her career.
She figures to be involved in the running through the opening stages, and it wouldn't be a shock to see her land a minor award against these, but when seeing her 1-for-15 career mark, it's tough to place confidence in her for the top spot.
Dreaming of Cara
She's one of just two in the main body of this race with more than a single victory next to her name and this stakes place filly has run races in the past that are fast enough to suggest that she can be competitive against these; note that her career best Beyer Speed Figure was earned over this turf course.
Sense to Compete
Sire wins with approximately 11% of his turf starters and dam won once from three turf starts for 20k; this miss is a 1/2 to G3 winner Lady Digby (4-15, 323k, including 3 of 12 turf starts for 279k); runner-up from debut won next out at PID on 5/28 going 1m vs. MSW rivals with a 69 Beyer and 3rd finisher won next out at PID on 8/1 going 1m 70y vs. MSW rivals with a 61 Beyer.
Momentary Magic
Sire wins with approximately 13% of his turf starters and G1 stakes placed dam won 3 of 6 starts for 141k, and she didn't make a turf start; turf and distance are concerns, but she's a talented runner with a lot of early speed.
Lady Clara
Sire wins with approximately 14% of his turf starters and stakes winning dam won 5 of 20 starst for 293k, including 0-for-4 over turf; she'll have to step up with her best performance to date in her turf debut to prove to be the one.
Holiday's Jewel
This barn has been live over the past few months and they might have made a timely claim of this filly after a sharp victory where she equaled her career best Beyer Speed Figure; note that she hasn't run a bad race from three starts over the Saratoga turf.
Marataya's Tune
Have to respect what she's done from nine starts over turf while winning six of them, and if she draws into this race, she'll boast the best last race Beyer Speed Figure; third place finisher from latest returned to win next out at Prx on 7/6 going 7 1/2f over turf vs. 16k N1Y claimers with a 74 Beyer.
Here's Zealicious
There will be a number of interesting options to consider in here if this race has to be moved to the main track but this mare brings a good deal of early speed with her and have to respect the way that she's performed in her three starts this year; winner from latest returned to win next out at Aqu on 4/14 going 1m in a 73k stakes with an 88 Beyer.

Race 8

Midnight Music
Midnight Lute 1 for 29 with first-time turfers; sire took the BC Sprint, banked over $2.6 million, was never on turf; dam won only start in juvenile debut on dirt; this is her first to race; pinballed around two back, shorter trip could be just what the good doctor ordered; looms an astute claim.
Stonely the Lonely
Bustin Stones 0 for 6 with first-time turfers; sire won all 6 starts including a Grade 1, banked nearly $500K, never turfed; dam lost debut, won only other start and it came on dirt; this is her first to race; he can sit just off the pace if need be and that may be the best deal today; first time in open company.
Pass the Pico
Exchange Rate about 11% with first-time turfers in a 254-runner sample; sire took G2 Tom Fool, was 6 for 15, earned nearly $500K, won twice on grass; stakes winning 11 for 28 dam banked over $400K, never turfed; both siblings won, neither tried grass, one banked over $50K; blinks worked to perfection and note show horse was well clear; trainer can keep them going good once they get good.
Special Selection
Must prove he can beat winners other than state-breds; considering the cut back, he could be left with a ton of work to do turning for the wire; hard to boost in this spot.
Rip Roarin Ritchie
Soph showed ability from Day One and he ran into the traffic jam in Chicago last time; repeatedly proven fresh, in good hands, and he should sit a nice stalk and kick trip; can't fault those that give him another shot at glory.
Partly Mocha
Key off the 2012 closer and he fits big time; still can't fault those that are gun shy since he has flopped as chalk in 3 of the last 4; runner should have his sea legs under him by now and note this rider was up for the career Beyer; due.
War Front 14 for 103 with first-time turfers; sire won 4 times including a G2, banked nearly $425K, never turfed; 4 for 11 dam earned about $130K; never turfed; several multiple race winners in the tree including 4-time grass winner and near $200K earner Plenty; a bit of talent last year when showing speed, both wins by daylight and like the way he extended both times; 4th finisher in last took a $16K N2L, 5th finisher took a $25K N2L and 7th finisher took an $8K claimer; repeat well within the scope.
I'm Wide Awake
Needed to drop in for a tag to get the win but could have just been overmatched in last; connections thought enough of him to try the stakes as a maiden; he has a feel of the course now; no reason he won't improve here.
Ten Items Or Less
Fried in a duel in the lone grass run; note the win came from a stalking spot, that may be his best ticket; show horse in the win graduated next out in a MSW in Philly, then ran out of the money; a quick turn on the investment is not out of the question.
Capable barn due to get rolling; runner may not have cared for the good course two back; blowout Monday figures to have him on his foes for this; slight improvement and this guy will be a handful.
Jess Not Jesse
Pro invents ways to win and note the place horse in last was 4 clear; have always liked this kind of a class jump especially from a good barn; back quickly, must be left in the mix.
Keen to run in the stakes two back, he had nothing left for the stretch run in last; if he does get a chance to race it will be his first on conventional dirt but he trained fine on the main at the Big A; interesting.
Found the waters vs. winners much deeper and that is not unusual; apparently not much of a work horse as he cuts back and could be left with some work to late in the late stages; would lean toward watching until he shows form vs. winners.

Race 10

Hustled hard, but was outsprinted by Million Dollar Man (next-out winner, 63 Beyer); that one bore out entering turn, taking Lunarwarfare out a path or so, but this colt was undaunted; took over 1/4 pole and strode away nicely; earned big figure, but must stretch out 2F while breaking from tough inside post against better; think there's talent here; interesting.
Don't hold the European excursion against him as he may simply be better on dirt; showed big speed at Belmont en route to a facile win, but the two NY-breds to run back from that race have yet to distinguish themselves; barn excels with fleet 2yos, but this gelding will likely face a tougher class of opponent as well as a faster pace scenario this time around.
Candy Dandy
Cold on the board, but beat next-out Spa graduates Dunkin Bend (78 Beyer) and Base Case Scenario (71 turf); received a wonderful trip under Rosie Napravnik; after breaking quickly and outward, he rated off a duel and angled to the outside; blew past the tired pacesetters in upper stretch and drew away despite seeming green; not out of it.
It wasn't a stretch to think that the Barretts March sales-topper had speed and he broke aggressively here 17 days ago; was immediately confronted by two pace challengers, but stayed in front gamely in the stretch; dam is a 1/2 to multiple G1 route SW Peace Rules so there is some hope he'll go a bit longer; could be the main speed; respect.
Finished behind Ride On Curlin in debut and that one returned to win at Ellis with a 91 Beyer; faced no such foe in local bow and made the wead without fuss; drew away without feeling the sting of the whip; it was a solid effort, but he may have to go in the early stages here; drew nicely outside the speedy Corfu, but prefer on bottom of exotics.
Didn't graduate in fast time and the 5th-finisher returned to lose by 18 3/4 lengths (16 Beyer); still, he did some running; pressed early and was immediately confronted from inside by runner-up once he put pacesetter to bed; involved in pitched battle through stretch and dug down deep; has some upside, but needs Beyer boost if he is to show these who's boss.
Wired Bryan
Wheels back on short rest after upsetting the Sanford; broke sweetly, led early, and wasn't discouraged when passed by the 3rd-finisher on the turn; battled back and drew off late; didn't beat any stars, however, and was green, flashing his tail and hopping back to his left lead in the final 1/16th; certainly a contender, but demand value.

Race 11

Discreet Malena
Sire wins with approximately 15% of his first-time starters and with approximately 14% of his turf starters, and multiple stakes winning dam won 7 of 35 starts for 299k, including 0-for-1 over turf; this filly is a 1/2 to Atitlan (1-12, 47k over turf); Rosario gets the call for a barn that was once one of the best turf outfits in the country.
Soul Safari
She's going to need to step it up over what she's shown in her first three starts and she was beaten by a couple of today's rivals in her latest outing; winner from latest returned to win next out here on 7/20 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. N1X rivals with an 81 Beyer and 3rd finisher won next out here on 8/2 going 5 1/2f over turf vs. MSW rivals with a 70 Beyer.
Jennys Creek
She certainly looks like she fits right in with this bunch, but this filly has had her chances to show us what she can do, and it's fair to wonder how long she might be planning on hanging around the maiden ranks; at the very least, she's worthy of consideration underneath in the exotics.
She had every right to need her latest race after having to take more than a year off between starts, but it still would've been nice to have seen her show more that day; going to look toward others.
Kimmies Lucky Star
Sire wins with approximately 5% of his turf starters and dam won five of 16 starts for 52k, and she didn't make a turf start; perhaps she can prove to be an early pace factor while making her first start beyond seven furlongs, but a much improved performance is needed in her turf debut in order to contend.
Anasheed has been a poor influence as a turf sire, but this miss did step it up in her latest outing, and the 67 Beyer Speed Figure she earned for that performance represents the best last race figure in this field; Napravnik has won with 33 of 102 (33%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
East Coast Express
Not wild about what she's had to show us in her first three starts and she looks like another in here who is going to have to find a way to produce a performance that is much sharper than anything she's done so far in order to have a say in the outcome.
Soul Opposition
Her best Beyer Speed Figure was earned racing over the inner-dirt at Aqueduct and she just hasn't shown enough in her first two turf attempts to help give her the look of a contender against these; note that she was soundly defeated by today's rival Jennys Creek in her latest outing.
She's finished behind today's rival Jennys Creek in back-to-back starts prior to this, but if she can regain the form that she displayed in April and May, she's eligible to find herself involved in the running through the final furlong.
Atlantic's Smile
She's attracted a lot of wagering support in her first three starts and viewing it as a positive that Castellano is aboard once again; she was a sharp runner-up in her turf debut sprinting at second asking and it's interesting to see blinkers going on for this.
Amber Morning
It might be worth noting the presence of Lezcano aboard another in here, but this is an outfit that can jump up with one over turf when least expected, and this miss loses nothing with Velazquez taking over; her dam won 2 of 5 turf starts for 74k.
It's certainly fair to question the dirt form signed on in this spot, but this miss is going to have to produce herr best performance to date to get the job done against these, and she finished behind today's rival Prize Taker in her latest start.
Prize Taker
She put together a decent performance in her most recent start over dirt at second asking, and that level of performance looks like it can play well against these; she'll have the look of a top contender if she gets to go in this spot.