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A CLOSER LOOK at Woodbine races on 10/05
Not a bad effort on the grass last time but he moved 3 wide into a hot pace in that 1 mile event and was 4 wide off the turn but there was still a long way to go and he faded through the stretch; he drops to a new low level and tries a main track route race; still has some proving to do at longer distances.
Spanish Johnny should love the added distance because his mum did and she has produced a route winner; he took a bit of betting support in his debut race and was wide in a pace chase and he finished somewhat evenly; he gets blinkers and could improve.
Trailed in his debut 6 weeks ago and tries a longer distance after some interim workouts; blinkers are on; not yet.
Had 4 weeks off before his 2nd start but it was night racing, in the slop and the lone front runner took over and won by the length of the tote board while Junior raced 4 wide in a chasing position; he should like the 2 turn distance.
Nicely bred colt has grass breeding but had a bad start in his debut which came on that surface; he drops in for maiden claiming, a big step down, and tries the dirt, a surface for which he is also well bred.
Gamble On Me
Wasn't far off the lead while wide and with the outside bias in his debut but he dropped back in the stretch; he has lots of breeding for the longer distance but that was not a great debut effort.
Has the breeding to love the longer distance and he closed mildly in his 6th career start under Bahen; his siblings like 2 turn distances; factor.
Like some others in this field, he has great breeding for the longer distance and he has shown an even-running style in his sprints and that also suggests success in 2 turn events; he gets a wide post and that will be something to overcome.
Ran a decent race off the layoff and if he can run back to or better that race he would likely be competitive though he might confront a faster pace than he has been able to successfully handle in the past; he has worked 5F and could run that better race.
Was in this class last time and was unable to muster a late run after starting from the back of the pack; don't see him being competitive at the distance unless he does more work this time; one-time winner with too many starts puts the advantage with others.
Like A Rocket
Is one of the front runners in the mix and as such is to be respected and his fewer starts suggest that as well; how he handles the tough beat in his first WO race and if he can come back from that with another good effort will determine his fate; can see him getting a good pace trip; contender.
Has not won in the last two years and the number of starts are starting to climb and the allowable excuses fading into the sunset; he has had no excuses in his last few when in good position with similar; looking to others.
I And I
Returns from a lengthy absence and it is really hard to know for sure just how he will come back especially as he drops into claiming for the first time which is a commentary in and of itself; he has been working well enough and he certainly could be a factor if he runs well though the distance might be short of his best; paddock visit required; decision time then.
Has come around this season and has two wins from five starts and has been sharp on the front end; he is stepping up into a tougher condition and it would seem likely that he will show up again; he may have enough speed to carry the day or be competitive enough to battle throughout; he might need to run a little faster in the lane but he should continue to improve and develop; player if he can avoid a hot pace duel.
Has run some decent races and this is the time of the year when things start to get easier as the better runners have won their conditions; the older runner drops into an easier spot than his latest as he switches to the dirt but even so he will have to be sharp and at his best; if he tries for the front as he often does on dirt he will be part of a pace contest; iffy but not impossible.
Seek The Devil
Steps up in company as he comes over from FE to try this condition; don't know that his best will be good enough and while both of his wins have come here will be looking more at others.
Maiden claiming win came on the front end and there are several like her in the mix; she was well back in allowance company but she did outfinish Pumpkin Mill in that one; she might be as quick as the others and if the inside is okay and she does not have to wait in the gate for too long she could be well situated into the turn; contender.
Was a debut winner for a tag and following a layoff tested the allowance waters which were too deep for her; she has worked as she tries claiming winners; have to see more from her as she goes against Ella who beat her a few last time.
Has some speed, perhaps enough to stay with these, and she did bring her improving form cycle to its appropriate conclusion last time; she will not get the same trip but she might run well enough in a tracking position to get the money and of course she could now improve.
Is another front-running winner who will have her hands full on the front end; hard to say that any will dominate the proceedings, but she is eligible to run well at the shorter distance, though she might be up a bit high; edge to others but cannot rule her out.
Was an impressive winner of her opener dominating the pace of a shorter race and then drawing away; that race was in the slop and she could be up to repeating that or better this time back in for a slightly higher tag; she will be up front and she could be the one who survives.
Won her first race for this tag and then has tried two stakes on dirt and then on turf; she is back to the dirt and her own kind too; she has worked and with her tractable speed should be tough; contender.
Hugs For Terry
Flashed some early speed in her latest allowance test after tracking and winning against softer maiden claimers; she will need better or so it looks but her advantage may come with her patient approach; interesting in here as she has the best finish after the best early speed of those exiting the 15 Sept race; contender.
Has run well in both of her starts and she is another with a win on the pace but she has indicated that she will run from behind; off the layoff she could even be an improved runner now; a possibility.
Ready I Am
Not too sure that she is to do battle with these; she is back in a sprint but will have to run better against what id likely to be a faster pace and tougher group than her win; edge to others.
Beginner draws the rail for her debut and that's not an easy spot in the gate in a big field; she's by a sire who is average with debut winners and he is the sire of this year's 2yo stakes winner Jade Eyed; 1st foal of unplaced mare; workout times appear to be average.
Ran a good race in her 3rd career start when she had a brief lead before being overtaken by another fast one; she wasn't as good last time as she stalked the pace while 3 wide but then stopped; confusing picture.
Was long odds for her debut and broke last from the rail but she moved up to stalk the pace and finished evenly while not far from the winner; she reportedly gets Lasix after a 6 week break; improvement makes her a threat.
Added Lasix and blinkers for her 2nd start which followed a layoff and she was well bet but she raced evenly while just off the leaders; she gets a chance to put 2 races close together and that should help her go forward.
Nicely bred filly came off a layoff for her 3rd start and she shortened up in distance for that race and was outrun early but was visibly finishing well at the end and the runner-up has since won her maiden; she gets newcomer Velasquez in the saddle and he has arrived from western Canada; contender.
Sound of Colors
Was a vet scratch on Sept. 13 in a $25,000 maiden race and debuts for higher this time; she's by the continent's leading 1st crop sire and is from a winning mare who has produced a Grade 2 winner in Chile; worth a look.
Added Lasix for her 2nd start after 4 weeks off but was shortening up in distance and she was outrun while racing near the rail on a day that seemed to favour outside runners; she stretches out and drops one class; can wake up with a better effort.
Her sire won the Breeders' Cup Sprint and is above average as a debut sire; this is the 2nd foal of a multiple sprint winning mare; her trainer has done well with 2yo's this year.
Loved her chances to win last time when dipping in for maiden claiming and she took a lot of betting support right at post time; she was in a good stalking position in that race and made a 3 wide bid on the turn but the front runner repelled her; she turns back in distance and should be ready to put it all together.
One Hot Kitten
Filly broke a step slowly in her debut and raced just off the leaders while on the rail, displaying a choppy running stride; she can use that race as a learning experience and might need another race too.
La Brie Quette
Has had trouble at the gate in her 2 starts and that has been costly; she was away from the gate in a very sluggish manner last time and could not keep up; she gets her 3rd different rider and is in need of a better start.
All 3 of her top three placings have come at this level and she had a strange outing last time on a speed favouring track; she pressed the pace from the rail early in that last event, dropped back and then came on again a bit at the end; she shortens up and is one of the likely contenders.
Local yearling purchase is by a top sire in this country but his foals don't win often 1st time out; the mare has produced at least 6 winners and she was stakes placed herself; the wide post would be a concern if she draws in from the also eligible list.
Her sire is a local stallion who has had only a few runners but many of them are hard trying types; her dam has 5 winners from her first 5 foals to race including the good earner Grey Loop; she needs a couple of scratches to draw in but could be a longshot possibility if she does.
Shows improving form and it should be noted that in his only grass outing, he lacked room throughout most of the stretch run; he might like turf and he closed mildly in his latest behind a favoured winner; don't ignore.
Might be one of the pacesetters in the field as she shows a lot of speed in his races and he's stretching out from a sprint race; he has some good turf form, on occasion, but needs to find the necessary stamina for this distance; the blinkers come off; minor share.
Has been hard used at the outset of his last 2 starts but he stayed on a lot better last time; he does not have much grass breeding as he's by a below average turf sire and the mare is 0 for 4 with turf winners from starters; taking others.
Has had plenty of turf experience and has run a lot of good races in his career but the bottom line is 0 for 17 and that makes him unreliable; the good news is, he drops in for maiden claiming for the first time and that often leads a horse to a wake up effort; he comes off a freshening and that's good news too.
Half-brother to a stakes winner does not have much turf in his pedigree but this will be just his 2nd start of the year and he had a bad start in his debut (he was also hard ridden away from the gate that day but he could not keep up); a workout on Sept. 22 was very strong.
His sire is making himself known as a grass sire but the dam comes from strictly a dirt family; this guy stretches out in distance after showing speed while 4 wide in a duel last time and that probably puts him on the lead in this longer race, blinkers or no blinkers.
Sharp Forty Niner
Improving gelding is by a sire who is not known for his turfers but the mare's first 2 foals to try grass are winners and one won his turf debut; this guy closed well behind a stablemate with the outside bias last time; factor.
He's by a good grass sire but the dam does not offer much turf breeding; this gelding ran a good race in his season debut after the long layoff but he was flat in a recent effort after another break; keep him in mind for tri bets.
Has been well beaten in a variety of situations and now he moves up in class to give grass another shot; can't see it.
Little fellow is offered for maiden claiming for the first time in his career and that is a significant move down in class; he has developed problems at the gate and dwelt badly last time but he made up a lot of ground and finished well; how he starts this race will mean a lot to his chances but he's a major threat.
Likes to rally with one, big rush but the race has to set up for him (i.e. fast pace up front) and it's not certain he'll get it this time; he is fresh as he comes off a 4 week break and he drops in class; would not be a surprise.
Steel On Target
Like others in this field, he drops in for maiden claiming and that is a big step down from the maiden allowance class; he went better in his 2nd start since the short layoff but that was at Fort Erie against easier.
Was sent north in the summer and his first local outing was at a marathon distance he faded late; he shortens up for a maiden race at the Fort and he ran hard in the stretch but could not get past the top pair; he starts from a wide post but is one of several to consider for exotic bets.
Filly drew in from the also eligible list and she ran well on the turf as a longshot 2 starts ago but was a bit flat in her latest; she gets blinkers; taking others.
Old Forest' needs a scratch to draw in and this little guy has had trouble in recent starts at Fort Erie, where he's been trying to win his maiden against easier; his entrymate looks a bit better in this spot.
Stakes winner has a world of promise and she did quite well in the tough Mazarine Stakes but she was to rank from the outset and ran out of gas; this will be a tricky test as she cuts back dramatically in distance and instead of being restrained early, she'll need her speed; contender.
Made it look easy 2nd time out when she won her maiden in her first outing in the main ranks but she could not keep up in the restricted Muskoka Stakes and the winner of that race has popped up in this spot.
Won her debut with style and after disappointing in the Debutante, came back to the form it was thought she had in the Muskoka when Lasix was added; she worked hard in that race to wear down Parisia in the stretch but she's had 4 weeks off and her recent workout times have been sizzling; those speedy preps should help her combat the shorter distance; strong factor.
Fast miss took a while to get things together but she broke through for her first win when she dipped into a high maiden claiming race; her speed makes her a tricky foe for favourites Platel and Miss Noire as those gals are cutting back in distance.
Performed like many thought she could in her debut when she raced very greenly but won anyway and the 4th place finisher has won twice since then; she took a number of very fast workouts with her into the Sept. 15 race, including a mind-boggling 58 and change prep 12 days before she ran, but she was flat as a pancake during the race; this small field is a tough little event.
Has some early speed but she had the blinkers come off for a restricted stakes try last time and after a 4 wide duel, she dropped back; she shortens up in distance and gets blinkers back on but this is a rough bunch of fillies.
Looks to be off form at the moment and it is unlikely that the simple drop will be enough to turn his game around completely; back in a sprint he might go better but has his work cut out unless the inside gives him the edge.
Top half of the Vito Armata entry was an allowance winner last time for his second consecutive win off the claim; these will be tougher but with the way he has been running he could be competitive with straight sophomore claimers; good trip likely; contender.
Dart For dough
Second from the entry makes his second start back off the layoff and he will be seeking to regain his winning form which he displayed in late spring; maybe he needed his latest as he did in his first form cycle; if he can match his best today he can be there.
Been away from the races for a while and goes from turf to dirt, will try blinkers again, and is back sprinting which is where he won all three of his races last year; working okay for a capable layoff outfit but would like to see a better race from him as a sophomore.
Was winning for the first time at 3 and the third time in his career; time off after a win of some concern but he is back in a higher class and can deal with whatever the pace; if he can run to that he will be right there (and he did win his first of this year and ran well in his debut.
Took him a while but he did win his first start with maiden claimers in his 11th overall; that was a good race but he will be facing an even tougher assignment today; would not want to bet that he will be up to the task and will observe him against those more experienced with winners.
Went from MSW to claimer with a short break and was well back of the fast pace early and then passed most of the field; he might get a contested pace to run at and if he can move forward and perhaps start closer to the front he could make his late run count for something.
First race with winners was going long and he was non-contentious; he could improve dropping and cutting back and he has a couple of interim works; others in here are faster making this a stern test for him.
Has a couple of wins this year and he now drops below the price of his recent win after failing to successfully tackle better; he went too fast early last time and that may have done him in; in this match up he might be better able to control his speed and is a main player after an interim work.
Has won a trio of races all this year and the latest of which came two starts ago for a higher claiming tag; he unsuccessfully tried the turf last time and while he has worked during a short break he will need a top effort to argue; barn doing most things right this year and that makes him interesting with the drop.
Has been racing with better though he is winless as a sophomore and he is going to have to run better against these if he hopes to shed his winless status; he can improve with the drop and back to a sprint but don't see him as a prime win prospect.
Was a winner turf to dirt on the heels of a good turf race two starts ago; she has been away for a couple of months and will be hard pressed to match her win if the race stays on the grass; edge to others.
Has won half her grass sorties and the sophomore exits a stakes race and is in against her elders again; she has a couple of works and could improve but will likely to have to move forward to get the big prize.
Beat some claimers on the grass last time gut that race is hardly a recommendation for the step up to this company level where she looks to be overmatched; she would provide the upset of the day.
Has raced sparingly on the grass this year but did post a minor stakes win at FE at a shorter distance; she won her third dirt race last time and she will pose a threat here if she can run back to her latest on the grass or even her grass win at the longer distance would make her tough; her speed could rule the day in this test.
Ring Of Flowers
Is probably the most accomplished grasser with four wins and the most money; her speed is tractable and she can cope with a variety of distances; she will be tough in here and should be on edge with the recent works; contender and the one to beat in this match up as she returns from FE.
With the Wind
Has limited exposure to the grass but has done well on that surface with two wins; she came up a bit short in this condition last time and while it might take an even better race to beat a couple of these she might improve and will likely at least give it a good try.
Goes turf to dirt with improving form off the layoff; the drop should be of significance and he might not be out of the question, certainly if he can run to his turf races he would not be.
Was a winner of a conditioned race with easier and should he be able to stretch his sprint form to the route where he has run well but failed to win with easier he could both trip well up front and be tough; he is iffy but not impossible with the work right back; could be dangerous and playable at much longer odds than his latest.
Does not really like the dirt so the record says and it would take a much improved dirt race for him to be competitive in here even as he drops; excuse his last turf-to-dirt try but he is probably still up against it today.
Does not win very often but may have located his proper class where he can be competitive at least for a piece of it; could sit a nice trip too; money chance.
I'm a Smarty Pants
Veteran goes turf to dirt and has been racing in good order during the current form cycle; hard to know if he can replicate his recent efforts against the locals on the dirt but if he can he will have a say in the outcome; see him as questionable at best.
Good race with similar last time which is followed by another break in the action; he obviously can run fresh and his chances will depend to some extent on the trip he gets up front; has an even better work than the one preceding his last; should be a player though the pace trip might be tougher.
Closer Tothe Heart
Came back at a longer distance and in a tougher spot; can't say that this will be a much easier spot for him and don't see him closing well enough to get by many; others more likely.
Been racing well since the claim and is a threat with the drop as he goes in search of his first win out of the conditioned ranks; he is not out of the question in this competitive race as he drops a notch.
A Patch Of Jade
Appears to be off his best form and don't know that he can handle the open company; will look to others and would regard him as an upsetter in his race against better.
Takes the drop as he is in search of his form from last fall; he might well be good enough for these and should be better with the races under his belt; has to be treated seriously at this level in spite of the questions surrounding the big drop.
Was in the right spot at the right time to score a win with easier in a slower race than many of these have run lower down; sometimes it pays to be lucky; he may need better than that to win this one and off the layoff he is questionable.
Has done most of his winning early in the year and against easier conditioned company and has thus far failed to make the grade against open company; he is dropping a peg, removes the blinkers today, but will still have a tough time of it overcoming the outside and faster runners.