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Updated on 09/15/2011 2:04PM
A CLOSER LOOK at Hastings Park races on 9/23
One-time winner looks to be in too tough a spot as she is too slow and some of these multiple winners will have no trouble with her, even if she regains her best form which she is unlikely to do in this pace scenario and back inside.
Has been running pretty well of late and she does drop for today's race; she will face a contested pace scenario but if the inside is the place she would have that edge and she should at least be competitive with a good effort today; she has put in a couple of half miles since her latest; should at least make a race of it.
Beat better earlier in the year and then dropped to best easier last time for her second win of the season; that is one of the best last races and she has the positional speed to get the kind of trip she needs to repeat, which would make her a contender.
Has been enjoying a strong campaign being well spotted with easier company and will face her toughest test today as she rises to her highest level in some time; she can be competitive with her best of the year and she can either sit or go; contender too, with her tractability but would not want to be taking too short a price with the pace and the competition.
She does seem to run well switching distances but she might be dependent upon others not running their better races even if she does run hers as she does not appear to be as fast as some of these; she has a quick 3F to help with the cutback and if a hot pace duel develops she will have a better chance with her late closing rush; better chance at the board than the win even as she drops.
Was winning her second and third races in her last couple of starts and she now moves into open company in the same classification which should provide a stern test of her abilities; her speed is tractable but the pace may be too fast for her in this one and she does start from the outside; would not rate her as impossible but she does face a stiff test of her abilities today, and others are preferred.
Fast Lane Jane
Goes for a tag in her second start and gets the inside; has an improved work but will need a big performance change to be competitive; that often happens in the second start; a possibility.
Dropped and tried Lasix to show signs of progress last time; she has worked and gets an inner post for the first time; she could improve enough to be dangerous today.
Showed some positives in her penultimate and then ran just as well when stepped up in company last time; she looks interesting in here even though she has had ten starts to date; she has a short breeze to keep her on edge.
My Mad Money
Newcomer to the local scene has been running better at Emd in recent races and if she can transfer her form to this venue it looks as if she might get a pace trip that she can handle; did work before the ship and is relevant if she can run a similar race today.
Has now had a couple of local starts in non-claiming company and it will depend on what the class change will mean to the performance today; if she can run closer to her claiming races at Emd she will have a better chance; a difficult read.
Feu Kan Promise
Should go better for the first experience and will need that to be competitive; she has a couple of interim works which could also have a positive effect on performance; not out of the question, though she has some catching up to do.
Four Anne Affair
The first foal of a stakes placed winner she is by a sire with modest success in the debut category; latest work was not bad but she has to get away alertly and a good trip to stay the way; others preferred.
Has put together a great record and was a winner in his first route race from the outside last time; he is back in the same class and could be even better for the route experience; if he runs his race again he should be right there and tough to beat.
Chased Autumn Red home last time and the one-time winner gives up an edge in the win department to that one; he is another who could run better with the route experience and a challenge to the top one could be in the cards if he does so, as he also starts from a better post.
Has more route experience than many of the others and his win did come at the distance but he is still off his best form and without his best he is unlikely to challenge.
Tried Lasix for the first time last start and he may have the advantage of stretching out as an early-speed type and the chance to be lone speed; he was unsuccessful in his earlier attempt but maybe with the Lasix things will go better; if the track looks to be favoring speed he would be even more interesting, but he might have to run his best to stay on the lead at the end.
Has been searching for his best -blinkers, Lasix, distance- and until he shows that he has found the right combination he is not one to focus on.
Will try going long for the first time; some closers make good stretch out candidates though the longer distance takes the punch out of many a late kick; it is unclear what kind of trip he will get and he will need a good one and probably a better race if he wants the win; going to watch this time, in the win category at least.
Has not been breaking alertly of late often a signal to be attentive to; he came with a rush and was closing through the stretch; that was a good race for him and he will need a race like that here; he has another work and is a live contender if he can repeat his last; if he can do so without problems he could get there first.
Seemed to run a little better when the blinkers went back on last time and while the rail should help he might need an even better effort today if he is to topple some of these multiple winners; the pace may be faster than he likes and he may have too much on his plate this time...unless he improves in his second with the blinkers back.
Won his last start here before going off the Emd and a return to that winning form could see him back in the winner's circle at this lower level; his latest was dull over a wet surface and against a fast pace; he has had some time off with a couple of recent works and a good race in his first of this year he is worth a good look in the paddock before making the final betting decision.
Has a couple of works since a dull last start and he is dropping back where he belongs and where he won two starts back; a repeat of either of those two wins would give him a legitimate chance to win here and his on-the-pace running style should suit this match up rather well.
Would seem to fit here though most of his wins have come against easier opposition to date; the record is to be respected and while he is no standout in this match up he is in with a good shot with a repeat of his latest and there may even be room to run better than that.
Has been running well most of the time but may have been overmatched last start; he should be far more comfortable with today's running and he should at least be close to the money if he runs back to his best; he might be a little bit too slow to win from outside if some of the others run their race, which would complicate his pace trip.
The closer to his best he can run, the better his chances; he has worked but he likes to be near the front and there is enough speed to his inside to perhaps keep him out there a bit too long; he is not out of the question, but may need a lot of things to fall into place if he is to win this time.
Could make it interesting in his second try at the longer distance with the rail and possibly ready to run better in his third start with Lasix; he will need an improved race but he should have the foundation to run one, if he has it in him; is not out of the question.
Ran well in his first local start and the lead could be his with the inner draw would expect that he will run much better than his first route which came in stakes company; how quickly he establishes command -if he attempts that tactic- will have a major impact on how he finishes and the habitual slower starts are a concern.
Has faced easier and has not done enough to make his case; off his latest with easier he probably does not figure with these.
Sire can get a horse ready to run and the dam a winner has two winners from two to race both going long and one at first asking; barn enjoying a strong meet but the preparation leaves one wondering just how ready he is.
Has yet to finish in the money in eight starts at a variety of distances and also with claimers; he has worked a couple of times since his latest at Emd where he beat one and he would seem to be very improbable in this mix as he tries to stretch out.
Is stepping up after a narrow miss in his first route attempt against easier company; he is improving and is relevant; now it is a question of how he handles the tough beat last time and whether he can get the lead in hear; has worked and if he can run his race he will be very competitive.
Filly takes on the boys and she looks very promising off her latest though the pace won't be easy and she has backed away in her first two route attempts after being in contention early; she showed signs of moving forward last time; can be there for a while but whether she can stay all the way with boys, well that is an uncertainty.
Lets Dream Darling
Searching for the right mix of ingredients his first race is still his best and he will have to get back to that; his latest was dull and it is difficult to like him in here stepping up and starting from the outside.
My Bonny Flag
Recent graduate at the sprint will have to come close to her best effort as she stretches out for this one; at the very least she should get a favorable trip and she should have a chance at making the board though others do look better.
Was a minor upsetter last time as she went to the front in this condition to wire non-winners of three and gain her second career win from 36 starts; while there are a couple of sprinters stretching out she could get away with the same tactics today and there are no real stars to threaten her in this array; contender to do again what she just did.
She is two for 21 and with the way she has been performing of late is not likely to make any significant impact on this field; not even sure that her latest win would be good enough and she is somewhat inexperienced at the distance too.
She is two for 34 and did recently win her second race at lower levels but at the distance; she had no real excuses except herself against Pacific Blue last time and she looks unlikely to reverse that outcome, and even if the other one does not run her race there are others in here for her to worry about.
Char Da Valley
Is currently in sharp form and has probably been helped by the off surfaces she has been getting; stretching out after an interim work she looks as if she can get a pace trip and while she is a winner of only one, facing conditioned company may be just what the doctor ordered; can improve; one of the preferred win prospects.
I Wanna Dance
Has limited experience at the distance and if she can take a relaxed approach to these proceedings she might be able to mount a meaningful late threat; there are plenty of uncertainties about her but she certainly is possible with the slower pace and competitive speed at shorter distances.
Came close to catching Pacific Blue last time with a wide trip and she might be able to run at that one again; how she trips will determine where she finishes; she could be back on track and is worth a good look especially if playing the exotics.
Has been off form all year and there is little reason to forecast a reversal with her starting on the far outside; unlikely.
Fleet miss gets the rail and that's beneficial to her style, which is to bomb to the lead and try and beat her foes to the wire; she has a bit more trouble 'wiring' the field in longer races and her arch rival Make Contact is back from a short trip to Washington; if she gets any early pressure, that will hurt her chances, but she comes into this race off a nice win; threat.
Part of the entry is a 3yo who is still trying to beat her elders; she turned back to a sprint distance in the Cover Girl but could not catch up in time to 'Derby but the distance change is in this gal's favour; she added Lasix for that race and has a new rider for this important event; both parts of the entry appear to be factors.
Grabbed her 3rd stakes win of the season in her latest at Emerald, winning an important race with a front running style; she won't be able to use that method with success in this race as Grooms Derby, her arch rival, is to her inside, but if that one gets any pressure, this gal will be ready to pounce; big shot.
Picks up shares on a regular basis in the local stakes events but had an 'off' day in her latest when she cut back in distance for the Cover Girl; she ran her race when 3rd to 'Grey' in her previous start and a similar placing is likely.
Had a better start last time and closed well to be 2nd behind front running 'Derby but the distance change might not work in this gal's favour; she appears to be better in shorter races as her stretch rally is more pronounced in those events; minor share.
Grey Tobe Free
Upset Grooms Derby in the Senate Appointee, suddenly turning her form around after a good trip behind the fast pace; note that she was well beaten by Make Contact in the Sun Handicap so that last win was shocking; she had a fast workout recently and that suggests she remains sharp.
Won the Distaff on Cup day with a front running style under jockey Patzer but that pilot has moved to another fast runner, Grooms Derby; this gal pressed a hot pace in the Senate Appointee but weakened and the early fractions will be hot in this tough race; outsider.
Has been picking up shares behind some of these gals but she is seeking her first victory and this is another spot; she is a late runner hoping for a very hot pace and one of these days, she might catch up.
Most are dropping so the class change loses most of its impact; he could be on the upside of his cycle and would need a top effort; there could be a contested pace for him to run at, and he should be on some of the exotic tickets.
Does seem to be making some progress but may need to be more aggressive to avoid the trip problems; should be about ready for a big race in his third career start and while others do look more promising he can improve enough to be there and is one who could make the ticket somewhat exciting.
His penultimate race was fairly decent and he may have been uncomfortable in the slop last time which would account for the poor finish after dueling from the outside; he could be on the lead today after the fast works during the layoff and while he has had a lot of opportunities he may be getting his best chance at it today; contender if he looks fit and ready.
Won a couple of fair races earlier and has been getting accustomed to blinkers and Lasix in his last two starts he might be starting to get the hang of things; he is somewhat of a questionable proposition but tracing down to the bottom (actually that is where old-timers used to start the handicapping process) there is a very relevant race.
Have to like the way he improved in his third start and has to be considered again today off that; key question here is does he need the lead or now that he is fit and dropping can he be rated and try to run by; too low a price is the only deterrent to a play today.
Doing All Right
Drop back in for a tag after a form-darkening race with better could see him off at a fair price and he may well be the quickest of the fast; he is worth a good look as he might clear and would then be tough to catch.
Would really like to see him draw inside now that he is adapting to the blinkers; he has his work cut out for him from the outside, but one of these days he could improve and then he would have a shot; just don't know that he will get the trip today.
Save the fact that second starts produce major form reversals for that reason alone he does not look ready to overcome all those who outfinished him last time when he started from a better post; maybe he likes the outside better.
Just An Attitude
Cannot consider today off what he has shown so far; even with the interim work he is a tough call to show enough all of a sudden to make the ticket.
All he needs is easy enough company as he has shown winning tendencies at other venues where the company is easier; might not have the easiest of trips from here, but is in with a shot with his best race so would have to include on some tickets at least.