09/07/2012 10:52AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday September 8th, 2012


Exploding in the last eighth after two of our top three Pix fried themselves on the front end, the third one, Pure Indy, scored an impressive win at Del Mar last Saturday to post an $8.40 return and highlight a splendid week for BreezeFigs maidens and stakes horses.  There was another winner at Del Mar that day (though not the one we thought), and two more on Sunday (including an exacta) and another on the final day of the meet.  All told we counted 24 maiden winners and four stakes winners on the BreezeFigs card during the week, including four at Monmouth (a trifecta and two exactas), two on the same day at Delaware, and a smattering of others throughout the land.  Today's card is loaded with stakes races, but pay attention to those horses considering the excellent record BreezeFigs horses have had in those events (both Grade 1's at Del Mar this week, and the grassy Grade 2 at Saratoga, for example).  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

A paucity of reasonable first-time starters in the maiden races brings us to this race:

Parx Racing, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight (Pennsylvania-Breds), 5 ½ Furlongs (dirt)

There are two BreezeFigs fillies in this race and one, Frangelica, is a shipper from Canterbury, so you don't know if the van has arrived yet.  So we're going to give a weak OK to the other one, Quiet Dinero.  She put up an even-Par, Group 2 profile at EASMAY but did it with a 24.92 foot SL, which was 1.63 feet longer than average for fillies at an eighth that day.  She is no shrimp, but she is on the outside so she can keep out of trouble and maybe get into gear after settling down.  If she does, she could be tough at a solid price.  On the other hand, if the van arrived and she's settled in, Frangelica, who was at 27k RNA (not sold) at BARMAR might get a piece given her decent one-over-Par, Group 2 profile at that sale where her 24.91 foot SL was just over half a foot longer than average for fillies at a furlong that day.  She ran fairly well in her only start in Minnesota, so she might be able to get some piece here.  Both of these fillies look like decent gimmick plays at the very least.  Good luck!