09/18/2013 10:18AM

Closer Looks: Belmont September 19, 2013


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Race 1

Four-year-old has labored a bit with pull up at Nashville and the fall at Saratoga, but give him a partial pass for lack of experience; only made one Saratoga start and was going well when he fell; probably would have been second; breeding and Sheppard in his corner, which are big pluses; coupled with favorite Martini Brother, which is the biggest plus; would be 8-1 on own.
Sharp Numbers
Nice maiden win at Nashville, then blah; too close and too strong early in both runs at Saratoga and it obviously didn t work; reunites with Flanagan, jock from win, which may help; not convinced he s as good as some of these, but respect Fisher at big price.
Dr. Skip
Blazed to back-to-back wins to start jump career and was the talking horse headed to Saratoga; Saratoga run was better than it looks on paper as he was right there at the last fence and just got outrun late by pretty good group; love that connections did not get tempted by second try at the Spa; small barn can create winners; gets here fresh; dangerous but must work out the right trip; coupled with Extraextraordinary.
Cat Feathers
Champion filly/mare of 2012 tries the boys again; third in G3 at Colonial was a good run, as was fourth in Saratoga novice Aug. 15; returned to finish solid second in distaff stakes to close Spa meet; gets another test today and could be right there with her best effort; probably not as good as the major players in here, but runs her race.
Staying On (IRE)
Capable veteran has been at this since June 2011 with single jump win to show for it; Parx run was solid and Saratoga try went OK for a while; trouble on far turn, when he was bounced off stride from both sides, didn t help but he was tiring and wasn t going to be in the first three; moved to Fisher barn since; expect better effort.
Love the flat form, love the breeding and keep expecting a breakthrough for Virginia-based 6-year-old; faded at Saratoga when finishing distant fourth; trainer has engineered big campaigns over the years (Sur La Tete ring a bell?); only Sharp Numbers comes out of that race to try this; not as good as some in here but better than last.
Sulwaan (IRE)
Six-length defeat to Martini Brother two back looks pretty good; fall in return try at Saratoga does not; looks like a staying type with third at Nashville, behind future G1 winner Mr. Hot Stuff and Irish form on soft/yielding ground so might appreciate Belmont course setup; needs big improvement.
Martini Brother
Sheppard took a shot at open company with novice last time, and nearly got the money as he finished fast-closing third behind far more experienced foes; returns to novices today and looks well meant; ran twice at Saratoga, but had four weeks between races; returns in another four weeks today; Nagle will go patient route again so if they go fast early they re handing him the race; must use in Pick Five; coupled with Powerofone; all class.
Bodie Island
The last was awful, ugly, foul, pick your adjective; he s not that bad, but he s also not quite proven he s this good either; best race this year was third to Martini Brother (beaten less than 2 lengths) in allowance; must return to that form if he s got any chance in here; love the freshening; toss the last and use him as potential bomb underneath.
New shooter; small but productive barn brings experienced runner in here for shot at big payday; Youngs teamed up to win this race last year with Gustavian, but I m not convinced this guy is that good; three runs this year, all with other jockeys, have not been good; break had to help well-bred 5-year-old and, like several in here, his best race gets him involved; needs others to falter.
He s extra, extra consistent with thirds in two starts at Saratoga; second try was dramatic as he nearly lost jockey with big mistake at key moment; made up tons of ground to get into trifecta behind runaway winner; easily could have been second; will seek late-running trip today and try to pick up the pieces; playing same game as Martini Brother, not sure if as good; completes tough entry with Dr. Skip.

Race 2

No doubting class, but must get back to form; multiple G1 winner was favored in the paddock for this last year when scratched because Walsh got injured a race earlier; different set-up this year coming off poor Saratoga run; Valentine regrouped and gets back on van to NY for this as start of fall campaign; Turf Writers was first bad race in more than a year and came after missing start three weeks earlier with cough; wins it if he s back to form.
Divine Fortune
The G1 jumpers get together more often than old friends as the PPs are full of bold type; has not been able to solve Demonstrative over the last year, but great campaigner for Sheppard; last was dismal, maybe he s lost a step, maybe he ll go better for Nagle; at 10 he seems better going longer on easy lead as he s not quite as quick as he used to be; could easily get that scenario today; leaning toward Demonstrative.
The Grey Express (GB)
Twenty-one pounds has to count for something and she gets that from Demonstrative; coming off two good tries at Saratoga, including win in last for Hall of Fame trainer; fit and sharp right now but gets massive class test; Irish form came mainly in races restricted to mares; distance should not be a problem; in good form, but taking huge leap up ladder.
Italian Wedding
Sprung mild upset in G1 Turf Writers and eyes third consecutive big effort since missing more than a year for Sheppard; different horse in two starts since layoff and better at racetracks than spring and fall meets so this is his chance to grab another; will get good trip and every opportunity from Dalton, who s won this race last two times it s been run (2009 and 2012); in great form, will run well again but tougher task than last; coupled with Divine Fortune.
Ultra-consistent type makes G1 debut and first start since May; layoff should be an advantage against several coming off busy summers at Saratoga; if you re going to take a shot with a horse like this, now is the time; won novice on this card here last year and is 11-for-12 in the trifecta over jumps; class and breeding in his corner; Young will work out savvy trip; gets in light and two spring starts came in good company; would be everybody s upset play if in Sheppard barn; do not ignore; you ve been warned.
Black Quartz (FR)
No match for impressive Barnstorming at Saratoga, but gave it a run before weakening late; should benefit from that run and some more time with new trainer; first two tries this spring were strong (win over Mr. Hot Stuff in April; second to that rival in May); labored in Ferguson, but Colonial form has not held up; lightweight for a reason.
All Together
Game second to Italian Wedding in Turf Writers and gets another two pounds from that rival this time; seemed to resurrect career after running for tag in May with win vs. less experienced at Saratoga and then solid G1 try; but he is what he is; has never won a G1 and must fire third best effort in a row to compete; surely one of the last sons of Danzig still running; neat horse, tough assignment.
Hunt Ball (IRE)
Much-ballyhooed import might finally be getting closer to races he can handle; wants distance, soft turf, slower pace and will get at least a few of those today after struggling to keep up at Saratoga; October s Far Hills (NJ) race course will truly suit eight-time English winner; adds Lasix, has had even more time with Sheppard; expect improvement, but really can t see him winning.
Spy in the Sky
Unlucky runner-up in this last year as he got out-bobbed on the wire by Pierrot Lunaire; that race was third consecutive top effort and he has not been able to duplicate them since; fourth and fifth at Saratoga behind several of today s foes; better suited to Belmont and must get fast pace to threaten; hard to be confident, but fun veteran who s pulled plenty of upsets.
Molotof (FR)
Owner and trainer upset this last year with Pierrot Lunaire and return with a more recent import; 6-year-old ran capably in U.S. debut, though well-beaten by two stars; English form was OK in decent company and as part of powerhouse barn; like all imports, questions are pacing (can be too fast for them) and turf (too firm); would love rain, won t mind distance; makes you think, but siding elsewhere.

Race 3

Roman Invader
Her only win sprinting came in in her third start as a 3-year-old at Arlington so it is interesting to see her come into this race off thre straight sprints; she did finish second in one of them but this is clearly what she wants to do; strong stats in the turf to dirt and route to sprint categories for Jacobson but she would need to pick things up to contend here; prefer others.
Sea Island
She fits the conditions perfectly with placings in her last three tries in graded stakes; she'll try blinkers for the first time and since 2008 McGaughey has an 13 percent strike rate with horses wearing shades the first time; she does seem happy ot settle for minor awards but she's had a sharp interim work and maybe the equipment change will help her get over the top; toss her two recent races over sloppy tracks and she looks like a major player.
Moon Philly
She was on a roll last winter but she seems to have tailed off following her dull effort in the Grade 3 Allaire Dupont Distaff at Pimlico where Sea Isand finished second; she also finished behind Sea Island in the Shubee and Street Secret in her latest; Trombetta 2 for 2 at the meet and this gal has a couple of sharp works showing; nonetheless, others look more attractive.
She does like to win races and the horse that finished third in her latest win at Delaware is a Grade 3 winner so it was a quality field; no luck any in any of her races on this circuit but one was in the Grade 2 Ruffian so we won't hold it against her; looks like the one they will have to catch but Street Secret isn't going to let her get too away from her and Sea Island will likely show more speed with the blinkers going on; can see her hanging around long enough to be part of the exotics.
Street Secret
She won the only time she ran here and it came at this distance; she also ran a big race to finish second in a key race in her latest at Saratoga; the winner won a $110K stakes at Churchill in her next start and third horse won the $150K Glen Falls at Saratoga Sept. 2; she seems to handle any surface and could take a big step forward in her second start back following a layoff; she also figures to get a perfect trip from a stalking position; did we mention her strong connections? the pick.

Race 5

Night Maneuver
He certainly likes it here and he may have bounced in his latest after posting a career-best 105 Beyer Speed Figure in his previous race; he wants to be forwardly placed, however, and if he doesn't break on top leaving from the rail he could he in trouble; he was favored the only time tried this distance and came up short so we're going to side with others despite his record over this surface.
He roared through ihs conditions running with state-breds and then easily won a stakes race before trying a lot tougher in the Preakness; he was gone for over a year before he came back with an even effort in the same race Bigger is Better and Most Happy Fellow finished second and third in; bulllet fired Sept. 12 could mean he's ready for a big effort in his second start back and note the strong jockey-trainer stats showing; some things to like and he won't mind the shape of the race.
4-year-old got his first stakes win in his latest which was his sixth win in a row; this is a bit longer layoff than he's used to but he does seem to like time between his races and coming out of this barn we know he's ready to roll; he won a key race two back and the horse that finished third in his latest lost by a nose in a $100K state-bred race and then won a $100K stakes for NY-breds at Saratoga Aug. 16; he can stalk what should be a lively pace; big shot.
It's been well over a year since he won a race and he just hasn't been able to keep up following his win in a $50K optional race on the turf for Empire-breds April 12, 2012; he does have a win on dirt but he hasn't heard his feet rattle since he finished fourth in a first-level allowance race across town in Feb. last year; this didn't exactly come up easy so we're going to pass.
Blinkers go back on so we're going to assume Saez will be putting this guy on the lead and see if they can catch him; he's easily handled the distance in the past and the last time he ran with state-breds he was an easy front-running winner across town; horse that won his latest was coming off a close fourth as the chalk in the Grade 3 James Marvin; can see this guy move forward in his second start back; the pick.
Bigger Is Bettor
Another one coming into this with solid form and he may have been able to get home on top in his latest if he could have gotten outside early; instead he had to force his way through and traded bumps with another horse just after straightening out in the stretch; he's versatile and with plenty of speed in the field the shape of the race could work in his favor; playable.
Spa City Fever
Solid second start following a layoff and sprint to route stats for Jacobson so this buy could be sitting on a big effort after running an even race in the same race his stablemate exits; he does want to be invovled early and there is plenty of other speed signed on here; however; Castellano attracted and his race three back going this distance here is appealing, but, he hasn't been able to keep up with Readtheprospectus the last two times they met so we're heading in other directions.
Most Happy Fella
Not a bad effort in the Saratoga Sunrise but Bigger is Better finished in front of him and he is going to have to work a lot harder to keep up to what is going to be a much-faster pace if they all go; his last win came in a $20K conditiional claimer and though he has improved since he was claimed this looks like a pretty tough spot for him; passing.

Race 6

Double the Energy
Encountered trouble at the break in each of her 2 upstate spins and now she'll move to the fence for her third start back from the break; gray ran well to score at the level in her lone try over the local sod last fall; longer trip than she's used to is a concern, but when on her game she looks to be the best of this bunch; clean start makes her a contender.
Vicki's Dancer
She was freshened off the preliminary allowance score against open company over the local sod, earning a number that fits in here; filly has run ok fresh in the past and she has taken 3 of her last 4, but she's in for a tag in this spot and last week's breeze wasn't very encouraging; prefer others on the win end.
Downtown Hottie
Mare is entered for the optional tag after offering little late from a wide spot when sent long in her lone Spa spin this summer; she wasn't beaten much at the trip here last fall and her effort 2 back against cheaper here wasn't bad, but she'll likely need some more pace help than she figures to get at this shorter trip; maybe for a minor award.
Neck of the Moon
Lightly raced filly has run well in each of her shorter sprint tries upstate and now she'll try better on the stretchout; gray certainly has a right to keep improving and it looks as if the added ground will be right up her alley; dangerous, but this outfit often gets hit hard at the windows.
Rakin' Gold
Wasn't a threat while finishing behind one of these in each of her recent spins since moving to this level; she does hae a little bit of early foot and maybe that helps on the stretchout in a field that doesn't contain a lot of that commodity; price will be right.
Karakorum Elektra
Failed to run back to her off the pace score first time off this barn's claim when last at the level a few weeks back at Saratoga; 9 year old is an 11 time local course winner and she does like this 7 panel trip; she'll spot them all weight again and her lack of lick often puts her in a wide path, but with a bounce back type of effort she should be rolling late.
Earned a career best number when moved back to the lawn at the level last out at Saratoga; filly hasn't shown much early foot of late and the barn doesn't win a lot of races; she failed to hit the board in her 2 local sod tries and will get a new pilot for this one.
Turns back to sprint with a sharp interim breeze in tow after failing to threaten the top 3 late in her lone Saratoga try; her one turn local sod spins prior to that were all solid and she's yet to finish off the board in 6 tries over this course; her numbers are a little light of what some of these have run of late, but maybe that just serves to temper the price; worth a good look.
Palace Dreams
Outside drawn sophomore didn't have enough left late over a heavy course when in against a stakes field of her peers going 2 turns last month at Saratoga; filly gets back in with older here and she looked quite good beating them in each of her 2 prior starts; expecting she'll be able to sit a solid tracking trip from out here and she should have a little extra to offer late at this shorter distance; one to beat.
Sentimental Lass
MTO returns from a summer freshening after failing to rally enough to factor in the sloppy Finger Lakes stake; mare won 3 times here including twice over a wet track and that's likely to be the condition if she were to meet the starter in here.
She's Stones Sis
MTO wired a cheaper bunch at odds on at the trip, earning a light number compared what the bigger gals in here can run; she does have speed which can't hurt in here and her pedigree suggests she'll like a wet track much better than she did while catching it in her debut on a the inner track a couple of days after Christmas; repeat threat if the rains come.
What the Frost
MTO earned the popular trip score on the front end in her Spa finale and now she'll tackle better; she broke her maiden from a tracking spot at the local trip 3 starts back and with speed to her inside, maybe this draw affords her a chance for a similar run here.
Princess Mara
MTO starts from the outside slot if rain washes this one off and she does own 2 wet track scores; she's been off her best game since taken by this barn, but her most recent win did come over the local main track and she should be a solid price in this one.

Race 7

Easy Reach
2010 was his last turf race on the flats a near-miss finish at today's distance; came off the bench not to finish at SAR off 2 straight wins noting his 2013 wins were 2nd and 3rd races off the layoff which is a winning angle from his barn; gets a big weight break for this.
Brandy's Big Guy
Seeks his 1st exacta finish after finishing evenly losing ground in deep stretch at longer; lone-BEL Inner Turf start was s show finish at today's distance for a higher price tag so seems to fit here; needs to find the missing passing gear reuniting with the 3-back Beyer-career-best rider for this.
Back in 5 days the short-return angle has been a winning one for the trainer; the beaten-betting choice when too late making his 1st dirt start posting a career-low Beyer; encountered a couple of troubled-gate breaks on SAR turf which suggests he may be able to turn the tables on Solo Approach if he gets off the AE list.
Like a Boss
Sire is 5-for-47 with 1st-turf starters; is out of an unraced dam who produced no winners from 1 other foal to race on grass (0-for-1); his lone-exacta finish was the last time he went long but it produced a light Beyer; the 2-back winner repeated in a BEL-35K claimer with an 89 speed figure.
Cielo Soleggiato
Set the pace off the bench as the beaten-betting choice twice in his last 3 races; debut-runnerup placement was his best finish but hasn't shown any stamina since; new pilot is his 5th in as many races which is not a good win angle; the blinkers have not produced a lot of improvement.
Summer Shiner
Down to lowest ever off the long layoff a 12%-win angle for the trainer; the show runner from last Beyered 69 in his next-out ELP-MSW win; just hasn't not fired since the barn chance with his best finish when rallying from 8th; 27%-winning jockey-trainer combo but the worktab does not stand out.
Fiddlers Chico
The 3-back winner Beyered 81 in his next-out SAR-20K-claiming win; in his 1st-blinkered race exits his worst finish since April; faded to the 4-back runner-up who Beyered 79 in his next-out SAR-25K-maiden claiming win; rider of last 3 lands on Plausibly for this.
Exits a career-best Beyer; reunites with the rider of his only exacta finish and a pilot who seemingly had other options but lands here; faced good ones 2-back as the runner-up finisher Beyered 70 in his next-out SAR-25K-maiden claiming win.
Prince Curlin
Defeated 1 runner combined in 4 losses recently finishing behind similar rivals; did not show much in the morning drills for this for a 3%-winning fresh trainer since 2012; will be taking a wait and see approach on this outsider.
Defeated the 5th and 8th-place finishers from last who Beyered 77-30 in next-out MTH-10K and $7,500-maiden claiming wins; 6%-winning layoff trainer sees this one drop to lowest ever for the 2nd straight start; 7th different jockey in as many races is not a good win angle.
Double O One
Beat 1 runner home with a career-low Beyer prior to the 48-day absence; back on grass and has been working steadily on the main track for an 0-for-17 dirt-to-turf trainer since 2012; career-best Beyer was in his debut when flashing brief speed.
Solo Approach
Has to overcome the ground-losing post position draw if in; Fiddlers Chico is the one to beat but the day he beat this one Solo flashed gate speed when he seems more like one who wants to sit back then make 1 run; another with a rider carousel of 6 different jockeys in as many races.
The Culchie
Main Track Only entry with 5 double-digit length defeats to commence career; has been working steadily off the 99-day absence; best race was the May turf race when not wearing front wraps stalking the speed.

Race 8

Mlle. Minuit
She finished belatedly at boxcars; dam was unraced; lone half sis to race was 0 for 3 at 2, cashed once on turf; may need more experience.
Charming Eyes
Midas Eyes 3 for 32 with debuting juveniles, 1 for 24 with first-time turfers; sire won at 2, took a G1, never turfed; dam lost only start at 2 and on grass, won 7 times; this is her first to race; lean toward watching one.
Kelly's Prize
Picked it up with blinks and she may have not cared for the rail; dam 0 for 1 at 2, 0 for 6 on grass, banked over $100K; both sibs won but neither cashed at 2 or on grass; slight improvement and she should be in the hunt.
See Takeoff Your Hat for sire stats; 2 for 12 dam banked over $100K, was turf only, didn't go at 2; this is her first to race; every right to improve.
Freud's Sunset
Brief threat when taking her share of action; dam won at 2 for only score, never turfed; all 3 siblings won; all raced at 2 to no avail, none tried grass; has natural speed, could show more with the blinks today.
City Zip about 17% with juvenile debuters in a 315-runner sample, about 15% with first-time grass runners in a 305-runner sample; sire won 5 times at 2, earned over $800K sprinting, was third in best turf result; 13 for 87 dam earned nearly $400K, didn't go at 2, was turf only; 3 of 5 siblings won including full sis Gitchee Goomie, who took debut at 2, won a G3, earned nearly $700K, was grass only; note no local drills.
Under Scrutiny
Debut not all that bad and she could enjoy the extra distance; dam's lone win was routing as older horse; 5 of 5 sibs won, 2 cashed at 2, one cashed once on turf; probably from off the pace if at all.
On a Snowy Evening
Frost Giant 0 for 18 with first-time turfers; sire took a Group 3 at 2, won twice on turf, banked $450K; stakes winning dam won once at 2, was 2nd in best turf out, earned about $85K; all 3 sibs won; one cashed over $150K but none won on turf or at 2; could need easier.
Takeoff Your Hat
Cosmonaut 0 for 4 with debuting juveniles, 0 for 2 with first-time turfers; Grade 3 winning sire earned over $1.2 million on turf, lost only start at 2; dam's lone win was routing as older horse; 2 of 5 sibs won; neither at 2 but one banked over $100K on grass; tab tote action.
Backstretch Lady
Considering the winner was nearly 5 clear in last, the race was not all that bad; 2 for 9 dam 2nd in only start at 2, was turf only; 2 of 3 sibs won, but neither at 2 or on turf; may need easier as a $4,500 purchase.
Moves Your Soul
Jump Start about 3% with first-time turfers in a 164-runner survey; sire took debut at 2, earned over $200K, never turfed; dam was unraced; this is her first to roll; not sure what to make of the drill last Saturday.
Bobbled to kick it off, then took the overland route; dam's only win came at 2; all 4 sibs won; 2 raced at 2 to no avail; top kin Hangingbyathread earned over $300K; out to atone for loss.
Fee and Sugar
Miss was finished after a half mile; dam was unraced; this is her first to race; at least she got a feel of the surface on the 8th.

Race 9

Like what he's done since being returned from a layoff in April and his two big losses lately have come in a G3 in his latest outing, and in a very tough 100k stakes three back; note that he ran well against a few of today's rivals just two starts ago; son of top turf influence War Front benefits from a favorable inside post.
Status of Forces
Respect what he did two starts back when running well against a number of today's rivals at a big price but that level of performance hasn't been the norm for him and he can't afford to show up with anything less.
Westside Corral
Of the horses in the main body of this race, he's the only one in here with five wins next to his name, and like to see that he ran well in his first start for this barn after a 35k claim in his latest outing; he commands respect as a contender.
Alarmed Ndangerous
After needing nearly a year off, he's run well in back-to-back starts while recording career best Beyer Speed Figures; take away a start wearing blinkers, and he really hasn't run of bad race routing, and he goes out for a barn and rider that win a lot of races together.
Lemon Peel
His career best Beyer Speed Figure was earned racing over turf, but he's going to need to find a way to step it up over that performance in order to threaten the top contenders in this one; respect him as an early pace factor, but looking toward others.
Mia Poppy
It would have been nice to have seen him show more in his first start for this barn after a claim in his latest outing, but going to respect his chances in this spot based on what he's shown to be capable of in the past; note that he finished right behind today's rival Sneaky Kitten two starts back.
Sneaky Kitten
Stakes placed colt is tough to ignore while going out for an owner/trainer combination that has had a big year, and viewing it as a positive that he's being reunited with Castellano; on a negative note, he has been known to settle for minor awards.
Lawyer Jim
He was beaten by a few of these two starts ago, but around that race are a couple of sharp winning performances; third place finisher from latest returned to win next out here on 9/14 going 1m over turf vs. 35k OPC's with an 81 Beyer.
Sire wins with approximately 11% of his turf starters and dam was winless from five starts, and she didn't make a turf start; multiple stakes winner has done some nice work racing over dirt in his career and it's interesting to see his new connections go right to turf with him after a 25k claim.
Papa Tom
This looks like it can prove to be a tough spot for his return to action and note that he finished behind today's rival Bake Shop in his latest outing; prefer to give the nod to others in this one.
Ghostly Vision
Two of his three most recent races have been very good performances and this looks like it will be a favorable spot for him to land in if this race has to be moved to the main track.
Bake Shop
Obviously he needs to bounce back from a performance that was below par for him but he's clearly capable of showing up with a competitive performance at this level of competition; if he gets to go, he'll have his share of appeal while going out for a barn that is having a strong year.
Warrior Up
Multiple stakes placed veteran might have needed his most recent race while making his first start back from a layoff, but he still seems much more likely to land a minor award than to take down the top prize.
10-time winner carries multiple stakes winning credentials with him and his best effort is eligible to leave these behind to battle it out over the place prize; however, his two most recent races haven't been his best and he was claimed away from Ramsey and Maker from his latest outing.

Race 10

Rufus Ruth
Dirt debut was not very memorable coming off a new Beyer speed figure Top 2-back on turf when blinkers went on for the 1st time; working well off the 43-day absence but races for a 9%-winning dirt-to-turf trainer; have mixed feelings.
Tricky Game
Ran to the 41-1 debut odds when beating one runner home; 8 days since the career debut noting some runners improve dramatically 2nd-time out and she has plenty of room to move forward; the added distance does not help the cause.
Sire is 14-for-160 with 1st-time starters; 6-for-61 with 1st-turf runners; is out of a stakes-winning dam (4-for-25, 110K) who did not race on turf producing 1 winner from 2 other foals to race (Grinelli 4-for-15, 42K); her other foal Just Scrapin finished off the board in his only grass start.
Ampa's Girl
Grass produced her best Beyer speed figure but that effort was over a wet turf course at much longer; did not fire at all in last exiting a career-low Beyer; new rider means she races with her lowest-weight assignment ever for this.
Desert Ruler
Brief speed in recent losses; cuts back in distance for the 2nd grass try but not easy to take three zero Beyers to commence career; the winner from her debut Beyered 61 in a next-out win; 25%-winning route-to-sprint trainer adds to the appeal; she showed an improved 4F workout for this.
Manhattan Kitty
Middle moved in a key race; the winner and 6th-place finishers from last Beyered 77-50 in next-out AQU-optional-claiming and 20K-maiden claiming wins; long layoff with latest workout at good one but will be taking a wait and see approach.
Locks of Gold
Did not fire on dirt when sent this distance 3-back landing behind similar rivals; middle moved in latest turf losses and seeks the right distance on the green; 0-for-14 route-to-sprint trainer since 2012 is not easy to take; others appeal more.
Hot Rendezvous
Hasn't fired back to her field-best Beyer 3-back racing on BELs Inner Turf today; she races on Widener turf for this; the 4-back winner and show finishers Beyered 82-71 in next-out SAR MSW and alw. wins; 2-for-25 MSW-to-maiden claiming trainer since 2012 does not add to the appeal.
If she can repeat that May runner-up finish on BEL Inner Turf at 6F she would be a major player here but came up flat in recent losses; 22%-winning jockey-trainer combo adds to the appeal for a hot-BEL barn to start the meet.
Tricky Tiffany
Shown zero gate speed in 7 starts; 67-day absence since beating 2 runners home with a new Beyer speed figure Top; sheds weight to race with her lowest assignment since June; off the bench will be taking a wait and see approach.
Speedster posted her best Beyer in last on a muddy race track when going 1.5F shorter than this; stamina is a massive issue here; her sire is 26-for-261 with 1st-turf runners; is the 1st foal out of a 1-0-0-0 grass dam; know her early then hopes to hang on late.
Main Track Only entry was way off her best game in last racing 1st off the claim; 21%-winning turf-to-dirt trainer adds to the appeal; has shown her best Beyers at longer than this and clearly has plenty to prove off the 2-back loss to High Inflation.
Darnley Bay
MTO with 2 solid efforts off the more than a 1-year layoff; lacked stamina in a pair of 2012 BEL-dirt starts; the workout for this was not very enticing; view as a major pace presence who will need to find missing stamina to hang on late.
High Inflation
MTO exits a new Beyer Top when catching a muddy track and screaming out for more distance which she gets for this; was outkicked when sent this far 2 back but clearly has never been better; figures to be an early presence then get 1st run on the closers.