- DRF Bets
- Handicapping & PPsThoroughbred Past Performances
ReportsPremium NewsDigital PapersHorsemen's Products
- DRF Classic PDF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Equibase PPs
- TrackMaster PPs
- NewsCategoriesTrack Notes
- DRF TV
- StorePast Performances
- Compare all DRF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF Classic PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Expanded Closer Looks
- Equibase & Trackmaster PPs - Thoroughbred
Updated on 09/15/2011 2:06PM
A CLOSER LOOK at Louisiana Downs races on 9/28
1st La. Downs
Will need to regain some of his better form of the summer if he hopes to make an impact on the outcome; his recent races before the ship would see him relevant but then he has never run that well locally; unlikely.
Has been off form heading into the layoff and he shows one recent short work heading into his return has not been effective lately or off recent layoffs and probably is not ready for his best with the one work; tab for later.
D D's Prince
Had a useful return to the races last time and is dropped to a new low and the local bottom; he at least has a couple of wins here and along with the fact that his latest was better than many of the others he looks as if he should be competitive in this one; a likely contender.
Was in good form at EvD and unlike many he at least did manage a good race here in his latest when it at this claiming tag; he will need a somewhat better effort than that here but he might be up to that as he seems to be a more interested runner this year; one to consider for the exotics at least.
Started once at the meeting when he was claimed; he has not raced since that July race and reappears at a much lower claiming price; one should be suspicious of him while realizing that if he has one race in him -and the bottom is the best place to show it- he is one of the fastest in here; the work tab says that he could be ready; would not want to invest on or against him without seeing him in the flesh and the odds on the tote.
One of the lightly raced, he is on the upswing and has recently won his conditions here; those races, both over off surfaces, would give him a chance to win and while his last win was a while ago he could still perform up to those standards or perhaps evening improve; contender as this claiming price should suit him.
Could have been the racing surface last time which ended his good form cycle ad he has had run five races in succession; he has run well here and the pace match up should be within his scope; if he can return to his better form he should be up close throughout; contender and perhaps the one to beat.
Has gone winless over the last couple of seasons and while he is dropping again he is going to need something more coming back from a layoff; he is not impossible but do not foresee one of his better efforts today.
Back sprinting following some time off he is going to need to find his best stride right off the bat; he has improved in the second start in each of his last two cycles and when going long; tabbing him for next time.
2nd La. Downs
Returns from another short break and will need to run a much better race if she is to have any chance; predicting that is a tough call; watching and waiting for better before she becomes interesting.
Has fewer starts than many of the others something that makes her of interest and she did show some form positives in her latest with the interior move into contention; she will stretch out for the first time but from the looks of the opposition she should have a serious chance in this match up; at 5-1 she is of interest.
Tried going long again last time and was in contention though she posed no threat to make the exacta; that was also her first race with blinkers and that is reason enough to think that she might improve today; would have to consider her for the exotics though might look more at others in the win slot.
Pearl Of The Andes
Did win off a layoff at a related distance back in June and but there was little of that competitiveness in her races in her August cycle; hard to see her reversing form all at once with the one interim work the only reason to project improvement and that does not look to be enough.
Has done little in her two starts this cycle and while there is always the chance that she could run better in her third start back she is very much a question mark in off this year's campaign to date.
Has really been a non-factor in her races of late and there is no clear reason to forecast a sharp turn of form which is what she will need to compete here; leaning to others.
Has a recent win at the meet and which makes her only one of two with a recent win; she ahs found these tougher and has only limited exposure to the distance; she also seems to have lost her speed and without that it is uncertain that she will run her winning race; looks rather questionable.
Has one of the better last-race running lines and she will need race like that again to be there; she will have to work out the right trip from the outer post this time but if she runs her race she can get a reasonable trip; have to see her as a contender on a relative form basis if she can run repeat her last.
The fewer the starts the more they are worth considering; she loses that edge with 25 already and 19 in 2001; recent races are poor and doubt that she will reverse form from the outside.
3rd La. Downs
Proved well after the tough trip here in her last against state-bred straight maiden sprinters; Stalwart filly hasn't finished off of the board in seven lifetime starts; likes to break from the inside; gets Woodley back aboard for her first turf two-turn effort today; money finish.
Star of Sheba
Split the field behind Miss Gina's Bag with the step-up in her last; Boyish Charm filly should benefit with the surface change and extra distance; first dam is the first foal out of GI, and multiple graded stakes winner Up The Apalachee (14 wins- $596K); check tote for value in the bottom portions of the exotics.
I'ma Chu Chu
Evenly running filly picked-up a check last time out in her Louisiana Downs debut against open $25K maiden claimers; she's the first foal out of her multiple stakes-placed mare (6 wins-$80K); Faul gets the call for her first turf effort; room for improvement.
Wasn't a factor on the slop in her debut against open straight maidens at Evangeline Downs; dam is a winner, and she has produced winners, but this filly will have to do more than surprise for the top prize today.
Mon Sherri Amour
Improved with the drop in her first main track two-turn effort here in her last; finished in the better half in her turf debut two starts back; Wild Zone filly faces state-breds for the first time today; late factor.
Derby Wish filly held on for the place as the chalk here in her last against open turf maidens; she's the first foal out of her dam, who is a winning half sister to multiple stakes winner Toolighttoquit (9wins-$331K); posted the productive 3/4 published work since her last; contender.
Our Miss Huff
Couldn't keep up with Two Stall in her Louisiana Downs debut; gray filly will have to turn things around for her first turf-two-turn effort against most of these; will have to surprise; race filler.
My Goose Pie
This filly's only out of the money finishes were against state-bred straight maidens; first dam was 0 for 16 lifetime as a racehorse, although she is a half to 18-time winner Mystery Gate ($128K), and 18-time winner J. J.'s Comet ($67K); can't deny her check-getting ability; board finish.
Ike and Fannie
Ran her best race last time out against open $15K maiden claimers; dam won 13 out of her 58 lifetime starts, and she has produced two winners, including stakes-placed Not To Be Copied (3 wins-$106K on the turf); tough spot for her turf debut.
Miss Gina's Bag
Closed well breaking from the outside here in her last against state-bred MSW sprinters; proved well here on the slop earlier in the meet against lesser; barn looking for their fifth win of the meet; could prove well if she doesn't get used-up early breaking from the outside against these.
4th La. Downs
Finally showed spark of life third start off the EvD claim; might be fit enough turning back, but is she fast enough at 6f?; and seems to need early first-tier placement for best; betting on interior bid-and-fade; would be a surprise to find exacta again.
Hope and a Prayer
LeBlanc fresh from solid 3rd aboard Quadrophonic Sound in Sun.'s Super Derby; has a 33-win advantage on his nearest pilot pursuer; filly merits a look in rematch with Matter of Course and Princess Belek; June N3L score a blueprint for success; could rebound at a nice price.
Matter of Course
Freaked in the goo two prior, but right back to cold stretch stop a week ago having doubled the tag on the shift to open company; dime tag Cajunettes offer refuge again; but the scenario doesn't play out the same;fresh Juneberri a bigger pace threat than Collectible Rose proved to be; doubt the theft today.
Took some mild interest against these same faces in what appeared to be an evenly-matched Cajunette crew; but was dismissed as a Matter of Course and lost interest late; she's not a mudder, might be forgivable; but this is still a rough spot to get off the donut for the year with negative pace scenario; caught, passed again.
N4L is a condition that ought to be utilized everywhere; was the perfect spot to jump-start filly's summer campaign at EvD; yet there's another stop in her stop-and-start career; over five weeks off - late work?; doesn't need the lead; but still sports mixed signals in LaD bow; tote has the final answer .
Fishing the LaD basement for small catches; can make some noise moving up from the second tier in the turn, but does she have the heart to finish off decent crew of Cajunette 10k players?; third start off the summer layoff today; contrarians can take another look, but not quite convinced.
All heart; stretched exacta streak to 10 with clear second in late-season return 12 days ago; in her last four with La.-breds: two wins, beaten just a length and a neck in the other two; but FG & EvD are her favorites, LaD less so; Melancon a solid 21-6-3-2 with Bourgeois; short price, but not invincible.
Was making competent conditioned claiming progress in Acadia before throwing N4L dud that sent her to the bench for 11 weeks; Aug. a.m. duo ok, but substantial gap since; still think she comes running fresh and gives Matter of Course a tussle early; not sure she can skate clear, though; inclined to wait one.
5th La. Downs
Sire has very debut stats from a fairly small sample - so it wouldn't be a surprise to see this one first first time out; related to 2 winners, including Literate - a winner of 7 of 68 starts and $87k; slow works lessen the enthusiasm a bit.
Faced alw rivals in his racing debut at FP and showed some early speed before dropping back through the stretch; went off at 8-1 vs. that field and should find these mdn claimers much easier; shows two local works, neither fast, but the drop in class should make him a real threat, and the price might be OK.
Was on, or near, the lead throughout and just failed to hang on for the win vs. this kind in his second start; he improved sharply in that race on a sloppy track, but his breeding doesn't suggest that he should prefer a wet track, so chances are he will run just as well on a fast track; his speed figure in that race is much higher than any of his rivals have posted.
Nicely bred, being related to 2 stakes winners - including Gobo, who won the G3 Summer Stakes at age 2; quick works for Cole Norman, who is having a banner meet; big shot in debut.
Dam and sire have been largely unproductive; her 2 foals to race were winless heading into this year; slow works; siding with others.
Bluff This Bird
Was 28-1 and finished dead last vs. $25K mdn claimers in his racing debut; drops to the $15K level for this race, but he would still have to run much better to get any part of the purse; shows just one work since that race and it was slow.
Was far back early and passed some tired horses in the stretch in his debut at EvD; faced MSW foes in that one and was sent off at 10-1, so someone thought he could run; should find this mdn claiming field much softer, and he is probably going to run a lot better today.
You'll Believe Me
Was beaten just a nose by this kind in his last start, but his speed figure was quite a bit lower than that of Barnes Creek; battled for the lead throughout in that race and will probably be close up early again; he and Barnes Creek be the exacta if none of the others join them early.
Is the most experienced runner in this field but hasn't hit the board in five starts; his best speed figure is on a par with that of You'll Believe Me, and he seems less likely to improve than that one; was 45-1 vs. this kind in his last start and will probably be a big price again today; a distant 4th was his best finish, and he will have to improve sharply to be in the trifecta today.
Related to 3 winners; the best of those is Brini Baby, a winner of 9 races and over $100k; if he possesses talent like that, he could be a factor here; other foals weren't as accomplished; hard to gauge those Brd works; mixed signals.
Was 33-1 and 25-1 vs. this kind in his first two starts; he finished a distant 7th in his debut, then improved to be 5th in his last out; his speed figures are lower than several of the others have recorded, and there doesn't appear to be any reason why he should improve enough to be a major threat today.
Made his debut in the same race as The Factor and finished several lengths ahead of that one; however he was 25-1, a much longer price than that foe; his speed figure in that race is second only to Barnes Creek, and he switches to Ardoin, LaD's all-time leading rider; he didn't show much early speed in his debut and the outside post could hurt his chances.
6th La. Downs
J J been Duhon's key pilot, 16-4-2-1; but must sort some serious mixed signals from gelding; well below the buy level when wrapped and dinged at the start in Chicago slop flop 40 days ago - ugh; FG turf prowess just last Jan. seems a long time ago; but speed from the fence is legit scenario if Jacinto can hold 6yo together the full 5f; tricky call.
Doc's Got Game
LeBlanc for Bourgeois, 14-4-3-3; top pilot dominance of rider's race extends to turf, 80-18-9-15; liked colt's allowance upgrade in late Aug.; local dud two weeks ago predictable regression against long overdue for N2x Early Goer; nothing in two lawn start; and needs more; but still figures in with a stretch shot; tab.
Tatan Talk would have a strong look here, Seul Avenger always a solid dime tag player, so you know Retama set could have him ready; maybe doesn't have the mid-level tag credentials of some; but consistency tells; pressing style a perfect fit; 6yo worth consideration for exotics punch.
.500 turf lifetime - he has the grass experience many here lack; slashes the tag by more than half to shake off a slight case of the summer dulls; finished on even terms with Excuseforthejuice in July behind Zarb's Echo, who carded the meet record of :55.84 next out; takes the last shot today - is it enough?; demand a fair price first.
Diamond of Ice
Solid second-circuit nickel claimer got his pulse (and not his picture) taken with 8k main track Cajuns here over a month ago; like Colby's Bad Boy, hasn't found any kind of gift spot to make belated career turf debut; stalking speed might scare awhile; but couldn't support for more than minor slice.
Had occasionally lost interest when losing contact with the leaders; but last raises an eyebrow; decent breeze 18 days ago prepping for first start with new connections; fired fresh off similar break back at Houston; but needed every step of 7.5f two-turn route at Lone Star to prevail for similar tag back in May; later.
Faul with Bourgeois 39-3-9-11; Faul on turf 45-6-4-8; this is also the hot post, 7 for 37; combine that with 8yo warrior's six straight in the exotics, and he's a trifecta must, even with the Switch to his less-preferred surface; four-week freshener could be key; has a realistic chance for all on best, but favoritism might be hard to support enthusiastically.
While the gradual slide to 12.5k has brought colt around, previous pair of Sawyer course tries were forgettable; admittedly, turf dash pro Prankster or Zarb's Echo would clear this crew by 5; but Essoess will need no prompting to push this half below :45; which is past need-the-lead 4yo's comfort zone; not today.
Colby's Bad Boy
Can't figure why he went overlooked in the basement when running par figs at EvD; yet equally have to wonder if that 4k laugher will constitute 6yo's yearly score; makes belated turf bow in not the easiest spot; seems the spot to take a stand against repeat.
7th La. Downs
By a young stallion who is a Grade 1 winner of $1.2mm and who sired last year's champion 2-year-old filly Caressing; this one is the first foal from his placed dam, who is a half-sister to Dancer Court($43k); win candidate under leading rider LeBlanc.
By a stakes-placed winner of 6 races and $210k who has a limited number of starters from two crops to race; this one is the first foal from his dam, who was stakes-placed at 2 and who overall earned $63k; some nice works for bow.
Mr Sparkles Gem
Showed some speed at the start then settled for fifth place in his debut last out and he might have had an excuse for not running stronger through the lane in that race as he returns this afternoon with first Lasix; he also might have had some issues with running in the slop; sitting on an improved race.
Did not get into the race last out and note connections change things up for his second career start this afternoon with the addition of blinkers; might be more focused on racing with the new equipment, and he is one who could turn in an improved performance; minor award possible.
Golden Jet Eye
Son of the quick Golden Gear had the misfortune of debuting in the slop, but he ran a credible fifth, and should he get a fast strip this afternoon figures to move forward judging from his workouts under those conditions; nice work since last start, and he seems like one who can graduate.
De Real Deal
Did not make must of an impact in his last start and notice he was rank at the start of that race; he has since been given some time to clear his head, and shows a nice five furlong work for his return and adds blinkers for the first time; can run an improved race.
Lucky Jim R
Started his career with three strong races, but seems to have lost some of his punch as of late; barn has given him a month breather to recuperate from his last start, and he shows a nice set of works for his return; dangerous with flashback to his second place finish to eventual stakes winner Hail to Bag.
Out of the Gloom
High percentage rider Lovato joins forces with honest colt, who has managed to bring home a check in both of his career starts; he shows a sharp three furlong work for his first start back from a month break, and he is one who merits a long look given his consistent form; seems like a win candidate.
By a winner at 5 who earned $5,900 and who ranks below average as a debut sire; dam is a full sister to multiple stakes winner Gilyum($115k), and from 10 foals to race she has produced six winners, her best being Aunt Ping($155k).
By a winner of 3 races and $64k who rates as an average debut sire; he is the first foal from his dam, who is a winning full sister to the stakes-placed Tomorrow's Day($89k); sharp final work for bow.
By a stakes winner of 8 races and $205k; unraced dam is a half sister to stakes winner Floriano($151k), and from eight foals to race she has five winners, her best being Play On Ice, a winner of 18 races and $201k.
Ed's Best Man
From the first crop of his sire, a winner of 5 races and $141k who has no winners to date from a limited number of starters; he is the first foal to race from his dam, a minor stakes winner of 10 races and $61k; signaled readiness to debut with nice five furlong work 9/20.
8th La. Downs
Here Come Da Judge
Vast difference in the bottom of the conditioned claiming ranks and trying multiple winners and his latest result showed that dramatically; helped set a moderate pace that day and will have to work equally as hard today to keep up; foresee another vied and fade effort.
Fairly consistent sort as far as usually getting a check but the wins have been hard to come by this season; matters little whether he goes one turn or two although his rallies sprinting look better on paper; expect him to be relatively close to the early pace on the stretchout and he might be good enough for another small share.
Missed the board for the first time in quite some time after failing to fire; don't think it was the pace as he overcame much slower fractions the start before when he ran a big one from well back; takes a minor jump up on the class ladder today and considering he has shown very little in two previous local tries, he looks up against it.
Drop did the trick two back then he was unable to duplicate; did manage a distant third and finished in front of Blasted in the process; does win regularly and his four trips to the winner's circle this year more than anyone else; might be due for a big effort.
Chase La Vivat
Has shown very little this year and is still eligible for a non three spot; dreadful career record and what little life he has shown in the last 12 months have come going one turn; looking elsewhere.
Twice a winner this year for the 3k down south; not much in a couple of local efforts recently but they were around one turn; back in with fellow Cajuns for the first time in awhile and also gets two turns to work with; this is a wide open affair and he could surprise.
Another who may be better at a route of ground; this will be his third start back off the layoff and those two sprints probably have him sharp enough to go to the front early; not a whole lot of legit speed in here and he could hang on for a share.
Considering his last win came in a non four for 7.5k, he undoubtedly was overmatched in his last two with one of those coming on the turf; honest enough at the 10k level back in August and this level looks really good for him; public will likely bite on the drop so make sure his price is fair.
Took a couple of months off after his spring campaign and picked up right where he left off which was no where; other than prompting the pace early in his last couple he has not been heard from; will wait until he shows some signs of sticking around when the real running starts.
He's Jack Boy
Another who did not seem to benefit much if any at all from an extended vacation; it has been years since he has visited the winner's circle and doubt that he will have his picture taken today.
Like Zeuqram's, he is taking what looks to be a very useful dip down the class ladder; still trying to find a competitive level after finishing his conditions and if he runs his most recent back he may have found it; proven at the distance and if the public is shy about his chances, so much the better.
Thomas had him more than ready after being off for almost a year as he proved very game in his non three win; might have expected a little bounce in his next start but he got beat a pole while not showing his usual turn of early foot; no doubt a pace player on the stretch out but given his last performance, a wire job appears unlikely.
9th La. Downs
Wheeling right back in five days after not showing much on Super Derby Sunday; did run a little better than his initial start on the turf but he still has a way to go; this might be a little softer spot than those allowance races although he still has to face some proven grass performers.
Has had some success sprinting this year and this will be his first two turn effort in quite some time; appears to be a pace factor today and a lot depends on how the turf course is playing; speed has not been faring very well lately on the infield and that does not speak well of his chances today.
Mr. Paul S.
Louisiana-bred making his turf debut today and his pedigree does not exactly jump off the page for a move to the grass; difficult to argue with is recent success on the main, however, as he has got the money in a starter event after finishing his conditions; looks like a stretch, but if he handles the weeds, who knows.
Blue Twisted Steel
Looked like he was on his way back three starts back with that solid second then did not move forward in his next two, especially his most recent when he got back on his favorite surface; connections sweated out the non three at the claim box in July return as he qualified for the starter conditions; present form aside, he does get turf magician Perrodin.
Devil Me Care
Long and arduous '01 campaign might have caught up to him in last when he wanted no part of the action; mandatory work since after not finishing does not bode well for his chances to turn things around; take a look at him on the track and play at your own risk.
Grass debut not too bad as he caught a similar group and picked up a small check; both main track wins came when he stalked a quick opening half mile and then pounced; don't see a whole lot of speed in here so he may not have the best of it.
Most accomplished of the field in terms of class level and recent success on today's surface; found himself a little too far back in the early going in most recent and without much pace present today, Ardoin may actually go to the front; expecting a rebound.
One of the better claims at the meeting as this former 5k performer has a steady string of in-the-money finishes, including a tidy win in starter company two back; paid the price for a tardy break at odds-on in his last and if he catches the break today, he may be a factor from start to finish.
Took the remainder of the summer off after finishing further and further back in his last three; recent five furlong move pretty good but he needed a couple of races to get back in form from a similar layoff from December to April; will wait at least one.
Certainly could have drawn better as he almost surely will try and go to the front in here after all those sprints; just the one win from two dozen turf starts but that was for the most part before Norman got him for the quarter back in June; winner going seven panels on the main for a big tag since the claim so possible he can get the two turns.
10th La. Downs
Double digit defeats in three starts as his price has continued to go up and up; fair amount of early speed and he did draw the rail; gets the hard-riding Jacinto today but little to indicate that he will run much past a half a mile.
Ran to his price in both career outs as he also checked out at the head of the lane; addition of Lasix did not appear to help last time and without any wake up works between starts, he is another who looks up unlikely to run turn things around.
Picked up a couple of rivals last time after the issue had been decided in his first sprint in awhile; that was an improvement over his previous start so maybe he is headed in the right direction; would like his chances for a share more if there was a lot of speed present.
Black Eyes Buck
Eight starts and he has less than $200 to show for them; has turned back from two turns to a sprint previously without any results whatsoever; looking elsewhere.
Visiting his sixth different track in a dozen starts; has not shown much other than those two EVD races where he got involved in the trifecta each time; barn sending out their first starter of the meeting and they did get one of the best with maidens in Guillory; might get a share.
Twenty Five Below
Blinkers come off today but looking at the two starts he had without him to begin his career, do not know if that is a good thing or not; showed a little early lick in those two seven furlong efforts so he might be good enough to sneak in the gimmicks.
Idle since August and he did not exactly set the world on fire after a couple of previous layoffs; no published works of late as he is another who may be in for a long afternoon.
With just the one start, at least the jury is still out on him, unlike most of the rest of this bunch; failed to break in debut and that was the infamous rail bias afternoon when you had to be in front and on the inside; did manage to make up about a dozen lengths the final half mile without making an impact; considerable improvement a distinct possibility.
Has broken slowly in every start and took the overland route in most recent to compound matters; not much to recommend in this group and if he can somehow break better today, he certainly should be heard from.
Tough spot to make a first start last time as he was on the turf and around two turns; winner that day is pretty nice and he should find this group far more to his liking; Asmussen has started several careers like this one and they have run far better in their second starts; on the negative side, why is one bred this nicely in for a 10k tag?
Not much from him either going a route or a sprint; has had some time off but only the one indifferent gate work going three furlongs; big odds in every start and expect him to be again today.
My Carol Grand
Another with a nice pedigree who has not exactly honored it; showed a little late run two back on the grass but was never a factor at EVD most recently; this will be the softest spot in some time but he has not shown much spark at this level previously; might get a small share but a win does not appear likely.