08/09/2013 12:48PM

Closer Looks: Saratoga August 10, 2013


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Race 1

Make Your Move
Back to the 2-back win distance when posting a career-best Beyer; owns a career-low speed figure in his SAR dirt 2012 career debut beating 1 runner home; 31%-winning route-to-sprint trainer since 2012 is hard to ignore 1st-time Lezcano a 41%-win rider for the barn since '12; has some strong-win angles going in this; will be flying late after saving ground.
Tug of War
Last win was right on the lead; he wants to be forwardly placed; makes his 1st start away from a high-win percentage trainer which is not a good win angle; the winner from last Beyered 98 taking a BEL-optional claimer next out; he beat the 6th-place finisher from last a FL alw. winner in his next start (78); the 2-back winner Beyered 90 in his next-out AQU opitona-claiming win then scored again in a 150K-BEL stakes with a 92.
Lone win on the lead but found himself in 9th place at the 1st call in last then rallied like a good thing posting a career-best Beyer 1st off the claim; the 3-back winner took his next 3 races including a 71K stakes and Grade 2 and 3 events (96-93-90 Beyers).
Liberal Spin
His 1st start vs. winners in last represents a co-Beyer Top but it produced a far-back finish vs. the show runner who Beyered 82 in his next-out Grade 3-Ohio Derby win; has been working steadily for this but ranked as an outsider after being outrun at long odds.
Intermix (IRE)
1st-ever dirt start with a so-so main-track worktab for this; some 1st-time imports fire their very-best 1st USA start which is the concern here regressing on the Beyer scale 2nd time in the states; the 2-back runner-up and show finishers Beyered 86-80 in next-out BEL optional claiming and alw. wins.
Rematch vs. Ithastobegeorge who beat him in last which represents his 1st start on SAR dirt which clearly was not his best effort posting his lowest speed figure since April; the 2-back winner repeated in a SAR-Grade 2 with a 102 Beyer; last win at longer in the mud and may need that same wet-track route scenario to see very-best form again.
Moonlight Song
Debut win was on the lead and loves that spot just missing in last at 1F shorter right on the lead; catch me if you can; his 1st two wins were in routes so if best can get today's distance; main concern his only SAR dirt race represents his 2nd-lowest Beyer ever when dueled into defeat in 2012 here in a key race.

Race 2

Ann's Smart Dancer
Continues her solid form; nothing wrong with that stakes 3rd at BEL June 13, and Levine has since seen it a good move to give her some time off; drops in for a tag, yes, but she's by no means a giveaway for this kind of price; nice to see J.R. stays, too, and the recent works encourage.
Roman Invader
Had things going well from last summer to this spring - but after a good 2nd on AQU's big track Marach 29 came over 2 months off and her 2 starts since weren't very pretty; good news is top trainer Jacobson saw fit to plunk down $62,500 to claim her June 2 and he keeps her in for the same price despite 2 dull turf outings at this level; maybe move to dirt will snap her back to life...maybe.
Greed and Fear
Looked super blasting lesser at BEL June 14 and Maker saw fit to claim her that day, too; that being said, why hasn't she been seen since (nearly 2 months), hmmmm?; at least returns well up in price, has run well here and there are 2 big bullet works showing...though they came a month apart.
Jan's Perfect Star
Got things off to a rousing start at OP this winter with 2 big wins, and then came a nice 3rd at CD May 4; pattern since, however, is worrisome - dull race/2 months off/dull race; at least htere's no layoff this time, no panicky drop and she shoudl have a feel for this track; sure nice to see that smart 1:00.80B here Aug. 5, too.
Continues her good form; toss that mile try on AQU's inner Jan. 17 and you're left with 8 straight strong sprints, the last 2 coming in vs. some nice stake gals; July 5 run was not only smart but it came after over 2 months off so she may well be ready to move forward today, too.
Lion D N A
Won at HAW April 24, was freshened almost 2 months and came back with a smart victory at CD June 13; yes, that came vs. much cheaper and when she stepped up in class at IND July 1 she was no factor; of course, catching slop didn't help; Baker offers her for a tag today, but it's a big tag and she's reunited with Garcia who was up for that nice June 13 win at CD; that being said, 3 of her 4 wins over winners came at HAW - we're not playing in her sandbox today, she's up in class and has no experience over this track either.

Race 4

Neat Package
She ran well at second asking and she was very rank through the opening stages of that race before making a strong move into contention around the second turn and finishing gamely to be second; she appears to be well meant in her 3-year-old racing debut with Rosario getting the call.
Can't Catch Kate
She ran well in her career debut going a mile and perhaps she just didn't care for the change of tactics at second asking when she was more involved in the early pace; this barn is having another strong meeting and Castellano has won with 8 of 25 (32%) mounts for this outfit at the current stand.
Sire wins with approximately 10% of his first-time starters and with approximately 14% of his turf starters, and stakes winning dam won 6 of 18 starts for 242k, including 5 of 16 turf starts for 230k; this filly is a 1/2 to multiple graded stakes winner Wend (7-14, 579k over turf).
Winner's Legacy
Have to Respect the fact that she goes out for a currently live barn that does nice work with young/lightly raced turf horses, and at the very least, she merits consideration underneath in the exotics; like to see that she ran well when fresh two starts back at Belmont Park.
She's shown a little something in her first three starts, and even though Bernardini hasn't been a strong turf sire, this miss is a 1/2 to G1 winner Carriage Trail (6-16, 746k, including 2 of 8 turf starts for 144k) and G3 stakes placed Forest Trail (3-25, 197k, including 2 of 17 turf starst for 137k).
Poster Girl
She has a strong pedigree for turf, and when considering that she was fighting with Alvarado early on and a little bit around the second turn in her latest start, there might be reason to look for a sharper showing from her today.
Cora Mesa
Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and stakes placed dam won 3 of 10 turf starts for 104k; this filly is a 1/2 to multiple stakes winner In the Rough (6-34, 341k, including 4 of 29 turf starts for 291k); Bridgmohan has won with 5 of 12 (42%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Big Love
Sire wins with approximately 11% of his first-time starters and with approximately 15% of his turf starters, and G3 winning dam won 5 of 15 starts for 188k, including 3 of 7 turf starts for 150k; firster has pedigree appeal.
Seductive Charm
She has every right to be ready for better at second asking, but it still would've been nice to have seen her show a little bit more in her career debut after going to post at just under 40-1; looking toward others.
Lightly raced 4-year-old has a pedigree that is saturated with turf and her dam was a G1 winner while winning 11 of 18 turf starts for $1 million; not going to count out the possibility of her having more to show us and note the addition of blinkers.
She showed up with an improved performance in her turf debut at second asking but she did benefit from being involved in a comfortable early pace and she was beaten by today's rival Poster Girl in that contest.
Bitty Kitty
Not wild about what she showed us in her two starts over turf as a 2-year-old, and she will need a much improved performance if she's to get the job done against these in her 3-year-old racing debut.
Perfect Package
She brings a good deal of early speed with her and it looks like she might not have that much trouble clearing this field from her outside post before getting into the first turn; that said, she has been doing a little too much early on in her recent starts, and she will need to find a way to ration out her early speed a little better in order to save something for the run through the lane.
This filly is going to need to show up with a performance that is much stronger than anything she's done to this point in time in order to contend; respect the fact that she hails from a sharp barn, but going to look in another direction.
Sheer Drama
This will have to be considered a favorable spot for this filly to land and if this race has to be taken off the turf; she's a 1/2 to G1 winner Big Drama (11-19, $2.7 million), and a full to multiple stakes winner Little Drama (4-20, 359k) and stakes winner Queen Drama (2-8, 127k).
Lunar Surge
She was much improved at second asking while earning a 76 Beyer Speed Figure and like to see that she earned that figure over the main track here; this field is very light on dirt form and she'll have to be considered a top contender along with Sheer Drama.

Race 6

Roberto Gato
100K wnlng, 175K yrlng, 240K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 200K RNA 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 2yo G2 route SW Publication (582K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 6-22 sprint) by G1 sprnt SW (669k, 0-1 at 2, 2-8, 25% 2yo FTS); dam won sprnt (28K) with 6 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (2-5 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 6-6 sprnt); barn 1-35, $2.85 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa
150K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 22-289 (8%) 2yo FTS; dam G2 SP sprinting (111K, 1-1 at 2, 3-8 sprint) with 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters); 2nd dam 2yo G3 SW Fancy Ribbons (242K, 2-5 at 2, 1-2 sprint); barn 1-30 (3%, $1.47 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
70K wnling, 300K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 8% 2yo FTS; 1st starter from route wnnr (22K, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 2yo G2 SW Raw Gold (509K, won debut, 8-19 sprint), 2yo G1 sprint SW Point Ashley (237K); barn 0-52 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/8 work matches Tightly Bridled (5th FTS MSW 9 Beyer 8/5); jock's 1st call.
Point Hope
Sire 42-264 (16%) 2yo FTS; dam SP turf (132K, 1-2 at 2, won debut) with 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW Manchurian (125K, 2-3 sprint); 2nd dam BC Distaff winner Ajina; barn 9-47 (19%, $1.78 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.
Sound of Freedom
120K RNA weanling, 300K yearling, 365K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 4-78 (5%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from placed dam (19K, 0-1 sprint); 2nd dam 2yo G3 turf SW Sky Alliance (325K, 2-5 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 34-98 (35%, $2.68 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/20 work matches Tiz Chris (65 Beyer); jock's 1st call; can't count out.
1/2 multiple G1 SW Contested (633K, 1-2 at 2, 4-5 sprint) by 5% 2yo FTS; dam won route (125K, 0-2 sprint) with 2 wnnrs/2 rnnrs (1-1 2yos, 1-1 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple G1 sprint SW Pomeroy (845K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 7-13 sprint); barn 0-42 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 2 works match Crescent (3rd FTS MSW 73 Beyer 7/25); interesting.
In Trouble
14K RNA wnlng, 15K yrlng, 120K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 11-48 (23%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (11K, 1-2 sprint) with 0 wnnrs/1 rnnr (0-1 sprint); dam 1/2 turf SP Caitie's Secret (117K, 0-1 sprint); barn 19%, $1.53 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-7 Spa); 7/24 work matches Miss Mischief (1st 'N1X' 76 Beyer 8/5); capable.
Hail to the Nile
1/2 G3 route SW No Giveaway (218K, 5-9 sprnt), G2 SP Melissa Jo (101K, 1-3 at 2, 1-5 sprnt) by G1 route SW (1.6M, 2-5 at 2, 2-8 2yo FTS); unraced dam has 6 wnnrs/6 rnnrs (3-3 2yos, 1 FTS wnnr, 6-6 sprnt); barn 3-13, $8.55 pst 5 yrs 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/21 work matches Little Face (6th 8K 'beaten' claimer 32 Beyer CD 6/30)
Signature Smile
Sire 23-167 (14%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Procreate (432K, 9-37 sprint), SW sprinter Perilous Night (129K, 1-5 at 2, 4-16 sprint); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprints; 7/16 work matches Tummel (7th 'n1x' turf 72 Beyer 7/25)
Can't Stop the Kid
65K 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 multiple 2yo G3 SP turf A. P. Reality (97K, 1-4 at 2) by 11% 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo SW (205K, 3-5 at 2, 1-3 sprint) with 3 winners/5 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 2-4 sprinters); female family G2 sprint SW Funistrada (479K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 5-18 sprint); barn 1-15 (7%, $2.18 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS dirt sprint; jock's 2nd call.
70K short yearling, 77K yearling, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 44-431 (10%) 2yo; SP dam (3-17, 130K, 0-1 sprint) has 2 winners from 5 runners (0-3 2yos, 1-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 turf SW Big Booster (820K, 1-3 at 2); barn 6-36 (17%, $0.61 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; jock's 2nd call.

Race 7

Cuts back from a series of routes but does have a win at this distance to his credit; should be able to stay within striking range but must overcome this tricky rail slot; should offer fair betting value.
Street Swagg
Rested since coming up empty in his first attempt at the straightaway mile (a race which featured solid early fractions); shows an above average workout pattern during the last month and reverts to Cohen, the only rider to win with him.
Roaring Conquest
In his only start over this course, the gelding turned in a respectable showing but he is primarily a 2-turn runner and today's event could be a prep towards that end; recent a.m. moves are not that encouraging but the presence of a Hall of Fame rider will help the cause.
Game Token
Warhorse has never finished in the exacta when negotiating 7 furlongs but several of those losses were against far better stock (including a 100K affair last year); may be worth some trifecta action based on that fact and the generous odds offered.
Ambassador Bridge
A game, clear-cut second at this trip a month ago downstate; he earned a personal best Beyer in that placing and lures Rosario today; many factors in his favor now but the price on the board will not be as juicy as last time.
Do I Amuse You
Newcomer to seven-eighths ran much better than his odds suggested in his Saratoga debut and seems more than capable of being on or near a softer pace here; there is not much early opposition on view in this event and, if front-runners have dominated the card, could be the right wiseguy play.
Soul House
Closed with a rush to just miss last month, a noble effort considering the large field and troubled journey; only start at today's distance turned out to be a key affair and he draws a comfortable post, directly to the outside of the main pacesetter; playable but short odds assured.
Even Got Quiet
Despite breaking slowest of all, he finished well behind Soul House last month and that marked only his third start since last season; faced much better stock than this in his sole try at seven-eighths and has obvious money chances today.
Charlie's Punch
Draws wide yet again and was clearly beaten by some of these same rivals even though he unleashed a fair middle move; ran well in his sole attempt at this trip but that was against much weaker company; may arrive too late on the scene.
Fiona's Hero
Broke maiden in style at Belmont, surviving heavy pace pressure; the outside slot is often a major tactical advantage at this particular trip but perhaps more importantly, notice the slow but steady progression to the local work tab for this gelding; trainer excels right off the claim; consider.

Race 8

Beat 5 on the old turf to dirt switch; it was a small field and there are others with designs on the lead here; this guy has a right to grow into his skin as kin to Aruna, who took a Grade 1, cashed 5 times on grass, banked nearly a million; trainer has spotted them great this year with limited starters.
Medaglia d'Oro has won with about 9% of his first-time turfers in a 251-horse sample; sire took multiple Grade 1s, went on to earn over $5.7 million, never turfed; stakes winning dam earned $145K, never turfed; no turf success in the tree but kin Malibu Prayer took a G1, banked over $600K; connections thought enough of him to try the Withers; could rebound here.
Ghost Hunter
Ghostzapper has won with about 10% of his first-time turfers in a 154-horse sample; sire took was 2004 Horse of the Year, only lost twice, posted a 124 Beyer taking BC Classic, never turfed; stakes winning dam took 2 of 9, earned over $90K, was turf only; this is her first to race; trainer great with new stock; note gap in published moves till 7/24.
Life and death but at least he graduated on the turf; runner got away with the pedestrian splits 3 back and still could not close the deal; place horse in last took a $25K Indiana optional next out and the 7th finisher took an N1X there; from Wise Dan barn and nothing wrong with blowout last Tuesday.
Distorted Humor has hit with about 9% with first-time turfers in a 464-horse sample; sire took multiple G2s, earned over $750K, never turfed; dam out of the money twice; lone half sis to race was out of the money twice; pretty snappy turf move on the 5th should have him on his toes; look out.
Two Seventeen
Thunder Gulch about 10% with first-time turf runners in a 498-horse sample; sire won multiple Grade 1s including the Kentucky Derby in 1995, never tried grass; dam was 0 for 2; 2 siblings won multiple times on grass and combined for nearly $500K in turf earnings; off a long time before last, try to get a good look at him on the track.
Leadem in Ken
Maybe he just wanted grass all along and he debuted at a very demanding distance; he proved he could take the heat of a duel and live to talk about it to his barnmates; the blood is there for him to thrive too as kin Prissy took a stakes on grass, banked nearly $200K taking 4 of 6, was grass only; interesting.
Yellow Mountain (IRE)
Colt beat the smallish field for the lone win; been given time since 2 dull efforts as shades removed; show horse in last took a $35K optional next out and the place horse took a N2L allowance; must prove it on grass; has some things to iron out.
Willy Elliot
Tiznow has won with about 8% of his first-time turfers in a 341-horse sample; sire did not race at 2, took 8 of 15, earned over $6.4 million as a double BC Classic hero, never tried grass; SW 7 for 26 dam banked over $200K, lost twice on grass; backers can point to the fact that kin Macadamia won on grass once, earned nearly $140K; consistent and dangerous.
Dangerous Lad
Troubled or wide in all of the grass efforts; the way he closed in the 2013 opener suggests he'll get this trip; he has chance to like turf as kin to Wickednwackyingrid, who won twice on grass, banked nearly $200K; wraps last time, look for them in post parade.
Peace and Justice
Zenyatta's trainer had this guy primed to kick off the career; love the spacing of the recent drills and note runners in the company line were clear in last; the pedigree is solid as he is kin to Hudson Steele, who won multiple stakes on grass and banked over $500K; look out.
No speed, no asset; that kind of makes him his own worst enemy at times; in the money only once since the last all-out victory; off rail and he did stumbled in last; note Rosario hired; could run much better here.
Green in the debut, short in next, then he controlled the pace and outcome; his tactical speed will give him first run on the deep closers and kin Distinction was Group 1 placed and earned nearly $600K in England and Down Under; don't ignore.
Elusive Son
Colt may have just been overmatched in last but Espinoza did get a chance to figure him out; pushed along early in last, he may be better served settling, saving ground and making the one run; back pretty quickly; has some things to prove.
Found the waters vs. winners much deeper and that is not unusual; apparently not much of a work horse and he has Willy to deal with among others; would lean toward watching until he shows form vs. winners.
Magic Harbor
Repeatedly proven off the pine, under a brisk hand ride for the win this year but against only 5 foes; 4 exited the May 1 race to win next out; if you believe in Magic, you'll likely get value.

Race 9

Shipper draws the fence for her local debut for an outfit that does nice work with its turfers; she'll get a switch ot Prado who was aboard for that Preakness Day score in Maryland that came at the same trip she'll tackle here; not a lot of pace signed on so the fact she was able to sit close earlier in that last one can help as she doesn't want to get shuffled back from here in this big field; improving filly is one to consider.
She's kept some pretty good company on the lawn this year and was quite sharp in making a run to finish second in each of those last 3 spins; late runner isn't going to get a lot of pace in front of her here but she's proven she doesn't need it to fire; main danger from off the pace in her first local spin.
Unbelievable Dream
Statebred gets back in to tackle open company foes after failing to go with the impressive front running winner downstate; G3 SW router has proven her worth on this footing and she's worked well of late up here for this, but her late running style will leave her with work to do and traffic to avoid in the lane.
Bella Castani
Twice beaten chalk stretches back out after being sandwiched by a couple of these last time; filly worked well last week for an outfit that boasts excellent numbers with runners tackling more ground and turfers overall; she's a contender in here.
Wasn't beaten much by Praia at Colonial while making her first turf start of the year and now she'll return to the scene of her debut maiden score; she's been more tactically inclined this year and maybe she's able to sit closer to the top early here; lightly raced filly may offer some value and is worth an exotics look.
Effie Trinket
Tracked and scored when in against open stakes runners last time and beat some of these in the process; stretchout to 2 turns is the concern as she didn't do much either time she routed last year, but it's nice to see Rosario interested in getting back aboard.
Got her nose down while returning to the lawn here opening weekend; synthetic G3 SW's lone poor recent try came against the best fillies of her generation and her hot outfit keeps them going once they get them good; heavier impost this time but looks to be a big threat right back.
Summer of Fun
She's been pretty good against solid company on the lawn and hasn't been off the board in any of her 5 tries over firm ground; hot barn has been patient this year with this fresh filly and she's been working of late as if she's ready to roll while returning to the course of her maiden score; with a likely tactical edge over her main rival she looks to be the one to beat.
Barbie Wire
Barn's picked things up of late at the stand and they'll look to get this miss back on the lawn after besting 3 rivals, 2 of whom return today as well, in the downstate off the turfer; she'll get off the fence to break from an outside slot while tackling a 2 turn route for the initial time, but she can't be overlooked.
Fab Flowers
Outside drawn filly got going too late on the class rise in her first local spin; she looks to fit a little better in here and wasn't far behind some of these downstate 2 starts back; barn hasn't had any impact at the stand and this starting slot doesn't figure to help this gal much; prefer to side with others on the win end.
Magnificent Shirl
AE will start from a tough spot if she draws into this heat but she wasn't far behind some of these in the one turn Belmont stake last time; she hasn't been as good since shipping East in the spring and will likely face a tough task from here if a scratch allows her to go.
AE seeks her third straight score if she's able to draw into this spot; like the way she's moved up on he green and the barn does a nice job developing this type, but she appears to be in a little tough today; just watching if she gets to go.
MTO was an easy winner 2 back over a wet track and she looked pretty good rallying from well out of it to take her debut over sloppy going here last summer; she's shown some early lick which would be a big benefit to her if this gets rained off; huge threat if the rains come.
Flash Forward
MTO ran well in each of her last 2 going long and she's got a big recent efort over the track under her belt; recent numbers on dirt stick out in here and though she breaks from the outside slot she figures to face a pretty short field if this one gets moved to the main; broke her maiden the lone time she saw it wet; gal to her inside likely gets the jump on here, but she's the one to hold off if she meets the starter.

Race 10

Wise Dan
Last year's HOY is back to defend his title; there are some big differences, however - last year he carried 119 pounds and was actually GETTING weight from top-class Get Stormy; this year he's carrying 129 pounds and giving some significant poundage to others; that being said, he's won 10 of his last 11, the lone loss coming by a head, and seems to handle whatever they put in front of him; of course, when he won the G2 Firecracker at CD last time (June 29) he didn't exactly dominate as he was giving weight, and he's giving even more weight today; no way to knock this warrior, but hey, weight spread can stop just about any horse.
Game G2 Dixie win on the Preakness undercard at PIM May 18, then came back in the G1 UN at MTH July 6, dueled and gave way; certainly capable of some good work but note 'Dan beat him fairly easily in the G1 Maker's Mark Mile at KEE a few months ago (4 1/4 lengths); seems best when on the lead but today must deal with ample other speed as King Kreesa figures to be winging early and is likely quicker to boot.
Za Approval
Nothing wrong with that 2nd in the G1 Shoemaker Mile at BHP June 29; for those of you who don't know, winner Obviously is almost certainly the 2nd best turf miler in the lane - he's Lure-like as he blasts to the early lead and plays come-catch-me so that this guy ran 2nd to him is awfully nice; that was also a career-top Beyer; could be this guy is actually peaking and if 'Dan for some reason tosses in a clunker, gets bogged down by the weight or gets lost on the way to the paddock then maybe THIS is the guy who can take advantage.
Mr. Commons
There was a time he could be freaky-big when in the mood; alas, you have to wonder if those days are past; wasn't disgraced when 5th to Wise Dan in the G1 BC Mile last fall, beaten just 3 lengths; however, he hasn't shown that same verve this year; oh, his 3 starts weren't bad but 2 of them didn't crack the 90 mark on the Beyer scale and he's not finished behind a few horse who a year ago you would have said couldn't beat him; in other words, has his chance of beating 'Dan come and gone?
Willyconker (IRE)
Back to his game; good enough to win the G1 Kilroe Mile at SA in March 2012 and he looked back on track when a game winner vs. toughies at BHP March 25, when claimed for $62,500 by Guillot; however, he then tried this main track July 20 and never really picked up a foot; this is surely a better situation but even if he's back to 110% is that enough to get anything more than a minor award, hmmmmm?
King Kreesa
Really come into his own; was no match for Za Approval when 3rd to that foe at GP March 30 after a layoff but his last 2 were smashign as he led all the way to romp over NY-breds in the Kingston and then romped again in the G3 Poker; surely the water is as deep as it can get when you line up vs. Wise Dan but this guy has never been better, has worked superbly and his high speed means 'Dan likely has to go and get HIM instead of the other way around.
Kept to his task nicely to be 2nd to 'Dan in the G2 Firecracker at CD June 29; was getting 11 pounds and today gets 12; that can surely help, but that race also came in a bog and he likely won't get such footing here; good news at least is he doesn't need that type of footing for his best, he's improving and that Firecracker run shows that, so long as he's getting enough weight, he's not out of his element vs. 'Dan, is he?; but it's an uphill climb to be sure.

Race 11

Situational Ethics
He was odds-on to get the job done in his latest start when shipped to Monmouth Park and dropped in class, and although he didn't disappoint his backers that day, he's going to have to be much sharper in order to get the better of these.
Bluegrass Springs
His turf debut in his latest outing was an encouraging performance and it looks like he's going to be able to grab the early lead and dictate tempo after breaking from a favorable inside post; note that he recorded a route victory over the inner dirt at Aqueduct back in March in a race that saw him get the better of today's rival Third Knight; Ortiz has won with 14 of 44 (32%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Like to see that he's gotten the job done in three of seven turf attempts, even if one of those victories was awarded via disqualification, and this doesn't look like a bad spot for him to make his first start over the Saratoga turf.
North Star Boy (IRE)
He was ready to run in his first start in America in his latest outing and Perez really gave him every opportunity to get the job done that day before having to settle for second; not counting him out of it with Castellano taking over, but wondering how much more he has to offer than what he showed us last time.
Short Shrift
Solis gave this veteran a fine ride in helping him record an upset in his latest outing and he might be able to manage a similar trip in this race behind the early speed of Blurgrass Springs; horse-for-course is the only one in here who has won over the Saratoga turf.
Unbridled Logic
Repole-owned runner has done some decent work in his three starts in 2013 but it does appear that a career best effort will be needed if he's to see his number posted on top after this one is run; that said, he does appear to be well meant with Rosario getting the call.
Third Knight
Sire wins with approximately 8% of his turf starters and minor stakes winning dam won 16 of 50 starts for 185k, including 7 of 21 turf starts for 83k; this colt is a 1/2 to Truelamar (3-17, 57k over turf); Alvarado has won with 22 of 80 (28%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Adirondack Dancer
If his latest race is what we can expect going forward then the others in here appear to be battling it out for the place prize, but maybe there's something to be said for the fact that that level of performance hasn't been the norm for him; runner-up from latest returned to win the next out here on 8/3 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. 20k OPC's with an 81 Beyer.
He's another in here who will have to dial up an improved performance in order to have a shot at the top spot, but he is making his first start for the Pletcher barn, and they see fit to call upon John V.; dam was a multiple graded stakes winner while winning 5 of 14 turf starts for 430k.
Foolish Tiger
He ran well over yielding turf course at Belmont Park two starts ago in a winning performance, but that was against 20k claimers, and he did benefit from an ideal trip; perhaps he'll be worth looking out for with a drop in class down the road.
He suffered a tough beat in his latest art after having a wide journey from an outside post, and although he might be in for a similar fate today if he draws in, at the very least, he merits consideration underneath in the exotics.
Street Fight
He's been beaten by a couple of today's rivals in his two most recent races and he won't like the early speed that he sees from Bluegrass Springs if he finds his way in off of the Also Eligible list; note that he's seeking his first turf win; first call for Rocco.
Horned Frog
There are a few horses in here with respectable dirt form but this gelding will fit right in with these if he gets to go in the spot; he's seeking his fourth consecutive victory and this is the first call for Castellano.
Thunder Quay
He's won four of his last five starts and like to see the way that he's stepped it up along the Beyer Speed Figure scale in his recent races; can't ignore this West Point-owned colt in his Spa debut.
North Ocean
Although he's been in cheap in his last two starts, his form has been much improved, and this is a runner with a major league pedigree; Beautiful Pleasure won 10 of 25 starts for $2.7 million; this barn can be live with one right after a claim.
Kid Sidney
He ran well in his first start over the main track here in his latest outing and he encountered some traffic entering the backstretch as well as around the second turn and through the lane; he appears to be capable of a competitive run against competition of this caliber.