- DRF Bets
- Handicapping & PPsThoroughbred Past Performances
ReportsPremium NewsDigital PapersHorsemen's Products
- DRF Classic PDF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Equibase PPs
- TrackMaster PPs
- NewsCategoriesTrack Notes
- DRF TV
- StorePast Performances
- Compare all DRF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF Classic PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Expanded Closer Looks
- Equibase & Trackmaster PPs - Thoroughbred
Churchill Downs: Fort Larned seeks fresh start in Stephen Foster
In the pantheon of Breeders’ Cup Classic winners, Fort Larned hardly has distinguished himself as one of the all-time greats. In fact, if he doesn’t do something pretty soon – and Saturday in the Stephen Foster Handicap at Churchill Downs would be a good time to start – Fort Larned is in danger of becoming known as one of the more forgettable winners of America’s richest race.
Trainer Ian Wilkes is painfully aware Fort Larned has been a disappointment in his two starts this year. Wilkes is intent on setting things right, starting Saturday.
“I honestly think he’s as good this year as he was last year,” Wilkes said. “I’d be shocked if he doesn’t start showing that.”
Fort Larned capped a sensational 2012 with a 9-1 victory in the $5 million Classic last November at Santa Anita under Brian Hernandez Jr. It was his fifth win in a nine-race campaign that also included a triumph in the Grade 1 Whitney at Saratoga. His earnings for the year were nearly $3.6 million.
But things have not gone to plan in his 5-year-old season. Fort Larned stumbled badly out of the gate in his season debut, the March 9 Gulfstream Park Handicap, throwing Hernandez immediately to the ground, and then he was a no-excuse fifth when beaten 10 lengths in the April 13 Oaklawn Handicap.
“We didn’t expect to be in this position nearly halfway into the year,” Wilkes said. “But it’s like, ‘Welcome to the real world.’ Sometimes things just don’t go the way you expect them to.”
Granted, Fort Larned has a long way to go to match the futility of a few other Classic winners. Cat Thief, the 1999 Classic winner, never won again in 11 tries. Volponi, who won in 2002, also was blanked in his next eight starts. But the ambitious schedule Wilkes has planned for the balance of 2013 strongly suggests the horse will need to get back to serious business to become a second-half factor.
The rest of the year starts with the Grade 1 Foster and will end, Wilkes hopes, with another run in the BC Classic, to be run Nov. 2 at Santa Anita. In between, there will be as many as three races in New York: the Grade 1 Whitney and/or the Grade 1 Woodward at Saratoga and the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park.
Wilkes said Fort Larned has been “very focused and very happy” in his recent training at Churchill. The horse has had seven workouts since the Oaklawn Handicap, ending with a five-furlong breeze Monday morning.
“I gave him a little break after the Oaklawn race, and I’ve kind of changed up his work schedule to tease him,” he said. “We’re trying to keep him sharp and his head in the game.”
Hernandez was aboard Fort Larned for the last three works. He, as much as anyone, is eager to prove the horse has not lost a step. The Gulfstream debacle remains a sour memory that could be diminished with a win Saturday.
“My first thought when I was laying on the ground at Gulfstream was, ‘No way that just happened,’ ” he said. “In those big races, the last thing you expect is for one to stumble as badly as he did.”
But those things do happen. What may have been even more unsettling was what occurred at Oaklawn, when Fort Larned had good position through the early stages before fading badly as the 1-2 favorite.
“I always warm him up by himself, and that day he just wasn’t as happy as when he’s ready to run a big race,” Hernandez said. “I think it was more the racetrack [surface] than anything. He wasn’t as happy as when I can sense he’s going to run a big race.
“Down the backside, I kind of squeezed on him, and he was just kind of flat,” he said. “It was just one of those deals. The good thing is, it really seems like he’s back to himself. He’s finishing up great in his works.
“Anytime a horse wins the Breeders’ Cup Classic, it’s hard to lose confidence in him – although I know lot of people across the country have. I’m really wanting him to show up where we get people talking about him again.”
Hernandez will make up most of the 121-pound impost Fort Larned will carry as the Foster co-highweight with Successful Dan. With defending champion Ron the Greek and Take Charge Indy also in the Foster lineup, it’s possible Fort Larned could be as high as the fourth wagering choice in the 1 1/8-mile race, although Wilkes raised his eyebrows in mock delight at the thought.
“Fourth choice?” he said with a sly grin. “I think I’d have some of that.”
Regardless of the odds, Wilkes and the racing public know what Fort Larned is capable of. In the BC Classic, Fort Larned earned a 117 Beyer Speed Figure with his hard-fought, half-length score over Mucho Macho Man. It was the fifth time in seven races he had earned a Beyer of 108 or better. Moreover, as usual, the best horses in training at the time were in the BC Classic field, including Game On Dude, Ron the Greek, and Flat Out.
Naturally, Wilkes reveled in the BC Classic victory. Not only was there a huge financial windfall – the winner’s share was $2.7 million, from which the trainer typically is paid 10 percent – but it also gave him a BC Classic winner to match his mentor, Carl Nafzger, who won at Belmont Park with Unbridled in 1990, when Wilkes worked for him early in his career.
Unbridled won just twice more from seven starts after the BC Classic, putting him toward the lower end of the spectrum when it comes to Classic winners and their post-race accomplishments. Among the 20 of 29 horses to race after winning the Classic (which counts Tiznow twice as the 2000-01 winner), arguably less than half maintained their world-class form. Four who stand out won the Dubai World Cup the following March – Cigar, Pleasantly Perfect, Invasor, and Curlin. A few others, such as Skip Away and Zenyatta, also were brilliant the following season.
On the flip side, a handful never recaptured their winning form, including Cat Thief, Volponi, Ferdinand (0 for 6), and Wild Again (0 for 4).
Wilkes, obviously, would rather have Fort Larned join the first group. The march toward that goal begins Saturday night.
“This can be a humbling game,” he said. “Just when you think you might be ahead in this game, it brings you back to reality.
“That said, I haven’t lost my faith in the horse,” he said. “The way he’s acting and training, I think he’s ready to show people he’s worthy. We’ve got the bad part of this year behind us. Now it’s time to step up again.”
Breeders' Cup Classic winners
W-L streak after Classic
(Total record after Classic)
|2012||Fort Larned||Lost 2 straight|
|2009||Zenyatta||Won 5 straight (5 for 6)|
|2007||Curlin||Won 3 straight (5 for 7)|
|2006||Invasor||Won 2 straight (2 for 2)|
|2004||Ghostzapper||Won 1 (1 for 1)|
|2003||Pleasantly Perfect||Won 2 straight (3 for 5)|
|2002||Volponi||Lost 8 straight (0 for 8)|
|2000||Tiznow||Won 1 (3 for 6)|
|1999||Cat Thief||Lost 11 straight (0 for 11)|
|1997||Skip Away||Won 7 straight (7 for 9)|
|1996||Alphabet Soup||Lost 1 (0 for 1)|
|1995||Cigar||Won 4 straight (5 for 8)|
|1994||Concern||Won 1 (3 for 9)|
|1993||Arcangues||Won 1 (1 for 3)|
|1991||Black Tie Affair||Retired|
|1990||Unbridled||Won 1 (2 for 7)|
|1989||Sunday Silence||Won 1 (1 for 2)|
|1987||Ferdinand||Lost 6 straight (0 for 6)|
|1986||Skywalker||Lost 2 straight (1 for 5)|
|1985||Proud Truth||Lost 6 straight (1 for 8)|
|1984||Wild Again||Lost 4 straight (0 for 4)|
Assigning weights is still the stupidest thing going on in horse racing today. Only idiots would come up with such a concept.
Looking at the list it seems more the norm to do poorly or retire after a BC Classic win than run well. As for the Foster, I think Indy or Fort Larned are hard to pass up right now. Successful Dan should be the favorite but in this short field with only 2 speed horses pace might hurt his chances at a short price, ala Cornhusker. Ron The Greek is trending down. Golden Ticket is not good enough at this point. Pool Play looks like he should be retired, his form is way worse and this field is smaller and better than the one he beat in 2011. I will back Indy with maybe a small play on FL just in case.
I really like FL, but feel TCI is sitting on a big race. Risk and reward, I will wager after seeing the odds at post time.
Get. Him. To. The. Lead. He will never look back.
This is huge weekend for me - many of my absolute favorite horses that I love & admire are running soon - Paynter, Animal Kingdom, Royal Delta, Fort Larned and Mucho Macho Man. What a great week ahead! I can't wait to see all of them in action again. I have faith in Fort Larned in getting back to his form last year. I am a huge supporter of his, without doubt Fort Larned is one of my favorite horses and I would love to see him get back on track in the Stephen Foster. Good luck to you, Fort Larned!
The Classic duel was LONG...wonder how much it TAXED him
Fort Larned won the Breeders Cup over Santa Anita's speed favoring track... Beholder, Tapizar, Trinniberg, Royal Delta, Shanghai Bobby, Groupie Doll, Fort Larned, all of them won from on the lead or very close. Fort Larned is extremely good, his win in the Whitney proved that. He's just not head and shoulders above the others in the handicap division. He could present great value in this race. The GP race is a throw-out and he may have needed the OP race, so he should be ready to show his stuff again.