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A CLOSER LOOK at Hastings Park races on 9/30
Ask My Lawyer
Drop to the bottom and the better post could mean a better race; whether or not he can handle open winners is uncertain but at this level he might be able to do so.
Has the improved form and the better post that he might need in order to run well enough after the improved race last time; he is eligible as are many in here and if he is in double digits, he might be worth consideration.
Faced similar last time and based on what he did would rather wait and see another and better performance from him; the sophomore winner of one may have to improve to win.
Is currently off form and has been unable to carry his speed; would like to see him stay around a little longer and would then reconsider.
Won at Kam recently with a middle move but was unable to come close to that in his last from the outside; it is hard to say that he will run that much better from this post, but were he to run back to the win, he would likely dominate this lot.
Ran pretty well when he shifted to this venue and that good race recommends him as one to consider in this open affair where wake-ups are often what wins; he is till a local maiden but has a chance in this match up and he does know how to win elsewhere when it is expected from him.
Has been racing in this condition recently and his race at this distance last time was somewhat better; today he will either build on that and be a contender or that was his best and he will tail off; would be prepared to take a chance that he will trip well and run well if he is still near double digits.
Ran well without the blinkers last time; he and Hailraiser could be close together again; like that one he might improve or tail off.
Has a couple of works since his last and he looks as if he can be competitive if he can get the trip from his outer post; he is a closer and there should be some pace for him to run at; contender though the winless streak is troubling.
As the first-time-at-the-bottom runner with decent from and fewer starts than most and this year he is the top pick in this field and the play at 7-2 or better; preferred.
One of the more experienced youngsters in the field and this grey has done well in all of his outings; he recently moved back into the maiden ranks and while he has been weakening a bit in the late stages, he has not been beaten far; his day will come soon and he does get a good post position.
Was a longshot for his debut and had a bad start as another rival took his path and then he had a miscue; he gets a new rider as Loseth is on 'Shogun; let's give him another.
Regular DRF features (Beyer Figures, trainer stats) are not available right now at time of this writing so while this guy's latest looks great, it's hard to known how he matches up with, say, Predominater or others, on speed numbers; still, he is learning quickly and has to be considered.
Nicely bred colt broke 7th of 8 in his debut but rallied steadily to finish 2nd but that race was for intermediate claiming and this is a significant step up in class; could improve and get into the exotics picture.
Stella Be Good
Has a very current pedigree as she's a 1/2 sister to Manitoba Derby winner Stage Classic, who raced in Saturday's B.C. Derby; the sire is above average with debut runners but this gal might want even more distance; tab the tote board for betting support.
Returns to his home base after a couple of top three placings at Emerald in maiden claiming races and he needs to find a bit more power in the stretch; that seemed to his problem in the latter stages of his previous Hastings races; consider.
Stretched out in distance 2nd time out and pressed the pace of Lord Shogun and finished evenly while the latter just missed the win; he has a new rider as Krasner stays with 'Kris.
Promising gelding was never far off the pace in his debut and he was 2nd best behind a good looking winner who is well bred; Krasner appeared to have other options; contender.
Raced evenly and off the pace in a short race in his debut and he should appreciate the added distance based on his breeding; Patzer is on another but he gets able replacement in Fuentes; the wide post might be troubling.
Alexander the Grey
Had an unsettling debut race when he returned lame but after the layoff, showed good speed to be a clear 2nd in a short race; colt is a sentimental favourite and he stretches out for the first time, so expect him to try for the lead from his wide post; contender.
Beginner needs a scratch to draw in but if he does, he'll get a wide post; his sire is below average with debut winners but the dam is a stakes winner; this is a full brother to the stakes placed 2yo Irish Pleasure.
Etched In Brass
Top half of the Jordan entry has a good chance with the drop last time but failed to measure up to his favored status; he gets another chance from the inside and for the same price; he can be competitive again, though he might need to run a little better to beat all of these.
C. R. Special
Has a couple of wins the next level up but was not competitive when he was dropped to face these kind last start; not easy to predict a wake up reversal today and he is a question mark when in search of the likely winner.
Has pace pressing speed which could be a useful approach with Kingsview in the mix; he must cope with Silent Launch again but he might be able to work out a favorable pace trip and could be tough from there; contender.
Has been experimenting with blinkers first and Lasix last time; he shortens up and this may be the wrong spot for a router who likes to run up front to tackle these sprinters; that makes him very iffy unless he will do his running late.
Has been having a good year and dropped to win last time and beat a couple of these in the process; he has tractable speed and the ability to handle the pace that could be set here; when on his game he can run good efforts back to back and can compete with these kind; contender.
Ran a little better when he dropped but he will have to improve on that; his prior race is more in line and shortening up he could run back to that; that would make him of interest as he should sit a nice trip behind a fast pace; for the board at least.
Second from the entry will bring speed to the mix and if he can be rated he might never be caught even though he is stepping up in class; he has worked and looks as if he can clear without too much trouble; not sure that he is value at odds on but he does figure to be there for a long while.
Go Down Moses
Has closing speed and is stepping up after several wins this year with easier and from only a few starts; he will be tough again and will have a good pace to run at; his chances may depend on how pressured the pace is and how long they will be around but he has a pair of works and does figure to run his race; and if he is fast enough...
Gets to run long again and from the inside where she ran well last opportunity to narrowly miss with better after a decent work and with the drop she is the one to fear; contender.
Newcomer from Emd was not doing enough there to even think about today; if this track wakes him up, then he can be considered next time.
Will race with blinkers as she stretches out after two sprints; the slower pace might help but she is going to need a lot of improvement to be competitive going this far.
Aisle Of Gems
This Emd shipper could have a major impact on the running and the outcome as well if she can reproduce here what she was doing there; her tractable speed should lead to a good trip; would have liked her more with a good work over the surface; a possibility.
Has been competitive in her recent races though she has made so many starts one worries if she will ever shed her maiden status; will give the edge to others as win bettors should do but for those who focus on the exotics she is one to include underneath on at least some tickets.
Like her last race a bit but then she rarely reaches contention and may still be a bit too slow for these kind; if she does build on her latest she could be around at the end but that looks a bit risky.
Good race last time and those who believe in animal abuse (the whip) will no doubt be using that as an excuse to jump on board; those who know that even the best riders can't make a horse run faster will figure she ran her race; her fair races are a little better and it does show that she will win when she is in the right spot though she runs faster against easier; could be that third Lasix will be the right time.
Was far back early and managed to close some ground last time with a wide trip; it is very possible that she will get a similar trip today but that was a good race for her and could move her forward today; a possibility.
Dance With A Kat
Is coming around with Lasix and if she can run back to her latest or even improve today, she should be contentious for the win as she drops and stretches and has run well going the distance with better.
Has the rail and is back in with easier where she did win before; this shapes up as a competitive race and if she can run back to her latest or one of her better races she should have a say in the outcome.
Won earlier in the meet and almost notched her third when in this class last time but she just failed to carry her speed the entire distance; maybe with that race and another work she will run another good race and there is not all that much committed early speed in here which could lead to a good trip and a competitive race.
Chi Chi La Mombo
She is lightly raced and she has only two wins so it is up to you to make the decision about whether the lower price means an easier race; while that remains uncertain and even if she does run a little better it looks as if the pace and the race will still be too fast for her based on her past best.
First runner form the Clyde entry has a win at the meet and should be relevant here as she drops to a low; her speed is tractable and if she moves ahead with the easier company she would be contentious.
Has run some borderline races in her last few starts and if she gets a good trip she could get the race she needs to at least share; as is so often the case making decisions on how well others will run borders on a guessing game; not out of the question though a couple of the others look a little better.
Feu On Fire
Does drop to this class for the first time; that in itself could lead to better though the pace is not going to be that much different; like the fact that she worked and she has not made that many starts in her career; she probably will have to run better; that is certainly a possibility; consider for some exotics if she is near 20-1.
Hold Your Britches
Has raced in this class for her last three and has done little; the work last time may have her heading in the right direction but she will probably run a better race in the interim and before she fires; if she reverses like the last win, while we can predict that anyway.
Good form with better and the drop after a work should be the right ingredients for a contentious effort today; if she runs close to her last she is the one to beat and all she needs is to get a good and patient trip; prime win contender; preferred.
Is two wins for three starts in the class; she figures to be right there again with the usual trip proviso as she did not do so well the last time she was posted outside when her best race would have won it.
AE has had her share of chances at this level and has not been running well enough recently; have no reason to think that she will run that much better today and will look to others.
Touched By N Angel
Second Clyde entry runner will race with the blinkers on for the first time; she did win when she dropped to this level the first time but has been less effective of late; the blinkers could help though unless she does better she is unlikely to get a whole lot.
Have to ignore her debut even though she was almost 50 to 1 as she broke slowly; she gets the rail and a rider change for her 2nd start; still watching.
Had a poor start in her debut race but made her way past several rivals to get a share; she was well bet next time out but didn't come through for the fans as she raced wide and faded by the halfway point; care to try her again hoping for a rebound?
Has been competing at this class level in recent starts and is still searching for her first top three placing; Patzer was aboard her for a race 3 starts ago but nothing happened and she has been a bit better in recent outings; minor share again.
Rallied very wide for a 2nd place finish 2 starts ago and she stretched out in distance for her latest but got too far behind in the early stages and she could not recover; her late rally seems to be more pronounced in shorter races.
Began her career at this level but has been well beaten in 2 starts and she has work to do yet.
Dropped to this level for her latest but faded after sitting a good trip in a longer event; she should appreciate the turn back in distance but a little more pizzazz in the stretch run is needed; she gets a learning apprentice aboard so check to see if Wright is carrying a whip.
Tumbles in class from the highest maiden level to the lowest and that could lead to a wake up outing; consider.
Ran one of the best races of her career last time when 2nd at this level and while Beyer Figures and other DRF features are not available right now at time of writing, she probably fits.
Showed improved speed last time but needs to work on her stamina in the stretch; she drops in class again and gets yet another rider change; for the exotics.
Experienced maiden seemed to like the slick going of the track in her latest and she just missed as a longshot; whether she can reproduce that race 'right back' in 9 days is a question especially since she drew a wide post.
Needs a scratch to draw in from the also eligible list and would rate a 2nd look if she did; she recently went on the Lasix program and had a wide trip on a wet-fast track in her latest but she was not beaten far.
Speedy gal would have to use some of that early lick if she were to clear this field from a wide post (which she'd get if she drew in) but she has been in good form at Emerald and might be good enough to be a major contender at this track.
Free And Bold
Steps up off a win, his fourth of the year and his best races are relevant; he has a good post and does seem to match up well in here; contender if he can run back to his last or even improve a little.
J V Bennett
Shortens up after winning going long last time and if he expects to win here he will have to adopt different tactics as he is unlikely to make the front in here; he has lots of wins and has been patient before so he really cannot be counted out; could repeat in his second off the recent claim.
Mr Superior Knight
Drops to his lowest level in some time after running poorly in the slop last time; he is another with speed tendencies and has been as quick as any of these; with the drop and after his first work in a while following some time off he could be very tough on the other speed if he shows up with a good race.
Shortened up after a couple of routes and he could be even sharper after he shortened up last time; that could be an ideal running style and with the drop he looks very promising in here as he should get a decent trip; could be the tough one; contender.
Faces a stiff pace test in here and stepping up he is unlikely to be able to run his best and his best is not going to be good enough either.
Is currently not running well and it is uncertain that the drop alone will turn his game around; that with the works and a good race today could make him a lot more interesting next time; don't see him as likely today but he is worth tabbing for next time.
Is one of the front runners who will have a tough time clearing as he steps ahead in class; he has been working his way up the claiming ranks and he has worked again; a lot will depend on the break and he usually does that part of it well; could be tough but then he could be nowhere if too much pace pressure develops.
Is dropping and has worked well twice and will no doubt attempt to get a good front-end trip this time; he will have his work cut out from the outside with some other possible speed to his inside; he does not win too often and without the good trip he is tough to like.
Draws the rail in a wildly competitive race and he is one of a couple who take big class drops for this event; he has been nibbling on the edges against much better (Paladdie and Keyron were among the entrants in Saturday's 'Derby) and as he gets the rail, he should have a good trip in this easier spot; logical factor.
Consistently good gelding likes to mix it up on the pace and that's the same story with Waddaguy and Revington, so he'll have to avoid a duel; he was claimed from his latest when he just missed winning his 2nd of his last 3 starts; contender.
Drops in class for his 3rd start since his maiden score and he has been pressing the pace against better and that bodes well for this easier event; Krasner appeared to have other options.
Has not run a bad race this year but he is one of a few moving up in class while others are dropping; he has been grabbing shares on a regular basis but his latest win came against older; he is back with his own age group but gets a learning apprentice aboard.
Plunged in claiming price last time and won easily as the heavy favorite and it should be noted that he was favoured for 3 previous outings; he zooms back up in class off the claim and he is one of several pace possibilities in this competitive field.
Had a nice record going until he won his maiden and he's had a tough time in his latest pair; he stretched out in distance last time and was a factor until the midway point; the shorter distance should agree with him and it's encouraging that Fuentes sticks with him.
Need a confidence boost and got it last time when he crushed his foes for $5,000; he ran fast enough in that race, according to the time, to be considered a possibility despite the class rise, but his wide post is not helpful.
Drops into a conditioned contest after running in tougher spots; it will take an improved race from him but he would be relevant should he run back to his penultimate race; at the shorter distance, that could be less than likely though; perhaps he is sharpening for next time.
Ran better since the blinkers have come off; he has had a lot of starts but is relevant with his best and he really might appreciate a fast track; he has worked and with the move to the inside there is reason to think that he will run a good race; interesting prospect.
Popped on first Lasix to win his first race with easier and was nowhere close to that last time; he has freshened and has worked well of late but he is going to need a much improved race and looks questionable today.
In search of a revival and reversal he will put the blinkers on today; will see it work first; maybe next time.
Seek N Strike
Ask yourself this before you get all excited about him: why the drop and will he be a fair price at _?_; he has the best figures (we have different PP's so we cannot guarantee that the Beyers say the same, and being winless in two years the drop makes sense; sometimes the better numbers produce with no form and sometimes they don't; he might be playable at 4- or 5-1.
Would seem to be more effective at longer distances and unless he will run a lot closer to his route races now that he has sprinted once he will have his hands full again; the fact that he failed to produce with the major drop last time makes him an "X" for us today. (and do think again about Seek N Strike if you were thinking about him!)
Will take a pass on him today; sure there is always a chance of a reversal of form but why make the guess.
A Really Good show
Likes to run forwardly and this is a good mix for that; he has worked and is a threat to be up front and some of the others will have to show up with good races to beat him if he does get away well; contender.
Fifteen starts and poor finishes in his recent races in this class make him one of the easy eliminations.
Won his debut and has run some good efforts of late though his latest was not one; he was claimed again and if the work is a hint as to what he will do today he could be one to take a really good look at in the paddock and then the tote and then.
AE has found the mix of Lasix and without blinkers the best for him and has shown a flexibility of running styles of late; he is within range should he get to run with his chances related to a good trip and the performances of others.
Good Is A Given
AE has started to run better now that he has dropped and if he can continue to race in improved fashion and can approach his best races of the spring he can be close with a good trip.