09/03/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, September 5th


Yes, yes, we hedged our Pix all around last week but at least two that we did like, Bulldogger ($6.60 at Saratoga) and Dave in Dixie ($17.60 at Del Mar) came through. Both topped off BreezeFigs trifectas, though we have to admit that in each case a Group 4 horse snuck in there, and we probably wouldn't have bet that combo. But the winners were there, as well as in the second race at the Spa (Devil May Care, $6.70). On the same card there were these playable winners and BreezeFigs exactas: Calder (DePaul, $21.80, exacta $176), Ellis (two winners, Shimmering Forest, $8.60 with $25 exacta, and D'clever Cat, $3.60), Monmouth (Steph's Sonset, $6, $34 exacta), Philadelphia (Big Bad Buddha, $5.60 and a $17.80 exacta) and Timonium (D'heck Raiser, $7.80, $31.50 exacta). Another 11 winners followed during the week, which means that the whole BreezeFigs card, every day, has profitable opportunities. And, just to prove it, we are abandoning the Saratoga-Del Mar mindset for today's Pix, and delving into the nether reaches for opportunity on a card which has plenty of them. See below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here we go-getting on the bus and plane for this one. Good luck!

Monmouth Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

Seven BreezeFigs horses, five of them first-time starters, all of them with a gimmick shot and five with a shot at winning. We like 'em easy. Byline came out of KEEAPR with an impressive six-over-Par Group 1 profile and a 24.66 SL, more than 1.25 feet longer than average-but she was a mere 45k RNA, and she's on the rail, which relegates her to a gimmick play. Mad Dasher came out of the weaker OBSAPR sale with the same Group 1 profile and a SL of 24.15 feet, which was 1.34 feet longer than average-and the average, 22.81, was what Group 1, three-over-Par entrant Gold Infusion achieved at the same sale. So between those two, you might want Mad Dasher, who has a race under her girth. The ones to watch on the board, however, are Destiny Road and Romantic Hideaway. The former came out of the strong FTFFEB sale with a two-over-Par Group 2 profile, but a solid 25.63 SL that was 1.26 feet longer than average; and the latter hit a five-over-Par, Group 2 rating at OBSMAR with a 25.42 SL, almost two feet longer than average. Those are pretty good figs for fillies Saint Amore, Benedicta and Tasha Rules had OK profiles at their sales, but their stride lengths were both below average. So this race looks like it boils down to Destiny Road, Romantic Hideaway and Mad Dasher in that order or box and if you like what you see, you could put Byline in these as a gimmick choice.

Ruidoso Downs, , Smarty Jones Stakes, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

Now, now, now. No double takes. Yes, this is a stakes race (though not qualified for black type), and the rail horse, Huntin the Trash, is not only going to be heavily favored, but he's not a BreezeFigs horse. But two others are-Storming Saint and Wind on Water, first timers from a clever outfit that might be serious or may scratch. Both come out of OBSAPR where each achieved a Group 1 profile with 24.5+ stride lengths, at least a foot longer than average on the days they breezed. Storming Saint may be the better of the two, but you never know, and they are both worth using in the gimmicks-and watch the board to see whether there is money afoot for them in the win pool. Good luck!